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Regular Season, Updated: 9/3/18

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FF Today Standard Scoring: Review Scoring
 Mitchell Trubisky, CHI (Bye: 5)
25
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 222   DOB: 1994-08-20   Age: 24
College: North Carolina   Draft: 2017 Round 1 (2) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2017CHI12196 330 2,193 7 7 41 248 2 174.5 14.5
2018 (Projected)CHI 296 485 3,345 21 15 63 345 2 297.8  

Outlook: Saddled with the least creative offensive coaches in the NFL and given the worst receiver corps in the league, it's not a big surprise that Trubisky, the highly touted No.2 overall pick, struggled to make much noise in 2017. But last year's Rams have proven that with the right coaches, and an infusion of talent, offenses can make a dramatic improvement, and the Bears have followed this recipe to a T.

Gone is the archaic offensive philosophy of John Fox, and in comes the young mind of Matt Nagy, who cut his teeth in the classroom of Andy Reid. Say what you will about his clock management, but Reid's offensive system has consistently produced fantasy stars at his stops in Philadelphia and Kansas City. In addition to the forward thinking Nagy, Chicago went all out in free agency, snagging big play receivers in Alan Robinson and Taylor Gabriel and move tight end Trey Burton. The Bears even moved up in the 2nd round of the draft to select the prolific Anthony Miller from Memphis. Overnight the Bears shook off the dust and reinvented themselves on offense from top to bottom. With a staff also willing to engineer more plays for electric Tarik Cohen, Trubisky has elite playmakers at every level of the offense.

Now a QB can have all the talent in the world, but what exactly have we seen from Trubisky to be sold on him as a fantasy asset? For one, he completed nearly 60% of his passes, which is great considering his circumstances, and his perceived rawness coming out of North Carolina. A quick look at the stats shows a guy who got more comfortable as he got more starts, and other than a blowout loss to the Eagles, he kept his team in every game they played. He also showed plenty of athleticism, rushing for the 13th most yards amongst quarterbacks despite playing in only 12 games.

The Bears lost a ton of close games last year, and retained one of the best defensive coaches in the NFL in Vic Fangio. It's going to take some time for these pieces to gel on offense and Robinson has to prove he's all the back from the torn ACL, but I really think the Bears are going to surprise people this year. I think Trubisky makes a leap in his second season and finishes as an upper tier QB2, and is someone I'd be looking to add late to pair with an established star.


 Derek Carr, OAK (Bye: 7)
26
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 214   DOB: 1991-03-28   Age: 27
College: Fresno State   Draft: 2014 Round 2 (4) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015OAK16350 573 3,987 32 13 33 138 0 341.2 21.3
2016OAK15356 559 3,933 28 6 38 69 0 315.6 21.0
2017OAK15323 515 3,496 22 13 23 66 0 269.4 18.0
2018 (Projected)OAK 335 532 3,670 25 12 23 55 0 289.0  

Outlook: Many were predicting a breakout season for Raiders quarterback Derek Carr heading into the 2017 season, as the young passer was coming off of the best season of his career in 2016. Four weeks into the season, however, that breakout season fell apart as Carr suffered a transverse process fracture in his back, which Carr later said was actually three broken bones. While he played through the pain and discomfort, Carr hurt fantasy owners badly as back spasms caused erratic play, causing him to barely finish as even a QB2 despite having one of the league's best wide receiver tandems in Michael Crabtree and Amari Cooper.

While he should be much healthier after a full offseason to heal, back injuries often creep back up on athletes and can cause problems. What's worse is, NFL teams often mask those injuries on the injury report by being vague about the location and severity. This can be difficult on fantasy owners as we don't have a good idea whether or not the player is dealing with an injury or if he simply had a bad string of games. Additionally, Carr will now be without his favorite target Michael Crabtree and will be learning a completely new offensive system, making it easy to see why Carr is going undrafted in many standard formats.

Oakland did add Jordy Nelson and Martavis Bryant, along with Doug Martin who has made an impact in the passing game in the past, but it's hard to argue that those players will make a significant enough impact on Carr to make him anything more than a streaming option at the quarterback position this season.


 Jameis Winston, TB (Bye: 5)
27
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 231   DOB: 1994-01-06   Age: 24
College: Florida State   Draft: 2015 Round 1 (1) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015TB16312 535 4,044 22 15 53 210 6 347.2 21.7
2016TB16345 568 4,090 28 18 52 168 1 339.3 21.2
2017TB13282 442 3,504 19 11 33 135 1 270.7 20.8
2018 (Projected)TB 283 457 3,426 21 11 30 109 1 272.2  

Outlook: For the 2017 season, Winston finished as a mid-range QB2, but on a per game basis, he just was one spot outside of the QB1 range at QB13. Winston has improved his scoring consistency each year of his three-year career. He finished as a top 12 quarterback 31.25% of the time in 2015, 37.5% in 2016, and 46% of the time in 2017. If he can continue to improve his consistency, then he'll likely be considered a surefire QB1 entering 2019.

The overwhelming reason why Winston is a late-round to undrafted QB option is because he's suspended for the first three games of the 2018 season. And that's a good reason to leave Winston for the waiver wire during your draft, but fantasy owners should be quick to consider Winston following Week 3 as a solid streaming option. Paired with a streaming option in the first few weeks, drafters could find themselves with a top 12 QB at an inexpensive price. At first glance, the Buccaneers schedule appears difficult for Winston upon his return, but apparent strength of schedule is difficult to accurately project. He's likely a spot play, but if Winston continues his improvement, he could have plenty of value in 2018.


 Tyrod Taylor, CLE (Bye: 11)
28
Height: 6’1”   Weight: 217   DOB: 1989-08-03   Age: 29
College: Virginia Tech   Draft: 2011 Round 6 (15) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015BUF14242 380 3,035 20 6 104 568 4 312.6 22.3
2016BUF15270 437 3,023 17 6 95 580 6 313.2 20.9
2017BUF15263 420 2,799 14 4 84 427 4 262.7 17.5
2018 (Projected)CLE 223 359 2,656 14 5 64 331 2 233.9  

Outlook: With good reason Cleveland went nuclear on its quarterback room this offseason, jettisoning all-three players who made starts last year, replacing them with the trio of Taylor, Baker Mayfield, and Drew Stanton. Despite being handcuffed with a conservative offense, and absolutely no playmakers at receiver, Taylor has put up respectable fantasy stats the last three seasons as Buffalo's starter, finishing as the No.18, No.19 and No.20 scoring quarterback, making him a decent option in 2 QB leagues, or bye week fill in for standard leagues. Obviously the biggest draws for Cleveland was Taylor's dual-threat game, accuracy, and veteran leadership. Taylor gives Cleveland the luxury of taking it slow with Mayfield, as his touchdown to interception ratio (65 total touchdowns to 16 interceptions in three seasons as a starter) will at least keep Cleveland in most of the games they play. Make no mistake; this team needs to win some games.

Taylor is going to end up giving Cleveland chances to win, but like your fantasy team, he isn't capable of bringing them over the top. This franchise has gotten dismal fantasy play from its quarterbacks for literally decades, and there's no doubt that Taylor is an upgrade on most of them, but he also isn't suddenly going to become a fantasy priority. He'll enjoy a much better set of pass catchers than he had in Eastern New York, but this is still a team that went 0-16 last year, and with the 1st overall pick sitting behind him, probably won't play 16 games this year. If he does end up playing in most of the games I do think he's capable of having a really solid year in Cleveland, but even that won't be good for anything other than a middling QB2 rating.


 Joe Flacco, BAL (Bye: 10)
29
Height: 6’6”   Weight: 238   DOB: 1985-01-16   Age: 33
College: Delaware   Draft: 2008 Round 1 (18) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015BAL10266 413 2,791 14 12 13 23 3 215.9 21.6
2016BAL16437 673 4,317 20 15 22 53 2 313.2 19.6
2017BAL16352 549 3,141 18 13 25 54 1 240.5 15.0
2018 (Projected)BAL 335 523 3,556 20 11 23 49 1 268.7  

Outlook: I've been very critical of Flacco as a fantasy and real life quarterback in these pieces the past several years I don't plan on changing it up! A severe back injury gutted nearly Flacco's entire 2017 offseason, and he only got healthy enough to play just prior to Week 1 of the season. So while he grinded out a full 16 game schedule, statistically it was one of his worst full seasons since his rookie year. He was barely able to surpass 3,000 yards passing, and threw for only 18 touchdowns. I guess my biggest knock on Flacco is he doesn't elevate the play of the people around him. Sure, he had the injury bug hit some of his receivers last year, but I've seen quarterbacks do more with less, and the Raven's seem to feel the same. The shine from his Super Bowl win is gone, and Baltimore clearly looked to the (near) future with their selection of Lamar Jackson in the first round of the NFL Draft.

Whether it's Flacco, or eventually Jackson, I'm not thrilled by the motley crew of receivers that Baltimore brought in to replace Jeremy Maclin and Mike Wallace. Michael Crabtree, John Brown and Willie Snead don't exactly keep defensive coordinators up at night. And while they do have productive seasons in their past, I just don't think Flacco has what it takes to help unlock that again. If you want to chase the "Alex Smith" narrative, where the drafting of a 1st round quarterback will somehow light a fire under Flacco, be my guest. But for my fantasy money, Joe is only worth a look in 2-QB leagues.


 Sam Darnold, NYJ (Bye: 11)
30
Height: 6’3”   Weight: 221   DOB: 1997-06-05   Age: 21
College: Southern California   Draft: 2018 Round 1 (3) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2018 (Projected)NYJ 212 366 2,528 16 11 32 74 1 203.8  

Outlook: The Jets used the third overall pick of the 2018 NFL draft to select USC quarterback Sam Darnold, a highly touted young quarterback who presumably will be the face of the franchise for the next decade. At 6'4, 225 pounds, Darnold has the prototypical size and arm strength to be a star quarterback in the NFL. As a redshirt freshman in 2016, Darnold completed 67% of his passes, with 3086 passing yards and 31 touchdowns in 13 games for the Trojans. As a sophomore last season, Darnold completed only 63% of his throws and threw four more interceptions, but he logged nearly 1000 more passing yards and increased his yards per attempt.

The Jets will likely begin the season with McCown under center as Darnold continues to get acclimated to the NFL. There is no doubt that the job will eventually be his at some point in the near future, but fantasy owners in single quarterback leagues should wait to pull the trigger until Darnold proves to be a viable fantasy asset.


 Nick Foles, PHI (Bye: 9)
31
Height: 6’6”   Weight: 243   DOB: 1989-01-20   Age: 29
College: Arizona   Draft: 2012 Round 3 (25) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015STL11190 337 2,052 7 10 17 20 1 138.6 12.6
2016KC236 55 410 3 0 4 -4 0 32.1 16.1
2017PHI757 101 537 5 2 11 3 0 47.2 6.7
2018 (Projected)PHI 57 90 686 7 5 11 35 0 65.8  

 Sam Bradford, ARI (Bye: 9)
32
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 224   DOB: 1987-11-08   Age: 30
College: Oklahoma   Draft: 2010 Round 1 (1) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015PHI14346 532 3,725 19 14 25 39 0 266.2 19.0
2016MIN15395 552 3,877 20 5 20 53 0 279.2 18.6
2017MIN232 43 382 3 0 2 -3 0 30.8 15.4
2018 (Projected)ARI 254 379 2,656 14 6 10 16 0 190.4  

Outlook: With head coach Bruce Arians and quarterback Carson Palmer gone, there's a new era starting in Arizona and it begins with quarterback Sam Bradford. Bradford signed a two-year, $40 million contract before the team drafted Josh Rosen in April's NFL Draft, with $15 million guaranteed in year one. This contract almost certainly means that he'll be given the chance to start, but Rosen was considered by many to be the most NFL-ready quarterback in what is believed to be a strong class, so Bradford's job is certainly not safe.

The last time we saw Bradford was Week 1 of the 2017 season when he lit up a good Saints defense for 346 yards and 3 touchdowns. Then injury reared its ugly head - again - as Bradford suffered a season-ending knee injury during the game. Bradford's injury history is lengthy to say the least and he's one of the few players who can truly be tagged as "injury prone" given the location of the injuries as well as the type and severity. With Arizona expected to have one of the worst offensive lines in the league, it's logical to question Bradford's ability to stay healthy. Add in the fact that the Cardinals invested an early draft pick on Rosen and it seems very possible that we could see Bradford holding a clipboard in the second half of the season, particularly if the Cardinals' record is subpar, as most expect that it will be.

When he's healthy, Bradford has been a solid fantasy producer, but he's only finished as a top-20 fantasy quarterback once in his entire career. With the injury concerns as well as the team makeup and rookie breathing down his neck, Bradford should be one of the last "starting" quarterbacks drafted in most fantasy drafts, but he does have DFS appeal in good matchups.


 Ryan Fitzpatrick, TB (Bye: 5)
33
Height: 6’2”   Weight: 225   DOB: 1982-11-24   Age: 35
College: Harvard   Draft: 2005 Round 7 (36) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2015NYJ16335 562 3,905 31 15 60 270 2 358.3 22.4
2016NYJ14229 404 2,709 12 17 33 130 0 196.5 14.0
2017TB696 163 1,103 7 3 16 76 0 90.8 15.1
2018 (Projected)TB 94 151 1,012 5 2 3 19 0 72.5  

Outlook: Fitzpatrick played in six games for Tampa Bay last season and finished as a top 12 QB in two of them. He'll have the opportunity to start the season in place of the suspended Winston. In deeper leagues, he'll be a potential streaming option against the Saints and Eagles who each allowed over 20 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks last season.


 Josh Allen, BUF (Bye: 11)
34
Height: 6’5”   Weight: 233   DOB: 1996-05-21   Age: 22
College: Wyoming   Draft: 2018 Round 1 (7) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2018 (Projected)BUF 125 227 1,545 9 9 16 42 0 117.5  

 Baker Mayfield, CLE (Bye: 11)
35
Height: 6’1”   Weight: 215   DOB: 1995-04-14   Age: 23
College: Oklahoma   Draft: 2018 Round 1 (1) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2018 (Projected)CLE 94 161 1,145 7 5 19 75 0 92.8  

Outlook: Say what you will about his on and off the field antics, but Baker Mayfield was a heck of a productive football player. Bucking the analytics, Cleveland made Mayfield the 1st overall pick in the 2018 draft, but if it's up to them, he won't see the field this season. Mayfield brings a fire and brimstone approach to the game, lifting the players around him. Should he get the chance to become the starter, he's definitely worth a look. His accuracy and playmaking ability in and out of the pocket would give him tremendous upside. He'll have a talented and experienced core of receivers (hopefully!) to throw to, and could be another "lightning in a bottle" addition to fantasy squads at some point this season. We've seen a string of rookie quarterbacks flash the past several years, and Mayfield has what it takes to be another one. I do believe Cleveland that they will wait as long as possible to showcase Mayfield, but when given the chance should garner roster consideration, even if it comes later in the year.


 Josh Rosen, ARI (Bye: 9)
36
Height: 6’4”   Weight: 226   DOB: 1997-02-10   Age: 21
College: UCLA   Draft: 2018 Round 1 (10) 
SeasonTeamGameComp Att Yard TD INTAtt Yard TDFPtsFPts/G
2018 (Projected)ARI 101 174 1,256 7 6 10 25 0 93.3  

Outlook: The No. 10 overall pick in the 2018 NFL Draft, Rosen is believed to be the future of the Arizona Cardinals franchise. The question, at least for fantasy purposes, is when that future will begin on the field. Of the quarterbacks drafted in April, one could easily make the case that Rosen has stepped into the best position to produce fantasy points this season. With only an injury-prone and aging Sam Bradford ahead of him, Rosen has what appears to be a realistic path to playing time in 2018. Add in the fact that he'll get to throw to a legend like Larry Fitzgerald, a perceived stud rookie in Christian Kirk and a dynamic playmaking running back in David Johnson and it's easy to see why some believe that Rosen will lead all rookie passers in fantasy points scored.

But while he might get on the field, there are also reasons to be concerned about Rosen's potential to actually be a viable weekly fantasy starter, at least as a rookie. Most notably, the Cardinals offensive line projects to be terrible. They haven't been great in a long while, but this might be the worst group they've trotted out in many years. In addition, Rosen was never a particularly prolific passer in college. While it's true that he didn't play in an extremely friendly offense for passing, Rosen threw fewer than two touchdowns per game throughout his college career as a starter and threw nearly an interception per game. It's also worth considering that, like Bradford, Rosen also has an injury history. Most notably, Rosen suffered a season-ending injury to his throwing shoulder as a sophomore and he was also diagnosed with multiple concussions in college. Both of those injuries are concerning for fantasy purposes - particularly the concussions, as we know that concussions often repeat and the NFL is taking serious steps to keep players off the field if they are suffering from any effects of those concussions whatsoever.

Realistically, the Cardinals' quarterback situation is one to avoid for fantasy purposes, at least from a season-long standpoint. The receiving group isn't particularly strong, the offensive line is terrible and we just don't know who is going to start and for how long.