Iíve been playing fantasy football since the mid 90ís,
so I admittedly rely more on experience than analytics when it
comes to this column. My gut (and a little of the numbers) tell
me the guy who is the presumptive MVP leader looks like a good
bet against a Colts defense who has given up a league worst 23
touchdown passes. This defense has had a heck of a time holding
leads, and I think the Bills go real up-tempo in this game in
an effort to grab an early lead in order to take the Colts off
their run game. Allen carved this defense up in last yearís
playoffs, and should repeat the feat in Week 11.
KC got their mojo back by blasting their division rivals on the
road last week, but a deflated Raiders offense is no match for
the might and talent of Dallas. Prescott was masterful in carving
up the Falcons last week, and the Cowboys have the unique ability
to tailor game plans to morph on a weekly basis. I think Dallas
comes out trying to establish the run early, but I can see this
game quickly developing into a track meet, setting up a big fantasy
day for everyone involved.
The little engine that could down in Nashville keeps rolling.
The Titans have somehow held things together offensively without
their world moving bellcow running back. Tannehill somehow has
racked up identical 19 for 27 days passing the last two weeks,
and has salvaged his fantasy days with a few rushing touchdowns.
The Texans donít have the bodies to keep A.J. Brown in check
this week, and as long as things donít get messy too quickly,
Tannehill should be good for a 2+ touchdown day.
Wentz is a far cry from his glory days in Philly, but heís
been more than serviceable this year for the Colts. The issues
this week have more to do with the opponent and the fact this
offense now runs through Jonathan Taylor almost exclusively. If
the game stays tight, and Reich has his way, Taylor is going to
run it 25+ times, and Wentz wonít have to throw much into
the teeth of the Bills defense. Matt Ryan vs
Arthur Smith has not gotten enough credit for the work heís done
with this Atlanta offense. They have no running game to speak
of, their stud wide receiver has been AWOL most of the year, and
Ryan is a fading vet with limited arm strength and mobility. Despite
coming off a huge game against the Saints the week prior, Ryan
and the Falcons were exposed last week against Dallas, and face
a surging Pats team on a short week. With Patterson iffy at best,
Ryan has almost no shot Thursday night.
Heinicke played within the offense, limited negative plays, and
gave the WTF a chance to beat the Bucs last week. Kudos are due,
but this week’s matchup against the rejuvenated Panthers
is a tough spot. Carolina has yielded the 2nd fewest fantasy points
to quarterbacks this season, and I just don’t think Heinicke
has the patience to be conservative yet again, especially with
no healthy tight ends and a running game that still isn’t
threatening. Carolina will double up McLaurin and force Heinike
into making some mistakes.