| NFC East & NFC North Breakdowns
 8/11/09
 
 NFC East: DAL 
              | NYG | PHI | WAS
 NFC North: CHI 
              | DET | GB | MIN
 
 After spending the last two weeks (AFC 
              East/North | AFC West/South) 
              lobbying fantasy owners to consider the schedule a vital part of 
              their draft preparation, I feel it is now time to inform each of 
              you why it is so important to take in as much of the preseason news 
              as possible, including the injuries that occur before teams even 
              start playing exhibition games and, maybe more importantly, what 
              they mean to the player’s team and their opponents. In just 
              the last week, a handful of teams lost key cogs for the season: 
              Philadelphia (MLB Stewart Bradley), Carolina (DT Maake Kemoeatu), 
              Cincinnati (TE Reggie Kelly) and Atlanta (WR Harry Douglas). On 
              the surface, none of these injuries seem to be worth worrying about 
              for most fantasy owners. But football - more than any other sport 
              - is a highly dependent game in regards to how a loss or two to 
              one part of the team can impact the entire team.
 So before I continue, let's take a deeper look into what impact 
                each of these injuries may have on their teams: Stewart 
                Bradley - In Philly's defensive scheme, the MLB is in some 
                regards an extension of the defensive line. The Eagles ideal MIKE 
                backer is usually big and a terrific run-stopper (think Jeremiah 
                Trotter in his prime). At 6-4, 260 pounds, Bradley definitely 
                fit the bill as a prototypical Philly 'backer, but the Eagles 
                will now be hoping 5-11, 246-pound Joe Mays will be able to step 
                up, at least on a two-down basis. What this means is that, along 
                with the passing of DC Jim Johnson and loss of S Brian Dawkins, 
                fantasy owners should no longer regard Philadelphia as an elite 
                run defense this season. That should come as great news for owners 
                of Clinton Portis, Marion Barber, and Brandon Jacobs – just to 
                name a few. Maake Kemoeatu 
                - The loss of this 6-5, 345-pound run-plugger likely will contribute 
                to another sacking of a good run defense from last season. In 
                one of the two games Kemoeatu missed last season, the Giants rolled 
                up 301 rushing yards vs. Carolina. Certainly, not every game will 
                go that way, but it is pretty damning to consider that before 
                that game, the Panthers had not given up even half of that rushing 
                total against any of their other opponents. While his loss will 
                greatly hurt MLB Jon Beason's ability to move freely from sideline 
                to sideline, a residual impact could be felt on the Panthers' 
                running game as they probably won't be able to run the ball 504 
                times again this season if the defense can't stop opponents from 
                running on them. Thus, DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart 
                could both suffer. Reggie 
                Kelly - One of the best run-blocking TEs in the league, Kelly's 
                loss is a huge blow to the Bengals, who desperately want to balance 
                out their potential for a high-flying passing game with a physical 
                running game. Though many people probably are not all that familiar 
                with Kelly, his blocking prowess contributed to Rudi Johnson's 
                best seasons in Cincy. Without Kelly, the Bengals may be primed 
                to throw much more than they hoped to this season. While that 
                is good for a handful of Cincinnati WRs and Carson Palmer, Cedric 
                Benson takes a fantasy hit. Harry Douglas 
                - Douglas is the first of the players listed here that would have 
                found his way onto many non-IDP fantasy rosters as a reserve this 
                summer. Just like the Bengals’ Chris Henry - a WR with a non-starting 
                role - I was high on Douglas to post fairly big numbers in 2009. 
                His loss secures Michael Jenkins as a low-end WR3 or solid WR4 
                in 12-team leagues and makes Tony Gonzalez and Jerious Norwood 
                even more valuable as many of the short passes Douglas would have 
                seen now figure to go the direction of Gonzo or Norwood. I mention the above players to not only inform of the impact 
                their injuries may have on their own team, but to also alert (or 
                remind) fantasy owners that in just over a week, we have seen 
                four injuries that will affect a number of player values this 
                season. Next week will likely bring us just as many. The point 
                to be made is projecting player stats is an ever-evolving and 
                continual task - especially during the preseason - so the 10th-best 
                RB one day in August may become the 20th-best prospect if one 
                of his All-Pro lineman gets hurt.  Bear in mind that while the final numbers are important, they 
                are 15-game totals because most fantasy seasons have a Week 16 
                title game. For those unfamiliar with the way I project player 
                stats and individual week-to-week consistency (or for those who 
                need a refresher), please give PSA: RB 
                article a read for an introductory course in Preseason Schedule 
                Analysis. By now, I'm hoping that each of you have a pretty good 
                understanding of my methodology, so let's see how the NFC East 
                and NFC North shake down in 2009.
 Note: The grey 
                highlight in each team’s schedule reflects a road game. NFC EAST 
                 
                  | 
                       
                        | Dallas Cowboys |    
                  |  | Totals | TB | NYG | CAR | DEN | KC | bye | ATL | SEA | PHI | GB | WAS | OAK | NYG | SD | NO | WAS |   
                  | (Run) |  | 4.2 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 5 | 4.9 |  | 4.6 | 4.2 | 4 | 4 | 3.7 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 3.7 |   
                  | (Pass) |  | 7.4 | 6.6 | 6.3 | 6.8 | 7.5 |  | 7.1 | 7 | 6.4 | 6.8 | 6 | 6.9 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 6.7 | 6 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | T Romo | 3530 | 235 | 220 | 215 | 190 | 245 |  | 300 | 250 | 220 | 185 | 255 | 270 | 200 | 275 | 255 | 215 |   
                  | TD | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |  | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |   
                  | INT | 14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |  | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |   
                  | Ru Yards | 80 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 5 |  | 5 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 0 |   
                  | Ru TD | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | M Barber | 975 | 75 | 50 | 80 | 115 | 55 |  | 60 | 40 | 65 | 40 | 50 | 125 | 25 | 75 | 65 | 55 |   
                  | Ru TD | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |  | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |   
                  | Re Yards | 395 | 25 | 35 | 15 | 10 | 25 |  | 30 | 45 | 30 | 5 | 25 | 0 | 35 | 50 | 40 | 25 |   
                  | Re TD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 48 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 |  | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 3 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | F Jones | 465 | 45 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 70 |  | 55 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 15 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Ru TD | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Re Yards | 115 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 0 |  | 15 | 25 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Re TD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |  | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | T Choice | 410 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 35 | 20 |  | 15 | 60 | 25 | 25 | 20 | 40 | 30 | 45 | 40 | 25 |   
                  | Ru TD | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Re Yards | 50 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5 |  | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 5 |   
                  | Re TD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | R Williams | 895 | 65 | 45 | 70 | 35 | 105 |  | 75 | 45 | 55 | 45 | 75 | 30 | 55 | 75 | 70 | 50 |   
                  | Re TD | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |  | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 69 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 8 |  | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | P Crayton | 535 | 35 | 30 | 25 | 35 | 35 |  | 40 | 45 | 30 | 50 | 40 | 15 | 40 | 30 | 40 | 45 |   
                  | Re TD | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 42 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |  | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | M Austin | 305 | 15 | 25 | 20 | 30 | 0 |  | 35 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 | 45 | 0 | 25 | 15 | 20 |   
                  | Re TD | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 24 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |  | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | J Witten | 905 | 70 | 45 | 55 | 60 | 50 |  | 80 | 35 | 60 | 45 | 65 | 110 | 60 | 75 | 55 | 40 |   
                  | Re TD | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |  | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 84 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 |  | 7 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | M Bennett | 330 | 10 | 30 | 25 | 0 | 25 |  | 25 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 25 | 35 | 10 | 15 | 25 | 30 |   
                  | Re TD | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 35 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 |  | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |  |  It seems as though every team talks about running the ball, being 
              more physical or something of the like every offseason. The Cowboys 
              will be one of the few teams that follow through on that assertion 
              in 2009. Fortunately, the philosophy change is both "Romo-friendly" 
              and timely after looking at the schedule. Only four matchups - two 
              each vs. the Giants and Redskins - appear to be worth avoiding, 
              although I do expect the run defenses of Seattle, San Diego and 
              New Orleans to improve dramatically. If all of those teams do indeed 
              bounce back, the second-half schedule could be a bit trickier than 
              what it looks like right now. The good news, however, is that Dallas 
              has a very good run-blocking line and one that can neutralize most 
              defensive fronts. Further consider the Cowboys get four games against 
              the AFC West and two more against defenses (Tampa Bay and Carolina) 
              early on that figure to be something less than what they were a 
              season ago vs. the run. While I don't expect a 2008 Ravens-like 
              592 carries out of the running game, the Cowboys have the defense 
              and the depth at RB to exceed the 500-carry mark if they choose. 
              (As a point of reference, Dallas ran just 401 times in 2008.) A 
              further point of reference is that of the seven teams that ran the 
              ball more than 500 times last season, each team ran for at least 
              2,199 yards and all but one team (New England) made the playoffs. 
              The main question is: how will the workload be split? If the Cowboys 
              do hit 500 carries, I imagine Marion 
              Barber will see about 225 carries, Felix 
              Jones about 150 and Tashard 
              Choice about 125, making for a 45-30-25 split with Barber getting 
              most of the goal-line work. As you can plainly see, I don't think 
              Jones will make it though the season yet again, but if he does, 
              feel free to give him about 600-700 yards rushing. I don't think, 
              however, he has the build necessary to become a full-time complement 
              to Barber, thus giving Choice some definite value. Interestingly, 
              an injury to either Barber or Jones greatly benefits Choice, but 
              not either of the two "starters". In other words, Choice is best 
              suited for the physical work should Barber go down while he would 
              take on the Julius Jones-role in this offense if Felix were injured.
 Coat-tailing off the seven 500-carry teams I mentioned above, 
                only the Giants and Patriots attempted more than 453 passes in 
                2008. Using Romo's career 8.1 YPA as a barometer, that number 
                of attempts would give Romo roughly 3,669 yards in 2009. Assuming 
                both Roy 
                Williams and Jason 
                Witten hit the 1,000-yard mark this season (far from a given), 
                that number still seems a bit high for Romo. Add in that Dallas 
                no longer can count on Terrell 
                Owens for 10 TDs this season and one has to wonder just how 
                far Romo's fantasy stock will fall. Five red matchups appear on 
                his schedule, but a deeper look reveals that each of the final 
                four teams on Dallas' schedule is a heavy-blitzing team (or will 
                be this season). The Giants and Redskins will be tough regardless, 
                but I don't foresee fantasy-playoff worthy performances coming 
                vs. the Chargers in Week 14 or on the road in New Orleans in Week 
                15. Before that, however, Romo should be serviceable but he isn't 
                likely to fulfill his current ADP of 5.11. Because this offense 
                will be run-heavy and have two TEs on the field a lot of the time, 
                don't look for much WR fantasy value outside of Roy Williams and 
                maybe Patrick Crayton, if the latter locks down the WR2 spot. 
                I do expect a substantial increase in production from backup TE 
                Martellus 
                Bennett, who finished as the 24th-best TE in fantasy last 
                season despite only catching 20 passes (on 27 targets). Both those 
                numbers could easily double - in fact, the second-year TE could 
                actually end up gnawing away at the value of Jason Witten just 
                a bit.
 
                 
                  | 
                       
                        | N.Y. Giants |    
                  |  | Totals | WAS | DAL | TB | KC | OAK | NO | ARI | PHI | SD | bye | ATL | DEN | DAL | PHI | WAS | CAR |   
                  | (Run) |  | 3.7 | 4 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 4 | 4.1 |  | 4.6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3.7 | 4.4 |   
                  | (Pass) |  | 6 | 6.1 | 7.4 | 7.5 | 6.9 | 6.7 | 6.7 | 6.4 | 6.6 |  | 7.1 | 6.8 | 6.1 | 6.4 | 6 | 6.3 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | E Manning | 3335 | 225 | 190 | 280 | 185 | 210 | 265 | 205 | 220 | 210 |  | 250 | 170 | 230 | 190 | 240 | 265 |   
                  | TD | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |  | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |   
                  | INT | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | B Jacobs | 1070 | 85 | 70 | 85 | 75 | 110 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 90 |  | 70 | 115 | 90 | 100 | 65 | 70 |   
                  | Ru TD | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |  | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |   
                  | Re Yards | 105 | 10 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 15 |  | 10 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 5 |   
                  | Re TD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 17 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |  | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | A Bradshaw | 760 | 20 | 40 | 55 | 80 | 30 | 60 | 75 | 45 | 25 |  | 100 | 50 | 30 | 30 | 35 | 85 |   
                  | Ru TD | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |  | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |   
                  | Re Yards | 250 | 15 | 10 | 25 | 0 | 10 | 35 | 0 | 40 | 30 |  | 15 | 20 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 15 |   
                  | Re TD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 27 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 |  | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |   
                  | A Brown/ |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | D Ware | 380 | 25 | 15 | 30 | 20 | 15 | 20 | 55 | 75 | 25 |  | 0 | 35 | 15 | 30 | 0 | 20 |   
                  | Ru TD | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Re Yards | 50 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 5 |   
                  | Re TD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | S Smith | 750 | 55 | 30 | 60 | 45 | 55 | 70 | 40 | 25 | 60 |  | 45 | 60 | 30 | 25 | 70 | 80 |   
                  | Re TD | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 62 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 6 |  | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | D Hixon | 740 | 65 | 40 | 80 | 50 | 30 | 80 | 65 | 55 | 15 |  | 75 | 20 | 55 | 45 | 30 | 35 |   
                  | Re TD | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 43 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 1 |  | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | H Nicks | 530 | 20 | 40 | 15 | 35 | 0 | 40 | 45 | 30 | 15 |  | 50 | 35 | 65 | 20 | 65 | 55 |   
                  | Re TD | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |   
                  | Rec | 38 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 |  | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | S Moss | 380 | 25 | 35 | 30 | 20 | 45 | 10 | 20 | 35 | 0 |  | 30 | 10 | 35 | 50 | 15 | 20 |   
                  | Re TD | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 32 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |  | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | K Boss | 200 | 10 | 0 | 15 | 10 | 30 | 5 | 25 | 0 | 25 |  | 15 | 5 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 35 |   
                  | Re TD | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 |  | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | T Beckum | 330 | 25 | 35 | 30 | 20 | 35 | 15 | 0 | 30 | 50 |  | 10 | 15 | 0 | 20 | 30 | 15 |   
                  | Re TD | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 33 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 |  | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 |  |  Considering the Giants rushed for over 200 yards in a game six 
                times last season (with four of those performances coming against 
                good or great run defenses like Dallas, Baltimore, Philadelphia 
                and Carolina), it isn't too hard to imagine that with most of 
                the cast returning for another season New York could have similar 
                success running the football in 2009. If the Giants were able 
                to average five yards/carry on 502 carries after playing six games 
                vs. their own division and two more against the likes of the Ravens 
                and Steelers, I can't imagine how the NFC South and AFC West will 
                fare much better. In fact, on this year’s slate, only the 
                Redskins should give fantasy owners pause. The injuries mentioned 
                in the opening figure to remove three potential roadblocks (Philly 
                twice, Carolina in Week 16) - so if Brandon Jacobs can somehow 
                put together a full 16-game season (I have him missing two games 
                and part of a third) - he is line for a career year, as is Ahmad 
                Bradshaw. While I'm not going to call Bradshaw the next Derrick 
                Ward (as he has to fend off the likes of Danny Ware and Andre 
                Brown for that kind of role), the truth of the matter is that 
                with 100 or so more carries than he had in 2008, he could give 
                the Giants their second pair of 1,000-yard rushers in as many 
                seasons. At this point, I have New York averaging 147 yards/game 
                on the ground - ten less than a season ago - so even though I 
                thought I was being liberal in my projections with the RBs, I 
                may need to increase my expectation as we move deeper into the 
                preseason. It's a good thing the Giants have such a dominating running game 
                (and that Eli 
                Manning just got his big new contract) because I'm not sure 
                that New York has the personnel necessary to threaten many of 
                its opponents in the passing game consistently. The Giants have 
                repeatedly expressed their desire this offseason to hit on more 
                deep throws, but only Domenik 
                Hixon has proven he can do that on a fairly regular basis. 
                Furthermore, Steve 
                Smith has established himself as Manning's favorite target 
                and he seems more comfortable in the short-to-intermediate passing 
                game. As a result, I have New York pegged for seven red matchups 
                in the passing game and the same spread-the-wealth approach that 
                occurred after Plaxico Burress' departure in 2008. Worse yet, 
                the first two and final four matchups all qualify as difficult 
                matchups - especially for a team without an elite WR - so it would 
                be hard to recommend Smith, Hixon or any other Giants WR for that 
                matter during the most important times of the fantasy season. 
                So when it comes right down to it, trying to count on a Giants 
                WR will be difficult. I'm a fan of Travis 
                Beckum's abilities and feel that he ultimately will steal 
                whatever fantasy value Kevin 
                Boss had, but he'll need a strong showing in the preseason 
                to fulfill my expectations for him. No matter how difficult the 
                opponent, New York will probably be happy to run the ball and 
                let the defense do its thing. Manning figures to connect on the 
                deep ball a few times this season, but it probably won't happen 
                with enough regularity or predictability for fantasy owners. If 
                owners must own a member of this passing game, eye Manning as 
                a mid-range QB2 or Smith as a low-end WR3. 
 
                 
                  | 
                       
                        | Philadelphia Eagles |    
                  |  | Totals | CAR | NO | KC | bye | TB | OAK | WAS | NYG | DAL | SD | CHI | WAS | ATL | NYG | SF | DEN |   
                  | (Run) |  | 4.4 | 4.1 | 4.9 |  | 4.2 | 4.9 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 4 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 4.6 | 3.8 | 4 | 5 |   
                  | (Pass) |  | 6.3 | 6.7 | 7.5 |  | 7.4 | 6.9 | 6 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 6.6 | 6.8 | 6 | 7.1 | 6.6 | 7 | 6.8 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | D McNabb | 3655 | 230 | 280 | 215 |  | 240 | 190 | 215 | 210 | 260 | 270 | 260 | 195 | 235 | 295 | 270 | 290 |   
                  | TD | 24 | 2 | 3 | 2 |  | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |   
                  | INT | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 |  | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |   
                  | Ru Yards | 115 | 15 | 0 | 0 |  | 10 | 0 | 15 | 20 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 0 |   
                  | Ru TD | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | B Westbrook | 840 | 45 | 40 | 80 |  | 65 | 105 | 35 | 45 | 60 | 75 | 0 | 75 | 0 | 25 | 75 | 115 |   
                  | Ru TD | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |   
                  | Re Yards | 420 | 30 | 40 | 10 |  | 35 | 20 | 55 | 25 | 35 | 25 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 60 | 35 | 45 |   
                  | Re TD | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |   
                  | Rec | 49 | 5 | 4 | 2 |  | 4 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | L McCoy | 730 | 65 | 55 | 60 |  | 30 | 45 | 55 | 30 | 35 | 15 | 80 | 30 | 110 | 40 | 35 | 45 |   
                  | Ru TD | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Re Yards | 220 | 15 | 20 | 5 |  | 15 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 35 | 20 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 10 |   
                  | Re TD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 33 | 2 | 2 | 1 |  | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | D Jackson | 1065 | 50 | 80 | 100 |  | 55 | 20 | 35 | 70 | 90 | 60 | 80 | 60 | 115 | 75 | 120 | 55 |   
                  | Re TD | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 76 | 4 | 6 | 6 |  | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 4 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | K Curtis | 670 | 60 | 25 | 35 |  | 40 | 35 | 35 | 25 | 40 | 80 | 35 | 50 | 65 | 30 | 45 | 70 |   
                  | Re TD | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |  | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |   
                  | Rec | 50 | 3 | 2 | 3 |  | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | J Avant | 415 | 35 | 55 | 25 |  | 45 | 50 | 10 | 25 | 0 | 45 | 15 | 10 | 0 | 40 | 25 | 35 |   
                  | Re TD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 35 | 3 | 4 | 2 |  | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | J Maclin | 450 | 10 | 35 | 25 |  | 10 | 30 | 40 | 10 | 60 | 20 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 55 | 35 | 50 |   
                  | Re TD | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 40 | 1 | 3 | 2 |  | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | B Celek | 415 | 30 | 25 | 15 |  | 40 | 15 | 30 | 50 | 20 | 35 | 60 | 25 | 15 | 25 | 5 | 25 |   
                  | Re TD | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |   
                  | Rec | 43 | 3 | 2 | 1 |  | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |  |  For any fantasy owner that doesn't mind securing WR and RB talent 
                in the first four rounds and waiting a bit for a QB, Donovan 
                McNabb should once again be a nice consolation prize. Not 
                only should he give his owners top-notch production for a medium-sized 
                draft choice price, but he and his WRs get a couple of pretty 
                nice matchups to wrap up the fantasy season when they host the 
                Niners and Broncos in Weeks 15-16. Unlike most cold-weather teams, 
                there's little reason to worry about the Eagles turning to the 
                running game in the snow as HC Andy Reid has proven time and time 
                again that his team will pass no matter how warm or cold it is 
                (54:46 pass-run split since 2004 with no fewer than 544 pass attempts 
                in any season). So while McNabb has turned into more of a pocket 
                passer over the years, he has evolved into a much better QB. After 
                turning in his first full season in four years in 2008, missed 
                games should be less of a concern, but it is clear from his 5.12 
                ADP that his potential owners aren't quite convinced. However, 
                consider that with an aging pair of tackles last season, McNabb 
                was sacked just 23 times last season. Thus, assuming new LT Jason 
                Peters returns to elite status and proves last season's disturbing 
                play (was charged with allowing more sacks than any other lineman 
                in 2008) had more to do with his contract situation than anything 
                else AND new RT Shawn Andrews can carry over his play from the 
                inside (RG) to the outside, McNabb's chances of getting hurt should 
                be slim. From Weeks 7-14, Philly will meet all the red matchups 
                and considering the Eagles' passing game numbers in difficult 
                matchups last season, McNabb and DeSean 
                Jackson should be solid plays just about every week. I don't 
                expect otherworldly numbers from rookie Jeremy 
                Maclin, but he could easily move into fantasy WR3 territory 
                should someone like Kevin 
                Curtis miss an extended amount of time. Otherwise, it would 
                not come as any surprise to me if Brent 
                Celek emerged as a weekly play at some point this season. 
                His performance in the playoffs spoke not only to his ability 
                to produce, but also to the trust McNabb has in him. I have him 
                pegged for a season similar to L.J. 
                Smith in 2006 (50-611-5) and believe his current ADP of 13.08 
                is about three rounds too low. The running schedule looks very similar to the passing games' 
                slate. Unlike the passing game, the running game won't be as matchup-proof 
                as Brian Westbrook has made it in recent years. There was already 
                a plan in place to reduce the veteran's workload, however, the 
                team added rookie LeSean McCoy in the draft. It’s a good 
                thing, because offseason ankle surgery has turned Westbrook into 
                even more of an injury risk than he usually is – he has 
                yet to play a full 16-game season in his career. When healthy, 
                Westbrook is a PPR dynamo who seems to produce at least 100 total 
                yards/game regardless of the opponent (in 99 career games, he's 
                actually averaged 94 yards/game from scrimmage). With Westbrook 
                turning 30 before the start of the season and considering his 
                propensity for injury, Westbrook should not be counted on for 
                more than 12 games, making McCoy an interesting option for any 
                owner, not just Westbrook owners. The one benefit of this development 
                is that Westbrook comes as cheap as he has in years, meaning it 
                isn't out of the question to use him as a RB2 in 12 teams - an 
                exciting proposition for those owners who like to go RB-RB with 
                their first two picks. Whichever back is in the Eagles backfield 
                this season, expect him to produce against a schedule that features 
                some of the league's weaker defenses of the AFC West and NFC South.
 
                 
                  | 
                       
                        | Washington Redskins |    
                  |  | Totals | NYG | STL | DET | TB | CAR | KC | PHI | bye | ATL | DEN | DAL | PHI | NO | OAK | NYG | DAL |   
                  | (Run) |  | 3.8 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 4.9 | 4 |  | 4.6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4.1 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 4 |   
                  | (Pass) |  | 6.6 | 7.6 | 7.9 | 7.4 | 6.3 | 7.5 | 6.4 |  | 7.1 | 6.8 | 6.1 | 6.4 | 6.7 | 6.9 | 6.6 | 6.1 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | J Campbell | 3240 | 235 | 230 | 215 | 240 | 165 | 220 | 170 |  | 280 | 220 | 215 | 175 | 225 | 210 | 195 | 245 |   
                  | TD | 19 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |  | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |   
                  | INT | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |  | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | C Portis | 1245 | 70 | 120 | 105 | 80 | 90 | 110 | 110 |  | 75 | 90 | 100 | 30 | 60 | 85 | 55 | 65 |   
                  | Ru TD | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |  | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |   
                  | Re Yards | 160 | 10 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 20 |  | 10 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 15 | 15 |   
                  | Re TD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |  | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | L Betts | 480 | 25 | 35 | 15 | 35 | 20 | 55 | 15 |  | 40 | 65 | 20 | 40 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 45 |   
                  | Ru TD | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Re Yards | 90 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 0 |  | 10 | 5 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 10 |   
                  | Re TD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |  | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | S Moss | 790 | 55 | 40 | 110 | 65 | 35 | 75 | 45 |  | 80 | 25 | 65 | 15 | 35 | 10 | 55 | 80 |   
                  | Re TD | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |  | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |   
                  | Rec | 67 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 4 |  | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 5 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | A Randle El | 325 | 30 | 20 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 40 | 15 |  | 25 | 20 | 0 | 30 | 30 | 40 | 25 | 20 |   
                  | Re TD | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 31 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 |  | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | D Thomas | 685 | 45 | 60 | 30 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 50 |  | 65 | 40 | 35 | 45 | 70 | 35 | 50 | 50 |   
                  | Re TD | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |  | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |   
                  | Rec | 52 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 |  | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | M Kelly | 220 | 10 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 25 | 5 |  | 15 | 25 | 0 | 20 | 20 | 50 | 15 | 0 |   
                  | Re TD | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |  | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | C Cooley | 820 | 70 | 55 | 40 | 85 | 55 | 40 | 25 |  | 70 | 85 | 70 | 35 | 35 | 65 | 30 | 60 |   
                  | Re TD | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 72 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 |  | 5 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | F Davis | 150 | 10 | 15 | 20 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 10 |  | 5 | 15 | 25 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 10 |   
                  | Re TD | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 18 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 |  | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |  |  One of the many reasons I believe the PSA is such a strong tool 
                is that I can easily see what players I want to begin my season 
                with...and what players I want to end my season with. One glance 
                at the Redskins' fantasy schedule should quickly reveal that I 
                feel Washington players fall under the former category. With an 
                ADP of 2.10, Clinton Portis is going later than he has in some 
                time. As much as I would like to believe that his stock has fallen 
                because owners have taken a look at Weeks 15-16, I tend to believe 
                his ADP is a reflection of the second-half fade that affected 
                the entire team in 2008. (Just how bad was it? Portis averaged 
                five yds/carry through the first half but managed just 3.5 YPC 
                in the second half of the season.) While it is easy to suggest 
                that Portis simply tired and "must be wearing down", 
                the more rational explanation for the soon-to-be 28-year-old's 
                late-season demise was that the weaker run defenses of the Saints, 
                Rams, Browns and Lions during the first eight games were replaced 
                with the Steelers, Ravens, Cowboys, Bengals and Eagles in the 
                second set of eight contests. (Look at the schedule people!) As 
                my loyal readers already know (or have already figured out), I'd 
                much rather have my RB's second-half schedule all white or green. 
                Of the teams that appear on the Redskins' schedule after their 
                Week 8 bye, only Denver and Oakland stand out as opponents who 
                Portis should be able to handle with some degree of ease. Atlanta 
                is also a possibility to join the Broncos and Raiders, but the 
                point to be made is that after Week 10 vs. Denver, expect the 
                running game to struggle. To what degree the running game will 
                struggle will depend on just how much HC Jim Zorn allows Jason 
                Campbell to open up the passing game in the contests that Portis 
                and Ladell Betts can't do it on their own. The story for Campbell and his crew is much the same as it is 
                for the running game, but with a bit more of gloom-and-doom. Santana 
                Moss' play tends to wane in the second half and he isn't getting 
                any younger. The Redskins have yet to find an effective complement 
                to him, making things all the more difficult for Moss to pace 
                himself. Worse yet, Chris 
                Cooley managed just one TD on 83 catches in 2008. And just 
                as I mentioned above for the running game, the final six weeks 
                of the fantasy schedule will not give this team much of a break. 
                In that time, Washington will face Dallas twice and the Giants 
                and Eagles once. And it doesn't stop there, even in the inconspicuous 
                matchups vs. the Saints and Raiders; Moss will likely be facing 
                CB Nnamdi Asomugha one week and stud rookie CB Malcolm Jenkins 
                or maybe emerging second-year CB Tracy Porter in the other. In 
                short, don't expect Moss to guide your fantasy team to a title. 
                On the positive side, Devin 
                Thomas looks like he is ready to emerge from the pack and 
                be the big physical WR that every West Coast offense needs. One 
                also has to figure that Cooley will find himself in the end zone 
                a few more times this season since he scored at least six times 
                in each of his four previous seasons. Considering Cooley has led 
                the team in receptions in each of the last three seasons, he's 
                about as solid of a bet as there is for a player with an ADP of 
                7.11. It is with the likely emergence of Thomas and steady hands 
                of Cooley that I feel pretty confident about Campbell thriving 
                in his second year under Zorn, carrying on his success that he 
                enjoyed through the first half of last season and becoming a strong 
                QB2 in 2009. 
 NFC North
 
                 
                  | 
                       
                        | Chicago Bears |    
                  |  | Totals | GB | PIT | SEA | DET | bye | ATL | CIN | CLE | ARI | SF | PHI | MIN | STL | GB | BAL | MIN |   
                  | (Run) |  | 4 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 4.7 |  | 4.6 | 4 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 4 | 4 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 4 | 3.8 | 3.8 |   
                  | (Pass) |  | 6.8 | 5.6 | 7 | 7.9 |  | 7.1 | 6.3 | 7.2 | 6.7 | 7 | 6.4 | 6.6 | 7.6 | 6.8 | 6.2 | 6.6 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | J Cutler | 3390 | 225 | 150 | 170 | 250 |  | 255 | 215 | 295 | 265 | 280 | 155 | 245 | 245 | 220 | 215 | 205 |   
                  | TD | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |  | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |   
                  | INT | 15 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |   
                  | Ru Yards | 145 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 10 |  | 15 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 10 |   
                  | Ru TD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | M Forte | 1190 | 75 | 55 | 80 | 105 |  | 85 | 75 | 60 | 80 | 90 | 120 | 65 | 85 | 70 | 60 | 85 |   
                  | Ru TD | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |   
                  | Re Yards | 345 | 25 | 5 | 20 | 15 |  | 40 | 30 | 20 | 55 | 15 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 25 |   
                  | Re TD | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 54 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |  | 5 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | K Jones | 450 | 30 | 20 | 30 | 50 |  | 30 | 15 | 25 | 40 | 20 | 45 | 25 | 30 | 25 | 30 | 35 |   
                  | Ru TD | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Re Yards | 80 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 5 |  | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 |   
                  | Re TD | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |  | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | D Hester | 850 | 45 | 25 | 35 | 80 |  | 75 | 45 | 100 | 75 | 50 | 45 | 70 | 60 | 45 | 70 | 30 |   
                  | Re TD | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |  | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 65 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |  | 6 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | E Bennett | 735 | 55 | 35 | 55 | 40 |  | 55 | 50 | 60 | 40 | 70 | 30 | 55 | 40 | 50 | 65 | 35 |   
                  | Re TD | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |   
                  | Rec | 58 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 |  | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | R Davis | 285 | 15 | 10 | 0 | 30 |  | 15 | 25 | 25 | 40 | 20 | 0 | 20 | 15 | 25 | 15 | 30 |   
                  | Re TD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 |  | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | G Olsen | 890 | 70 | 50 | 45 | 55 |  | 70 | 55 | 85 | 30 | 100 | 25 | 60 | 85 | 40 | 45 | 75 |   
                  | Re TD | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |   
                  | Rec | 74 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 |  | 8 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 6 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | D Clark | 205 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 25 |  | 0 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 10 | 25 | 20 | 10 | 35 | 0 | 10 |   
                  | Re TD | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 21 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |  |  While many people will keep tabs on the Kyle 
                Orton vs. Jay 
                Cutler battle week-by-week, I'm not sure I want either one 
                leading my fantasy team into the postseason. Since I covered Orton 
                last week, I'll just move on to Cutler, who has the distinct pleasure 
                of planning how to attack Packers DC Dom Capers' fire zones in 
                Week 14 at Soldier Field before heading off to Baltimore to try 
                to dissect the always-menacing Ravens defense. Last but not least, 
                the Bears will be forced to show up in Week 16 at home against 
                division rival Minnesota, which promises to be another chilly 
                affair. In the 13 weeks leading up to that stretch of games, Cutler 
                should enjoy a moderate amount of success as the schedule's only 
                speed bumps appear to be within the first three weeks of the season. 
                While I do believe that Arizona and Cincinnati may ultimately 
                prove to be difficult to throw against as well, I have identified 
                only three teams in the first 12 games of the season that stand 
                a good chance of holding Cutler down. The same goes for most of 
                the rest of the passing game. There is little doubt Devin 
                Hester could emerge as the first viable fantasy WR Chicago 
                has produced since Marty Booker, but I'm not going to give him 
                the benefit of doubt against the likes of Marcus Trufant, Asante 
                Samuel or the Steelers defense quite yet. The same can be said 
                for Earl Bennett. I will give some leeway to Greg 
                Olsen, however, who has enjoyed quite the offseason and is 
                rising quickly up fantasy cheat sheets. With Cutler under center 
                and the coaching staff looking for new ways to use their best 
                pass-catcher, Olsen may just push the likes of Antonio Gates, 
                Jason Witten and a host of others for the best at his position. 
                I can see the Steelers, Ravens and Seahawks (and maybe the Bengals) 
                keeping him somewhat in check, but there is no reason why Olsen 
                can't put up the numbers I have him projected for above. Grab 
                him about one round after the "big boys" at the TE position come 
                off the board and enjoy similar production. Considering how consistently productive Matt Forte was as a rookie 
                and adding in the fact that Chicago seriously upgraded the offense, 
                it would seem foolish to suggest that he may not be able to improve 
                much - if at all - in Year 2. Before going any further, let me 
                emphasize that I did not say he would disappoint. Because the 
                Bears improved the passing game and because backup RB Kevin Jones 
                is another year removed from ACL surgery, I merely think Forte 
                will come close to matching last year's numbers, but he will be 
                more efficient in doing so. I don't foresee Jones stealing a lot 
                of work from Forte, but barring injury, there's a pretty good 
                chance the ex-Lion will get more than the 36 touches he saw a 
                season ago. As for the schedule, I have a long-standing policy 
                to avoid RBs that face Pittsburgh, Baltimore or Minnesota in the 
                fantasy playoffs. The problem with applying that policy to Forte 
                is that he has already shown he can produce against the Vikings 
                of the world (due to his receiving talents), so I may bend my 
                rule just a bit for him if he were to somehow slip to me at the 
                end of Round 1. Prior to the nightmarish end to the fantasy schedule, 
                Forte should have ample opportunity to post some healthy stat 
                lines in four games vs. the NFC West and a few more against the 
                likes of Cleveland and Detroit. If owners are willing to handle 
                a potentially low-scoring end to the season by one of their cornerstones, 
                then I will fully endorse Forte because he certainly has the kind 
                of schedule to lead his fantasy teams into the postseason.
 
                 
                  | 
                       
                        | Detroit Lions |   
                  |  | Totals | NO | MIN | WAS | CHI | PIT | GB | bye | STL | SEA | MIN | CLE | GB | CIN | BAL | ARI | SF |   
                  | (Run) |  | 4.1 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 4 |  | 4.6 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4 | 4 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 4 |   
                  | (Pass) |  | 6.7 | 6.6 | 6 | 6.8 | 5.6 | 6.8 |  | 7.6 | 7 | 6.6 | 7.2 | 6.8 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 6.7 | 7 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | D Culpepper | 1210 | 230 | 230 | 195 | 245 | 160 | 150 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | TD | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | INT | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | M Stafford | 2070 |  |  |  |  | 30 | 130 |  | 230 | 195 | 200 | 245 | 210 | 220 | 180 | 175 | 255 |   
                  | TD | 11 |  |  |  |  | 0 | 2 |  | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |   
                  | INT | 11 |  |  |  |  | 0 | 2 |  | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | K Smith | 1130 | 85 | 115 | 65 | 60 | 35 | 80 |  | 125 | 70 | 65 | 85 | 55 | 70 | 45 | 110 | 65 |   
                  | Ru TD | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |  | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |   
                  | Re Yards | 315 | 30 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 10 | 20 |  | 10 | 25 | 45 | 10 | 30 | 20 | 25 | 0 | 35 |   
                  | Re TD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 48 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 |  | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | M Morris | 210 | 15 | 20 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 10 |  | 10 | 15 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 10 |   
                  | Ru TD | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Re Yards | 70 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 10 |  | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 0 |   
                  | Re TD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |  | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | C Johnson | 1415 | 80 | 125 | 100 | 95 | 70 | 110 |  | 130 | 45 | 85 | 115 | 90 | 110 | 65 | 80 | 115 |   
                  | Re TD | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |  | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |   
                  | Rec | 93 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 9 |  | 8 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 7 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | B Johnson | 535 | 30 | 25 | 30 | 15 | 40 | 55 |  | 35 | 50 | 30 | 40 | 25 | 35 | 40 | 50 | 35 |   
                  | Re TD | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 41 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |  | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | D Northcutt | 520 | 40 | 50 | 35 | 65 | 25 | 45 |  | 30 | 35 | 20 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 30 | 10 | 25 |   
                  | Re TD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 48 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 4 |  | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | B Pettigrew | 395 | 45 | 20 | 15 | 25 | 10 | 40 |  | 20 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 15 | 25 | 45 |   
                  | Re TD | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |   
                  | Rec | 39 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |  | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |  |  When considering the passing game, only two names should be considered 
                for fantasy purposes in typical 12-team leagues: WR Calvin 
                Johnson and rookie TE Brandon 
                Pettigrew. Typically, the presence of two such able-bodied 
                targets would mean a QB should also be thrown into the mix, but 
                Daunte Culpepper 
                almost seems resigned to the fact that No. 1 overall pick Matthew 
                Stafford will take over at some point during the season - 
                maybe even Week 1 - and so should fantasy owners. Conversely, 
                the QB competition would also seem to suggest that Johnson is 
                not likely to replicate his numbers from a season ago, but don't 
                forget that "Megatron" played no more than five straight games 
                with the same QB last year. Whether the ball was coming from Culpepper, 
                Jon Kitna 
                or Dan Orlovsky, 
                Johnson still consistently produced for his owners when opponents 
                knew he was the only threat, especially after the Roy Williams 
                trade. While Detroit is still very much a work in progress, Pettigrew 
                is one of several factors working in CJ's favor in 2009. With 
                Pettigrew's ability to convert third downs, it is no longer a 
                given for the defense that the ball will be going in Johnson's 
                direction. Combine that with an OC in Scott Linehan who has emphasized 
                the importance of a strong power-running game wherever he has 
                ran an offense. With teams now needing to respect the run on every 
                down, Johnson will get his opportunities and it wouldn't be surprising 
                to me if he bested his totals from last year, even with the uncertainty 
                at QB, which just speaks to how much of a talent he is. It also 
                wouldn't be all that surprising if Megatron ascended into Randy 
                Moss territory in the next year or two because with his out-of-this-world 
                athletic ability and 6-5, 235-pound build; there just aren't too 
                many defensive players who can stop him, even with safety help. 
                A quick glance at the schedule reveals that while Culpepper, Stafford 
                and most of the receiving corps has only one matchup I like, CJ 
                has four. Furthermore, if owners can take a tough Week 14 contest 
                in Baltimore, Johnson should perform like the stud he is before 
                and after a difficult three-week stretch early in the season. 
                He is such a talent, in fact, that I am tempted to suggest that 
                of the four red matchups I have him down for, only Pittsburgh 
                may hold him down. A home game in Week 15 vs. Arizona followed 
                by a road contest in San Fran to close out the fantasy season 
                also means that cold weather should not factor into the play-calling. As luck would have it, Detroit's running game should benefit 
                from an early game vs. Minnesota – when is the last time anyone 
                could say that? Obviously, I suggest this only because I expect 
                the "Williams Wall" to eventually lose their legal battle in the 
                StarCaps case and sit out the first four games. If the suspensions 
                are ultimately invoked, it would be a relief to the present and 
                future owners of Kevin 
                Smith, who will need to survive an early onslaught of formidable 
                run defenses (Redskins, Bears, Steelers) - and that's not including 
                the Saints and Packers, both of whom I expect to be much better 
                vs. the run than they were last season. Despite the rough early 
                going for Smith, Linehan has historically gotten a lot of production 
                out of his RBs and is not the type of play caller who will bail 
                on the run if it isn't working early. That philosophy should serve 
                Smith well after the bye, when the Lions face all the entire NFC 
                West and another questionable run defense in the Browns. In a 
                perfect world, Smith's price would be that of a RB3 but since 
                he is going in the late third round for the most part, owners 
                who count on him as a RB2 will probably need to wait to cash in 
                on his ability. Ideally, his owners can pair him up with another 
                runner later in the draft (Willie Parker perhaps?) whose schedule 
                is a bit lighter over the first six weeks of the season.
 
                 
                  | 
                       
                        | Green Bay Packers |    
                  |  | Totals | CHI | CIN | STL | MIN | bye | DET | CLE | MIN | TB | DAL | SF | DET | BAL | CHI | PIT | SEA |   
                  | (Run) |  | 3.8 | 4 | 4.6 | 3.8 |  | 4.7 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 4 | 4 | 4.7 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 4.2 |   
                  | (Pass) |  | 6.8 | 6.3 | 7.6 | 6.6 |  | 7.9 | 7.2 | 6.6 | 7.4 | 6.1 | 7 | 7.9 | 6.2 | 6.8 | 5.6 | 7 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | A Rodgers | 3610 | 250 | 235 | 280 | 195 |  | 265 | 260 | 225 | 275 | 285 | 220 | 300 | 175 | 180 | 240 | 225 |   
                  | TD | 23 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |  | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |   
                  | INT | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |  | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |   
                  | Ru Yards | 135 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 5 |  | 15 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 |   
                  | Ru TD | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | R Grant | 1220 | 90 | 80 | 70 | 105 |  | 105 | 60 | 85 | 110 | 70 | 60 | 90 | 65 | 85 | 45 | 100 |   
                  | Ru TD | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |  | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |   
                  | Re Yards | 135 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 10 |  | 5 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 25 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 5 |   
                  | Re TD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 24 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |  | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | B Jackson | 170 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 10 |  | 10 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 10 | 15 |   
                  | Ru TD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Re Yards | 250 | 15 | 10 | 20 | 15 |  | 30 | 10 | 15 | 20 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 25 | 25 | 20 |   
                  | Re TD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 39 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |  | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | D Wynn | 230 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 5 |  | 25 | 10 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 25 | 35 | 15 | 10 | 25 |   
                  | Ru TD | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |  | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Re Yards | 55 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |  | 10 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 |   
                  | Re TD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |  | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | G Jennings | 1190 | 90 | 65 | 110 | 75 |  | 60 | 125 | 90 | 75 | 85 | 110 | 80 | 45 | 70 | 60 | 50 |   
                  | Re TD | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |  | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 80 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 5 |  | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 4 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | D Driver | 865 | 55 | 60 | 75 | 40 |  | 50 | 35 | 65 | 45 | 70 | 55 | 105 | 55 | 40 | 40 | 75 |   
                  | Re TD | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |   
                  | Rec | 67 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 |  | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 7 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | J Jones | 455 | 30 | 35 | 45 | 10 |  | 50 | 25 | 10 | 60 | 35 | 25 | 0 | 20 | 30 | 45 | 35 |   
                  | Re TD | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |  | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 29 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |  | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | J Nelson | 425 | 25 | 40 | 15 | 30 |  | 25 | 35 | 15 | 45 | 55 | 0 | 40 | 15 | 10 | 50 | 25 |   
                  | Re TD | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 31 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 |  | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | J Finley | 235 | 30 | 15 | 10 | 15 |  | 35 | 15 | 20 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 10 |   
                  | Re TD | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 26 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |  | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |  |  Of the top 6-7 fantasy QBs, perhaps none of them have a more 
                difficult stretch to end the fantasy season than Aaron 
                Rodgers - which is sad when one considers that through the 
                first 12 weeks of the season, he has exactly one red matchup. 
                But even the most ardent Packer-backer would be hard-pressed to 
                convince me that Rodgers' fantasy stock will not take a hit during 
                Weeks 13-15 when Green Bay hosts Baltimore before hitting the 
                road to face Chicago and then Pittsburgh. In no way am I suggesting 
                that fantasy owners avoid Rodgers just because of this stretch, 
                but expecting him to match the numbers of Brees, Brady and Manning 
                in each of those weeks would be a tall order. Like most of the 
                top QBs, Rodgers has the weapons to overcome a difficult matchup 
                but, unlike most of his QB brethren, he also the legs to pick 
                up some fantasy points on the ground when no one is open. Much 
                like Rodgers, it's hard to endorse Greg 
                Jennings as a WR1 during that same three-week stretch, which 
                is a shame because the schedule suggests he should have a pretty 
                productive run after a Week 1 tilt vs. Chicago. Since the schedule 
                plays out the same for the rest of the receiving corps, allow 
                me to address the TE position, where it appears Green Bay is planning 
                on using Donald 
                Lee more as a blocker this season, thereby turning the receiving 
                chores over to Jermichael 
                Finley. I have him projected for a fairly tame 2009 (mostly 
                because of the four quality WRs listed above him), but there is 
                no denying his abilities as a receiver. When Rodgers and Jennings 
                are having trouble hooking up in Weeks 13-15, it wouldn't be all 
                that surprising to see him find Finley. As such, I fully endorse 
                a late-round selection (or early free agent pickup) of the second-year 
                TE. As luck would have it, the positive and negative matchups line 
                up pretty much the same for the running game as they do the passing 
                game. Ryan Grant should catch a break by avoiding the "Williams 
                Wall" in Minnesota for what should be the last week of the 
                duo's suspension, but since the former Golden Domer has performed 
                well in his three games vs. the Vikings with them in the lineup, 
                maybe it really won't make all that much of a difference. Just 
                like the Packers' passing game, Weeks 13-15 represent a difficult 
                three-game run for Grant's owners. Depending on Chicago’s 
                health in its defensive front at that point (a major concern in 
                recent years), the Bears may not be able to hold Grant down all 
                that much, but history suggests Baltimore and Pittsburgh probably 
                will. Unfortunately, Grant's problems don't end there. The injury-prone 
                DeShawn Wynn's stock is supposedly at an all-time high in the 
                organization and a healthy Wynn is a definite threat to Grant's 
                workload. Add in Brandon Jackson - who figures to receive most 
                of the third-down work - and very quickly Grant goes from a clear-cut 
                #1 RB on his team to a potential headache for his owners. As such, 
                I would probably avoid Grant until the fourth round in 12-team, 
                PPR leagues and the end of the third round in non-PPR leagues. 
                If I did select him, I would make sure to invest a late pick to 
                secure Wynn.
 
                 
                  | 
                       
                        | Minnesota Vikings |    
                  |  | Totals | CLE | DET | SF | GB | STL | BAL | PIT | GB | bye | DET | SEA | CHI | ARI | CIN | CAR | CHI |   
                  | (Run) |  | 4.3 | 4.7 | 4 | 4 | 4.6 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 4 |  | 4.7 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 4 | 4.4 | 3.8 |   
                  | (Pass) |  | 7.2 | 7.9 | 7 | 6.8 | 7.6 | 6.2 | 5.6 | 6.8 |  | 7.9 | 7 | 6.8 | 6.7 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.8 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | S Rosenfels | 3080 | 235 | 250 | 190 | 200 | 225 | 170 | 100 | 230 |  | 220 | 175 | 225 | 225 | 210 | 195 | 230 |   
                  | TD | 18 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |  | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |   
                  | INT | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |   
                  | Ru Yards | 100 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 5 |  | 10 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 |   
                  | Ru TD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | A Peterson | 1605 | 120 | 135 | 75 | 85 | 150 | 75 | 60 | 115 |  | 115 | 90 | 140 | 70 | 115 | 140 | 120 |   
                  | Ru TD | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |  | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |   
                  | Re Yards | 135 | 10 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 10 |  | 10 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 5 | 10 | 15 |   
                  | Re TD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 23 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 |  | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | C Taylor | 380 | 15 | 25 | 25 | 35 | 40 | 10 | 15 | 30 |  | 35 | 10 | 40 | 30 | 15 | 35 | 20 |   
                  | Ru TD | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |   
                  | Re Yards | 160 | 15 | 20 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 10 |  | 15 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 10 |   
                  | Re TD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 29 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |  | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | P Harvin | 230 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 20 | 35 | 10 | 5 | 0 |  | 50 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 25 | 10 | 15 |   
                  | Ru TD | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Re Yards | 675 | 40 | 60 | 65 | 30 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 45 |  | 50 | 60 | 35 | 40 | 85 | 35 | 40 |   
                  | Re TD | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |   
                  | Rec | 49 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |  | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | B Berrian | 965 | 85 | 70 | 45 | 85 | 90 | 25 | 40 | 90 |  | 90 | 50 | 85 | 45 | 35 | 20 | 110 |   
                  | Re TD | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |  | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |   
                  | Rec | 59 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 |  | 5 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | S Rice | 575 | 35 | 45 | 30 | 35 | 40 | 65 | 20 | 40 |  | 15 | 60 | 35 | 55 | 40 | 35 | 25 |   
                  | Re TD | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 45 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 |  | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | B Wade | 145 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 15 | 35 | 0 | 0 |  | 10 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 30 | 0 |   
                  | Re TD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |  | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |   
                  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                  | V Shiancoe | 425 | 35 | 40 | 25 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 0 | 35 |  | 30 | 0 | 40 | 55 | 20 | 45 | 30 |   
                  | Re TD | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   
                  | Rec | 42 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |  | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 |  |  Vikings OC Darrell Bevell and Adrian 
                Peterson have both set their eyes on "All Day" possibly eclipsing 
                2,000 rushing yards this season. While he has the talent, line, 
                defense and play-calling to get it done, don't count on it happening. 
                In fact, I think he'll be hard-pressed to reach 1,760 like he 
                did in 2008. First off, Pittsburgh and Baltimore appear on the 
                schedule. Although that doesn't spell certain doom for his prospects 
                of reaching 2K, if Peterson averaged 75 yards/game vs. the Steelers 
                and Ravens, he would be required to average 143 yards rushing/game 
                over the remaining 14 games if he hopes to break that threshold. 
                Up to this point in his two years in the league, he has enjoyed 
                five such games. Throw in the typical workload for backup Chester 
                Taylor and throw in a few additional touches for rookie Percy 
                Harvin - who I think will be an extension of the running game, 
                much like Reggie 
                Bush is for the Saints - will get and, all of the sudden, 
                Peterson may need to settle for 1,500. Don't get me wrong, if 
                Minnesota wants AP to shorten his career just so he can make a 
                run for Eric Dickerson's single-season rushing record, Peterson 
                may just hit 2,000. The problem is that he will need about 385 
                carries at his career YPC average of 5.2 to do it and it just 
                isn't worth it. What is easy to love, though, is just how great 
                of a start he could have against the likes of the Browns, Lions 
                and Rams in the first five weeks of the season. The next three 
                games will slow his pace, but after the Week 9 bye, four of the 
                next five contests are at home. He concludes the fantasy season 
                by facing a Panthers team without Kemoeatu in Week 15 and ends 
                it all against a team (Chicago) he has thoroughly dominated throughout 
                his career (averages of 138.5 rushing yards and two TDs in four 
                career meetings vs. the Bears). The passing game wasn't going to have it easy with Brett 
                Favre and it's not going to be easier with Sage 
                Rosenfels or Tavaris Jackson. By all accounts, the first 11 
                weeks don't contain too many roadblocks (outside of Pittsburgh 
                and Baltimore), but a case could be made that each of the final 
                five teams on the Vikings' fantasy schedule are ones to avoid. 
                Two games vs. Chicago and once each against Cincinnati (experience 
                and injuries should no longer be a concern for Leon Hall and Johnathan 
                Joseph), Arizona (the back four is perhaps the Cardinals' strongest 
                unit) and Carolina (new DC Ron Meeks will probably install the 
                same Cover 2 principles he taught in Indy, which typically deflates 
                passing numbers). Not that anyone was counting on the tag team 
                of Rosenfels and Jackson to lead them to fantasy glory, but that 
                stretch of defenses (plus Minnesota's run-based offense) when 
                owners need points and wins is enough reason for me to not consider 
                either QB as even a bench player on my fantasy team. Bernard 
                Berrian showed us last year that he didn't need the best QB 
                in the world to produce (Gus Frerotte/Jackson) or even all that 
                many catches (48; Berrian finished 18th amongst WRs in traditional, 
                non-PPR scoring; the next-closest WR with that few of catches 
                was Marques Colston in 32nd place) to be a productive fantasy 
                player. Because I expect the passing game to be a bit more efficient 
                this season, I believe Berrian should be in line for a few more 
                catches this season. With that said, I could easily see Harvin 
                being the most enticing fantasy WR on the Vikings roster in 2009. 
                Few receivers in the league will have such a wide array of options 
                in their offensive systems designed just to get the ball in their 
                hands. HC Brad Childress told the Minneapolis Star-Tribune the 
                following back in early August: "He's not just a guy that has 
                to be thrown to, or has to be split wide...From the I-back, to 
                the split-back, to the single-back, to the wing, to the mid-spot, 
                to all the way out and everywhere in between, I think we can do 
                some of those things with Percy." Childress went so far as to 
                invoke Brian Westbrook's name during the quote (a former pupil 
                of his), so about the only things that figure to keep Harvin from 
                serious consideration from Rookie of the Year honors in 2009 are 
                injury, overload (as in too much being put on his plate) or off-field 
                issues. For those fantasy owners that don't mind rolling the dice 
                on the unknown in regards to filling their WR3 slot, something 
                tells me Harvin is going to have every bit of the season I have 
                projected him for here and probably even more. Harvin's presence 
                will probably also take away a lot of the value Visanthe 
                Shiancoe accrued last season. He may post similar catch and 
                yardage totals, but I can't imagine that he will find the end 
                zone seven times again.
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