A Return To Concern
10/21/10
Aggressiveness is a characteristic that tends to reward fantasy
owners more times than not. In the NFL, an offensive line will sometimes
hold up long enough to give the quarterback enough time to beat
man coverage down the field and make the defense look foolish against
a fierce pass rush. More often than not, though, when a defense
brings the heat and forces the action, crisis management becomes
the name of the game for the opposing team.
In that same vein, I hope to apply that same kind of pressure
to the owners in all of my leagues by beating my opponents to
the punch in regards to personnel moves. Sometimes, reaching a
conclusion about a player too quickly is much like trying to blitz
Peyton Manning – dangerous and painful. However, coming
to a correct conclusion two weeks or two minutes quicker than
your opponents is considered foresight. Fantasy owners can be
a uneasy lot, knowing that one two-or-three-game losing streak
can wreak irreparable damage to his/her team’s chances to
make a visit to the fantasy postseason. But just as it is in the
NFL and in life, it’s hard to land the big prize by playing
scared. Thus, I will strive each week to help each of you become
a smart blitzer, so to speak.
As I struggled to come up with a theme for this week’s
column, it occurred to me that it never hurts to take a look back.
About this time last season, I wrote a piece titled “Midseason
Concern” in which I deliberated the concept of “fantasy
inadequacy”. (No, it is not anything that requires a therapist
or a prescription.) In short, “fantasy inadequacy”
is the feeling an owner gets when at least one roster shortcoming
is sabotaging the entire team or when the team is falling short
in the standings even if the team is among the top scorers in
the league.
Below is a slightly updated excerpt from that column:
One thing I have learned in all my years of
managing in the "real world" is that, in addition to
being detailed and organized, a person had better be prepared
each day to plug a hole. Sometimes, that "hole" is created
when an employee calls out, other times it is a self-inflicted
wound and yet other times it is the result of an oversight by
your boss. Still other times, the "hole" can be something
that your company needs, but because of limited funds, you have
to get a bit creative to get the job done. Just like any parent,
one emotion can reign supreme as a manager - worry.
It's about the mid-point of the fantasy season each year that
I get a bit concerned as a fantasy manager if/when at least one
of my teams isn't doing as well I think it should be doing. Quite
often, I realize there is at least one spot on my team that is
coming up short - a hole, if you will. And in highly competitive
leagues, it's only natural to have at least one shortcoming on
your team. If you focus your draft around building the best starting
lineup possible, your team often lacks quality depth from which
to trade from at the start of the season. If you subscribe to
selecting the best player available in just about every instance,
your team may be strong at a certain position but is almost entirely
reliant on your ability to swing a deal or hit on a waiver-wire
bargain, which can be difficult in many leagues due to inactive
owners or deep benches.
After reviewing last year’s column, I realized this
is a topic I probably need to revisit about this time every season.
Week 7 represents the halfway point for owners who start their
postseason in Week 14 and is just past the midway point for owners
who begin their playoffs one week earlier. Simple deduction (and
common sense) dictates that for every owner that is sitting at
6-0 or 5-1 right now, there are bound to be at least two or three
owners who are under .500 wondering how it seemingly fell apart
so fast. But owners must remember .500 is not necessarily a bad
thing at this point. In fact, leading the pack at the midway point
is only a good thing if you can maintain or increase that same
pace all season long and just means the margin for error in November
is a bit more than it is for other owners. It is my opinion that
your record says less about your team than points scored and the
consistency with which your team scores those points. Also remember
what I said a couple of weeks ago: injuries tend to reshuffle
the deck in fantasy. Since they occur frequently in the NFL, an
opportunity to improve dramatically comes around fairly often
and tends to even out the playing field.
The football season may be shorter than it is in other professional
sports, but for fantasy owners, the 16-game schedule is a four-month
marathon. Some teams sprint out of the gate but crawl to the finish
while others do just the opposite. Despite the fact most of my
money-league teams currently sit at .500 (and believe me, that
is far from what I expected), I’m happy that I don’t
have a single money-league team with a losing record at the moment,
considering how many of my opponents played my teams like it was
their personal Super Bowl over the first 2-3 weeks of the season.
Generally speaking, I feel pretty good about my chances in any
league in which I’m at .500 or better at midseason because
my preseason approach is built on a few important points: full-season
consistency, building quality depth, gaining as many “soft”
postseason matchups as possible and the belief that I will outmaneuver
my opponent when it matters the most.
Even though there is no set formula that guarantees a fantasy
title, my experience has been that the first half of the first
half of the season is about building depth (to survive injuries
and bye weeks) – particularly through the waiver wire –
while the second half is about emptying the bench intelligently
through trades and plugging in as many sure-fire starters into
my lineup as possible – a strategy we’ll revisit at
some point down the road. The waiver wire can offer several potential
assets over the course of the season, so collecting a few of those
means you have the ability to offer up a trade that helps another
owner plug two holes while you address your weakest link.
My point is simply this: the first half of the season is all
about positioning yourself for a strong second half. Just as you
would in business, don’t burn a bridge and leave every possible
trade discussion on a positive note because there is a fair chance
the two of you will be talking again at some point. And just as
importantly, always keep an eye on how your team is winning
or losing. For example, one of my teams has led the league in
scoring three of the last four weeks but my record for the season
is merely 3-3. This team is in good shape, although improvements
will be made. I already swapped Cedric Benson for Darren McFadden
in a PPR league (I have Michael Bush) last week and may be on
the verge of acquiring Arian Foster for Steven Jackson in a six-player
deal this week in which I may end up parting with Hines Ward as
well. My recent success could lead me to believe that my roster
is in good shape, but my gut tells me that Jackson and Benson
will not be guiding me to the fantasy title.
On the other hand, I have another 3-3 team that has won three
straight after dropping the first three games of the season. In
this league, I went 0-3 with Pierre Thomas in my lineup and 3-0
with Chris Ivory. I am uncharacteristically thin at RB in this
league, but feel like I am one good RB away from having a pretty
formidable team despite the rough start. I hope that player is
already on my roster (James Starks), but I also realize he is
a relative long-shot to take over the Packers’ backfield
anytime soon, so the search continues. And that’s another
lesson to be learned here – your work as a fantasy owner
doesn’t stop just because you may be four-deep at RB or
five-deep at WR. I recall one team some years ago that featured
five RBs who should have all been starting in this league on my
team at one time. One trade and two injuries later and I was in
the market for another RB, less than a month after believing I
was stocked at that position for the rest of the season.
With that said, let’s dive into the latest workload and
target update. For each position, I set the cutoff at five
targets or touches/game. While they are hardly foolproof limits,
once we get lower than those numbers, we are typically dealing
with players who should be readily available on your league’s
waiver wire or on the cheap from an owner holding onto that player
to fill out his/her roster.
Notable names that just missed the list:
Earnest Graham, Derrick Ward
Quick hits: The beauty of a conservative
offense for fantasy owners is that when a team has a featured
back, he is bound to get a lot of opportunities to touch the ball.
The ugliness that comes along with a conservative offense is that
sometimes the play calling is too unimaginative. In other words,
there is sticking to what the strength of your team is and/or
pounding the middle of the defense repeatedly in order to “soften”
them up later in the game. On the other hand, there is just needlessly
running your stud RB against a wall. Frank Gore is undoubtedly
one of the most physical running backs in the game today and should
have a number of inside runs called for him every game. But it
was difficult to watch Gore in Week 6 repeatedly run on an “inside
power” play that is a 49er favorite only to see a poor Raiders
defense stop it over and over again. It wasn’t until San
Francisco called the one outside run I can actually remember that
Gore broke off a 64-yard scamper that essentially sealed the game.
It was about that same time that it occurred to me that just about
every big run I’ve seen the Raiders surrender this year
has been a designed outside run. So allow me to offer this bit
of advice: please understand that inside running is a necessary
part of a successful, well-balanced offense, but failing to take
advantage of the speed and vision of your feature back by calling
outside runs (like a toss, off tackle or stretch play) defeats
the whole purpose of pounding your RB inside the tackles.
It could be mere coincidence, but the Ravens’ usage pattern
of Ray Rice follows a long pattern OC Cam Cameron has established
in recent years of breaking in his stud RB over the first quarter
of the season before completely setting him free. In essence,
Cameron seems to look at the first quarter of the season as an
opportunity to “ramp up” the workload and turn the
season into a 12-game schedule for his bellcow RB. As I noted
several times over the preseason and through September, Baltimore’s
schedule was heavily front-loaded and didn’t allow for much
production from Rice, but over the past two weeks, Rice’s
67 touches are 11 more than the next closest RB (Steven Jackson).
Furthermore, the 33.5 touches over the last two weeks dwarfs the
17.75 touches he was receiving during the first four weeks of
the season. Neither workload sounds right for Rice, but his current
average of 23 touches does. Willis McGahee won’t sit out
every week – there is some thought Baltimore was holding
out for a trade and wanted to make sure McGahee wasn’t injured
so they could swing a deal – but Rice should perform up
to preseason expectations for the rest of the season.
Jones-Drew: Twelve receptions through six
games is laughable.
Jones-Drew’s 19 touches were a farce in the ugly Monday Night
Football loss to the Titans. Heading into the fourth quarter,
MJD had a meager eight carries and two catches – most of which
came in the first 15 minutes. Once again, Jacksonville completely
forgot its offensive identity and the Week 6 debacle was just
the latest example of that. Much like the Niners and Gore, the
quality, timing and consistency of touches for a runner means
just as much, if not more, than the quantity. Again, like Gore,
it’s great to be stubborn about running inside with a physical
back, but it is not the best idea to have that be the entirety
of the running game. Big plays – which the Jags dearly need –
seem to happen much more often on the perimeter and with an all-purpose
battering ram like Jones-Drew, it is a mystery to me as to why
Jacksonville wouldn’t want him outside running over defensive
backs on a regular basis. Also, I’m not sure if it is MJD’s preference,
but I’ve also realized that MJD is rarely lined up 5-to-7 yards
behind the line of scrimmage, which is pretty much a tip-off to
the defense any run is going up the middle.
My advice is simple to the Jags’ staff: when teams are loading
up the box against Jones-Drew, it probably means they don’t have
a safety deep that can out-jump the ultra-athletic 6’6” TE Marcedes
Lewis for a throw down the field. And if Lewis ever draws enough
attention to command a double team, it just so happens the best
receiver on your team is also your running back, so the fact that
he has twelve receptions through six games is laughable. The main
difference between Jones-Drew and the other elite backs in the
league (Peterson, Johnson, Gore, Steven Jackson, etc) is that
the other backs are rarely ever forgotten in their offense. For
Jones-Drew, it happens 3-4 times every year. Offensive coordinators
get fired way too easily in the NFL, but the first hint that an
OC needs to go is when an offense cannot find a way to get its
best players the ball consistently in positions where they can
have success. Considering that OC Dirk Koetter was such an innovative
play-caller in college, it saddens me that Jacksonville shows
such little imagination with its offensive attack.
Unfortunately for Ahmad Bradshaw’s owners, Brandon Jacobs
appears to have found his willingness to run inside once again
(or he’s healthy for the first time in a couple of years).
After scoring three times in his first four games, Bradshaw has
been held without a TD in two straight games while Jacobs has
scored four times – all of which have come from six yards
out or less. HC Tom Coughlin never wanted to lean too much on
either RB, so he’s likely pleased with the production he
has received lately from both recently. As we know, just about
anything change can from week to week in the NFL, but with Jacobs
now running better than he has in about two years, it might be
a bit much to expect a score to go along with Bradshaw’s
otherwise stellar PPR totals going forward. I believe Bradshaw’s
20.7 touch average is probably pretty safe, but until Jacobs goes
down with an injury or experiences another emotional meltdown
like he did in Week 2 (the helmet toss into the stands), he’s
the RB of choice at the goal line.
I consider myself to be a pretty thorough fantasy owner, so I
must admit some level of disappointment in the lack of reports
coming out of Philadelphia this offseason about a much stronger
LeSean McCoy. Evidently, before Brian Westbrook left Philly, the
Eagles’ icon told his apprentice he needed to get stronger,
especially in his lower half. Now certainly the early-season loss
of Leonard Weaver helped free up some more playing time for McCoy,
but it is clear from the amount of arm tackles he is breaking
this year – as opposed to last year – that McCoy was
going to take command of this backfield before too long anyway.
While the 25.3 touches/game he has seen over the past three weeks
is probably too much of a workload, he’s a solid bet to
stay over 20 for the remainder of the year.
As of press time, it remains unclear if the Raiders are willing
to allow Darren
McFadden to fully test his injured hamstring this week, which
may allow Michael
Bush one more opportunity to show exactly why he should be
the lead back in Oakland. And it certainly helps this week’s opponent
(Denver) has been exploited to the tune of five rushing TDs over
the past two games. Bush could have made a strong case for the
feature-back role if he had followed up his 29-touch, 135-total-yard
performance in Week 5 with another such game against the Niners
last week, but alas, San Francisco’s run defense finally came
to life as the Raiders’ passing game gave them little reason to
back off Bush. I still believe Bush is the best candidate for
the feature back job in this offense – especially given McFadden’s
history of injuries – but I am compelled to call it as I see it,
not how I want to see it. Oakland loves what McFadden brings to
the passing game and OC Hue Jackson has seemingly favored a feature
back this year, saying as much a few weeks ago (admittedly the
timing of the Bush and McFadden injuries have contributed greatly
to that). So Bush owners need to prepare for a Bradshaw-Jacobs
kind of setup, at least until one of the backs get hurt again.
Then again, with the top two QBs currently hurt in Oakland and
Kyle Boller a candidate to draw the start in Week 7, there may
not be much production coming from anyone wearing a Raiders’ uniform
in the near future.
So far, so good after one week into Miami’s re-commitment
to running the ball. Ronnie Brown saw a season-high 20 touches
while Ricky Williams logged 14 – his second-best total in
2010. Oddly enough, Brown’s 10 catches are just four shy
of his catch total from last year while Williams has seen his
involvement in that area drop precipitously (five catches through
five games after hauling in 35 in 2009). With the “Wildcat”
becoming less of an offensive emphasis in Miami, the need for
the Dolphins to use Brown as the QB – especially near the
goal line – and Williams on the “jet sweep”
has cut both players’ scoring potential rather quickly.
The result has been two total TDs from the duo through five games
this year as opposed to the nine they scored at the same time
last season.
By my count, there have been 89 instances of a RB going over
20 touches through six weeks, an average just shy of 15 per week.
Only Chris Johnson and Frank Gore have done it each week. Rashard
Mendenhall fell one touch short in Week 3, Steven Jackson’s
groin pull in the same week kept him off the list and Peterson’s
19-touch Week 5 saw him just a bit short as well. Because I acknowledge
20 touches is a subjective figure, let’s call the five aforementioned
running backs the most trustworthy RBs in fantasy – at least
from a workload standpoint, if not a consistency one as well.
One last nugget: Donald Brown’s value soared on Wednesday.
Early reports out of Indy indicate that Joseph Addai could miss
substantial time after this week’s bye with potential nerve
damage in his left shoulder. Addai is under the impression that
it may take 4-5 weeks to regain strength in his shoulder, but
indicated there was “nothing torn or anything”. Brown
has been out of action since Week 3 with a hamstring injury, but
is reportedly on pace to make it back in time for Week 8. Because
neither Brown nor Mike Hart are nearly as good in pass protection
as Addai, the Colts may back off a bit from their pass-heavy ways
until Addai returns. Regardless, either scenario vaults Brown
into strong flex status immediately.
Notable names that just missed the list:
Kenny
Britt, Craig
Davis, Devery
Henderson, Kevin
Walter, Lance
Moore, Mario
Manningham, Anthony
Armstrong, James
Jones
Quick hits: Because no WR has been
targeted 10 times in every week, I’ll take this opportunity
to talk about the ones who have done it the most recently. Since
the bye weeks began three weeks ago, no one has been any better
in that department than Brandon Lloyd. (Brandon Lloyd?) His 14
targets/game over that time is 0.5 better than Terrell Owens and
one better than Andre Johnson and Reggie Wayne. Lloyd is the only
receiver to receive at least 10 targets in four straight games
– only Johnson and Santana Moss have current two-game streaks
with that many targets. For anyone who watched the Broncos-Jets
game this weekend, there is no reason to believe this is going
to stop anytime soon. Kyle Orton repeatedly forced back-shoulder
or jump-ball throws down the sideline in Lloyd’s direction
regardless of who was guarding him. For all the past and present
Demaryius Thomas owners out there, it has to be painful to see
the journeyman Lloyd get all the opportunities the rookie was
slated to receive had he not spent so much of the preseason sidelined.
Even though Austin Collie has been the best PPR receiver in fantasy
thus far, it’s a safe bet that Lloyd has been the most valuable
given that he went undrafted in all but the deepest of fantasy
leagues.
In one experts’ league I’m in, I used Santana
Moss’ Week 4 (one target) as an opportunity to move in on
a player I felt I could snag at a reasonable price. After giving
up Ricky Williams and Fred Jackson to get Moss along with Derrick
Ward (I have Arian Foster), I felt I accomplished my mission.
For a player that was typically drafted as a WR3 this summer,
it’s hard to argue with the consistency Moss has displayed. Fantasy
owners are thrilled with WR1s who can put up six catches a game,
so the fact he’s done that in all but one game from his draft
slot is special. About the only other thing his owners could ask
for is more opportunity inside the red zone. According to STATS,
Moss has not logged a single reception inside the 10 despite his
second-place standing in the NFC in receptions. Granted, Moss
has rarely ever been a great bet for top-notch TD production,
but on a team such as the Redskins, one would think OC Kyle Shanahan
would dial up a quick screen inside the 10 to his team’s best
receiver once every six games. Nevertheless, Moss owners should
continue to expect top-notch PPR production going forward.
It’s almost inconceivable in today’s pass-happy NFL that one
team could have three players among the top four in receptions
this late into the season. Yet, Reggie
Wayne’s first-place total of 45 is just one ahead of second-place
Austin
Collie. Then, sitting in a four-way tie for fourth is TE Dallas
Clark, who we will get to in a little while. The first reason
this can happen is when a team has a QB like Peyton Manning, who
is calling pass plays over 62% of the time and completing 67%
of his throws. What cannot be seen from the box score is the breakneck
pace at which the Colts run their offense, which should be Exhibit
A for owners and GMs when they consider who they bring in to coach
the team and run the offense. Certainly, there are very few Mannings
out there, but imagine how much better the lesser-talented QBs
of the league would fare if they weren’t being asked to learn
a different phonebook-sized playbook every 2-3 years. Yes, player
and coach turnover will happen with great regularity, but one
of several points I took away from the Colts-Redskins Sunday Night
Football game last weekend is how infrequently Indianapolis commits
an offensive penalty despite rarely ever communicating plays verbally.
(Most amazing to me is watching how the Colts’ linemen rarely
false start.) It is understandable how older veterans like Wayne
and Clark would be able to speak Manning’s unspoken language so
well, but for someone like Collie to always end up in the right
place less than halfway through his second season speaks volumes.
With that said, perhaps it is not all that shocking that Collie
is reportedly the only receiver that watches film with Manning
because it obviously carries over to the field (81% catch rate).
What were the chances that not one, but two receivers named Mike
Williams would be valuable fantasy properties in 2010? Strictly
from a common name standpoint, the odds probably weren’t
all that daunting as finding a “Mike” or a “Williams”
in the NFL isn’t all that hard. But considering we knew
one of the receivers named Mike Williams was an overweight, former
first-round bust in Detroit and the other one was a Tampa Bay
rookie with a checkered past, the fact that both players warrant
WR3 consideration in 12-team PPR leagues is rather remarkable.
The Bucs’ rookie has been targeted nine times in three of
his first five games, caught at least five passes in three contests
and scored three times. The Seahawks’ version appeared to
be losing his momentum after a stellar preseason, but Seattle
came out of its bye week with the idea that it was going to let
the 6-5 behemoth run with the job after trading away Deion Branch.
Fifteen targets, ten catches and 123 yards later, it might be
ready to get back on his bandwagon again. While he has obviously
added some explosion as a result of dropping weight, his best
fit is as the possession receiver in this offense while Deon Butler
and Golden Tate add the vertical element. While I feel the rookie
Williams will be a fairly consistent force going forward, I have
mixed feelings about the veteran. Perhaps Week 6 is a sign of
things to come since “Big Mike” stated this past week
was the healthiest he has been in some time. However, I would
still suggest “buyer beware” with him, although he
is certainly worth adding to your bench right away. Given his
size, he should be a red-zone monster. However, he figures to
see plenty of Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie (twice), Nnamdi Asomugha
and the Giants’ defense over the next four games. I’d
sit him this week against DRC, but if he performs well again,
he’s probably in good shape from here on out, although the
schedule offers up very few cupcakes for Seattle the rest of the
way in the passing game.
Speaking of the Branch trade, his return to New England was met
with so little optimism in fantasy that I was the only owner to
bid on him in three of my money leagues (and I wouldn’t
be surprised if he went unclaimed in more leagues than not last
week). Considering the owners in my 18-player, 12-team rosters
usually spend free agent money on any player that has an iota
of fantasy potential, that fact was pretty shocking to me. Despite
entering the fourth quarter with a mere two catches, Branch finished
with nine receptions, 98 yards and a score (and just missed out
on a second score). Amazingly, in one game with the Patriots after
four-plus injury-plagued seasons in Seattle, Tom Brady sought
Branch out 12 times – a number Randy Moss hasn’t eclipsed
since Week 10 of last season. While some fantasy owners will likely
use Week 6 as Branch’s new bar and maybe proclaim him and
Welker as Options 1A and 1B, the pecking order still figures to
be Welker, TE Aaron Hernandez and then Branch – with any
of the three a good bet to lead his team in a given receiving
category each week.
Revisiting the Jaguars’ offense for just a second, I’m
glad I’m not an owner of any player in their passing game
right now. But that doesn’t mean for a second that I am
pleased with the waste of receiving talent they have – unrealized
talent in any segment of society drives me crazy. Granted, Mike
Sims-Walker and Mike Thomas aren’t elite receivers by any
stretch, but they would thrive in several other offenses across
the league. Part of the problem is that David Garrard runs hot
and cold more than any other QB I’ve seen in recent memory.
Add to that a general unwillingness or inability to audible (Garrard
had his ability to audible out of play taken away around this
time last season) and Jacksonville has an offense that can really
look dreadful at times. To their credit, the Jags appear to have
a built-in quick screen to Thomas or Sims-Walker when the box
is loaded up to stop Jones-Drew, but it is anyone’s guess
why we didn’t see that quick hitter 10-15 times on Monday
night.
We’ll close the receiver portion out this week with the
possible return of Devin Aromashodu. To be honest, I’m not
really sure what to make sure of his five targets against Seattle
in Week 6, but it seems to me if the Bears are going to ask Jay
Cutler to pay the price for playing behind such a porous offensive
line, they should at least allow him to throw to his favorite
receiver. Just as he was in the preseason, Johnny Knox is safe
in his job and may end up being a cheaper version of Greg Jennings
in fantasy. But in the other spot opposite him, it’s getting
harder and harder to believe the Bears believe in Devin Hester
(the receiver) after four straight games with three or fewer catches
and no more than 26 yards in any contest. I’ve believed
all along that Aromashodu would make a substantial impact in fantasy
before the season comes to an end, but it is hard to justify a
roster spot on a player that was a healthy scratch in two of his
team’s six games. Either way, Greg Olsen has become a complete
non-factor of late and Earl Bennett isn’t exactly tearing
it up in the slot, so with the Bears talking about reducing Hester’s
role to keep him fresh for the return game, Aromashodu makes some
sense going forward. The fact that Matt Forte has been held to
30 rushing yards or less in four of six games lends even more
credibility to the idea that some receiver besides Knox is going
to step up.
Notable names that just missed the list:
Visanthe Shiancoe, Marcedes Lewis, Owen Daniels, Greg Olsen
Quick hits: I had a nice long write-up
for Dallas Clark done on Tuesday, but Wednesday’s news that
he is out indefinitely
may rob fantasy owners of a third top-shelf TE in two weeks. As
we already know, Jermichael Finley was lost for the season with
a knee injury. Antonio Gates has a toe injury which could easily
hamper him all season long and now Clark will be sidelined with
a hand and/or wrist injury, one which the Colts “are not
optimistic” about according to ESPN’s Adam Schefter.
There is even some speculation it may be season ending, although
it is just speculation at this point. It probably goes without
saying the Colts do not have any TE on their roster that fills
Clark’s shoes, so his owners will need to look outside Indy
to find their replacement for him. Clark’s production speaks
for itself, but he was one of only two TEs (Brandon Pettigrew
is the other) to have two 10-target games this season. With a
70% catch rate, Clark was almost a lock for six catches/game.
What a long-term injury to Clark does mean is that the fantasy
prospects of Austin Collie just got that much brighter.
When was the last time you could say Cleveland did something
right and New England may have erred in the same sentence? Perhaps
that is a bit of an exaggeration due to the emergence of rookie
TEs Aaron Hernandez and Rob Gronkowski, but Ben Watson has been
remarkably consistent - if not excellent - despite working with
three QBs in six weeks. In PPR leagues, he has scored in double
digits in four of his last five games, with his 9.5-point performance
in Week 5 the one outlier. No other TE in fantasy has scored at
least 9.5 points/game over the last five weeks! In New England,
the reason given for his diminishing contributions in the passing
game was his penchant for drops. In Cleveland, he's been credited
with two - half as many as the Jets' Dustin Keller and even one
fewer than his own backup, Evan Moore. Much like many of the other
surprises we've already discussed this week, there's no reason
this cannot continue given the lack of quality and experience
at receiver in Cleveland.
In case he is floating around your league's waiver wire, it may
be time to find a home on your roster for Owen Daniels. Chances
are he has been the bane of his owner's existence for a while
– too much of a "name" to drop but too little
production to play. You may remember that I felt Daniels would
emerge as a second-half force during the preseason, so long as
he didn't experience another setback with his knee. With his five-catch,
79-yard performance in Week 6, that prediction may just be coming
true. He's not going to approach last year's incredible pace in
any of the key fantasy categories, but he could emerge as a pretty
reasonable replacement for the former owners of Jermichael Finley
(and Clark too, if the speculation on his injury is correct).
Suggestions, comments, musings about the article or fantasy football
in general? e-mail me.
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