It’s been a couple weeks since the
fantasy playoffs ended for season-long leagues and I was bored
sitting in front of my computer with nothing to think or write
about except for the NFL draft which is still three months down
the road. (OK, I’m also thinking about the upcoming fantasy
baseball season, but that’s not until April as well).
So, here is a bit of information concerning Super Bowl LII.
Having the better quarterback in the Super Bowl does not automatically
mean winning the Super Bowl. (Note: I’m an avid Eagles fan,
so perhaps I’m simply searching for a reason to have hope).
With the “Final Four” quarterbacks consisting of one
GOAT (Tom Brady) and three large question marks (Blake Bortles,
Nick Foles and Case Keenum), it would seem that another New England
Patriots Super Bowl victory is inevitable.
In fact, the statistics indicate otherwise. Since 2000, the winning
Super Bowl team was the team whose quarterback had an inferior
touchdown-to-interception ratio. In those 17 Super Bowls, 11-of-17
quarterbacks with the better TD-INT numbers during the season,
lost the big game (see the box below).
Super Bowl QBs:
TD-INT Ratio
Year
Score
Winning QB
TD
INT
Losing QB
TD
INT
2016
NE 34 - ATL 28
Tom Brady
28
2
X
Matt Ryan
38
7
2015
DEN 24 - CAR 10
Peyton Manning
9
17
Cam Newton
35
10
X
2014
NE 28 - SEA 24
Tom Brady
33
9
X
Russell Wilson
20
7
2013
SEA 43 - DEN 8
Russell Wilson
26
9
Peyton Manning
55
10
X
2012
BAL 34 - SF 31
Joe Flacco
22
10
Colin Kaepernick
10
3
X
2011
NYG 21 - NE 17
Eli Manning
29
16
Tom Brady
39
12
X
2010
GB 31 - PIT 25
Aaron Rodgers
28
11
B. Roethlisberger
17
5
X
2009
NO 31 - IND 17
Drew Brees
34
11
X
Peyton Manning
33
16
2008
PIT 27 - AZ 23
B. Roethlisberger
17
15
Kurt Warner
30
14
X
2007
NYG 17 - NE 14
Eli Manning
23
20
Tom Brady
50
8
X
2006
IND 29 - CHI 17
Peyton Manning
31
9
X
Rex Grossman
23
20
2005
PIT 21 - SEA 10
B. Roethlisberger
17
9
Matt Hasselbeck
24
9
X
2004
NE 24 - PHI 21
Tom Brady
28
14
Donovan McNabb
31
8
X
2003
NE 32 - CAR 29
Tom Brady
23
12
X
Jake Delhomme
19
16
2002
TB 48 - OAK 21
Brad Johnson
22
6
X
Rich Gannon
26
10
2001
NE 20 - STL 17
Tom Brady
18
12
Kurt Warner
36
22
X
2000
BAL 34 - NYG 7
Trent Dilfer
12
11
Kerry Collins
22
13
X
Totals
6
11
Of the four quarterbacks left standing,
Blake Borltes holds the worst TD-to-INT ratio (1.6 - 1) .
Some notable losses from elite quarterbacks include; Peyton Manning’s
record-breaking season in 2013 when he threw for 55 touchdowns
and 5,477 yards, but lost to a young Russell Wilson. Or in 2007,
when Tom Brady led the Patriots to an undefeated regular season,
only to be upset by Eli Manning, who barely threw more touchdown
passes than interceptions.
Below are the statistics for 2017.
2017 Playoff QBs
Team
Quarterback
TD
INT
New England
Tom Brady
32
8
Minnesota
Case Keenum
22
7
Philadelphia
Nick Foles
5
2
Jacksonville
Blake Bortles
21
13
If this form holds true, perhaps Patriots fans might be wishing
that Carson Wentz (33 TD – 7 INT in 13 games) or Sam Bradford
(3 TD – 0 INT in two games) were healthy enough to start.
Steve Schwarz served as the fantasy sports editor of The Sports Network and is the 2014 FSWA Football Writer of the Year.