Since being reinstalled as the starter in Week 12, four games
ago, Trubisky has averaged 22.1 FPts/G, an increase over his 20.2-point
average over the first three games of the season. His completion
percentage is up 8.6 percentage points (59.3-to-67.9). And now
he faces a Jaguars’ pass defense that ranks 31st this season
yielding 26.6 FPts/G to opposing QBs and 28.2 points over the
past three games. Darnell Mooney has emerged as a threat opposite
underrated Allen Robinson and running back David Montgomery has
become a threat forcing linebackers to crowd the line of scrimmage.
The Bears’ offense has averaged 33 points per game since
Week 13.
It’s not a one-game fluke, Baker Mayfield has been a top-10
fantasy quarterback over the past five games, averaging 24.5 FPts/G.
He’s making fewer mistakes (10 TD passes-1 Interception).
In Week 16 he gets a shot at the Jets, who rank 30th against opposing
QBs this season, yielding 26.6 FPts/G. New York comes into this
one after winning its first game of the season and could easily
have a letdown.
Brady hasn’t been consistent this season, but a chance
to beat up on the 28th-ranked Lions is just the elixir to bring
out the best in the GOAT. He’s coming off a 390-yards performance
against an equally bad Falcons’ pass defense so this is
a chance to build momentum for the playoff run. The Tampa run
game will be without Ronald Jones (180-900-6) due to Covid-19
and a finger injury leaving only Leonard Fournette who is averaging
just 3.9 ypc. Brady should end up throwing more than 40 times
and when that happens he averages 27.5 FPts/G.
No fantasy owners wants to have his quarterback facing the Saints’
defense. They have been a top-10 defense all season and just held
Patrick Mahomes under 255 passing yards. Cousins is certainly
no Mahomes. The Vikings game plan will be to try and ride Dalvin
Cook, who has run for over 100 yards in four of the last five
games. Unfortunately, the Saints’ defense is strongest against
the run and Cousins will face a negative game script with a hard
pass rush forcing him into errors.
Whether it is Carr (groin) or Mariota has yet to be determined,
but neither quarterback is a play against the Dolphins strong
defense. For the season Miami is allowing 21.6 FPts/G, but over
the past five games that number drops significantly to 16.7 points,
which if fourth-best in the league. They have forced a league-leading
26 turnovers, including 16 interceptions. Other than Mahomes,
the Miami pass defense hasn’t allowed a 300-yard passer
since Week 8. There are better options.
Rivers has been a steady contributor of late with a high floor
having produced 19 points or more in six straight games. But the
Steelers are a tough nut to crack even with a number of key defenders
sidelined by injury. They have yielded just 17.2 FPts/G over the
past five contests which is below their season-long 19.1-point
average. That number is second only to the Rams. The Steelers
lead the league in interceptions and have at least one sack in
71 consecutive games. Avoid this defense.
