Fantasy Football Today - fantasy football rankings, cheatsheets, and information
A Fantasy Football Community!

 Log In  | Sign Up  |  Contact      

Will Fuller's fantasy value has taken a step back

By Steve Schwarz | 3/19/21 |

Will Fuller

Will Fuller - 2016-2020 in Houston

The history of Will Fuller is essentially, when he plays, he’s pretty good … but.

Unfortunately, Fuller has never played a full 16-game regular season. He’s never played 15 games in a season. In fact, only once in five seasons has he played more than 11 games and overall he’s managed just 53-of-80 games (66.3%). But in those 53 games, he’s managed a solid 12.54 fantasy points-per-game, while never being the No.1 receiver.

Over his first four seasons, Fuller lived off of the leftovers from DeAndre Hopkins. Which meant he never saw 100 targets in a season. In fact, he averaged just 6.14 targets-per-game. Last season, with “Nuk” in Arizona, Fuller’s game improved as a “1A” alongside Brandin Cooks. His targets went up only slightly (6.82), but his production skyrocketed to 17.2 FPts/G. That number put him in very good company … at No.8 among all wide receivers, just below A.J. Brown (17.4) and above DK Metcalf (17.1).

But of course his season ended around Thanksgiving. This time, not because of an injury, but due to a six-game PED suspension. He’ll also miss the first game of 2021 because of the violation.

Will Fuller in Miami

Fuller leaves the pass-friendly offense of Houston and budding superstar Deshaun Watson (382-of-544 for 4,823 yards and 33 TDs) for life near South Beach with an unknown quantity under center – Tua Tagovailoa. We think Tua has the makeup to be a very good quarterback, but the second-year starter still has a lot to prove. The lefty did produce a 6-3 record as a rookie, but it was primarily due to a great defense, not Tua’s performances. The Alabama product did throw for 300-yards twice, but was also pulled from two games due to lack of production. He should improve in the upcoming season given he came into 2020 after major hip surgery and no training camp or exhibition games due to the pandemic. Still, Tua will almost certainly not be “Watson-like” – at least not in Year 2.

Meanwhile, Fuller will once again have to share the spotlight with other pass-catchers, namely DeVante Parker and Mike Gesicki. Parker led the Dolphins in targets (103) and receptions (63). But he’s no Hopkins. On the other hand, the Dolphins’ tight end, Gesicki (53-703-6), is much more involved in the offense than either Jordan Akins or Darren Fells ever were in Houston.

Will Fuller for 2021

There are simply too many question which need to be answered before we can accurately predict how 2021 will go for Fuller. Will he stay healthy? Will Tagovailoa improve? Does Miami discover a running game either through the draft or free agency? My best guess in March is - no, yes and yes.

What we do know is Fuller (16.6 yards-per-catch last season) takes over as the Dolphins’ deep threat with Parker (12.6 ypc) in the medium-range, contested-catch role. This role could be a problem for Fuller’s fantasy value since Tagovailoa’s 6.3 yards-per-attempt last season was 30th in the league. So until we see more of the development from his young quarterback, I’m of the belief that Fuller’s fantasy totals will take a step back this season.