The Jets run defense is the worst in football … by a lot. They
allow 36.2 FPts/G to opposing RBs and that’s almost 20% more than
the team ranked No.31. Burkhead has apparently grabbed the lead
role from David Johnson and saw 18 rushing attempts last week
to 13 for Johnson. The team even released running back Phillip
Lindsay. If the oddsmakers are correct and the favored Texans
play with the lead, Burkhead could be viable simply based on usage.
Gibson hasn’t been very good over the last five games with
just one double-digit game, but he’s as healthy as he’s
been all season and he’s starting to get the touches needed
to produce for you. He’s seen 45 touches the past two games
and he’ll face a team in Seattle which has been very generous
to opposing backs allowing 30.5 FPts/G. This could be just his
third 20-point game of the season.
Andy Dalton has been named as the starter for the first time
since Week 2 and with the redhead under center, Montgomery is
sure to see a full workload. He averaged 20 touches in each of
the games Dalton started this season. Now recovered from his knee
sprain he faces a Lions team which allows 28.6 FPts/G and 11 double-digit
games to opposing RBs in 10 contests this season.
Despite what the Eagles did to New Orleans last Sunday, the Saints
are still the No. 1 defense to opposing RBs allowing just 16.8
FPts/G. And if you check out Kevin Scott’s Usage Rate fantasy
piece you will see the Bills’ backfield is now a three-way
split between Singletary (38% of snaps), Breida (32%) and Moss
(29%). None of the three is fantasy-worthy.
A major portion of Gaskin’s value comes from his receiving
work out of the backfield (41-209-4), but the Panther are the
best at defending that strategy. They have allowed a league-low
33 receptions for a league-low 214 yards and have yet to allow
a single touchdown reception. Take receiving away from Gaskin
and he’s just a mediocre back with a 3.5 ypc average.
Collins hasn’t gotten enough work to crack the 50-yard
mark in eight of nine games this season and against a WFT that
most teams love to throw against, he likely won’t do it
on Monday night either. Washington is No. 32 against the pass
and Russell Wilson & Co. will be getting healthy usage here
leaving Collins with scraps. Collins has seen exactly 10 rushing
attempts in each of the last three games.
