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The Shot Caller's Report - Wk 12 Quarterbacks

By Steve Schwarz | 11/23/23
Bye Weeks: N/A
QBs | RBs | WRs

Grab a Helmet

Dak Prescott

1) Dak Prescott vs. Washington

No one was thinking of sitting Prescott, as hot as he is (a league-leading 31.8 FPts/G over the last four games), but this matchup is the not-so-classic irresistible object versus the very movable force. The Commanders rank next-to-last in quarterback fantasy points allowed (25.3) and a league-worst 24 touchdown passes. Prescott should be the No.1 overall fantasy quarterback and those who start him should have a very Happy Thanksgiving.

2) Gardner Minshew vs. Tampa Bay

Now back to more obscure fantasy plays. For the 2023 season the Tampa Bay defense ranks No.4 against running backs and No. 30 against fantasy quarterbacks. Since Week 7 the Bucs rank 32nd against opposing QBs (just to clarify… that’s dead last). They are allowing two touchdown passes and 315.2 passing yards over that span. So, while it might be a tough day for Jonathan Taylor and the run game, Minshew and his receivers Michael Pittman Jr. and Josh Downs (if healthy) should have a banner afternoon.

3) Trevor Lawrence @ Houston

Lawrence had his best outing of the season last Sunday primarily due to two rushing touchdowns. While you can’t consistently expect that from your quarterback (unless he’s Jalen Hurts), the game with Houston should be a shootout between two young, talented quarterbacks (O/U 48.5). Calvin Ridley finally showed last week to go along with steady Christian Kirk to give Lawrence two very good targets.

Grab a Clipboard

1) Justin Herbert vs. Baltimore

The Baltimore Ravens have allowed just one quarterback to crack the 20-point mark this season (Joshua Dobbs). They lead the league with 44 sacks and “net yards per passing attempt” (4.2). They are one of three teams with more INTs than TD passes allowed. Meanwhile, Hebert’s pass-catching group looks like the walking wounded. Keenan Allen has shoulder issues, rookie Quentin Johnston has catching issues, Jaylen Guyton has a groin issue, Gerald Everett has a chest injury and Josh Palmer is on the IR. The team had to call up two practice players for Week 11. This is not a recipe for success for Herbert despite his two great outings in a row. He has trouble with very good defenses, producing less than 18 fantasy points against Kansas City and less than 10 against the Jets defense. Beware.

2) Russell Wilson vs. Cleveland

I shouldn’t have to tell you to stay away from Myles Garrett & Co., but I will. Stay away! They have yielded a league-low nine passing touchdowns and a league-low 1,665 passing yards to opposing quarterbacks. Sean Payton is keeping Wilson’s exposure low by running more and throwing short passes which keeps his production down. Also, he doesn’t target his best receiver, Courtland Sutton, often enough. Sutton has been targeted more than six times just once in the last seven games, despite great hands and 50-50 ability (see his touchdown grabs the last two games). Like most Browns games, this will be a low-scoring defensive battle.

3) Will Levis vs. Carolina

The excitement of his first start (238 yards and 4 TDs) has long since passed and he hasn’t cracked 20 fantasy points in any of his last three starts. They were all on the road, so going home might help, but the Panthers are stingy against opposing quarterbacks. They are No.3 against opposing fantasy QBs and No.31 against opposing fantasy running backs. Want to guess what the Titans will be doing this Sunday? Answer: feeding Derrick Henry and Tyjae Spears at the expense of Levis and the passing game.

Quarterbacks | Running Backs | Wide Receivers