Carolina has given up the most rushing yards and most rushing
touchdowns to opposing running backs and the most total points
overall (32.6 points per game). That means both the passing and
running games work against the Panthers. Tracy has been inconsistent
as a starter with big games against Cincinnati and Pittsburgh
and poor games versus Philadelphia and Washington. This will be
an “up” weekend.
Jones has been getting a consistent workload, but he’s
an RB2 when he doesn’t score and an RB1 when he gets into
the end zone. Jacksonville has allowed opposing RBs 12 touchdowns
in nine games, including four through the air where Jones is usually
a valuable asset with 26 receptions and 245 receiving yards. Saquon
Barkley just toasted the Jaguars for 199 combined yards and two
scores.
After a slow start, Swift has become a valuable fantasy option
averaging 20.9 FPts/G since Week 4. The Bears even “sold off”
a running back at the trade deadline, so they must be confident
in Swift and backup Roschon Johnson. This isn’t a Bill Belichick
Patriots defense anymore. They are middle-of-the-road against
the pass and ranked 27th against opposing RBs.
The Chiefs are No.1 against opposing backs and there is a big
gap between No.1 and No.2 (Chargers). They allow barely 50 yards
per game on the ground to running backs and just three touchdowns
(none through the air). Williams has really only had one good
game this season and you can’t expect him to turn it around
in this divisional battle. The last time he saw the Kansas City
defense he rushed for 52 yards, with no receptions and no scores.
Pollard has been a solid fantasy option this season (14.7 FPts/G),
particularly with Tyjae Spears sidelined (three weeks with a hamstring
issue, but could return this Sunday). However, Jim Harbaugh has
this Chargers side of the ball playing elite defense. They have
yielded just two touchdowns to backs all season and none since
Week 4. They have allowed the fewest points in the league (12.6
ppg) and the offense doesn’t put them in bad situations (just
four turnovers).
Dowdle is the best running back in a weak running back room and
can’t be started this weekend. The offense is likely to
be a disaster without Dak Prescott (hamstring) and possibly CeeDee
Lamb (shoulder). The Eagles run defense has allowed just two rushing
touchdowns all season and none in the last four games. Stay far
away.