The Lions’ run defense has been good this season and with the
prolific scoring of their offense, teams are forced to throw early
and often against Detroit. Romeo Doubs is still sidelined in concussion
protocol and Dontayvion Wicks hasn’t been the factor he was late
last season, so that leaves Reed and Watson to do the heavy lifting
on Thursday night. If the two don’t see 18-20 targets from Jordan
Love, the Packers won’t win the game.
Everyone loves playing the Jaguars defense, particularly wideouts.
The Jags have allowed 38.6 FPts/G to opposing wide receivers and
Calvin Ridley is the volume guy (87 targets) while Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
is the high-percentage touchdown guy (eight TDs in 20 receptions).
Give me the volume guy please.
Jakobi Meyers (14.1 FPts/G) is on fire over the last six games,
averaging 15.9 FPts/G over that span. Now he faces one of the
worst pass defenses in the league in the Bucs, who allow 36.8
FPts/G to opposing wideouts. They just allowed 23.9 fantasy points
to aging Adam Thielen.
This Jets-Dolphins game should not be a boon to wide receivers
on either side. The Jets defense, led by a good pass rush, rank
No.1 against opposing wideouts allowing just 26.5 FPts/G. They
have allowed a league-low seven touchdown receptions (tied with
the Dolphins and the Broncos). Waddle has produced two good fantasy
games this season and 10 single-digit games. This isn’t
the game for him to get “healthy.”
Wilson is still seeing decent volume (24 targets over the last
three games), but he’s not producing pre-Davante Adams numbers.
Wilson has averaged 8.0 FPts/G since Week 10, while Adams is averaging
13.3 FPts/G over the same span and seeing 33% more targets. Against
the second-ranked Dolphins defense, he shouldn’t be expected to
turn things around. The Jets should be featuring Breece Hall in
this game, not 41-year old Aaron Rodgers.
Samuel may be listed as No.1 on the depth chart, but Jauan Jennings
has been the featured receiver of late. And when Samuel isn’t
used in the running game (27 rushing attempts this season) his
value is mediocre at best. He’s averaged just 11.1 FPts/G
this season which ranks 45th best among wideouts. Name recognition
and remembering 2021 (21.1 FPts/G) keeps him in the lineup when
he probably should sit. The Bears rank No.3 against opposing wideouts
allowing just 27.8 FPts/G. After Jennings gets his, that doesn’t
leave much for Samuel or Ricky Pearsall.