Rhamondre Stevenson (toe) could be back at practice this week,
but whether he's active for Sunday shouldn't drastically
change TreVeyon Henderson's value. Henderson is averaging
30.2 FPts/G over his last two starts, including five touchdowns.
Cincinnati is, by more than five fantasy points, the worst defense
against opposing running backs, yielding 33.1 FPts/G to opposing
backs. Henderson should get 75% of that total or about 25 points.
The Bills are the second-worst run defense in the league allowing
27.6 FPts/G and a league-high 14 rushing touchdowns to opposing
running backs. Marks has been inconsistent, but has hit double
digits in four of his last seven games. He'll make it five
for eight Thursday night in front of a national audience.
We loved Alvin Kamara’s usage in his last game –
25 touches and 115 combined yards in a 17-7 win over Carolina.
The Falcons have not been very good at holding down running backs
yielding 26 FPts/G. Kamara is rested after a bye week and should
be productive with Tyler Shough under center (19-of-27 for 282
yards and two scores in Week 10).
The Lions are the top-ranked defense against opposing RBs, allowing
just 16.6 FPts/G. No running back has rushed for 85 yards again
them, with Saquon getting 83 in Week 11, the top rushing total.
Tracy had his best production of the season last game (17.9 fantasy
points), but he's only managed one touchdown all season.
Detroit is allowing just .5 rushing touchdown-per-game to running
backs and has not allowed a receiving touchdown to a back.
Brown started slowly this season, but has manages to put together
four consecutive double-digit games while averaging 18.9 fantasy
points over that span. However, the Patriots defense ranks second
in the league, allowing just 16.7 FPts/G. That total includes
just three total touchdowns. Only two backs have cracked 14 points
this season (De'Von Achane and Bijan Robinson). Brown isn't
on that level.
After averaging 8.6 FPts/G through Week 3, he’s improved
to 16.7 over the next seven games. The Browns are just a stingy
defense against the run and the pass. They rank No.3 against the
run (17.6 FPts/G). While Jeanty has scored three times through
the air this season, the Browns have allowed just one receiving
touchdown to backs. It could be a tough day for Jeanty on a short
week of rest, who managed just seven rushing yards on six attempts
against Dallas Monday night.
