NFL Game Preview: New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills - Week 16

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New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills - Week 16

Game Preview Fantasy \| Game Notes \| Results & Schedule \| Injury Report \| Stat Comparisons \| Weather \| Team vs. Team History

CAR PIT	3 27
Pre	Post

DAL ARI	26 27
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BAL CLE	20 10
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TEN KC	14 34
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SF STL	17 25
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NYJ CHI	34 38
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WAS JAC	20 17
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NE BUF	34 3
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DET MIA	34 27
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IND OAK	31 26
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SD CIN	20 34
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HOU DEN	23 24
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NYG GB	17 45
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SEA TB	15 38
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NO ATL	17 14
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MIN PHI	24 14
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Week:	1 \| 2 \| 3 \| 4 \| 5 \| 6 \| 7 \| 8 \| 9 \| 10 \| 11 \| 12 \| 13 \| 14 \| 15 \| 16 \| 17
Playoffs:	Wild-Card \| Divisional Playoffs \| Conference Championships \| Super Bowl

Final Score Prediction

Patriots 30, Bills 17

Fantasy Player Rankings and Projections by Mike Krueger

New England Patriots
Rank	Player	Projections
QB 2	Tom Brady	Pass: 290, 3 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 9	BenJarvus Green-Ellis	Rush: 90, 1 TD Rec: 1-10, 0
RB 34	Danny Woodhead	Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 4-30, 0
WR 18	Wes Welker	Rec: 6-70, 1 TD
WR 22	Deion Branch	Rec: 5-60, 1 TD
WR 79	Brandon Tate	Rec: 2-30, 0 TD
TE 10	Rob Gronkowski	Rec: 4-50, 1 TD
TE 19	Aaron Hernandez	Rec: 3-30, 0 TD
K 13	Shayne Graham	FG: 1/1 XP: 4/4
DEF 5	Defense / ST

View all Week 16 Rankings or Projections

Buffalo Bills
Rank	Player	Projections
QB 15	Ryan Fitzpatrick	Pass: 240, 2 TD Rush: 10, 0
RB 25	Fred Jackson	Rush: 70, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
RB 52	C.J. Spiller	Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
WR 3	Steve Johnson	Rec: 7-90, 1 TD
WR 41	David Nelson	Rec: 3-40, 1 TD
WR 58	Donald Jones	Rec: 3-40, 0 TD
TE 27	Jonathan Stupar	Rec: 2-20, 0 TD
K 23	Rian Lindell	FG: 1/1 XP: 2/2
DEF 30	Defense / ST

Game Notes

Patriots Aim for 7th straight win at Buffalo... NE averages NFL-best 31.9 points per game in '10... Club aims for 7th straight game w/ 30+ points... NE is 59-2 (.967) when scoring 30+ points under BILL BELICHICK... With 2 TDs vs. 0 INTs last week, QB Tom Brady posted 7th consecutive game with 2+ TD passes & 0 INTs & passed DON MEREDITH (1965-66) for longest such streak in NFL history. Is 16-1 (.942) as starter vs. Bills & has 36 TDs vs. 12 INTs & 102.8 passer rating... RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis (12) needs rush TD to become 3rd Patriot to reach 13 rush TDs in season... WR Wes Welker (7) needs 2 TD rec. to surpass career-high of 8 in '07. Rookie TE Aaron Hernandez posted 2 TD rec. for 2nd time this season last week. TE Rob Gronkowski (7) & Hernandez (6) are 1st pair of rookie TE teammates with at least 5 TD rec. in same season in NFL history... Rookie CB Devin McCourty (1st round, No. 27) is tied for AFC lead w/ 6 INTs (TROY POLAMALU)... CB Kyle Arrington had 1st INT-return TD last week.

Bills QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (23) needs 2 TD passes to join HOFer JIM KELLY & JOE FERGUSON as only Bills QBs to have at least 25 TD passes in season. Aims for 16th straight game w/ TD pass. Had 92.4 rating in last game vs. NE... RB Fred Jackson (811) needs 189 rush yards to reach 1,000 for 2nd consecutive season. Averages 5.1 yards per carry vs. Patriots at home (45 att., 231 yards)... WR Steve Johnson (10) needs 2 TD rec. to surpass BILL BROOKS (11 in '95) for most TD receptions in season in franchise history. Johnson (943) needs 57 receiving yards to record 1st career 1,000-yard season. Had 37-yard TD rec. in last game vs. NE. Rookie WR David Nelson (undrafted free agent) aims for 4th consecutive game w/ TD... LB Paul Posluszny leads team w/ 126 tackles in '10. Rookie LB Arthur Moats (6th round, No. 178) has 2.5 sacks in past 2... S George Wilson had 2nd INT of season last week.

Results and Schedule

New England Patriots
Week	Date	Opp	H/A	Score	Dif
1	2010-09-12	CIN	H	W 38-24	+14
2	2010-09-19	NYJ	A	L 14-28	-14
3	2010-09-26	BUF	H	W 38-30	+8
4	2010-10-04	MIA	A	W 41-14	+27
5		Bye
6	2010-10-17	BAL	H	W 23-20	+3
7	2010-10-24	SD	A	W 23-20	+3
8	2010-10-31	MIN	H	W 28-18	+10
9	2010-11-07	CLE	A	L 14-34	-20
10	2010-11-14	PIT	A	W 39-26	+13
11	2010-11-21	IND	H	W 31-28	+3
12	2010-11-25	DET	A	W 45-24	+21
13	2010-12-06	NYJ	H	W 45-3	+42
14	2010-12-12	CHI	A	W 36-7	+29
15	2010-12-19	GB	H	W 31-27	+4
16	2010-12-26	BUF	A	W 34-3	+31
17	2011-01-02	MIA	H

Buffalo Bills
Week	Date	Opp	H/A	Score	Dif
1	2010-09-12	MIA	H	L 10-15	-5
2	2010-09-19	GB	A	L 7-34	-27
3	2010-09-26	NE	A	L 30-38	-8
4	2010-10-03	NYJ	H	L 14-38	-24
5	2010-10-10	JAC	H	L 26-36	-10
6		Bye
7	2010-10-24	BAL	A	L 34-37	-3
8	2010-10-31	KC	A	L 10-13	-3
9	2010-11-07	CHI	H	L 19-22	-3
10	2010-11-14	DET	H	W 14-12	+2
11	2010-11-21	CIN	A	W 49-31	+18
12	2010-11-28	PIT	H	L 16-19	-3
13	2010-12-05	MIN	A	L 14-38	-24
14	2010-12-12	CLE	H	W 13-6	+7
15	2010-12-19	MIA	A	W 17-14	+3
16	2010-12-26	NE	H	L 3-34	-31
17	2011-01-02	NYJ	A

Injury Report

New England Patriots
Questionable	OLB Tully Banta-Cain (Groin) DE Ron Brace (Concussion) OLB Jermaine Cunningham (Calf) DE Brandon Deaderick (Shoulder) TE Aaron Hernandez (Hip) NT Myron Pryor (Back) SS James Sanders (Flu) DE Mike Wright (Concussion)
Probable	CB Kyle Arrington (Elbow) QB Tom Brady (Right Shoulder) WR Deion Branch (Knee) CB Devin McCourty (Rib)
Suspended	ILB Brandon Spikes (Perf. Enhancers, 2010 games 14-17)
IR	FS Josh Barrett (Shoulder) CB Leigh Bodden (Shoulder) RB Kevin Faulk (Right Knee ACL) K Stephen Gostkowski (Groin) OG Nick Kaczur (Back) FS Brandon McGowan (Chest) OG Stephen Neal (Shoulder) DE Darryl Richard (Foot) DE Ty Warren (Hip) CB Jonathan Wilhite (Hip)

Buffalo Bills
Questionable	OC Geoff Hangartner (Knee)
Probable	OT Demetrius Bell (Knee) OLB Chris Kelsay (Knee)
Full Practice	ILB Kawika Mitchell (Hamstring)
IR	OLB Danny Batten (Right Shoulder) MLB Andra Davis (Shoulder) WR Marcus Easley (Left Knee) DE Dwan Edwards (Hamstring) ILB Keith Ellison (Knee) WR Lee Evans (Ankle) OLB Shawne Merriman (Calf, Achilles) WR Roscoe Parrish (Wrist) OLB Reggie Torbor (Shoulder) OG Kraig Urbik (Knee)
Non-Football Related	TE Shawn Nelson (Illness)

Offense Stats Comparison

	NE Offense	BUF Offense	NFL Avg.	Adv.
Points for	37.8	15.3	22.8	NE
Rushing yards	112.3	112.5	118.3	BUF
Rushing yards per attempt	4.49	4.27	4.34	NE
Completion %	70.7%	57.1%	60.8%	NE
Passing yards	292.5	190.0	222.0	NE
Passing yards per completion	12.46	11.87	10.90	NE
Passing yards per attempt	8.81	6.77	6.63	NE
Interceptions	0.0	0.8	1.0	NE
Fumbles lost	0.0	0.8	0.6	NE
Sacks allowed	2.0	1.5	2.2	BUF
3rd down conversions	50.0%	34.2%	38.1%	NE
4th down conversions	66.7%	71.4%	53.7%	BUF
Time of possession	30:29	27:40	30:14	NE

Defense Stats Comparison

	NE Defense	BUF Defense	NFL Avg.	Adv.
Points against	21.0	19.0	22.8	BUF
Rushing yards	104.8	130.0	118.3	NE
Rushing yards per attempt	4.23	4.30	4.34	NE
Completion %	60.9%	63.0%	60.8%	NE
Passing yards	250.3	221.5	222.0	BUF
Passing yards per completion	10.37	9.79	10.90	BUF
Passing yards per attempt	6.32	6.16	6.63	BUF
INT return	2.0	1.3	1.0	NE
Fumble recoveries	0.3	0.8	0.6	BUF
Sacks	2.5	1.8	2.2	NE
3rd down conversions	50.6%	40.9%	38.1%	BUF
4th down conversions	57.1%	100.0%	53.7%	NE
Time of possession	29:31	32:32	30:14	NE

Special Teams Stats Comparison

	NE	BUF	NFL Avg.	Adv.
Yards per punt return	12.3	10.3	10.2	NE
Yards per kick return	19.5	17.5	21.9	NE
Yards allowed per punt return	8.3	10.1	10.2	NE
Yards allowed per kick return	23.1	20.1	21.9	BUF

Misc Stats Comparison

	NE	BUF	NFL Avg.	Adv.
Penalties	4.3	5.3	5.8	NE
Penalty yards	40.0	43.0	48.1	NE

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 10 to 15 of the 2010 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 10 to 15 with no adjustment.

Weather

Team vs. Team History

New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills
Season	Week	Date	Vis	Home	Score	Winner
2000	10	2000-11-05	BUF	NE	16-13	BUF
2000	16	2000-12-17	NE	BUF	13-10	NE
2001	9	2001-11-11	BUF	NE	11-21	NE
2001	14	2001-12-16	NE	BUF	12-9	NE
2002	9	2002-11-03	NE	BUF	38-7	NE
2002	14	2002-12-08	BUF	NE	17-27	NE
2003	1	2003-09-07	NE	BUF	0-31	BUF
2003	17	2003-12-27	BUF	NE	0-31	NE
2004	4	2004-10-03	NE	BUF	31-17	NE
2004	10	2004-11-14	BUF	NE	6-29	NE
2005	8	2005-10-30	BUF	NE	16-21	NE
2005	14	2005-12-11	NE	BUF	35-7	NE
2006	1	2006-09-10	BUF	NE	17-19	NE
2006	7	2006-10-22	NE	BUF	28-6	NE
2007	3	2007-09-23	BUF	NE	7-38	NE
2007	11	2007-11-18	NE	BUF	56-10	NE
2008	10	2008-11-09	BUF	NE	10-20	NE
2008	17	2008-12-28	NE	BUF	13-0	NE
2009	1	2009-09-14	BUF	NE	24-25	NE
2009	15	2009-12-20	NE	BUF	17-10	NE
2010	3	2010-09-26	BUF	NE	30-38	NE

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2009 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.

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