Final Score Prediction
Patriots 30, Texans 23
| Fantasy Player Rankings and Projections by Mike Krueger |
| Houston Texans |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 8 |
Matt Schaub |
Pass: 240, 1 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 2 |
Arian Foster |
Rush: 100, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| RB 12 |
Ben Tate  |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| WR 2 |
Andre Johnson |
Rec: 7-100, 1 TD |
| WR 20 |
Kevin Walter |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
| WR 23 |
DeVier Posey |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
| TE 5 |
Owen Daniels  |
Rec: 4-50, 0 TD |
| K 3 |
Shayne Graham |
FG: 3/3 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 7 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| New England Patriots |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 1 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 300, 3 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 7 |
Stevan Ridley |
Rush: 70, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| RB 10 |
Danny Woodhead |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| RB 16 |
Shane Vereen |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| WR 7 |
Wes Welker |
Rec: 8-90, 0 TD |
| WR 16 |
Brandon Lloyd |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| WR 24 |
Deion Branch |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
| TE 2 |
Rob Gronkowski |
Rec: 4-60, 1 TD |
| TE 3 |
Aaron Hernandez |
Rec: 4-50, 1 TD |
| K 1 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 3/3 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 3 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
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Game Notes
Teams meet for 1st time in postseason.
 Texans Have most wins in single season in franchise history (13)... Captured AFC South title for 2nd consecutive season... Club posted 6-2 road record in '12... Hou. seeks 1st road postseason win in franchise history... QB Matt Schaub registered 1st career postseason win last week. Schaub (4,008) reached 4,000 passing yards for 3rd time in career (4,770 in 2009; 4,370 in 2010). In 3 career regular season starts vs. Patriots, Schaub has passed for 833 yards with 5 TDs vs. 2 INTs & 91.5 passer rating... RB Arian Foster is 1st player in NFL history to rush for 100+ yards in each of 1st 3 postseason games. Foster averages 170 scrimmage yards per game in 3 career postseason games. Posted NFL-best 17 TDs (15 rush, 2 receiving) in '12. Has registered 8 games with 100+ rush yards this season & Texans are 8-0 in such games (incl. playoffs). Has totaled 3 rush TDs in 2 career regular-season games vs. NE... WR Andre Johnson averages 87.7 receiving yards per game in 3 career postseason games. Johnson (1,598) joined HOFer JERRY RICE (4) & MARVIN HARRISON (3) as only players in NFL history to register at least 3 seasons with 1,500 receiving yards. Has totaled 17 catches for 263 yards (15.5 avg.) with TD in 3 career postseason games. Had 8 catches for 95 yards in last game vs. Patriots... TE Owen Daniels had most receptions (9) in postseason game in franchise history last week. Daniels had career-best 6 TD receptions in '12... DE J.J. Watt has 4.5 sacks, 3 passes defensed & 29-yard INT-return TD in 3 career postseason games. Watt had NFL-best 20.5 sacks in 2012, tied for 6th-most since sacks became official stat in '82. Posted 16 passes defensed in '12, most among NFL DL. LB Brooks Reed has 4.5 sacks & FF in 3 career playoff games. LB Whitney Mercilus tied for 1st among AFC rookies with 6 sacks. Had sack in last meeting vs. NE... DE Antonio Smith has 3 sacks, 1 FF & 1 FR in 7 career postseason games... CB Johnathan Joseph has 2 INTs in 3 career postseason games with Texans... S Glover Quin posted team-high 84 tackles in '12... Club had AFC-best & franchise-record 8 players selected to 2013 Pro Bowl (T DUANE BROWN, RB Foster, WR Johnson, CB Joseph, C CHRIS MYERS, QB Schaub, G WADE SMITH, DE Watt).
 Patriots Club is 13-3 (.815) at home in postseason... Head coach BILL BELICHICK & QB Tom Brady (16) have most postseason wins by QB-head coach duo... Belichick (17) is tied with HOFer JOE GIBBS (17) for 3rd-most playoff wins all-time, trailing only HOFers TOM LANDRY (20) & DON SHULA (19)... Brady's 16 postseason wins are tied with HOFer JOE MONTANA for most playoffs wins by QB in NFL history. Brady (5,389) has 4th-most passing yards in NFL playoff history. Brady (38) needs 2 TD passes to join Montana (45) & BRETT FAVRE (44) as only QBs to reach 40 postseason TD passes all-time. Brady (499) has most career postseason completions all-time. Has 16-6 (.727) playoff record, 3rd-best postseason record as starting QB in NFL history (min. 15 starts). In 2 career regular-season games at home vs. Hou. Brady is 2-0 & has 6 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 118.8 passer rating... RB Stevan Ridley (1,263) is 5th player in franchise history to reach 1,200 rush yards in season... WR Wes Welker (53) needs 6 postseason receptions to surpass TROY BROWN (58) & Deion Branch (54) for most career postseason catches in club history. Branch (836) has most career postseason receiving yards in Patriots history. In past 2 vs. Hou., WR Brandon Lloyd is averaging 100 receiving yards per game... TE Rob Gronkowski has 21 receptions for 323 receiving yards with 3 TDs in 4 career postseason games. Gronkowski (11) is 1st TE in NFL history to post 10+ TD catches in 3 consecutive seasons. TE Aaron Hernandez had 8 catches for 58 yards with 2 TD receptions in last game vs. Hou... LB Jerod Mayo led club with 147 tackles in '12. LB Brandon Spikes has sack, INT, FF & FR in 4 career postseason games... DT Vince Wilfork has 2.5 sacks in past 3 playoff games... CB Devin McCourty had INT in last game against Texans... Club had 7 players selected to 2013 Pro Bowl (QB Brady, TE Gronkowski, G LOGAN MANKINS, LB Mayo, WR MATTHEW SLATER, WR Welker, DT Wilfork).
|
Results and Schedule
|
|
| New England Patriots |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2012-09-09 |
TEN |
A |
W 34-13 |
+21 |
| 2 |
2012-09-16 |
ARI |
H |
L 18-20 |
-2 |
| 3 |
2012-09-23 |
BAL |
A |
L 30-31 |
-1 |
| 4 |
2012-09-30 |
BUF |
A |
W 52-28 |
+24 |
| 5 |
2012-10-07 |
DEN |
H |
W 31-21 |
+10 |
| 6 |
2012-10-14 |
SEA |
A |
L 23-24 |
-1 |
| 7 |
2012-10-21 |
NYJ |
H |
W 29-26 |
+3 |
| 8 |
2012-10-28 |
STL |
A |
W 45-7 |
+38 |
| 9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 10 |
2012-11-11 |
BUF |
H |
W 37-31 |
+6 |
| 11 |
2012-11-18 |
IND |
H |
W 59-24 |
+35 |
| 12 |
2012-11-22 |
NYJ |
A |
W 49-19 |
+30 |
| 13 |
2012-12-02 |
MIA |
A |
W 23-16 |
+7 |
| 14 |
2012-12-10 |
HOU |
H |
W 42-14 |
+28 |
| 15 |
2012-12-16 |
SF |
H |
L 34-41 |
-7 |
| 16 |
2012-12-23 |
JAC |
A |
W 23-16 |
+7 |
| 17 |
2012-12-30 |
MIA |
H |
W 28-0 |
+28 |
| WC |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| DP |
2013-01-13 |
HOU |
H |
W 41-28 |
+13 |
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
HOU
Offense |
NE
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
20.8 |
31.8 |
22.3 |
NE |
| Rushing yards |
126.3 |
123.3 |
119.6 |
HOU |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.71 |
3.91 |
4.34 |
HOU |
| Completion % |
62.1% |
58.9% |
59.3% |
HOU |
| Passing yards |
229.8 |
283.5 |
223.1 |
NE |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.06 |
12.22 |
11.02 |
NE |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.25 |
7.20 |
6.53 |
NE |
| Interceptions |
0.5 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
HOU |
| Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
HOU |
| Sacks allowed |
2.8 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
NE |
| 3rd down conversions |
30.9% |
44.7% |
38.2% |
NE |
| 4th down conversions |
50.0% |
77.8% |
45.1% |
NE |
| Time of possession |
31:12 |
30:54 |
30:18 |
HOU |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
HOU
Defense |
NE
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
24.8 |
16.3 |
22.3 |
NE |
| Rushing yards |
112.3 |
103.3 |
119.6 |
NE |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.07 |
4.00 |
4.34 |
NE |
| Completion % |
51.1% |
58.0% |
59.3% |
HOU |
| Passing yards |
227.3 |
230.3 |
223.1 |
HOU |
| Passing yards per completion |
12.72 |
11.71 |
11.02 |
NE |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.50 |
6.79 |
6.53 |
HOU |
| INT return |
0.3 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
NE |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
- |
| Sacks |
2.5 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
HOU |
| 3rd down conversions |
44.2% |
30.4% |
38.2% |
NE |
| 4th down conversions |
0.0% |
33.3% |
45.1% |
HOU |
| Time of possession |
30:43 |
29:06 |
30:18 |
NE |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
HOU |
NE |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
9.2 |
9.1 |
10.0 |
HOU |
| Yards per kick return |
22.8 |
15.5 |
22.9 |
HOU |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
10.6 |
5.7 |
10.0 |
NE |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
29.3 |
21.0 |
22.9 |
NE |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
HOU |
NE |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
8.8 |
6.5 |
6.1 |
NE |
| Penalty yards |
67.0 |
48.3 |
50.7 |
NE |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 12 to 17 of the 2012 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 12 to 17 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2003 |
12 |
2003-11-23 |
NE |
HOU |
23-20 |
NE |
| 2006 |
15 |
2006-12-17 |
HOU |
NE |
7-40 |
NE |
| 2009 |
17 |
2010-01-03 |
NE |
HOU |
27-34 |
HOU |
| 2012 |
14 |
2012-12-10 |
HOU |
NE |
14-42 |
NE |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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