Final Score Prediction
Patriots 31, Colts 21
| Fantasy Player Rankings and Projections by Mike Krueger |
| Indianapolis Colts |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 8 |
Andrew Luck |
Pass: 300, 2 TD Rush: 20, 0 |
| RB 27 |
Vick Ballard |
Rush: 60, 0 TD Rec: 4-30, 0 |
| RB 29 |
Donald Brown  |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| WR 6 |
Reggie Wayne |
Rec: 7-100, 1 TD |
| WR 44 |
Donnie Avery |
Rec: 4-60, 0 TD |
| WR 55 |
T.Y. Hilton |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| TE 11 |
Dwayne Allen  |
Rec: 4-40, 1 TD |
| K 27 |
Adam Vinatieri |
FG: 0/0 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 26 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| New England Patriots |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 3 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 310, 3 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 9 |
Stevan Ridley |
Rush: 80, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| RB 45 |
Danny Woodhead |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| RB 53 |
Shane Vereen |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| WR 5 |
Wes Welker |
Rec: 9-100, 1 TD |
| WR 38 |
Brandon Lloyd |
Rec: 4-60, 0 TD |
| WR 77 |
Deion Branch |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
| TE 2 |
Rob Gronkowski |
Rec: 5-70, 1 TD |
| K 8 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 1/1 XP: 4/4 |
| DEF 13 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
Colts and Patriots meet for 10th consecutive season
 Colts Seek 5th consecutive win... QB Andrew Luck has 4 300-yard passing games, tied with PEYTON MANNING (1998) for most by rookie all-time. Has highest winning pct. (.667) through Week 10 by rookie QB who was No. 1 overall pick in SB era (min. 3 starts). Luck's 2,631 passing yards are most through 9 games among rookie QBs in NFL history. Leads AFC QBs in rush yards (159) & rush TDs (5)... RB Donald Brown had rush TD in last game vs. NE... WR Reggie Wayne (931) needs 69 receiving yards to reach 1,000 for 8th time. Wayne (12,639) needs 83 rec. yards to surpass HOFer ART MONK for 15th-most in NFL annals. In past 2, WR Donnie Avery has 9 catches for 173 yards (19.2 avg.), incl. 2 receptions of 40+ yards (48, 44)... LB Dwight Freeney has 10 career sacks vs. Jax. LB Robert Mathis has 6 sacks in 5 games in '12. LB Jerry Hughes has 3 sacks in past 3 road games... CB Darius Butler had 2 INTs, incl. 11-yard INT-return TD & FR last week. Was selected in 2nd round of '09 NFL Draft by Patriots & spent 2 seasons with NE (2009-10).
 Patriots Average NFL-best in points per game (33.2) & yards per game (430.3). Since 2000 (incl. postseason), Patriots are 7-2 at home vs. Colts... Incl. postseason, QB Tom Brady has 9-4 career record vs. Colts w/ 24 TDs & 96.4 rating. Has thrown TD pass in 41 consecutive games, 3rd-longest streak in NFL history. Brady (18) needs 2 TD passes to reach 20 for 10th time in career. In past 4 in Nov., Brady is 4-0 & has 10 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 114.4 rating... RB Stevan Ridley ranks 3rd in AFC with 814 rush yards. In past 2, Ridley is averaging 112.5 rush yards per game. RB Danny Woodhead had rush TD & TD catch last week. WR Wes Welker had 11 catches for 110 yards in last game vs. Ind. Has 6+ catches in 7 consecutive games... TE Rob Gronkowski has 5 TD catches in past 3. Had 2 TD rec. in last game vs. Colts... Rookie DE Chandler Jones leads AFC rookies with 6 sacks... DT Vince Wilfork had sack & FF last week... DB Tavon Wilson has 3 INTs, most among AFC rookies... DB Devin McCourty posted 3rd INT of season last week.
Results and Schedule
| Indianapolis Colts |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2012-09-09 |
CHI |
A |
L 21-41 |
-20 |
| 2 |
2012-09-16 |
MIN |
H |
W 23-20 |
+3 |
| 3 |
2012-09-23 |
JAC |
H |
L 17-22 |
-5 |
| 4 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 5 |
2012-10-07 |
GB |
H |
W 30-27 |
+3 |
| 6 |
2012-10-14 |
NYJ |
A |
L 9-35 |
-26 |
| 7 |
2012-10-21 |
CLE |
H |
W 17-13 |
+4 |
| 8 |
2012-10-28 |
TEN |
A |
W 19-13 |
+6 |
| 9 |
2012-11-04 |
MIA |
H |
W 23-20 |
+3 |
| 10 |
2012-11-08 |
JAC |
A |
W 27-10 |
+17 |
| 11 |
2012-11-18 |
NE |
A |
L 24-59 |
-35 |
| 12 |
2012-11-25 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
| 13 |
2012-12-02 |
DET |
A |
|
|
| 14 |
2012-12-09 |
TEN |
H |
|
|
| 15 |
2012-12-16 |
HOU |
A |
|
|
| 16 |
2012-12-23 |
KC |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2012-12-30 |
HOU |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
| New England Patriots |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2012-09-09 |
TEN |
A |
W 34-13 |
+21 |
| 2 |
2012-09-16 |
ARI |
H |
L 18-20 |
-2 |
| 3 |
2012-09-23 |
BAL |
A |
L 30-31 |
-1 |
| 4 |
2012-09-30 |
BUF |
A |
W 52-28 |
+24 |
| 5 |
2012-10-07 |
DEN |
H |
W 31-21 |
+10 |
| 6 |
2012-10-14 |
SEA |
A |
L 23-24 |
-1 |
| 7 |
2012-10-21 |
NYJ |
H |
W 29-26 |
+3 |
| 8 |
2012-10-28 |
STL |
A |
W 45-7 |
+38 |
| 9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 10 |
2012-11-11 |
BUF |
H |
W 37-31 |
+6 |
| 11 |
2012-11-18 |
IND |
H |
W 59-24 |
+35 |
| 12 |
2012-11-22 |
NYJ |
A |
|
|
| 13 |
2012-12-02 |
MIA |
A |
|
|
| 14 |
2012-12-10 |
HOU |
H |
|
|
| 15 |
2012-12-16 |
SF |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2012-12-23 |
JAC |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2012-12-30 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
IND
Offense |
NE
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
21.5 |
32.3 |
22.5 |
NE |
| Rushing yards |
125.5 |
133.3 |
117.0 |
NE |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
3.94 |
4.39 |
4.35 |
NE |
| Completion % |
59.6% |
63.8% |
61.9% |
NE |
| Passing yards |
277.3 |
267.0 |
233.2 |
IND |
| Passing yards per completion |
11.90 |
10.47 |
10.78 |
IND |
| Passing yards per attempt |
7.09 |
6.68 |
6.67 |
IND |
| Interceptions |
0.8 |
0.0 |
0.9 |
NE |
| Fumbles lost |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
NE |
| Sacks allowed |
2.8 |
1.0 |
2.2 |
NE |
| 3rd down conversions |
44.3% |
55.3% |
38.8% |
NE |
| 4th down conversions |
75.0% |
33.3% |
53.3% |
IND |
| Time of possession |
34:53 |
31:32 |
29:52 |
IND |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
IND
Defense |
NE
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
18.3 |
23.7 |
22.5 |
IND |
| Rushing yards |
98.0 |
99.3 |
117.0 |
IND |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.90 |
4.08 |
4.35 |
NE |
| Completion % |
62.8% |
68.1% |
61.9% |
IND |
| Passing yards |
246.8 |
299.7 |
233.2 |
IND |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.66 |
11.51 |
10.78 |
IND |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.70 |
7.84 |
6.67 |
IND |
| INT return |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
NE |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.0 |
1.7 |
0.7 |
NE |
| Sacks |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
- |
| 3rd down conversions |
37.1% |
47.5% |
38.8% |
IND |
| 4th down conversions |
40.0% |
50.0% |
53.3% |
IND |
| Time of possession |
26:19 |
30:19 |
29:52 |
IND |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
IND |
NE |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
8.3 |
10.0 |
8.3 |
NE |
| Yards per kick return |
17.9 |
23.4 |
23.3 |
NE |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
7.8 |
8.5 |
8.3 |
IND |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
25.8 |
20.2 |
23.3 |
NE |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
IND |
NE |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
6.8 |
6.3 |
6.3 |
NE |
| Penalty yards |
56.5 |
58.0 |
52.1 |
IND |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 5 to 10 of the 2012 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 5 to 10 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
6 |
2000-10-08 |
IND |
NE |
16-24 |
NE |
| 2000 |
8 |
2000-10-22 |
NE |
IND |
23-30 |
IND |
| 2001 |
3 |
2001-09-30 |
IND |
NE |
13-44 |
NE |
| 2001 |
6 |
2001-10-21 |
NE |
IND |
38-17 |
NE |
| 2003 |
13 |
2003-11-30 |
NE |
IND |
38-34 |
NE |
| 2004 |
1 |
2004-09-09 |
IND |
NE |
24-27 |
NE |
| 2004 |
DP |
2005-01-16 |
IND |
NE |
3-20 |
NE |
| 2005 |
9 |
2005-11-07 |
IND |
NE |
40-21 |
IND |
| 2006 |
9 |
2006-11-05 |
IND |
NE |
27-20 |
IND |
| 2006 |
CF |
2007-01-21 |
NE |
IND |
34-38 |
IND |
| 2007 |
9 |
2007-11-04 |
NE |
IND |
24-20 |
NE |
| 2008 |
9 |
2008-11-02 |
NE |
IND |
15-18 |
IND |
| 2009 |
10 |
2009-11-15 |
NE |
IND |
34-35 |
IND |
| 2010 |
11 |
2010-11-21 |
IND |
NE |
28-31 |
NE |
| 2011 |
13 |
2011-12-04 |
IND |
NE |
24-31 |
NE |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. DP = Divisional Playoff CF = Conference Final
|
