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New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars - Week 16
Game Preview

Fantasy | Game Notes | Results & Schedule | Injury Report | Stat Comparisons | Weather | Team vs. Team History

ATL
DET		 31
 18
PrePost
TEN
GB		 7
 55
PrePost
STL
TB		 28
 13
PrePost
SD
NYJ		 27
 17
PrePost
OAK
CAR		 6
 17
PrePost
NO
DAL		 34
 31
PrePost
NE
JAC		 23
 16
PrePost
MIN
HOU		 23
 6
PrePost
IND
KC		 20
 13
PrePost
CIN
PIT		 13
 10
PrePost
BUF
MIA		 10
 24
PrePost
WAS
PHI		 27
 20
PrePost
CLE
DEN		 12
 34
PrePost
NYG
BAL		 14
 33
PrePost
CHI
ARI		 28
 13
PrePost
SF
SEA		 13
 42
PrePost

Week: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17
Playoffs: Wild-Card | Divisional Playoffs | Conference Championships | Super Bowl

Final Score Prediction

Patriots 30, Jaguars 17

Fantasy Player Rankings and Projections by Mike Krueger
New England Patriots
Rank  Player Projections
QB 4 Tom Brady Pass: 300, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 19 Stevan Ridley Rush: 80, 1 TD Rec: 0-0, 0
RB 39 Danny Woodhead Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
RB 44 Shane Vereen Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
WR 10 Wes Welker Rec: 8-90, 1 TD
WR 37 Brandon Lloyd Rec: 5-70, 0 TD
WR 80 Deion Branch Rec: 2-20, 0 TD
TE 5 Aaron Hernandez Rec: 5-60, 1 TD
TE 29 Rob Gronkowski Rec: 1-10, 0 TD
K 1 Stephen Gostkowski FG: 3/3 XP: 3/3
DEF 4 Defense / ST  
View all Week 16 Rankings or Projections
  
Jacksonville Jaguars
Rank  Player Projections
QB 14 Chad Henne Pass: 240, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 30 Montell Owens Rush: 60, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
WR 12 Cecil Shorts Rec: 5-90, 1 TD
WR 25 Justin Blackmon Rec: 5-70, 1 TD
TE 24 Marcedes Lewis Rec: 4-40, 0 TD
K 30 Josh Scobee FG: 1/1 XP: 2/2
DEF 29 Defense / ST  

Game Notes

Patriots Club is 3-1 all-time at Jax., incl. SB XXXIX win vs. Phi... QB Tom Brady posted 4th career game with 400+ passing yards (443) last week. Has thrown TD pass in 46 straight games, 3rd-longest streak in NFL history. Brady is 5th QB in NFL history to reach 30 TD passes 4 times in career. In 3 career games vs. Jax., Brady is 3-0 & has 7 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 118.4 passer rating... RB Stevan Ridley (1,105) needs 95 rush yards to become 5th player in franchise history to reach 1,200 in season. RB Danny Woodhead had career-best 2 rush TDs last week. WR Wes Welker (100) is 1st player in NFL history with 5 100-catch seasons. Had 13 catches for 138 yards in last game vs. Jax. WR Brandon Lloyd had career-high 190 receiving yards last week... Since entering NFL in '10, TE Rob Gronkowski has NFL-best 37 TD receptions. TE Aaron Hernandez had career-best 10 receptions last week. Has 8+ catches in each of past 3 games (26 total). Attended Univ. of Fla... LB Jerod Mayo leads club w/ 137 tackles... DB Devin McCourty has INT in each of past 2.

Jaguars QB Chad Henne passed for career-best 416 yards with 2 TDs vs. 1 INT & 93.6 rating in last game vs. Pats. Has 300+ passing yards in 3 of past 4 against NE... Since entering NFL in '06, RB Maurice Jones-Drew has 76 total TDs (63 rush, 11 rec., 2 ret.), 2nd-most among active NFL players. Jones-Drew has totaled 194 rush yards on 37 att. (5.2 avg.) with 2 TDs in 2 career games vs. NE. RB Montell Owens is averaging 5.5 rush yards per carry in past 2 (25 att., 138 yards)... Rookie WR Justin Blackmon ranks 3rd among NFL rookies with 707 rec. yards. Ranks 2nd among rookies in rec. (51). WR Cecil Shorts III (925) needs 75 rec. yards to become 1st Jaguars player to reach the 1,000-yard mark since '05 (JIMMY SMITH, 1,023). In past 8 starts, Shorts III is averaging 90 rec. yards per game (720 total). Has 3 TD catches of 50+ yards in '12 (80, 67, 59), single-season club record & tied for most in NFL this season (A.J. GREEN)... LB Paul Posluszny has team-high 122 tackles.


Results and Schedule
New England Patriots
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2012-09-09 TEN A W 34-13 +21
2 2012-09-16 ARI H L 18-20 -2
3 2012-09-23 BAL A L 30-31 -1
4 2012-09-30 BUF A W 52-28 +24
5 2012-10-07 DEN H W 31-21 +10
6 2012-10-14 SEA A L 23-24 -1
7 2012-10-21 NYJ H W 29-26 +3
8 2012-10-28 STL A W 45-7 +38
9   Bye      
10 2012-11-11 BUF H W 37-31 +6
11 2012-11-18 IND H W 59-24 +35
12 2012-11-22 NYJ A W 49-19 +30
13 2012-12-02 MIA A W 23-16 +7
14 2012-12-10 HOU H W 42-14 +28
15 2012-12-16 SF H L 34-41 -7
16 2012-12-23 JAC A W 23-16 +7
17 2012-12-30 MIA H    
   
Jacksonville Jaguars
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2012-09-09 MIN A L 23-26 -3
2 2012-09-16 HOU H L 7-27 -20
3 2012-09-23 IND A W 22-17 +5
4 2012-09-30 CIN H L 10-27 -17
5 2012-10-07 CHI H L 3-41 -38
6   Bye      
7 2012-10-21 OAK A L 23-26 -3
8 2012-10-28 GB A L 15-24 -9
9 2012-11-04 DET H L 14-31 -17
10 2012-11-08 IND H L 10-27 -17
11 2012-11-18 HOU A L 37-43 -6
12 2012-11-25 TEN H W 24-19 +5
13 2012-12-02 BUF A L 18-34 -16
14 2012-12-09 NYJ H L 10-17 -7
15 2012-12-16 MIA A L 3-24 -21
16 2012-12-23 NE H L 16-23 -7
17 2012-12-30 TEN A    

Injury Report
New England Patriots
Questionable  SS Patrick Chung (shoulder)
 CB Alfonzo Dennard (knee)
 TE Rob Gronkowski (forearm)
 TE Aaron Hernandez (ankle)
 OLB Dont'a Hightower (shoulder)
 DE Chandler Jones (ankle)
 WR Brandon Lloyd (knee)
 DT Kyle Love (knee)
 OLB Jerod Mayo (elbow)
 MLB Brandon Spikes (knee)
 CB Aqib Talib (hip)
 WR Wes Welker (ankle)
 OLB Tracy White (elbow)
IR  CB Will Allen (undisclosed, 8/27)
 SS Josh Barrett (undisclosed, 8/27)
 CB Ras-I Dowling (quadriceps, 10/26)
 WR Julian Edelman (foot, 12/5)
 MLB Dane Fletcher (knee, 8/15)
 FB Spencer Larsen (undisclosed, 8/27)
 DT Myron Pryor (shoulder, 11/7)
 WR Donte' Stallworth (ankle, 12/11)
   
Jacksonville Jaguars
Out  RB Rashad Jennings (concussion)
 RB Maurice Jones-Drew (foot)
Questionable  FS Dwight Lowery (foot)
 CB Aaron Ross (calf)
Probable  DT Tyson Alualu (calf)
 CB Derek Cox (hamstring)
 FB Greg Jones (thigh)
 CB Rashean Mathis (groin)
 MLB Paul Posluszny (groin)
IR  DE Andre Branch (groin, 12/18)
 QB Blaine Gabbert (shoulder, 11/21)
 CB William Middleton (concussion, 11/27)
 RB Jalen Parmele (leg, 11/27)
 WR Taylor Price (foot, 8/27)
 WR Laurent Robinson (concussion, 11/21)
 DT D'Anthony Smith (neck, 11/28)
 SLB Daryl Smith (groin, 10/25)
 RB Jordan Todman (calf, 12/18)
PUP  WLB Clint Session (concussion)

Offense Stats Comparison
  NE
 Offense 		 JAC
 Offense 		 NFL
 Avg. 		  Adv. 
Points for 40.5 15.5 22.8 NE
Rushing yards 117.5 80.5 118.4 NE
Rushing yards per attempt 3.94 3.68 4.32 NE
Completion % 60.3% 53.1% 60.0% NE
Passing yards 293.3 230.0 224.8 NE
Passing yards per completion 12.40 12.17 10.85 NE
Passing yards per attempt 7.48 6.46 6.51 NE
Interceptions 0.5 1.0 1.0 NE
Fumbles lost 0.3 0.5 0.7 NE
Sacks allowed 1.3 3.3 2.3 NE
3rd down conversions 50.6% 26.6% 37.1% NE
4th down conversions 83.3% 35.7% 43.8% NE
Time of possession 29:12 26:55 30:31 NE
  Defense Stats Comparison
  NE
 Defense 		 JAC
 Defense 		 NFL
 Avg. 		  Adv. 
Points against 22.5 26.0 22.8 NE
Rushing yards 125.3 155.0 118.4 NE
Rushing yards per attempt 4.49 4.28 4.32 JAC
Completion % 59.3% 68.3% 60.0% NE
Passing yards 257.8 198.0 224.8 JAC
Passing yards per completion 12.00 11.02 10.85 JAC
Passing yards per attempt 7.11 7.53 6.51 NE
INT return 1.0 1.0 1.0 -
Fumble recoveries 1.3 1.0 0.7 NE
Sacks 2.0 1.3 2.3 NE
3rd down conversions 39.5% 38.4% 37.1% JAC
4th down conversions 40.0% 33.3% 43.8% JAC
Time of possession 30:48 34:20 30:31 NE

Special Teams Stats Comparison
   NE   JAC  NFL
 Avg. 		  Adv. 
Yards per punt return 13.7 7.9 10.3 NE
Yards per kick return 18.1 21.8 22.9 JAC
Yards allowed per punt return 3.4 13.1 10.3 NE
Yards allowed per kick return 20.2 27.6 22.9 NE
  Misc Stats Comparison
   NE   JAC  NFL
 Avg. 		  Adv. 
Penalties 6.8 7.8 6.4 NE
Penalty yards 62.3 67.5 54.0 NE

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 10 to 15 of the 2012 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 10 to 15 with no adjustment.

Weather

Team vs. Team History
New England Patriots vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
 Season   Week   Date   Vis   Home   Score   Winner 
2003 15 2003-12-14 JAC NE 13-27 NE
2005 WC 2006-01-07 JAC NE 3-28 NE
2006 16 2006-12-24 NE JAC 24-21 NE
2007 DP 2008-01-12 JAC NE 20-31 NE
2009 16 2009-12-27 JAC NE 7-35 NE

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. WC = Wild-Card DP = Divisional Playoff