NFL Game Preview: Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots - Week 17

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Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots - Week 17

Game Preview Fantasy \| Game Notes \| Results & Schedule \| Injury Report \| Stat Comparisons \| Weather \| Team vs. Team History

TB ATL	22 17
Pre	Post

PHI NYG	7 42
Pre	Post

NYJ BUF	9 28
Pre	Post

JAC TEN	20 38
Pre	Post

HOU IND	16 28
Pre	Post

CLE PIT	10 24
Pre	Post

CHI DET	26 24
Pre	Post

BAL CIN	17 23
Pre	Post

CAR NO	44 38
Pre	Post

ARI SF	13 27
Pre	Post

STL SEA	13 20
Pre	Post

OAK SD	21 24
Pre	Post

MIA NE	0 28
Pre	Post

KC DEN	3 38
Pre	Post

GB MIN	34 37
Pre	Post

DAL WAS	18 28
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Week:	1 \| 2 \| 3 \| 4 \| 5 \| 6 \| 7 \| 8 \| 9 \| 10 \| 11 \| 12 \| 13 \| 14 \| 15 \| 16 \| 17
Playoffs:	Wild-Card \| Divisional Playoffs \| Conference Championships \| Super Bowl

Final Score Prediction

Patriots 30, Dolphins 17

Fantasy Player Rankings and Projections by Mike Krueger

Miami Dolphins
Rank	Player	Projections
QB 26	Ryan Tannehill	Pass: 240, 1 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 8	Reggie Bush	Rush: 70, 1 TD Rec: 6-40, 0
RB 37	Lamar Miller	Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
WR 26	Brian Hartline	Rec: 6-70, 1 TD
WR 76	Rishard Matthews	Rec: 2-30, 0 TD
TE 23	Anthony Fasano	Rec: 4-40, 0 TD
K 25	Nate Kaeding	FG: 1/1 XP: 2/2
DEF 30	Defense / ST

View all Week 17 Rankings or Projections

New England Patriots
Rank	Player	Projections
QB 4	Tom Brady	Pass: 280, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 20	Stevan Ridley	Rush: 80, 1 TD Rec: 0-0, 0
RB 34	Danny Woodhead	Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 4-30, 0
RB 52	Brandon Bolden	Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
WR 7	Wes Welker	Rec: 9-100, 1 TD
WR 40	Brandon Lloyd	Rec: 4-50, 0 TD
WR 83	Deion Branch	Rec: 2-20, 0 TD
TE 4	Aaron Hernandez	Rec: 5-60, 1 TD
K 1	Stephen Gostkowski	FG: 3/3 XP: 3/3
DEF 4	Defense / ST

Game Notes

Dolphins Seek 3rd consecutive win... In past 2, QB Ryan Tannehill has 4 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 109.8 passer rating. Tannehill (3,059) has most passing yards by rookie in Dolphins history. Team is 6-1 when Tannehill has 90+ rating... RB Reggie Bush is averaging 119.5 scrimmage yards per game in December in past 2 seasons (956 in 8 games). Bush (960) needs 40 rush yards to reach 1,000 in consecutive seasons. Rushed for 113 yards in only career meeting at NE (12/14/11). Tied career-high with 2 TD receptions last week. Rookie RB Lamar Miller averaged 7.3 yards per carry last week (10 att., 73 yards)... WR Brian Hartline has career-best in receiving yards (1,014) & receptions (69) in '12... Since '08, TE Anthony Fasano has team-high 23 TD rec... DE Cameron Wake has career-best 15 sacks in '12. Wake (43) has most sacks by Dolphin in 1st 4 seasons of career. Has 5.5 sacks in 7 career games vs. NE... LB Karlos Dansby leads team with 121 tackles... S Reshad Jones has career-best 4 INTs in '12.

Patriots Have won 9 of past 11 at home vs. Dolphins... QB Tom Brady has thrown TD pass in 47 straight games, tied with HOFer JOHNNY UNITAS for 2nd-longest streak in NFL history. Brady (4,543) reached 4,500 for 3rd time in career. Brady is 9-1 as home starter vs. Dolphins... RB Stevan Ridley (1,189) needs 11 rush yards to become 5th player in franchise history to reach 1,200 in season. WR Wes Welker posted his 18th career game with at least 10 catches last week & passed HOFer JERRY RICE (17) & ANDRE JOHNSON (17) for most such games in NFL history. Aims for 4th straight game with 100+ receiving yards vs. Mia (160, 138, 103). Welker (110) is 1st player in NFL history with 5 100-catch seasons. WR Brandon Lloyd (902) needs 98 rec. yards to reach 1,000 for 2nd time in career... In past 3 vs. Mia., TE Rob Gronkowski has 19 rec. for 266 yards with 2 TDs. TE Aaron Hernandez had 8 catches for 97 yards in last game vs. Mia... LB Jerod Mayo leads club w/ 142 tackles... S Patrick Chung had career-best 2 INT last week.

Results and Schedule

Miami Dolphins
Week	Date	Opp	H/A	Score	Dif
1	2012-09-09	HOU	A	L 10-30	-20
2	2012-09-16	OAK	H	W 35-13	+22
3	2012-09-23	NYJ	H	L 20-23	-3
4	2012-09-30	ARI	A	L 21-24	-3
5	2012-10-07	CIN	A	W 17-13	+4
6	2012-10-14	STL	H	W 17-14	+3
7		Bye
8	2012-10-28	NYJ	A	W 30-9	+21
9	2012-11-04	IND	A	L 20-23	-3
10	2012-11-11	TEN	H	L 3-37	-34
11	2012-11-15	BUF	A	L 14-19	-5
12	2012-11-25	SEA	H	W 24-21	+3
13	2012-12-02	NE	H	L 16-23	-7
14	2012-12-09	SF	A	L 13-27	-14
15	2012-12-16	JAC	H	W 24-3	+21
16	2012-12-23	BUF	H	W 24-10	+14
17	2012-12-30	NE	A	L 0-28	-28

New England Patriots
Week	Date	Opp	H/A	Score	Dif
1	2012-09-09	TEN	A	W 34-13	+21
2	2012-09-16	ARI	H	L 18-20	-2
3	2012-09-23	BAL	A	L 30-31	-1
4	2012-09-30	BUF	A	W 52-28	+24
5	2012-10-07	DEN	H	W 31-21	+10
6	2012-10-14	SEA	A	L 23-24	-1
7	2012-10-21	NYJ	H	W 29-26	+3
8	2012-10-28	STL	A	W 45-7	+38
9		Bye
10	2012-11-11	BUF	H	W 37-31	+6
11	2012-11-18	IND	H	W 59-24	+35
12	2012-11-22	NYJ	A	W 49-19	+30
13	2012-12-02	MIA	A	W 23-16	+7
14	2012-12-10	HOU	H	W 42-14	+28
15	2012-12-16	SF	H	L 34-41	-7
16	2012-12-23	JAC	A	W 23-16	+7
17	2012-12-30	MIA	H	W 28-0	+28

Injury Report

Miami Dolphins
Out	WR Davone Bess (back)
Questionable	CB Nolan Carroll (knee)
Probable	WR Armon Binns (groin) FS Chris Clemons (ankle) ILB Karlos Dansby (biceps) WR Brian Hartline (back) SS Reshad Jones (hip) OLB Koa Misi (ankle) CB Sean Smith (knee)
IR	K Dan Carpenter (groin, 12/21) RB Charles Clay (knee, 12/18) CB Richard Marshall (back, 11/7) RB Daniel Thomas (knee, 12/19)

New England Patriots
Questionable	SS Patrick Chung (shoulder) CB Alfonzo Dennard (knee) SS Nate Ebner (hamstring) TE Rob Gronkowski (forearm) TE Aaron Hernandez (ankle) OLB Dont'a Hightower (shoulder) DE Chandler Jones (ankle) WR Brandon Lloyd (knee) DT Kyle Love (knee) OLB Jerod Mayo (elbow) MLB Brandon Spikes (knee) CB Aqib Talib (hip) WR Wes Welker (ankle) OLB Tracy White (elbow)
IR	CB Will Allen (undisclosed, 8/27) SS Josh Barrett (undisclosed, 8/27) CB Ras-I Dowling (quadriceps, 10/26) WR Julian Edelman (foot, 12/5) MLB Dane Fletcher (knee, 8/15) FB Spencer Larsen (undisclosed, 8/27) DT Myron Pryor (shoulder, 11/7) WR Donte' Stallworth (ankle, 12/11)

Offense Stats Comparison

	MIA Offense	NE Offense	NFL Avg.	Adv.
Points for	19.5	37.0	22.3	NE
Rushing yards	139.3	114.0	117.9	MIA
Rushing yards per attempt	4.69	3.91	4.30	MIA
Completion %	57.1%	60.0%	59.3%	NE
Passing yards	160.5	297.3	225.0	NE
Passing yards per completion	10.38	12.43	10.90	NE
Passing yards per attempt	5.92	7.46	6.47	NE
Interceptions	0.3	1.0	1.0	MIA
Fumbles lost	0.8	0.3	0.7	NE
Sacks allowed	2.0	1.8	2.4	NE
3rd down conversions	40.0%	46.9%	37.4%	NE
4th down conversions	33.3%	83.3%	41.9%	NE
Time of possession	28:44	29:16	30:27	NE

Defense Stats Comparison

	MIA Defense	NE Defense	NFL Avg.	Adv.
Points against	18.3	18.8	22.3	MIA
Rushing yards	119.5	109.8	117.9	NE
Rushing yards per attempt	4.31	4.21	4.30	NE
Completion %	63.4%	57.3%	59.3%	NE
Passing yards	202.0	260.3	225.0	MIA
Passing yards per completion	10.14	12.00	10.90	MIA
Passing yards per attempt	6.43	6.87	6.47	MIA
INT return	0.3	1.5	1.0	NE
Fumble recoveries	0.0	0.8	0.7	NE
Sacks	2.8	1.5	2.4	MIA
3rd down conversions	37.5%	33.8%	37.4%	NE
4th down conversions	25.0%	36.4%	41.9%	MIA
Time of possession	31:16	30:44	30:27	NE

Special Teams Stats Comparison

	MIA	NE	NFL Avg.	Adv.
Yards per punt return	8.2	14.7	10.0	NE
Yards per kick return	29.3	17.4	22.8	MIA
Yards allowed per punt return	18.8	5.2	10.0	NE
Yards allowed per kick return	27.8	20.3	22.8	NE

Misc Stats Comparison

	MIA	NE	NFL Avg.	Adv.
Penalties	4.8	6.0	6.3	MIA
Penalty yards	44.5	53.8	52.9	MIA

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 11 to 16 of the 2012 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 11 to 16 with no adjustment.

Weather

Team vs. Team History

Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots
Season	Week	Date	Vis	Home	Score	Winner
2000	4	2000-09-24	NE	MIA	3-10	MIA
2000	17	2000-12-24	MIA	NE	27-24	MIA
2001	4	2001-10-07	NE	MIA	10-30	MIA
2001	15	2001-12-22	MIA	NE	13-20	NE
2002	5	2002-10-06	NE	MIA	13-26	MIA
2002	17	2002-12-29	MIA	NE	24-27	NE
2003	7	2003-10-19	NE	MIA	19-13	NE
2003	14	2003-12-07	MIA	NE	0-12	NE
2004	5	2004-10-10	MIA	NE	10-24	NE
2004	15	2004-12-20	NE	MIA	28-29	MIA
2005	10	2005-11-13	NE	MIA	23-16	NE
2005	17	2006-01-01	MIA	NE	28-26	MIA
2006	5	2006-10-08	MIA	NE	10-20	NE
2006	14	2006-12-10	NE	MIA	0-21	MIA
2007	7	2007-10-21	NE	MIA	49-28	NE
2007	16	2007-12-23	MIA	NE	7-28	NE
2008	3	2008-09-21	MIA	NE	38-13	MIA
2008	12	2008-11-23	NE	MIA	48-28	NE
2009	9	2009-11-08	MIA	NE	17-27	NE
2009	13	2009-12-06	NE	MIA	21-22	MIA
2010	4	2010-10-04	NE	MIA	41-14	NE
2010	17	2011-01-02	MIA	NE	7-38	NE
2011	1	2011-09-12	NE	MIA	38-24	NE
2011	16	2011-12-24	MIA	NE	24-27	NE
2012	13	2012-12-02	NE	MIA	23-16	NE

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.