NFL Game Preview: New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills - Week 4

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New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills - Week 4

Game Preview Fantasy \| Game Notes \| Results & Schedule \| Injury Report \| Stat Comparisons \| Weather \| Team vs. Team History

CLE BAL	16 23
Pre	Post

CAR ATL	28 30
Pre	Post

SEA STL	13 19
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SF NYJ	34 0
Pre	Post

NE BUF	52 28
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MIN DET	20 13
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TEN HOU	14 38
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SD KC	37 20
Pre	Post

MIA ARI	21 24
Pre	Post

CIN JAC	27 10
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OAK DEN	6 37
Pre	Post

NO GB	27 28
Pre	Post

WAS TB	24 22
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NYG PHI	17 19
Pre	Post

CHI DAL	34 18
Pre	Post

Week:	1 \| 2 \| 3 \| 4 \| 5 \| 6 \| 7 \| 8 \| 9 \| 10 \| 11 \| 12 \| 13 \| 14 \| 15 \| 16 \| 17
Playoffs:	Wild-Card \| Divisional Playoffs \| Conference Championships \| Super Bowl

Final Score Prediction

Patriots 27, Bills 20

Fantasy Player Rankings and Projections by Mike Krueger

New England Patriots
Rank	Player	Projections
QB 6	Tom Brady	Pass: 300, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 15	Stevan Ridley	Rush: 80, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
RB 54	Danny Woodhead	Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0
WR 11	Wes Welker	Rec: 8-90, 1 TD
WR 27	Brandon Lloyd	Rec: 5-70, 0 TD
TE 1	Rob Gronkowski	Rec: 6-80, 1 TD
K 10	Stephen Gostkowski	FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3
DEF 8	Defense / ST

View all Week 4 Rankings or Projections

Buffalo Bills
Rank	Player	Projections
QB 14	Ryan Fitzpatrick	Pass: 260, 2 TD Rush: 10, 0
RB 26	Fred Jackson	Rush: 80, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
RB 47	Tashard Choice	Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 2-10, 0
WR 13	Steve Johnson	Rec: 8-90, 1 TD
WR 50	Donald Jones	Rec: 4-50, 0 TD
TE 17	Scott Chandler	Rec: 4-40, 0 TD
K 19	Rian Lindell	FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2
DEF 26	Defense / ST

Game Notes

Patriots Club has won 10 of past 12 at Buf... BILL BELICHICK (193) needs win to surpass CHUCK KNOX (193) for 8th most among head coaches in NFL history... QB Tom Brady (40,866) needs 57 passing yards to surpass KERRY COLLINS (40,922) for 11th-most passing yards in NFL history. Has thrown TD pass in 35 consecutive games, 4th-most in NFL history. For career, Brady is 18-2 vs. Bills with 46 TDs vs. 17 INTs & 102.4 rating... RB Danny Woodhead averages 7 yards per carry vs. Bills (23 att., 161 yards). In last game at Buf., WR Wes Welker had career-high in catches (16) & rec. yards (217) & tied career-best in TD catches (2). Welker (6,356) needs 11 yards to surpass TROY BROWN (6,366) for 2nd-most rec. yards in Patriots history (STANLEY MORGAN, 10,352). Posted 1st 100-yard rec. game of season (142) & 24th of career last week. WR Brandon Lloyd recorded 1st 100-yard receiving game as Patriot last week (108)... TE Rob Gronkowski aims for 3rd consecutive game with 100+ rec. yards & 2 TDs vs. Bills. Has 7 career TD catches in 4 career games vs. Buf... S Patrick Chung has 2 INTs in past 3 vs. Buf... LB Jerod Mayo leads team with 33 tackles.

Bills Club has won 5 of past 6 in Sept...QB Ryan Fitzpatrick aims to join JOE FERGUSON (1st 4 games in '75) & HOFer JIM KELLY (1st 4 games in '92) as only players in team history to throw multiple TDs in each of 1st 4 games of season. In past 6 in Sept., Fitzpatrick has 17 TDs vs. 6 INTs & 99.8 rating. Passed for 369 yards vs. NE on 9/25/11, 2nd-most of career (382 vs. Bal. on 10/24/10)... Offense averages 178 rush yards per game in '12, 2nd-most in AFC... RB Tashard Choice gained 91 yards last week... Dating back to 1/1/12, WR Steve Johnson aims for 5th consecutive game with TD rec. Has 3 TDs in past 4 vs. Patriots. Rookie WR T.J. Graham posted 1st TD reception of career last week... DT Kyle Williams has 3 sacks in past 2... DE Mark Anderson registered 10 sacks with NE last season... DE Mario Williams posted 1st sack as Bill last week (1.5 total)... LB Bryan Scott has 2 INTs in past 3 games... PR-CB Leodis McKelvin has NFL-best 29.7 PR avg. in '12.

Results and Schedule

New England Patriots
Week	Date	Opp	H/A	Score	Dif
1	2012-09-09	TEN	A	W 34-13	+21
2	2012-09-16	ARI	H	L 18-20	-2
3	2012-09-23	BAL	A	L 30-31	-1
4	2012-09-30	BUF	A	W 52-28	+24
5	2012-10-07	DEN	H
6	2012-10-14	SEA	A
7	2012-10-21	NYJ	H
8	2012-10-28	STL	A
9		Bye
10	2012-11-11	BUF	H
11	2012-11-18	IND	H
12	2012-11-22	NYJ	A
13	2012-12-02	MIA	A
14	2012-12-10	HOU	H
15	2012-12-16	SF	H
16	2012-12-23	JAC	A
17	2012-12-30	MIA	H

Buffalo Bills
Week	Date	Opp	H/A	Score	Dif
1	2012-09-09	NYJ	A	L 28-48	-20
2	2012-09-16	KC	H	W 35-17	+18
3	2012-09-23	CLE	A	W 24-14	+10
4	2012-09-30	NE	H	L 28-52	-24
5	2012-10-07	SF	A
6	2012-10-14	ARI	A
7	2012-10-21	TEN	H
8		Bye
9	2012-11-04	HOU	A
10	2012-11-11	NE	A
11	2012-11-15	MIA	H
12	2012-11-25	IND	A
13	2012-12-02	JAC	H
14	2012-12-09	STL	H
15	2012-12-16	SEA	H
16	2012-12-23	MIA	A
17	2012-12-30	NYJ	H

Injury Report

New England Patriots
Out	WR Julian Edelman (hand) TE Aaron Hernandez (ankle)
Questionable	DE Brandon Deaderick (ankle) CB Alfonzo Dennard (hamstring) TE Rob Gronkowski (hip) DT Kyle Love (knee) RB Shane Vereen (foot)
IR	CB Will Allen (undisclosed, 8/27) SS Josh Barrett (undisclosed, 8/27) MLB Dane Fletcher (knee, 8/15) FB Spencer Larsen (undisclosed, 8/27) TE Visanthe Shiancoe (hamstring, 9/5)
PUP	DT Myron Pryor (shoulder)

Buffalo Bills
Questionable	RB Fred Jackson (knee) RB C.J. Spiller (shoulder)
Probable	CB Leodis McKelvin (groin)
IR	CB Ron Brooks (foot, 9/4) WR David Nelson (knee, 9/11)

Offense Stats Comparison

	NE Offense	BUF Offense	NFL Avg.	Adv.
Points for	27.3	29.0	23.8	BUF
Rushing yards	109.7	178.0	109.7	BUF
Rushing yards per attempt	3.39	5.56	4.06	BUF
Completion %	66.9%	58.1%	62.0%	NE
Passing yards	281.3	193.0	239.2	NE
Passing yards per completion	10.68	11.58	11.00	BUF
Passing yards per attempt	7.15	6.73	6.81	NE
Interceptions	0.3	1.0	0.9	NE
Fumbles lost	0.0	0.7	0.6	NE
Sacks allowed	2.3	0.3	2.2	BUF
3rd down conversions	42.9%	42.9%	39.1%	-
4th down conversions	0.0%	100.0%	57.8%	BUF
Time of possession	31:15	30:20	30:19	NE

Defense Stats Comparison

	NE Defense	BUF Defense	NFL Avg.	Adv.
Points against	21.3	26.3	23.8	NE
Rushing yards	82.0	100.3	109.7	NE
Rushing yards per attempt	3.28	4.12	4.06	NE
Completion %	66.1%	61.6%	62.0%	BUF
Passing yards	262.0	248.3	239.2	BUF
Passing yards per completion	10.92	10.80	11.00	BUF
Passing yards per attempt	7.21	6.65	6.81	BUF
INT return	0.7	1.3	0.9	BUF
Fumble recoveries	1.0	0.7	0.6	NE
Sacks	1.0	3.0	2.2	BUF
3rd down conversions	36.1%	46.2%	39.1%	NE
4th down conversions	33.3%	0.0%	57.8%	BUF
Time of possession	28:45	29:40	30:19	NE

Special Teams Stats Comparison

	NE	BUF	NFL Avg.	Adv.
Yards per punt return	10.5	29.7	10.8	BUF
Yards per kick return	23.4	22.0	24.1	NE
Yards allowed per punt return	7.3	21.5	10.8	NE
Yards allowed per kick return	22.9	24.8	24.1	NE

Misc Stats Comparison

	NE	BUF	NFL Avg.	Adv.
Penalties	7.0	7.0	6.8	-
Penalty yards	54.3	53.0	59.4	BUF

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 1 to 3 of the 2012 season with no adjustment. Once more weeks are played, these stats will tabulate the last 6 weeks results and deduct the best and worst value from the data set.

Weather

Team vs. Team History

New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills
Season	Week	Date	Vis	Home	Score	Winner
2000	10	2000-11-05	BUF	NE	16-13	BUF
2000	16	2000-12-17	NE	BUF	13-10	NE
2001	9	2001-11-11	BUF	NE	11-21	NE
2001	14	2001-12-16	NE	BUF	12-9	NE
2002	9	2002-11-03	NE	BUF	38-7	NE
2002	14	2002-12-08	BUF	NE	17-27	NE
2003	1	2003-09-07	NE	BUF	0-31	BUF
2003	17	2003-12-27	BUF	NE	0-31	NE
2004	4	2004-10-03	NE	BUF	31-17	NE
2004	10	2004-11-14	BUF	NE	6-29	NE
2005	8	2005-10-30	BUF	NE	16-21	NE
2005	14	2005-12-11	NE	BUF	35-7	NE
2006	1	2006-09-10	BUF	NE	17-19	NE
2006	7	2006-10-22	NE	BUF	28-6	NE
2007	3	2007-09-23	BUF	NE	7-38	NE
2007	11	2007-11-18	NE	BUF	56-10	NE
2008	10	2008-11-09	BUF	NE	10-20	NE
2008	17	2008-12-28	NE	BUF	13-0	NE
2009	1	2009-09-14	BUF	NE	24-25	NE
2009	15	2009-12-20	NE	BUF	17-10	NE
2010	3	2010-09-26	BUF	NE	30-38	NE
2010	16	2010-12-26	NE	BUF	34-3	NE
2011	3	2011-09-25	NE	BUF	31-34	BUF
2011	17	2012-01-01	BUF	NE	21-49	NE

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.