Prediction: Packers 31, Bears 24
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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Chicago Bears |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 7 |
Jay Cutler |
Pass: 275, 2 TD Rush: 15, 0 |
RB 2 |
Matt Forte |
Rush: 70, 1 TD Rec: 6-45, 0 |
RB 57 |
Ka'Deem Carey |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
WR 8 |
Brandon Marshall |
Rec: 6-85, 1 TD |
WR 13 |
Alshon Jeffery |
Rec: 6-70, 1 TD |
WR 74 |
Santonio Holmes |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
TE 8 |
Martellus Bennett |
Rec: 5-50, 0 TD |
K 22 |
Robbie Gould |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 25 |
Defense / ST |
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|
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Green Bay Packers |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 2 |
Aaron Rodgers |
Pass: 285, 3 TD Rush: 15, 0 |
RB 12 |
Eddie Lacy |
Rush: 65, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
RB 39 |
James Starks |
Rush: 25, 0 TD Rec: 1-5, 0 |
WR 3 |
Jordy Nelson |
Rec: 8-100, 1 TD |
WR 11 |
Randall Cobb |
Rec: 6-70, 1 TD |
WR 48 |
Davante Adams |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
TE 23 |
Andrew Quarless |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
K 13 |
Mason Crosby |
FG: 1/1 XP: 4/4 |
DEF 17 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Bears QB Jay Cutler on pace for 1st 4,000-yard season (4,186) & 1st 30-TD season (34) in team history... In past 3 vs. GB, RB Matt Forte has 507 scrimmage yards (169 per game), 357 rush yards (119 per game) & 4 TDs. Is only player with 500+ rush (562) & 450+ rec. (490) rec. yards... WR Brandon Marshall aims for 5th in row vs. GB with TD. Since 2012, has 28 rec. TDs, tied for 4th in NFL. WR Alshon Jeffery had TD in Week 4. TE Martellus Bennett had 9 catches for 134 yards in last meeting... DE Willie Young ties for 3rd in NFC with 7 sacks. Since 2012, CB Tim Jennings is 2nd in NFL with 13 INTs & ties for 3rd with 3 INT-TDs. DE Jared Allen has 16.5 sacks in past 12 vs. GB (incl. playoffs). Had career-high 4.5 sacks vs. GB (10/5/09 with Min.). Since entering NFL in 2004, leads league with 130 sacks. Rookie CB Kyle Fuller is only player with 3+ INTs & 3+ FFs.
Packers 7-1 in game after bye under MIKE MC CARTHY... In 13 starts vs. Chi. with 10+ att. (incl. playoffs), QB Aaron Rodgers is 11-2 (.846). In last meeting, had 302 yards, 4 TDs, 0 INTs & 151.2 rating... RB Eddie Lacy aims for 4th in row vs. Chi. with TD. In only home meeting, rushed for career-high 150 yards & TD... WR-PR Randall Cobb leads NFL WRs with 9 rec. TDs. Has TD in 5 in row (6 TDs). In past 2 meetings, has 4 TDs. In past 2 vs. Chi., WR Jordy Nelson has 20 catches for 269 yards (134.5 per game) & 2 TDs. Since 2011, is 1 of 2 in NFL with 4,000+ yards (4,059), 30+ rec. TDs (36) & 16+ avg. (16.1)... In past 4 meetings, LB Clay Matthews has 5.5 sacks, 2 INTs & FF. Since 2010 (incl. playoffs), CB Tramon Williams ties for 2nd in NFL with 20 INTs & CB Sam Shields is 4th with 19 INTs. Shields aims for 3rd in row vs. Chi. with INT. LB Julius Peppers is only player in NFL history with 100+ sacks (122.5) & 10+ INTs (10).
Results and Schedule
Chicago Bears |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
BUF |
H |
L 20-23 |
-3 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
SF |
A |
W 28-20 |
+8 |
3 |
2014-09-22 |
NYJ |
A |
W 27-19 |
+8 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
GB |
H |
L 17-38 |
-21 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
CAR |
A |
L 24-31 |
-7 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
ATL |
A |
W 27-13 |
+14 |
7 |
2014-10-19 |
MIA |
H |
L 14-27 |
-13 |
8 |
2014-10-26 |
NE |
A |
L 23-51 |
-28 |
9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
GB |
A |
|
|
11 |
2014-11-16 |
MIN |
H |
|
|
12 |
2014-11-23 |
TB |
H |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-27 |
DET |
A |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-04 |
DAL |
H |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-15 |
NO |
H |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
DET |
H |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
MIN |
A |
|
|
|
|
|
Green Bay Packers |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-04 |
SEA |
A |
L 16-36 |
-20 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
NYJ |
H |
W 31-24 |
+7 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
DET |
A |
L 7-19 |
-12 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
CHI |
A |
W 38-17 |
+21 |
5 |
2014-10-02 |
MIN |
H |
W 42-10 |
+32 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
MIA |
A |
W 27-24 |
+3 |
7 |
2014-10-19 |
CAR |
H |
W 38-17 |
+21 |
8 |
2014-10-26 |
NO |
A |
L 23-44 |
-21 |
9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
CHI |
H |
|
|
11 |
2014-11-16 |
PHI |
H |
|
|
12 |
2014-11-23 |
MIN |
A |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-30 |
NE |
H |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-08 |
ATL |
H |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
BUF |
A |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
TB |
A |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
DET |
H |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
|
CHI Offense |
GB Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
21.3 |
34.3 |
24.0 |
GB |
Rushing yards |
116.0 |
110.7 |
109.3 |
CHI |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.85 |
4.22 |
4.12 |
CHI |
Completion % |
66.9% |
69.9% |
62.5% |
GB |
Passing yards |
251.3 |
263.7 |
248.8 |
GB |
Passing yards per completion |
10.87 |
12.45 |
11.20 |
GB |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.27 |
8.70 |
7.00 |
GB |
Interceptions |
1.3 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
GB |
Fumbles lost |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
GB |
Sacks allowed |
3.0 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
GB |
3rd down conversions |
45.2% |
38.9% |
40.7% |
CHI |
4th down conversions |
50.0% |
66.7% |
46.4% |
GB |
Time of possession |
32:10 |
28:37 |
30:12 |
CHI |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
|
CHI Defense |
GB Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
32.0 |
19.3 |
24.0 |
GB |
Rushing yards |
89.3 |
138.7 |
109.3 |
CHI |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.63 |
5.23 |
4.12 |
CHI |
Completion % |
69.4% |
63.0% |
62.5% |
GB |
Passing yards |
267.7 |
240.3 |
248.8 |
GB |
Passing yards per completion |
11.86 |
10.62 |
11.20 |
GB |
Passing yards per attempt |
8.23 |
6.69 |
7.00 |
GB |
INT return |
0.3 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
GB |
Fumble recoveries |
0.0 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
GB |
Sacks |
2.3 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
CHI |
3rd down conversions |
43.6% |
44.8% |
40.7% |
CHI |
4th down conversions |
33.3% |
37.5% |
46.4% |
CHI |
Time of possession |
27:46 |
31:23 |
30:12 |
CHI |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
CHI |
GB |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
7.8 |
10.8 |
9.1 |
GB |
Yards per kick return |
22.5 |
21.8 |
24.0 |
CHI |
Yards allowed per punt return |
17.0 |
7.5 |
9.1 |
GB |
Yards allowed per kick return |
20.4 |
29.4 |
24.0 |
CHI |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
|
CHI |
GB |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
6.0 |
6.0 |
6.8 |
- |
Penalty yards |
44.7 |
48.0 |
56.0 |
CHI |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 4 to 9 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 4 to 9 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
5 |
2000-10-01 |
CHI |
GB |
27-24 |
CHI |
2000 |
14 |
2000-12-03 |
GB |
CHI |
28-6 |
GB |
2001 |
9 |
2001-11-11 |
GB |
CHI |
20-12 |
GB |
2001 |
13 |
2001-12-09 |
CHI |
GB |
7-17 |
GB |
2002 |
5 |
2002-10-07 |
GB |
CHI |
34-21 |
GB |
2002 |
13 |
2002-12-01 |
CHI |
GB |
20-30 |
GB |
2003 |
4 |
2003-09-29 |
GB |
CHI |
38-23 |
GB |
2003 |
14 |
2003-12-07 |
CHI |
GB |
21-34 |
GB |
2004 |
2 |
2004-09-19 |
CHI |
GB |
21-10 |
CHI |
2004 |
17 |
2005-01-02 |
GB |
CHI |
31-14 |
GB |
2005 |
13 |
2005-12-04 |
GB |
CHI |
7-19 |
CHI |
2005 |
16 |
2005-12-25 |
CHI |
GB |
24-17 |
CHI |
2006 |
1 |
2006-09-10 |
CHI |
GB |
26-0 |
CHI |
2006 |
17 |
2006-12-31 |
GB |
CHI |
26-7 |
GB |
2007 |
5 |
2007-10-07 |
CHI |
GB |
27-20 |
CHI |
2007 |
16 |
2007-12-23 |
GB |
CHI |
7-35 |
CHI |
2008 |
11 |
2008-11-16 |
CHI |
GB |
3-37 |
GB |
2008 |
16 |
2008-12-22 |
GB |
CHI |
17-20 |
CHI |
2009 |
1 |
2009-09-13 |
CHI |
GB |
15-21 |
GB |
2009 |
14 |
2009-12-13 |
GB |
CHI |
21-14 |
GB |
2010 |
3 |
2010-09-27 |
GB |
CHI |
17-20 |
CHI |
2010 |
17 |
2011-01-02 |
CHI |
GB |
3-10 |
GB |
2010 |
CF |
2011-01-23 |
GB |
CHI |
21-14 |
GB |
2011 |
3 |
2011-09-25 |
GB |
CHI |
27-17 |
GB |
2011 |
16 |
2011-12-25 |
CHI |
GB |
21-35 |
GB |
2012 |
2 |
2012-09-13 |
CHI |
GB |
10-23 |
GB |
2012 |
15 |
2012-12-16 |
GB |
CHI |
21-13 |
GB |
2013 |
9 |
2013-11-04 |
CHI |
GB |
27-20 |
CHI |
2013 |
17 |
2013-12-29 |
GB |
CHI |
33-28 |
GB |
2014 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
GB |
CHI |
38-17 |
GB |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. CF = Conference Final
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