| New England Patriots vs. Seattle Seahawks Sunday February 1st, 2015 Arizona, Kickoff 6:30 Eastern Preview | Post-Game |
Prediction: Patriots 24, Seahawks 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
New England Patriots |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 1 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 265, 2 TD Rush: 5, 0 |
RB 2 |
LeGarrette Blount |
Rush: 50, 1 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
RB 3 |
Shane Vereen |
Rush: 15, 0 TD Rec: 5-35, 0 |
RB 6 |
Jonas Gray |
Rush: 5, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
WR 1 |
Julian Edelman |
Rec: 7-70, 1 TD |
WR 4 |
Brandon LaFell |
Rec: 3-45, 0 TD |
WR 5 |
Danny Amendola |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
TE 1 |
Rob Gronkowski |
Rec: 8-75, 1 TD |
TE 4 |
Tim Wright |
Rec: 1-10, 0 TD |
K 2 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 2 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
Seattle Seahawks |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 2 |
Russell Wilson |
Pass: 215, 1 TD Rush: 45, 0 |
RB 1 |
Marshawn Lynch |
Rush: 80, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
RB 4 |
Robert Turbin |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 1-5, 0 |
RB 5 |
Christine Michael |
Rush: 5, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
WR 2 |
Doug Baldwin |
Rec: 5-65, 1 TD |
WR 3 |
Jermaine Kearse |
Rec: 4-50, 0 TD |
WR 6 |
Ricardo Lockette |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
WR 7 |
Kevin Norwood |
Rec: 1-10, 0 TD |
TE 2 |
Luke Willson |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
TE 3 |
Tony Moeaki |
Rec: 1-15, 0 TD |
K 1 |
Steve Hauschka |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 1 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
On Sunday, February 1, the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks will meet in Super Bowl XLIX (6:30 PM ET, NBC) at University of Phoenix Stadium in Arizona. For the second consecutive season, the game will feature the No. 1 seed in each conference. Super Bowl XLIX will pit the NFL's top two teams in point differential during the regular season - New England (+155) and Seattle (+140). New England advanced to the Super Bowl by defeating Indianapolis 45-7. Seattle defeated Green Bay 28-22 in overtime to earn its second consecutive trip to the Super Bowl. The AFC and NFC Championship Games averaged 46.1 million viewers, topping the 45 million mark for the second consecutive year. The NFC Championship Game between Seattle and Green Bay averaged 49.8 million viewers - the most-watched program since Super Bowl XLVIII - and the AFC Championship Game between New England and Indianapolis averaged 42.1 million viewers.
The Seahawks erased a 16-0 deficit and defeated Green Bay 28-22 in overtime of the NFC Championship Game. Wilson threw the game-winning 35-yard touchdown pass to wide receiver Jermaine Kearse in overtime to send Seattle back to the Super Bowl. The Seahawks are seeking to become the ninth team to win back-to-back Super Bowls and the first since New England in 2003-04.
Running back Marshawn Lynch rushed for 157 yards and a touchdown in the win over Green Bay and his 815 career postseason rushing yards are the most by a Seahawk. Since 2011, Lynch's 6,039 rushing yards and 55 rushing touchdowns are both the most in the NFL (including the playoffs). Wide receiver Doug Baldwin had 106 receiving yards in the NFC Championship Game, his fourth playoff game in a row with either 100+ receiving yards or a touchdown catch. Kearse has now caught a touchdown pass in four consecutive postseason games.
Defensively, cornerback Richard Sherman has an interception in both playoff games this season and his 26 interceptions since entering the NFL in 2011 are the most in the league (including the postseason). Safety Kam Chancellor has an interception in three of his past four playoff games, including a 90-yard interception-return touchdown in the Divisional Playoff victory over Carolina, the longest touchdown in Seattle postseason history.
Seattle has won five consecutive playoff games and head coach PETE CARROLL is 7-2 (.778) in the postseason with the Seahawks. Carroll, who guided the Patriots to two playoff berths (1997-98) in his three seasons in New England (1997-99), has led Seattle to the postseason in four of the past five years (2010, 2012-14).
Wilson will be the youngest quarterback (26 years, 64 days) to start two Super Bowls and also the first QB to start two Super Bowls in his first three NFL seasons to begin a career. His 36 regular-season wins, six playoff victories and 42 overall wins are all the most by a starting quarterback in his first three NFL seasons to start a career.
The Patriots defeated Indianapolis 45-7 in the AFC Championship Game to advance to the team's eighth Super Bowl. That is tied with Dallas and Pittsburgh for the most Super Bowl appearances in NFL history.
During that contest, running back LeGarrette Blount rushed for 148 yards with three touchdowns and Brady threw three touchdown passes to extend his career postseason total to 49, the most in NFL history. This postseason, five different Patriots have caught at least one touchdown pass: wide receiver Danny Amendola (two), tight end Rob Gronkowski (two), fullback James Develin (one), wide receiver Brandon LaFell (one) and tackle NATE SOLDER (one).
Defensively, linebacker Jamie Collins and cornerback Darrelle Revis each had an interception in the AFC Championship Game. During the regular season, Collins and Revis were tied for the team lead in interceptions (two) with safety Devin McCourty and cornerback Logan Ryan.
New England head coach BILL BELICHICK and Brady will make their sixth Super Bowl appearance, the most by any head coach-quarterback tandem in NFL history. Belichick and Pro Football Hall of Famer DON SHULA (six) are the only head coaches in NFL history to lead their teams to six Super Bowls. Brady will start his sixth Super Bowl, the most ever by a quarterback, passing Pro Football Hall of Famer JOHN ELWAY (five).
Belichick's 21 postseason victories are the most by a head coach in NFL history. Brady has won 20 career playoff games, the most ever by a starting quarterback.
New England averaged 29.3 points per game in the regular season, the fourth-best mark in the NFL. The Patriots will face a Seattle defense that led the league in points allowed (15.9 per game), total defense (267.1 yards per game) and pass defense (185.6 yards per game). The Seahawks have led the NFL in points allowed in each of the past three regular seasons.
Results and Schedule
New England Patriots |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
MIA |
A |
L 20-33 |
-13 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
MIN |
A |
W 30-7 |
+23 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
OAK |
H |
W 16-9 |
+7 |
4 |
2014-09-29 |
KC |
A |
L 14-41 |
-27 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
CIN |
H |
W 43-17 |
+26 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
BUF |
A |
W 37-22 |
+15 |
7 |
2014-10-16 |
NYJ |
H |
W 27-25 |
+2 |
8 |
2014-10-26 |
CHI |
H |
W 51-23 |
+28 |
9 |
2014-11-02 |
DEN |
H |
W 43-21 |
+22 |
10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
11 |
2014-11-16 |
IND |
A |
W 42-20 |
+22 |
12 |
2014-11-23 |
DET |
H |
W 34-9 |
+25 |
13 |
2014-11-30 |
GB |
A |
L 21-26 |
-5 |
14 |
2014-12-07 |
SD |
A |
W 23-14 |
+9 |
15 |
2014-12-14 |
MIA |
H |
W 41-13 |
+28 |
16 |
2014-12-21 |
NYJ |
A |
W 17-16 |
+1 |
17 |
2014-12-28 |
BUF |
H |
L 9-17 |
-8 |
WC |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
DP |
2015-01-10 |
BAL |
H |
W 35-31 |
+4 |
CC |
2015-01-18 |
IND |
H |
W 45-7 |
+38 |
SB |
2015-02-01 |
SEA |
A |
W 28-24 |
+4 |
|
|
|
Seattle Seahawks |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-04 |
GB |
H |
W 36-16 |
+20 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
SD |
A |
L 21-30 |
-9 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
DEN |
H |
W 26-20 |
+6 |
4 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
5 |
2014-10-06 |
WAS |
A |
W 27-17 |
+10 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
DAL |
H |
L 23-30 |
-7 |
7 |
2014-10-19 |
STL |
A |
L 26-28 |
-2 |
8 |
2014-10-26 |
CAR |
A |
W 13-9 |
+4 |
9 |
2014-11-02 |
OAK |
H |
W 30-24 |
+6 |
10 |
2014-11-09 |
NYG |
H |
W 38-17 |
+21 |
11 |
2014-11-16 |
KC |
A |
L 20-24 |
-4 |
12 |
2014-11-23 |
ARI |
H |
W 19-3 |
+16 |
13 |
2014-11-27 |
SF |
A |
W 19-3 |
+16 |
14 |
2014-12-07 |
PHI |
A |
W 24-14 |
+10 |
15 |
2014-12-14 |
SF |
H |
W 17-7 |
+10 |
16 |
2014-12-21 |
ARI |
A |
W 35-6 |
+29 |
17 |
2014-12-28 |
STL |
H |
W 20-6 |
+14 |
WC |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
DP |
2015-01-10 |
CAR |
H |
W 31-17 |
+14 |
CC |
2015-01-18 |
GB |
H |
W 28-22 |
+6 |
SB |
2015-02-01 |
NE |
H |
L 24-28 |
-4 |
|
|
Injury Report
|
|
Seattle Seahawks |
Out |
SS Eric Pinkins (foot)
|
Probable |
WR Doug Baldwin (hip) RB Marshawn Lynch (back) RB Marshawn Lynch (knee) CB Byron Maxwell (neck) DT Brandon Mebane (ankle) CB Richard Sherman (elbow) FS Earl Thomas (shoulder) WLB K.J. Wright (foot)
|
IR |
RB Derrick Coleman (foot, 10/25) MLB Heath Farwell (groin, 8/26) DT Jordan Hill (calf, 1/6/2015) DE Cassius Marsh (foot, 10/18) DT Brandon Mebane (hamstring, 11/11) TE Zach Miller (ankle, 11/12) WLB Kevin Pierre-Louis (shoulder, 11/28) WR Paul Richardson (knee, 1/12/2015) DE Greg Scruggs (knee, 11/5) DT Jesse Williams (knee, 8/1) DT Jesse Williams (knee, 8/26/2013)
|
PUP |
DE Greg Scruggs (knee) CB Tharold Simon (foot)
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
|
NE Offense |
SEA Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
23.8 |
20.5 |
22.0 |
NE |
Rushing yards |
92.5 |
157.3 |
112.6 |
SEA |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.96 |
4.88 |
4.24 |
SEA |
Completion % |
63.8% |
64.2% |
62.2% |
SEA |
Passing yards |
244.8 |
216.3 |
227.7 |
NE |
Passing yards per completion |
9.81 |
12.81 |
10.65 |
SEA |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.26 |
8.22 |
6.63 |
SEA |
Interceptions |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
SEA |
Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
NE |
Sacks allowed |
1.5 |
3.5 |
2.6 |
NE |
3rd down conversions |
44.4% |
44.6% |
38.5% |
SEA |
4th down conversions |
60.0% |
50.0% |
46.9% |
NE |
Time of possession |
28:39 |
33:59 |
30:03 |
SEA |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
|
NE Defense |
SEA Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
15.0 |
5.5 |
22.0 |
SEA |
Rushing yards |
96.8 |
56.8 |
112.6 |
SEA |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.58 |
3.14 |
4.24 |
SEA |
Completion % |
57.9% |
54.0% |
62.2% |
SEA |
Passing yards |
226.8 |
133.0 |
227.7 |
SEA |
Passing yards per completion |
11.44 |
8.60 |
10.65 |
SEA |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.63 |
4.64 |
6.63 |
SEA |
INT return |
0.8 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
SEA |
Fumble recoveries |
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
SEA |
Sacks |
2.8 |
3.8 |
2.6 |
SEA |
3rd down conversions |
36.8% |
27.6% |
38.5% |
SEA |
4th down conversions |
55.6% |
57.1% |
46.9% |
NE |
Time of possession |
31:21 |
26:01 |
30:03 |
SEA |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
NE |
SEA |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
8.8 |
6.1 |
9.2 |
NE |
Yards per kick return |
22.0 |
20.8 |
23.7 |
NE |
Yards allowed per punt return |
7.9 |
4.8 |
9.2 |
SEA |
Yards allowed per kick return |
22.6 |
23.2 |
23.7 |
NE |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
|
NE |
SEA |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
5.3 |
8.3 |
6.5 |
NE |
Penalty yards |
53.5 |
72.0 |
54.4 |
NE |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 12 to 17 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 12 to 17 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
New England Patriots vs. Seattle Seahawks |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2004 |
6 |
2004-10-17 |
SEA |
NE |
20-30 |
NE |
2008 |
14 |
2008-12-07 |
NE |
SEA |
24-21 |
NE |
2012 |
6 |
2012-10-14 |
NE |
SEA |
23-24 |
SEA |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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