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Prediction: Packers 27, Dolphins 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today

Player Rankings and Projections

Green Bay Packers
Rank  Player Projections
QB 6 Aaron Rodgers Pass: 300, 2 TD Rush: 20, 0
RB 13 Eddie Lacy Rush: 65, 1 TD Rec: 1-10, 0
 RB 38 James Starks Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0
WR 4 Jordy Nelson Rec: 8-100, 1 TD
WR 11 Randall Cobb Rec: 6-75, 1 TD
WR 53 Davante Adams Rec: 3-45, 0 TD
TE 28 Andrew Quarless Rec: 2-25, 0 TD
TE 31 Richard Rodgers Rec: 2-20, 0 TD
K 9 Mason Crosby FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3
DEF 13 Defense / ST  
 
Miami Dolphins
Rank  Player Projections
QB 17 Ryan Tannehill Pass: 280, 1 TD Rush: 20, 0
RB 27 Lamar Miller Rush: 70, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
RB 41 Knowshon Moreno Rush: 35, 0 TD Rec: 2-10, 0
WR 24 Mike Wallace Rec: 6-70, 1 TD
WR 48 Brian Hartline Rec: 4-65, 0 TD
WR 74 Jarvis Landry Rec: 2-30, 0 TD
TE 19 Charles Clay Rec: 3-35, 0 TD
K 21 Caleb Sturgis FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2
DEF 23 Defense / ST  

Game Notes

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers has 11 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 124.4 rating in past 4 (7 TDs & 147 rating in past 2). Has won 6 of past 7 starts vs. AFC. Aims for 3rd in row vs. AFC with 3+ TDs & 0 INTs. Has 113.5 rating in past 2 vs. AFC... RB Eddie Lacy rushed for 105 yards & 2 TDs last week. Has 3 rush TDs in past 3 vs. AFC... WR-PR Randall Cobb leads NFC with 6 rec. TDs. Has TD in 4 of 5 games in 2014. WR Jordy Nelson has 4 TDs in past 4, incl. 66-yard TD last week. In past 6 vs. AFC, has 38 catches for 624 yards (104 per game) & 6 TDs. Since 2011, Nelson is 1 of 2 in NFL with 3,000+ yards (3,847), 30+ rec. TDs (33) & 16+ avg. (16.3). Rookie WR Davante Adams had 1st career TD last week... LB Julius Peppers had 49-yard INT-TD last week. Since entering NFL in 2002, is 3rd in NFL with 120 sacks. Only player in NFL history with 100+ sacks & 10+ INTs. Had 3 sacks in last game vs. Mia. (11/18/10 with Chi.). LB Clay Matthews aims for 5th in row vs. AFC with sack. CB Tramon Williams had INT & FR in last meeting. Since 2010 (incl. playoffs), Williams ties for 1st in NFL with 20 INTs & CB Sam Shields is 4th with 18 INTs.

Dolphins In Wk. 4 vs. Oak., QB Ryan Tannehill completed 23 of 31 passes (74.2 pct.) for 278 yards & 2 TDs vs. 1 INT for 109.3 rating in London. Club is 13-1 (.929) when Tannehill has 90+ rating. Has 8,109 career pass yards, 4th player in club history to reach 8,000... RB Lamar Miller rushed for career-high 2 TDs with 64 yards vs. Oak. Has 199 scrimmage yards (172 rush, 27 rec.) in past 2... In only meeting (12/20/09 with Pit.), WR Mike Wallace had 79 rec. yards & 2 TDs. Has TD catch in 4 of past 5. WR Brian Hartline (3,930) needs 70 rec. yards to become 7th player in club history to reach 4,000... DE Cameron Wake ranks 4th in club history with 53.5 sacks & needs 3.5 to surpass TRACE ARMSTRONG (56.5) for 3rd in team annals. Since entering NFL in 2009, ranks 3rd in AFC in sacks. LB Olivier Vernon has 9 sacks in past 11. CB Cortland Finnegan had 50-yard FR-TD in Wk. 4 vs. Raiders.


Results and Schedule

Green Bay Packers
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2014-09-04 SEA A L 16-36 -20
2 2014-09-14 NYJ H W 31-24 +7
3 2014-09-21 DET A L 7-19 -12
4 2014-09-28 CHI A W 38-17 +21
5 2014-10-02 MIN H W 42-10 +32
6 2014-10-12 MIA A    
7 2014-10-19 CAR H    
8 2014-10-26 NO A    
9   Bye      
10 2014-11-09 CHI H    
11 2014-11-16 PHI H    
12 2014-11-23 MIN A    
13 2014-11-30 NE H    
14 2014-12-08 ATL H    
15 2014-12-14 BUF A    
16 2014-12-21 TB A    
17 2014-12-28 DET H    
   

Miami Dolphins
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2014-09-07 NE H W 33-20 +13
2 2014-09-14 BUF A L 10-29 -19
3 2014-09-21 KC H L 15-34 -19
4 2014-09-28 OAK A W 38-14 +24
5   Bye      
6 2014-10-12 GB H    
7 2014-10-19 CHI A    
8 2014-10-26 JAC A    
9 2014-11-02 SD H    
10 2014-11-09 DET A    
11 2014-11-13 BUF H    
12 2014-11-23 DEN A    
13 2014-12-01 NYJ A    
14 2014-12-07 BAL H    
15 2014-12-14 NE A    
16 2014-12-21 MIN H    
17 2014-12-28 NYJ H    

Injury Report

Green Bay Packers
Out  WR Jarrett Boykin (knee)
Questionable  ILB Sam Barrington (hamstring)
 DE Datone Jones (ankle)
Probable  NT Josh Boyd (knee)
IR  WR Jared Abbrederis (knee, 8/26/2014)
 ILB Andy Mulumba (knee, 9/19/2014)
 NT B.J. Raji (biceps, 8/26/2014)
 DE Khyri Thornton (hamstring, 8/30/2014)
   

Miami Dolphins
Doubtful  WR Brandon Gibson (hamstring)
Questionable  CB Cortland Finnegan (neck)
Probable  TE Charles Clay (knee)
 WLB Jelani Jenkins (abdomen)
 SS Reshad Jones (other-excused)
 RB Lamar Miller (foot)
 MLB Koa Misi (ankle)
 RB Knowshon Moreno (elbow)
 DT Randy Starks (back)
 WR Mike Wallace (foot)
 SLB Philip Wheeler (shoulder)
IR  WLB Dannell Ellerbe (hip, 9/8/2014)
 RB Mike Gillislee (hamstring, 8/26/2014)
 TE Arthur Lynch (back, 8/26/2014)

Offense Stats Comparison

  GB
 Offense 
MIA
 Offense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points for 28.3 24.0 23.2 GB
Rushing yards 78.7 149.0 114.0 MIA
Rushing yards per attempt 4.04 4.99 4.21 MIA
Completion % 66.4% 60.0% 63.8% GB
Passing yards 213.7 200.5 241.9 GB
Passing yards per completion 10.87 9.12 10.77 GB
Passing yards per attempt 7.22 5.47 6.87 GB
Interceptions 0.3 1.0 0.8 GB
Fumbles lost 0.3 1.5 0.6 GB
Sacks allowed 2.3 2.5 2.0 GB
3rd down conversions 45.5% 38.2% 42.1% GB
4th down conversions 0.0% 25.0% 45.1% MIA
Time of possession 26:10 30:28 30:10 MIA
  Defense Stats Comparison

  GB
 Defense 
MIA
 Defense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points against 20.0 24.5 23.2 GB
Rushing yards 156.0 101.0 114.0 MIA
Rushing yards per attempt 4.57 3.83 4.21 MIA
Completion % 59.0% 60.9% 63.8% GB
Passing yards 205.7 214.0 241.9 GB
Passing yards per completion 10.24 9.35 10.77 MIA
Passing yards per attempt 6.03 5.70 6.87 MIA
INT return 1.7 0.0 0.8 GB
Fumble recoveries 0.7 1.5 0.6 MIA
Sacks 1.7 3.0 2.0 MIA
3rd down conversions 48.6% 40.3% 42.1% MIA
4th down conversions 66.7% 50.0% 45.1% MIA
Time of possession 33:50 29:32 30:10 MIA

Special Teams Stats Comparison

   GB   MIA  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Yards per punt return 6.2 5.7 8.6 GB
Yards per kick return 24.1 27.0 23.0 MIA
Yards allowed per punt return 4.3 14.8 8.6 GB
Yards allowed per kick return 21.5 27.9 23.0 GB
  Misc Stats Comparison

   GB   MIA  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Penalties 6.0 4.5 6.9 MIA
Penalty yards 43.3 30.5 59.2 MIA

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 1 to 5 of the 2014 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 1 to 5 with no adjustment.

Weather


Team vs. Team History

Green Bay Packers vs. Miami Dolphins
 Season   Week   Date   Vis   Home   Score   Winner 
2000 9 2000-10-29 GB MIA 20-28 MIA
2002 9 2002-11-04 MIA GB 10-24 GB
2006 7 2006-10-22 GB MIA 34-24 GB
2010 6 2010-10-17 MIA GB 23-20 MIA

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.