Prediction: Packers 27, Dolphins 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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Green Bay Packers |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 6 |
Aaron Rodgers |
Pass: 300, 2 TD Rush: 20, 0 |
RB 13 |
Eddie Lacy |
Rush: 65, 1 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
RB 38 |
James Starks |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
WR 4 |
Jordy Nelson |
Rec: 8-100, 1 TD |
WR 11 |
Randall Cobb |
Rec: 6-75, 1 TD |
WR 53 |
Davante Adams |
Rec: 3-45, 0 TD |
TE 28 |
Andrew Quarless |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
TE 31 |
Richard Rodgers |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
K 9 |
Mason Crosby |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 13 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
Miami Dolphins |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 17 |
Ryan Tannehill |
Pass: 280, 1 TD Rush: 20, 0 |
RB 27 |
Lamar Miller |
Rush: 70, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
RB 41 |
Knowshon Moreno |
Rush: 35, 0 TD Rec: 2-10, 0 |
WR 24 |
Mike Wallace |
Rec: 6-70, 1 TD |
WR 48 |
Brian Hartline |
Rec: 4-65, 0 TD |
WR 74 |
Jarvis Landry |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
TE 19 |
Charles Clay |
Rec: 3-35, 0 TD |
K 21 |
Caleb Sturgis |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 23 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Packers QB Aaron Rodgers has 11 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 124.4 rating in past 4 (7 TDs & 147 rating in past 2). Has won 6 of past 7 starts vs. AFC. Aims for 3rd in row vs. AFC with 3+ TDs & 0 INTs. Has 113.5 rating in past 2 vs. AFC... RB Eddie Lacy rushed for 105 yards & 2 TDs last week. Has 3 rush TDs in past 3 vs. AFC... WR-PR Randall Cobb leads NFC with 6 rec. TDs. Has TD in 4 of 5 games in 2014. WR Jordy Nelson has 4 TDs in past 4, incl. 66-yard TD last week. In past 6 vs. AFC, has 38 catches for 624 yards (104 per game) & 6 TDs. Since 2011, Nelson is 1 of 2 in NFL with 3,000+ yards (3,847), 30+ rec. TDs (33) & 16+ avg. (16.3). Rookie WR Davante Adams had 1st career TD last week... LB Julius Peppers had 49-yard INT-TD last week. Since entering NFL in 2002, is 3rd in NFL with 120 sacks. Only player in NFL history with 100+ sacks & 10+ INTs. Had 3 sacks in last game vs. Mia. (11/18/10 with Chi.). LB Clay Matthews aims for 5th in row vs. AFC with sack. CB Tramon Williams had INT & FR in last meeting. Since 2010 (incl. playoffs), Williams ties for 1st in NFL with 20 INTs & CB Sam Shields is 4th with 18 INTs.
Dolphins In Wk. 4 vs. Oak., QB Ryan Tannehill completed 23 of 31 passes (74.2 pct.) for 278 yards & 2 TDs vs. 1 INT for 109.3 rating in London. Club is 13-1 (.929) when Tannehill has 90+ rating. Has 8,109 career pass yards, 4th player in club history to reach 8,000... RB Lamar Miller rushed for career-high 2 TDs with 64 yards vs. Oak. Has 199 scrimmage yards (172 rush, 27 rec.) in past 2... In only meeting (12/20/09 with Pit.), WR Mike Wallace had 79 rec. yards & 2 TDs. Has TD catch in 4 of past 5. WR Brian Hartline (3,930) needs 70 rec. yards to become 7th player in club history to reach 4,000... DE Cameron Wake ranks 4th in club history with 53.5 sacks & needs 3.5 to surpass TRACE ARMSTRONG (56.5) for 3rd in team annals. Since entering NFL in 2009, ranks 3rd in AFC in sacks. LB Olivier Vernon has 9 sacks in past 11. CB Cortland Finnegan had 50-yard FR-TD in Wk. 4 vs. Raiders.
Results and Schedule
Green Bay Packers |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-04 |
SEA |
A |
L 16-36 |
-20 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
NYJ |
H |
W 31-24 |
+7 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
DET |
A |
L 7-19 |
-12 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
CHI |
A |
W 38-17 |
+21 |
5 |
2014-10-02 |
MIN |
H |
W 42-10 |
+32 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
MIA |
A |
|
|
7 |
2014-10-19 |
CAR |
H |
|
|
8 |
2014-10-26 |
NO |
A |
|
|
9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
CHI |
H |
|
|
11 |
2014-11-16 |
PHI |
H |
|
|
12 |
2014-11-23 |
MIN |
A |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-30 |
NE |
H |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-08 |
ATL |
H |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
BUF |
A |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
TB |
A |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
DET |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
Miami Dolphins |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
NE |
H |
W 33-20 |
+13 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
BUF |
A |
L 10-29 |
-19 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
KC |
H |
L 15-34 |
-19 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
OAK |
A |
W 38-14 |
+24 |
5 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
6 |
2014-10-12 |
GB |
H |
|
|
7 |
2014-10-19 |
CHI |
A |
|
|
8 |
2014-10-26 |
JAC |
A |
|
|
9 |
2014-11-02 |
SD |
H |
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
DET |
A |
|
|
11 |
2014-11-13 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
12 |
2014-11-23 |
DEN |
A |
|
|
13 |
2014-12-01 |
NYJ |
A |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-07 |
BAL |
H |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
NE |
A |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
MIN |
H |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
NYJ |
H |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
|
GB Offense |
MIA Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
28.3 |
24.0 |
23.2 |
GB |
Rushing yards |
78.7 |
149.0 |
114.0 |
MIA |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.04 |
4.99 |
4.21 |
MIA |
Completion % |
66.4% |
60.0% |
63.8% |
GB |
Passing yards |
213.7 |
200.5 |
241.9 |
GB |
Passing yards per completion |
10.87 |
9.12 |
10.77 |
GB |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.22 |
5.47 |
6.87 |
GB |
Interceptions |
0.3 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
GB |
Fumbles lost |
0.3 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
GB |
Sacks allowed |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
GB |
3rd down conversions |
45.5% |
38.2% |
42.1% |
GB |
4th down conversions |
0.0% |
25.0% |
45.1% |
MIA |
Time of possession |
26:10 |
30:28 |
30:10 |
MIA |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
|
GB Defense |
MIA Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
20.0 |
24.5 |
23.2 |
GB |
Rushing yards |
156.0 |
101.0 |
114.0 |
MIA |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.57 |
3.83 |
4.21 |
MIA |
Completion % |
59.0% |
60.9% |
63.8% |
GB |
Passing yards |
205.7 |
214.0 |
241.9 |
GB |
Passing yards per completion |
10.24 |
9.35 |
10.77 |
MIA |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.03 |
5.70 |
6.87 |
MIA |
INT return |
1.7 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
GB |
Fumble recoveries |
0.7 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
MIA |
Sacks |
1.7 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
MIA |
3rd down conversions |
48.6% |
40.3% |
42.1% |
MIA |
4th down conversions |
66.7% |
50.0% |
45.1% |
MIA |
Time of possession |
33:50 |
29:32 |
30:10 |
MIA |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
GB |
MIA |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
6.2 |
5.7 |
8.6 |
GB |
Yards per kick return |
24.1 |
27.0 |
23.0 |
MIA |
Yards allowed per punt return |
4.3 |
14.8 |
8.6 |
GB |
Yards allowed per kick return |
21.5 |
27.9 |
23.0 |
GB |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
|
GB |
MIA |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
6.0 |
4.5 |
6.9 |
MIA |
Penalty yards |
43.3 |
30.5 |
59.2 |
MIA |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 1 to 5 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 1 to 5 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
Green Bay Packers vs. Miami Dolphins |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
9 |
2000-10-29 |
GB |
MIA |
20-28 |
MIA |
2002 |
9 |
2002-11-04 |
MIA |
GB |
10-24 |
GB |
2006 |
7 |
2006-10-22 |
GB |
MIA |
34-24 |
GB |
2010 |
6 |
2010-10-17 |
MIA |
GB |
23-20 |
MIA |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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