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Joseph Hutchins | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer

The Shot Caller's Report - Wide Receivers
Your Guide To Fantasy Lineups: Week 10
QBs | RBs | WRs

Bye Weeks: Baltimore, Kansas City, Oakland, Philadelphia

Robby Anderson

Robby Anderson has scored a touchdown in his last 3 games and gets a leaky Bucs-D in Week 10.

Grab a Helmet

Robby Anderson @ TB: Anderson was super sleeper material way back in preseason drafts as savvy fantasy GMs reasoned he could end up being the only viable option in the Jets’ WR corps for 2017. He likely would have had New York not made a play for Jermaine Kearse in an eleventh hour deal just a week before the season started. The newly acquired Kearse didn’t disappoint in his first couple games for the Jets, notching 24.3 points in Weeks 1 and 2 while Anderson played second fiddle with a paltry 5.0. Since Week 3, however, the Temple product has almost doubled his teammate’s output (67.4 v. 37.7 points) and has lived up to that super sleeper preseason billing after all. There’s a lot of football to be played and Kearse could still wrest that WR1 title away, but I’d recommend riding the hot hand. Start Anderson against Tampa Sunday.

Golden Tate v. CLE: Marvin Jones hogged the headlines Monday when he (once again) flame-broiled the Green Bay secondary, but a closer look at the stats tells us Matt Stafford was an equal opportunity dealer on this night. Yes, Jones garnered more targets than Tate (11 to 9), but their lines were otherwise remarkably similar. While Jones was grabbing seven passes for 109 yards, Tate was corralling seven more for 113 yards. Of course, two of Jones’ receptions were in the end zone and he just missed on another end zone target in the second half. Though he’ll likely continue to be Stafford’s preferred red zone option, Tate is usually good for more volume (50 receptions to date v. 33 for Jones). That makes the two virtually indistinguishable in PPR formats. Cleveland is stout against the run but outmanned in the passing game and that’s where Detroit thrives. Start Tate.

Kelvin Benjamin v. NO: In-season blockbusters are exceedingly rare in the NFL, but this year featured several of them and none bigger IMHO than the one that brought Benjamin to Orchard Park. Buffalo’s decision to part ways with Sammy Watkins prior to Week 1 seemed to signal the start of a prolonged rebuild and, possibly, the end of the Tyrod Taylor era. Somebody forgot to tell Taylor, though, who somehow persevered with a cobbled-together group of pass-grabbers and kept the Bills relevant through the first half of the season. They’re so relevant, in fact, that adding Benjamin now looks like it could legitimately vault Buffalo into the playoff picture. It’s always dicey trusting a WR playing his first game with a new QB, but the former Panther is an unusual specimen who’s a turnkey option in the red zone. I think he scores this Sunday against a familiar opponent.

Grab Some Wood

Jordy Nelson @ CHI:
They don’t have the equivalent of Wins Above Replacement (WAR) in the NFL, but if they did, Aaron Rodgers would be the runaway leader every season. With him, the Pack is a legitimate Super Bowl contender. Without him, they’re NFC cannon fodder and only marginally better than the long-time rival they oppose this Sunday, the rebuilding Bears. Nelson easily took the biggest value hit when Rodgers went down, going from a top 5 WR producer to out of the top 20 in three short weeks. I suspect he’ll slip even farther down the rankings as the Pack continues to scale back the offense for Brett Hundley. Nelson was already becoming more TD-dependent this season even before Rodgers got hurt (no 100-yard games), but now those TDs have mostly dried up and he’s looking like a borderline WR3 at best. Sit him against an improving Chicago defense.

T.Y. Hilton v. PIT: Hilton’s roller-coaster ride continued last Sunday with a virtuoso 175-yard 2-TD performance against the Texans, good for 29.5 points, best overall at the position. He’s now packed 78% of his fantasy production into just three games, or one-third of his total 2017 appearances. Though he likely helped win you games those three weeks, you should be highly dubious he can reproduce similar stats against a Pittsburgh team giving up only 14.5 points/game to opposing WRs, or fewer than half what Hilton scored against Houston. Only Jacksonville has been better against the position this season. Here’s something else to consider: In the two games following his previous best efforts (Weeks 4 and 6), Hilton totaled only 4.9 points. Combined. It’s hard sitting someone down after they’ve single-handedly propelled you to victory, but it’s just business. Resist the recency bias and sit T.Y. down against the Steelers Sunday.

Will Fuller @ LAR: Fuller’s unsustainable touchdown rate was ripe for regression to the mean even before Deshaun Watson suffered a torn ACL, though he definitely had me wondering after tacking on two more against a stellar Seattle secondary. Now that Tom Savage is running the show in Houston, it’s safe to wonder whether the former Golden Domer should even be in your lineup, let alone whether he can continue scoring six-pointers. The targets were still there last weekend (eight, matching his season high), but the results looked drastically different (just two catches for 32 yards and no TDs). Savage isn’t close to replacement value for Watson and was spraying the ball all over the place last Sunday. DeAndre Hopkins may be talented enough to stay relevant with a scattershot wingman throwing him pigskins, but I’m not sure Fuller is, especially since he relies so heavily on the deep ball.

Good luck, folks!

Quarterbacks | Running Backs | Wide Receivers