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Daily: Boom or Bust Picks for Week 7

In my Week 4 article, I discussed the importance of choosing consistent performers when building a roster foundation in head-to-head games where the goal is to beat one player as opposed to massive GPP games with tens of thousands of other DFS players. A core group of three or four players who have a track record of providing solid points on a weekly basis will ensure that you have a high probability of keeping pace with your opponent, with the hope that one or two of those players will have a breakout performance and put you over the top.

After building your foundation of consistent skill position players and a quarterback that has an advantageous matchup, you will likely be left with a small budget to use on your third wide receiver, tight end, or second running back, depending on how you allotted your salary cap up to that point. With those remaining players, I like to look for a boom-or-bust option that could pay huge dividends despite their small cost. These players will not make or break your roster due to the fact that you have already built a solid core that should already put you close to your opponent for the win. If they bust, you have already mitigated your risk with quality players at your other roster spots. If they hit, you are riding their wave to a daily fantasy payday.

The following players are low-cost options that can be considered as roster-filling upside plays for Week 7.

WR Michael Floyd, ARZ ($4,900 on FanDuel)

After missing most of the preseason with a gruesome hand injury, Michael Floyd has been the odd man out in the Arizona passing game through the first half of the season. With five catches for 50 yards and a touchdown on eight targets against the Steelers Week 6 and seven targets two weeks ago against the Lions, it appears that even Floyd can be fantasy relevant this season when the Cardinals face off against poor passing defenses.

Fortunately for Floyd owners, Arizona hosts a Baltimore Ravens secondary that is dead last in points allowed to opposing quarterbacks and second to last in points to wide receivers. If the formula holds true for the Detroit and Pittsburgh games, look for Floyd to have at least five targets and a possible touchdown this week.

WR Brandon Coleman, NO ($4,800 on FanDuel)

A preseason sleeper pick after a solid training camp and offseason, Brandon Coleman has been a disappointment this season with nine catches for 113 yards and one touchdown in six games. He played in 35 of the Saints 75 offensive plays against the Falcons last week, but failed to log a single catch as Drew Brees took advantage of Atlanta over the middle with tight end Benjamin Watson.

Willie Snead has emerged as the clear-cut No.2 wide receiver alongside Brandin Cooks, with Coleman a distant third in catches and targets. Despite multiple negatives surrounding Coleman, he is a touchdown dependent play going against a secondary in Indianapolis that has given up the third-most points to opposing wide receivers. The Saints will likely need to score a ton of points to keep pace with the Colts, opening the door for someone as disappointing as Coleman to get into the action. With a salary near the league minimum of $4,500, Coleman is a boom-or-bust play this week for owners looking for a guy who may catch a touchdown with minimal yards.

Vernon Davis

Boom or Bust TE in Week 7: Seattle has given up five touchdowns to tight ends in six games.

TE Vernon Davis, TE SF ($4,800 on FanDuel)

Vernon Davis’ time with the 49ers appears to be coming to an end, as the former first round pick from Maryland has been rumored to be on the trading block and lost his starting role to Garrett Celek last week against the Ravens. Although head coach Jim Tomsula told reporters that Davis is still the starting tight end, Celek played in 12 more offensive snaps than Davis and the long-standing 49er is clearly not a focal point of the offense for the long term.

In the short term he may be a sneaky play on Thursday night against a Seattle team that has struggled against opponents’ tight ends this season. In addition, Anquan Boldin is dealing with a sore hamstring and may miss the game or be limited, which could mean more targets for Davis and Celek.

WR Chris Hogan, WR BUF ($5,100 on FanDuel)

Injuries to Sammy Watkins, Percy Harvin and Marquise Goodwin has opened the door for Chris Hogan to likely receive the starting nod for the Bills as they take on the Jaguars in London on Sunday. When given a chance to play, Hogan has been a fairly productive receiver this year, with two 45-yard, one-touchdown performances. He is not flashy and will not likely give you a 100-yard game. But at just $5,100, Hogan is a nice third WR due to the fact that the Bills have very few receiving options.