Fantasy Football Today - fantasy football rankings, cheatsheets, and information
A Fantasy Football Community!

Create An Account  |  Advertise  |  Contact      

Andrew Swanson | Archive | Email |

2015 Player Outlooks: New York Jets


Geno Smith

Smith has yet to complete more that 60% of his passes or reach 15 or more passing TDs in a season.

QB Geno Smith

(2014 QB Rank – No. 26, 14.9 FPts/G)

Geno Smith enters the 2015 as the starter for the New York Jets in what could be a make-or-break season for the former first round pick from West Virginia. In his first two years in the NFL, Smith has yet to complete more that 60 percent of his passes or reach 15 or more passing touchdowns in a season. From a fantasy perspective, Smith appeared to have some value as a rookie when he rushed for 366 yards and six touchdowns. However, that added value from points on the ground evaporated last year when he managed just one rushing touchdown on 59 attempts. In his rookie season with the team, Smith had a subpar supporting cast of wide receivers and skill position players that undoubtedly made his transition to the NFL difficult. With the addition of veteran wide receiver Brandon Marshall in the off-season to go along with Eric Decker and tight end Jace Amaro, Smith has all the pieces in place to be successful. Now he must prove that he is the quarterback of the future and not another early-round quarterback bust for the Jets.

RB Chris Ivory
(2014 RB Rank – No. 19, 8.5 FPts/G)

Chris Ivory appears to be the lead tailback for the Jets as the team heads into training camp, as free-agent addition and former New England Patriot Stevan Ridley continues to nurse his way back from an ACL and MCL injury. Ivory posted 821 rushing yards and a 4.1 yard per carry average in 2014, but managed to top the century mark only twice in 16 games. He also failed to reach the end zone in 11 of those 16 games. The injury to Ridley will surely give Ivory more opportunities for carries in the early part of the season should Ridley not be able to go, however, the Jets have a crowded backfield that also includes Zac Stacy, who was traded to the Jets from the Rams for a seventh-round pick this spring.

Another factor that could lead to less carries for Ivory is the addition of Chan Gailey as offensive coordinator. Gailey runs a spread offense that incorporates numerous 11, 10 and 00 sets, with one and sometimes no tailback on the field. The scheme usually requires an agile, pass-catching tailback to line up in single-back sets. That type of offense would favor a smaller back like Bilal Powell over a bruiser like Ivory. For these reasons, Ivory should be considered a very low-end number two running back or a flex play this season.

RB Stevan Ridley
(2014 RB Rank – No. 72, 8.0 FPts/G)

Ridley signed free agent deal with the Jets after four seasons with division rival New England. As a member of the patriots, Ridley had a breakout season in 2012 that included 1263 rushing yards and 12 rushing touchdowns. A bad case of fumblitis earned him a spot in Bill Belichick’s doghouse in 2013 and his 2014 campaign ended prematurely with a devastating ACL and MCL tear against the Bills last October. He will be eased back into action by the team in training camp while he recovers from surgery. Once he returns to form, Ridley will join a crowded backfield that includes Chris Ivory, Bilal Powell, and newly acquired former Ram Zac Stacy.

Due to the fact that the Jets have a crowded backfield and a new offensive coordinator in Chan Gailey who runs a spread offense that favors smaller backs like Powell, neither Ridley nor Ivory can be considered a viable starter in fantasy unless one of them earns the clear starting role in camp.

RB Zac Stacy
(2014 RB Rank – No. 68, 5.6 FPts/G)

The Jets traded a seventh round pick to the Rams for Stacy after St. Louis used a first round pick to select tailback Todd Gurley in the 2015 NFL draft. A disgruntled Stacy asked to be traded from what appeared to be a crowded backfield to a team in need of a running back. Unfortunately for Stacy, he was traded to a team with an equally crowded backfield that does not present much of a chance to garner many carries this season. Fantasy owners should not waste a draft pick on Stacy, but keep an eye on him during the regular season should Ivory and Ridley get injured.

WR Brandon Marshall
(2014 WR Rank – No. 33, 9.2 FPts/G)

The veteran wide receiver enters his tenth season in the NFL with his fourth team after an offseason trade that sent Marshall from the Bears to the Jets for draft picks. In two of his three seasons with the Bears, Marshall delivered over 100 catches and at least ten touchdowns while averaging 1350 receiving yards. His third and final season with the Bears was shortened by injuries and the disgruntled wide receiver was sent packing by the new front office in Chicago.

Although Marshall has been a reliable number one fantasy wide receiver for the majority of his tenure in the league, moving to the Jets and receiving passes from Geno Smith will certainly reduce his fantasy prospects for this season. One only needs to look at the reduced performance of Eric Decker who joined the Jets last season after enjoying impressive offensive numbers as a member of the Broncos. Decker posted a career low in touchdowns (as a starter) in his first season as a Jet. It is possible that the spread offensive scheme used by new offensive coordinator Chan Gailey will allow Smith to blossom into a viable NFL quarterback and give Marshall and Decker an opportunity to put up solid points this season. It is also a strong possibility that Smith will continue to struggle, allowing backup Ryan Fitzpatrick to take the reigns of the offense and provide impressive numbers similar to what he did as a member of the Bills in 2011, making Marshall a possible steal in drafts this season.

A third and equally possible scenario is that both quarterbacks struggle and Marshall becomes disgruntled at his lack of production, leading to both frustrated fantasy owners and Jet fans. When taking into account all of these possibilities, it is hard to recommend him more than a mid number-two fantasy wide receiver this season.

WR Eric Decker
(2014 WR Rank – No. 28, 8.4 FPts/G)

As expected, Decker’s production took a big hit in 2014 after two excellent seasons with the Denver Broncos and Peyton Manning. Decker’s production drop was across the board in targets, receptions, yards and receiving touchdowns, as he learned first-hand just how different Geno Smith and the Jets offense is compared to Manning and the Broncos. The addition of Brandon Marshall and new offensive coordinator Chan Gailey will likely help open the door for Decker to receive less coverage from opposing defenses and the new spread offense may lead to more passing overall in New York. Unfortunately, Smith is still the starting quarterback for the team and the backup and possible replacement in Ryan Fitzpatrick is not much better. Look for Decker to provide decent production as a number three wideout in 12-team leagues.

WR Devin Smith
(2014 WR Rank – N/A)

The Jets drafted former Ohio State Buckeye Devin Smith in the second round of the 2015 NFL draft to provide a much-needed deep threat for the offense. Smith was one of the most dynamic downfield threats in college football last season, helping the Buckeyes secure the national championship. Smith will likely be the fourth wide receiver on the team behind starters Decker, Marshall, and Jeremy Kerley, and he will see limited action when he does play. Should one of the three starters get injured, Smith could become an interesting mix and match play for owners looking for a home run threat.

TE – Jace Amaro
(2014 TE Rank – No. 29, 3.6 FPts/G)

Amaro enters 2015 as a possible value pick tight end despite a less than impressive rookie campaign last season. The former Texas Tech Red Raider only caught 38 balls for 345 yards and two touchdowns in 2015, while failing to secure a catch or target in three of his final six games. At 6’5 and 265 lbs, Amaro has the size and quickness to beat opposing linebackers and the height advantage over smaller corners when lined up in the slot. Of all the players who may benefit from Chan Gailey running a spread offense, Amaro may be the leader as he played in a similar offense in college. He may not crack the top-ten for tight ends this season, but he could be a nice streaming option throughout the year.

Defense/Special Teams – Jets
(2014 DST Rank – No. 28, 3.8 FPts/G)

The Jets boast one of the most talented defenses in the NFL, anchored by an impressive defensive line of Muhammad Wilkerson, Damon Harrison and Sheldon Richardson, and a secondary of future hall of fame cornerback Darrelle Revis and Antonio Cromarte. With former Arizona defensive coordinator Todd Bowles taking over for the departed Rex Ryan, the Jets will continue to be a defensive oriented team. The question is whether or not they will create enough turnovers and defensive scores to be a top fantasy defense. A solid real life defense does not always equate to a solid fantasy defense unless the team creates turnovers and scores points on special teams.