Final Score Prediction
Patriots 27, Ravens 20
| Fantasy Player Rankings and Projections by Mike Krueger |
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| New England Patriots |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 1 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 320, 3 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 4 |
BenJarvus Green-Ellis |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 2-10, 0 |
| RB 7 |
Stevan Ridley |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 2-10, 0 |
| WR 2 |
Wes Welker  |
Rec: 8-90, 1 TD |
| WR 8 |
Deion Branch |
Rec: 4-40, 0 TD |
| TE 1 |
Rob Gronkowski |
Rec: 6-80, 1 TD |
| TE 3 |
Aaron Hernandez  |
Rec: 6-70, 1 TD |
| K 2 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 1 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Teams meet for 2nd time in postseason. Ravens defeated Patriots 33-14 in Wild Card on 1/10/10.
 Ravens Advanced to AFC Championship Game for 3rd time in franchise history & 2nd time in past 4 seasons... Seek to reach Super Bowl for 2nd time in club history (SB XXXV)... Ravens have 7-4 (.636) postseason road record... Club is 5-3 under head coach JOHN HARBAUGH in playoffs... Won AFC North title for 1st time since '06... Last week, Ravens posted 1st postseason win at home since 12/31/00... QB Joe Flacco is 1st QB in Super Bowl era to start postseason game in each of 1st 4 seasons starting with rookie season. Incl. postseason, Flacco aims for 50th career win as starter (49-23, .681). In 3 career games vs. NE (incl. postseason), Flacco has completed 58 of 92 passes (63 pct.) for 583 yards with 4 TDs vs. 2 INTs & 86.5 passer rating. Incl. postseason, Ravens are 30-3 (.909) when Flacco has 95+ rating... In 3 career games vs. Patriots (incl. playoffs), RB Ray Rice averages 145.7 scrimmage yards per game (350 rushing, 87 receiving). Rice registered 83-yard TD run in Wild Card vs. NE on 1/10/10, 2nd-longest rush TD in NFL playoff history (FRED TAYLOR, 90-yard rush TD on 1/15/00). Posted NFL-best 2,068 scrimmage yards in '11. Led AFC RBs with 76 receptions this season. Reached 1,200 rush yards for 3rd straight regular season (1,339 in '09, 1,220 in '10, 1,364 in '11). In Week 17, RB Ricky Williams (10,009) became 26th player in NFL history to reach 10,000 career rush yards... WR Anquan Boldin has 24 catches for 325 yards with 3 TDs in 6 career postseason games. Had 4 catches for 63 receiving yards with TD catch in only meeting vs. NE (10/17/10). Rookie WR Torrey Smith tied for 2nd among NFL rookies with 7 TD catches (JULIO JONES, 8) in '11... TE Ed Dickson had career-best in receptions (54), receiving yards (528) & TD catches (5) in '11. TE Kris Wilson has 2 TD catches in past 2 playoff games... Defense led AFC w/ 48 sacks in '11... Ravens have registered 32 postseason INTs since 2000, most in NFL... Bal. has posted 12 sacks & 6 INTs in past 4 games against NE (incl. postseason)... Defense allowed 3rd-fewest yards per game (288.9) & points per game (16.6) this season... LB Ray Lewis will play in 17th career postseason game (10-6). LB Terrell Suggs (10) needs 1 sack to become 6th player in NFL history to reach 11 career postseason sacks. Led AFC with 14 sacks in '11, 3rd-most in season in franchise history (PETER BOULWARE, 15 in '01; MICHAEL MC CRARY, 14.5 in '98)... DT Haloti Ngata had 2 sacks in last meeting vs. Patriots... S Ed Reed (8) needs INT to tie Pro Football HOFer RONNIE LOTT (9), BILL SIMPSON & CHARLIE WATERS for most INTs in playoff history ... CB Lardarius Webb tied franchise single-game postseason record with 2 INTs last week. Had career-best 5 INTs in '11... Club had 7 players selected to 2012 Pro Bowl (FB Vonta Leach, LB Lewis, DT Ngata, S Reed, RB Rice, LB Suggs, & G MARSHAL YANDA).
 Patriots Have 3-0 record at home in AFC Championship Game... Seek to reach Super Bowl for 7th time in franchise history... Incl. postseason, Patriots have 4-1 record at home vs. Ravens... With win last week, head coach BILL BELICHICK & QB Tom Brady (15 wins) surpassed HOFers CHUCK NOLL & TERRY BRADSHAW (14) of Pit. for most wins by QB-head coach duo. Belichick tied Noll (16) for 4th-most playoff wins all-time last week... Brady (4,770) needs 195 passing yards to surpass HOFer JOHN ELWAY (4,964) for 4th-most postseason passing yards in NFL history. Brady (6) tied HOFer STEVE YOUNG & DARYLE LAMONICA for most TD passes in game in NFL history last week. Brady (36) needs 4 TD passes to join HOFer JOE MONTANA (45) & BRETT FAVRE (44) as only QBs to reach 40 postseason TD passes all-time. Has thrown TD pass in 18 consecutive postseason games, 2nd-longest streak in NFL history (Favre, 20). Has 15-5 (.750) playoff record, best postseason record as starting QB in NFL history (min. 15 starts). Has 9-2 record at home in playoffs. Brady had 5,235 passing yards in '11, 2nd-most passing yards in season in NFL history, trailing only DREW BREES (5,476) in '11... RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis reached 10+ rush TDs in consecutive seasons (13 in '10; 11 in '11)... WR Wes Welker has 40 receptions in 5 career playoff games. Welker joined CRIS CARTER (122 in '94 & '95) as only players to have 120+ receptions twice in career (123 in '09; 122 in '11). Joined HOFer JERRY RICE & MARVIN HARRISON as only players to have 4 100-catch seasons. WR Deion Branch (773) posted 85 receiving yards last week & surpassed TROY BROWN (694) for most career postseason receiving yards in Patriots history. Had 9 catches for 98 receiving yards with TD catch in last game vs. Ravens (10/17/10)... TE Rob Gronkowski had 3 TD catches last week, tied for most in postseason game in NFL history. Gronkowski set single-season record for TEs in receiving yards (1,327) & TD receptions (17) in '11. Became 1st TE in NFL history to lead league in TD catches. TE Aaron Hernandez totaled 116 scrimmage yards (61 rushing, 55 receiving) with 1 TD reception last week. Had career-best in catches (79), receiving yards (910) & TDs (7) in '11... Defense has posted 52 postseason sacks since 2000, 2nd-most in NFL during span (Pit., 53)... LB Jerod Mayo led club with 95 tackles in '11... LB Rob Ninkovich & DT Vince Wilfork posted 1.5 sacks apiece last week. Ninkovich had career-best 6.5 sacks this season... CB Kyle Arrington tied for NFL-best with 7 INTs. Patriots tied for NFL-best with 8 Pro Bowl players (QB Brady, DE Andre Carter, TE Gronkowski, G Logan Mankins, ST MATTHEW SLATER, G Brian Waters, WR Welker & DT Wilfork).
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Results and Schedule
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| New England Patriots |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2011-09-12 |
MIA |
A |
W 38-24 |
+14 |
| 2 |
2011-09-18 |
SD |
H |
W 35-21 |
+14 |
| 3 |
2011-09-25 |
BUF |
A |
L 31-34 |
-3 |
| 4 |
2011-10-02 |
OAK |
A |
W 31-19 |
+12 |
| 5 |
2011-10-09 |
NYJ |
H |
W 30-21 |
+9 |
| 6 |
2011-10-16 |
DAL |
H |
W 20-16 |
+4 |
| 7 |
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Bye |
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| 8 |
2011-10-30 |
PIT |
A |
L 17-25 |
-8 |
| 9 |
2011-11-06 |
NYG |
H |
L 20-24 |
-4 |
| 10 |
2011-11-13 |
NYJ |
A |
W 37-16 |
+21 |
| 11 |
2011-11-21 |
KC |
H |
W 34-3 |
+31 |
| 12 |
2011-11-27 |
PHI |
A |
W 38-20 |
+18 |
| 13 |
2011-12-04 |
IND |
H |
W 31-24 |
+7 |
| 14 |
2011-12-11 |
WAS |
A |
W 34-27 |
+7 |
| 15 |
2011-12-18 |
DEN |
A |
W 41-23 |
+18 |
| 16 |
2011-12-24 |
MIA |
H |
W 27-24 |
+3 |
| 17 |
2012-01-01 |
BUF |
H |
W 49-21 |
+28 |
| WC |
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Bye |
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| DP |
2012-01-14 |
DEN |
H |
W 45-10 |
+35 |
| CC |
2012-01-22 |
BAL |
H |
W 23-20 |
+3 |
| SB |
2012-02-05 |
NYG |
H |
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Offense Stats Comparison
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BAL
Offense |
NE
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
21.0 |
36.0 |
22.4 |
NE |
| Rushing yards |
155.3 |
110.0 |
121.7 |
BAL |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.76 |
3.72 |
4.37 |
BAL |
| Completion % |
63.2% |
66.2% |
60.0% |
NE |
| Passing yards |
161.5 |
324.3 |
225.9 |
NE |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.00 |
12.96 |
11.25 |
NE |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.32 |
8.58 |
6.75 |
NE |
| Interceptions |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
NE |
| Fumbles lost |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
NE |
| Sacks allowed |
1.3 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
BAL |
| 3rd down conversions |
47.2% |
48.6% |
37.1% |
NE |
| 4th down conversions |
33.3% |
66.7% |
40.2% |
NE |
| Time of possession |
32:21 |
29:33 |
30:12 |
BAL |
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Defense Stats Comparison
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BAL
Defense |
NE
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
12.5 |
23.0 |
22.4 |
BAL |
| Rushing yards |
88.8 |
124.0 |
121.7 |
BAL |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
3.93 |
5.10 |
4.37 |
BAL |
| Completion % |
54.8% |
60.3% |
60.0% |
BAL |
| Passing yards |
165.3 |
295.0 |
225.9 |
BAL |
| Passing yards per completion |
9.51 |
12.98 |
11.25 |
BAL |
| Passing yards per attempt |
5.21 |
7.83 |
6.75 |
BAL |
| INT return |
0.8 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
NE |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.0 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
NE |
| Sacks |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
- |
| 3rd down conversions |
30.0% |
43.1% |
37.1% |
BAL |
| 4th down conversions |
55.6% |
42.9% |
40.2% |
NE |
| Time of possession |
27:40 |
30:27 |
30:12 |
BAL |
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Special Teams Stats Comparison
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BAL |
NE |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
13.6 |
6.8 |
9.2 |
BAL |
| Yards per kick return |
22.3 |
21.6 |
23.6 |
BAL |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
18.3 |
9.2 |
9.2 |
NE |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
25.9 |
19.8 |
23.6 |
NE |
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Misc Stats Comparison
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BAL |
NE |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
4.3 |
3.8 |
6.1 |
NE |
| Penalty yards |
34.0 |
36.8 |
51.9 |
BAL |
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 12 to 17 of the 2011 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 12 to 17 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| Baltimore Ravens vs. New England Patriots |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2004 |
12 |
2004-11-28 |
BAL |
NE |
3-24 |
NE |
| 2007 |
13 |
2007-12-03 |
NE |
BAL |
27-24 |
NE |
| 2009 |
4 |
2009-10-04 |
BAL |
NE |
21-27 |
NE |
| 2009 |
WC |
2010-01-10 |
BAL |
NE |
33-14 |
BAL |
| 2010 |
6 |
2010-10-17 |
BAL |
NE |
20-23 |
NE |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. WC = Wild-Card
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