Final Score Prediction
Patriots 27, Colts 10
Fantasy Player Rankings and Projections by Mike Krueger |
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New England Patriots |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 6 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 290, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 19 |
BenJarvus Green-Ellis |
Rush: 70, 1 TD Rec: 2-10, 0 |
RB 46 |
Stevan Ridley |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
WR 2 |
Wes Welker |
Rec: 9-100, 1 TD |
WR 55 |
Deion Branch |
Rec: 4-40, 0 TD |
TE 1 |
Rob Gronkowski |
Rec: 7-70, 1 TD |
TE 13 |
Aaron Hernandez |
Rec: 4-50, 0 TD |
K 10 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 3 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Colts QB Dan Orlovsky will make 1st start since 12/28/08 with Detroit. Orlovsky completed 7 of 10 passes (70 pct.) for 67 yards with 88.3 rating last week... RB Joseph Addai had rush TD in last meeting vs. NE. RB Donald Brown had season-best 80 rush yards last week (5.7 avg.)... WR Reggie Wayne had season-best 122 rec. yards last week. Wayne (47) needs 3 catches to have at least 50 rec. for 9th consecutive season. Wayne has 18 catches for 233 rec. yards with 3 TDs in past 2 vs. Patriots. WR Pierre Garcon (655) needs 130 rec. yards to surpass career-best of 784 in '10... TE Jacob Tamme had season-best in catches (6) & rec. yards (75) last game... DE Dwight Freeney (99.5) needs half sack to become 26th player with 100 career since stat became official in '82... DE Robert Mathis (79.5) needs half sack to reach 80 career. Mathis seeks 3rd straight game with sack... LB Pat Angerer leads team with 111 tackles. Angerer recorded 1st sack of season last week.
Patriots Aim for 8th consecutive win in Dec... Incl. postseason, NE is 9-6 vs. Colts under head coach BILL BELICHICK...Have totaled 109 points in past 3 games (36.3 avg.)... QB Tom Brady (119) needs win to surpass HOFer JOHNNY UNITAS (119) for 6th-most regular-season wins by starting QB in NFL history. In past 3, Brady has passed for 924 yards with 8 TDs vs. 0 INTs & 121.4 passer rating. Had 41st 300-yard passing game last week. Brady (289) needs 3 TD passes to top HOFers Unitas (290) & WARREN MOON (291) for 6th-most TD passes in NFL history... RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis has 20 rush TDs since '10, tied for 3rd-most in NFL... WR Wes Welker (5,679) needs 48 rec. yards to surpass IRVING FRYAR (5,726) for 3rd-most in club annals. Posted 3rd game of season with at least 100+ rec. yards & 2 TDs last week... Since entering in NFL in '10, TE Rob Gronkowski (21) ranks 2nd in league with 21 TD rec. (CALVIN JOHNSON, 24). Has 6 TD rec. in past 4... LB Rob Ninkovich aims for 3rd straight game with sack... CB Kyle Arrington has NFL-best 7 INTs in '11.
Results and Schedule
Indianapolis Colts |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2011-09-11 |
HOU |
A |
L 7-34 |
-27 |
2 |
2011-09-18 |
CLE |
H |
L 19-27 |
-8 |
3 |
2011-09-25 |
PIT |
H |
L 20-23 |
-3 |
4 |
2011-10-03 |
TB |
A |
L 17-24 |
-7 |
5 |
2011-10-09 |
KC |
H |
L 24-28 |
-4 |
6 |
2011-10-16 |
CIN |
A |
L 17-27 |
-10 |
7 |
2011-10-23 |
NO |
A |
L 7-62 |
-55 |
8 |
2011-10-30 |
TEN |
A |
L 10-27 |
-17 |
9 |
2011-11-06 |
ATL |
H |
L 7-31 |
-24 |
10 |
2011-11-13 |
JAC |
H |
L 3-17 |
-14 |
11 |
|
Bye |
|
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|
12 |
2011-11-27 |
CAR |
H |
L 19-27 |
-8 |
13 |
2011-12-04 |
NE |
A |
L 24-31 |
-7 |
14 |
2011-12-11 |
BAL |
A |
|
|
15 |
2011-12-18 |
TEN |
H |
|
|
16 |
2011-12-22 |
HOU |
H |
|
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17 |
2012-01-01 |
JAC |
A |
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New England Patriots |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2011-09-12 |
MIA |
A |
W 38-24 |
+14 |
2 |
2011-09-18 |
SD |
H |
W 35-21 |
+14 |
3 |
2011-09-25 |
BUF |
A |
L 31-34 |
-3 |
4 |
2011-10-02 |
OAK |
A |
W 31-19 |
+12 |
5 |
2011-10-09 |
NYJ |
H |
W 30-21 |
+9 |
6 |
2011-10-16 |
DAL |
H |
W 20-16 |
+4 |
7 |
|
Bye |
|
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|
8 |
2011-10-30 |
PIT |
A |
L 17-25 |
-8 |
9 |
2011-11-06 |
NYG |
H |
L 20-24 |
-4 |
10 |
2011-11-13 |
NYJ |
A |
W 37-16 |
+21 |
11 |
2011-11-21 |
KC |
H |
W 34-3 |
+31 |
12 |
2011-11-27 |
PHI |
A |
W 38-20 |
+18 |
13 |
2011-12-04 |
IND |
H |
W 31-24 |
+7 |
14 |
2011-12-11 |
WAS |
A |
|
|
15 |
2011-12-18 |
DEN |
A |
|
|
16 |
2011-12-24 |
MIA |
H |
|
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17 |
2012-01-01 |
BUF |
H |
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Offense Stats Comparison
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IND Offense |
NE Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
8.0 |
30.3 |
21.1 |
NE |
Rushing yards |
114.7 |
90.0 |
118.4 |
IND |
Rushing yards per attempt |
5.04 |
3.48 |
4.25 |
IND |
Completion % |
55.6% |
63.6% |
59.6% |
NE |
Passing yards |
149.7 |
294.7 |
217.7 |
NE |
Passing yards per completion |
8.74 |
12.03 |
10.92 |
NE |
Passing yards per attempt |
4.86 |
7.65 |
6.51 |
NE |
Interceptions |
1.7 |
0.0 |
1.1 |
NE |
Fumbles lost |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
NE |
Sacks allowed |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
- |
3rd down conversions |
28.8% |
35.5% |
37.5% |
NE |
4th down conversions |
25.0% |
75.0% |
43.2% |
NE |
Time of possession |
23:36 |
29:34 |
30:17 |
NE |
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Defense Stats Comparison
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IND Defense |
NE Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
28.3 |
20.0 |
21.1 |
NE |
Rushing yards |
168.3 |
106.3 |
118.4 |
NE |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.50 |
4.27 |
4.25 |
NE |
Completion % |
72.9% |
59.2% |
59.6% |
NE |
Passing yards |
220.0 |
282.3 |
217.7 |
IND |
Passing yards per completion |
10.70 |
11.50 |
10.92 |
IND |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.79 |
6.80 |
6.51 |
NE |
INT return |
0.3 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
NE |
Fumble recoveries |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
NE |
Sacks |
1.7 |
3.3 |
2.3 |
NE |
3rd down conversions |
47.0% |
41.4% |
37.5% |
NE |
4th down conversions |
0.0% |
33.3% |
43.2% |
IND |
Time of possession |
36:24 |
30:26 |
30:17 |
NE |
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Special Teams Stats Comparison
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IND |
NE |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
2.5 |
11.6 |
10.1 |
NE |
Yards per kick return |
16.1 |
19.3 |
23.4 |
NE |
Yards allowed per punt return |
7.7 |
9.5 |
10.1 |
IND |
Yards allowed per kick return |
37.8 |
20.4 |
23.4 |
NE |
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Misc Stats Comparison
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IND |
NE |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
6.3 |
5.3 |
6.7 |
NE |
Penalty yards |
40.3 |
45.7 |
56.9 |
IND |
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 7 to 12 of the 2011 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 7 to 12 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
6 |
2000-10-08 |
IND |
NE |
16-24 |
NE |
2000 |
8 |
2000-10-22 |
NE |
IND |
23-30 |
IND |
2001 |
3 |
2001-09-30 |
IND |
NE |
13-44 |
NE |
2001 |
6 |
2001-10-21 |
NE |
IND |
38-17 |
NE |
2003 |
13 |
2003-11-30 |
NE |
IND |
38-34 |
NE |
2004 |
1 |
2004-09-09 |
IND |
NE |
24-27 |
NE |
2004 |
DP |
2005-01-16 |
IND |
NE |
3-20 |
NE |
2005 |
9 |
2005-11-07 |
IND |
NE |
40-21 |
IND |
2006 |
9 |
2006-11-05 |
IND |
NE |
27-20 |
IND |
2006 |
CF |
2007-01-21 |
NE |
IND |
34-38 |
IND |
2007 |
9 |
2007-11-04 |
NE |
IND |
24-20 |
NE |
2008 |
9 |
2008-11-02 |
NE |
IND |
15-18 |
IND |
2009 |
10 |
2009-11-15 |
NE |
IND |
34-35 |
IND |
2010 |
11 |
2010-11-21 |
IND |
NE |
28-31 |
NE |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. DP = Divisional Playoff CF = Conference Final
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