Final Score Prediction
Patriots 30, Bills 20
Fantasy Player Rankings and Projections by Mike Krueger |
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New England Patriots |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 2 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 320, 3 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 37 |
Stevan Ridley |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
RB 43 |
BenJarvus Green-Ellis |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 2-10, 0 |
RB 51 |
Danny Woodhead |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
WR 1 |
Wes Welker |
Rec: 10-110, 1 TD |
WR 74 |
Deion Branch |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
TE 1 |
Rob Gronkowski |
Rec: 6-80, 1 TD |
TE 7 |
Aaron Hernandez |
Rec: 5-60, 1 TD |
K 1 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 3/3 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 13 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Bills QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (3,525) needs 175 passing yards to join DREW BLEDSOE (4,359 in '02) & HOFer JIM KELLY (3,844 in '91) as only Bills QBs to reach 3,700 in season. Had 369 passing yards in last game vs. NE, 2nd-most in NFL career... RB C.J. Spiller posted 1st 100-yard rushing game (111) last week. Spiller is averaging 6.1 yards per carry in past 4 in Dec. Has 3 rush TDs in past 4. WR Steve Johnson (964) needs 36 rec. yards to reach 1,000 for 2nd consecutive season (1,073 in '10). WR David Nelson had career-high 84 rec. yards in last game vs. Patriots... TE Scott Chandler (6) needs TD rec. to surpass PETE METZELAARS (6 in '92) & JAY RIEMERSMA (6 in '98) for most TD catches by TE in season in Bills history... Defense registered 4 INTs in last game vs. NE... Bills tied team record with 3 return TDs last week - PR-TD by Leodis McKelvin & INT-TD returns by Jairus Byrd & Spencer Johnson... LB Chris Kelsay has 3 sacks in past 2.
Patriots Aim for 11th straight win against Bills at home... NE averages AFC-best 30.9 points per game... QB Tom Brady (4,897) needs 103 passing yards to join DREW BREES (5,087 in'11; 5,069 in '08) & HOFer DAN MARINO (5,084 in '84) as only players to reach 5,000 in season. Brady (297) needs 3 TD passes to tie HOFer JOHN ELWAY (300) for 5th-most TD passes in NFL history. Brady aims for 12th consecutive win at home vs. AFC East. Has thrown at least 1 TD pass in 31 straight games... RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis (9) needs rush TD to record 10+ rush TDs in consecutive seasons (13 in '10)... WR Wes Welker (116; 123 in '09) needs 4 catches to join CRIS CARTER (122 in '94 & '95) as only players to have 120+ receptions twice in career. Welker aims to become 1st player to lead NFL in catches & receiving yards in season since ANDRE JOHNSON in '08... TE Rob Gronkowski (1,219) surpassed TE BEN COATES (1,174) for most rec. yards by TE in season in NE history. Has 5 TD catches in 3 career games vs. Bills... LB Rob Ninkovich has 5 sacks in past 6 games.
Offense Stats Comparison
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BUF Offense |
NE Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
18.5 |
34.3 |
22.1 |
NE |
Rushing yards |
99.8 |
110.8 |
118.8 |
NE |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.38 |
3.70 |
4.25 |
BUF |
Completion % |
57.1% |
64.8% |
59.7% |
NE |
Passing yards |
232.3 |
309.0 |
224.3 |
NE |
Passing yards per completion |
10.26 |
12.94 |
11.31 |
NE |
Passing yards per attempt |
5.85 |
8.39 |
6.75 |
NE |
Interceptions |
1.3 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
NE |
Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
- |
Sacks allowed |
1.8 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
- |
3rd down conversions |
24.7% |
45.3% |
36.9% |
NE |
4th down conversions |
30.0% |
80.0% |
42.0% |
NE |
Time of possession |
30:15 |
29:16 |
30:13 |
BUF |
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Defense Stats Comparison
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BUF Defense |
NE Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
29.0 |
22.8 |
22.1 |
NE |
Rushing yards |
152.0 |
128.8 |
118.8 |
NE |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.93 |
5.00 |
4.25 |
BUF |
Completion % |
58.0% |
60.5% |
59.7% |
BUF |
Passing yards |
168.3 |
273.3 |
224.3 |
BUF |
Passing yards per completion |
10.84 |
12.81 |
11.31 |
BUF |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.29 |
7.75 |
6.75 |
BUF |
INT return |
0.3 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
NE |
Fumble recoveries |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
- |
Sacks |
1.5 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
NE |
3rd down conversions |
33.8% |
45.6% |
36.9% |
BUF |
4th down conversions |
71.4% |
33.3% |
42.0% |
NE |
Time of possession |
29:46 |
30:45 |
30:13 |
BUF |
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Special Teams Stats Comparison
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BUF |
NE |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
18.3 |
11.3 |
9.9 |
BUF |
Yards per kick return |
25.2 |
22.1 |
23.9 |
BUF |
Yards allowed per punt return |
12.6 |
13.4 |
9.9 |
BUF |
Yards allowed per kick return |
19.3 |
18.9 |
23.9 |
NE |
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Misc Stats Comparison
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BUF |
NE |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
5.5 |
3.5 |
6.3 |
NE |
Penalty yards |
49.0 |
29.3 |
53.0 |
NE |
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 11 to 16 of the 2011 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 11 to 16 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
10 |
2000-11-05 |
BUF |
NE |
16-13 |
BUF |
2000 |
16 |
2000-12-17 |
NE |
BUF |
13-10 |
NE |
2001 |
9 |
2001-11-11 |
BUF |
NE |
11-21 |
NE |
2001 |
14 |
2001-12-16 |
NE |
BUF |
12-9 |
NE |
2002 |
9 |
2002-11-03 |
NE |
BUF |
38-7 |
NE |
2002 |
14 |
2002-12-08 |
BUF |
NE |
17-27 |
NE |
2003 |
1 |
2003-09-07 |
NE |
BUF |
0-31 |
BUF |
2003 |
17 |
2003-12-27 |
BUF |
NE |
0-31 |
NE |
2004 |
4 |
2004-10-03 |
NE |
BUF |
31-17 |
NE |
2004 |
10 |
2004-11-14 |
BUF |
NE |
6-29 |
NE |
2005 |
8 |
2005-10-30 |
BUF |
NE |
16-21 |
NE |
2005 |
14 |
2005-12-11 |
NE |
BUF |
35-7 |
NE |
2006 |
1 |
2006-09-10 |
BUF |
NE |
17-19 |
NE |
2006 |
7 |
2006-10-22 |
NE |
BUF |
28-6 |
NE |
2007 |
3 |
2007-09-23 |
BUF |
NE |
7-38 |
NE |
2007 |
11 |
2007-11-18 |
NE |
BUF |
56-10 |
NE |
2008 |
10 |
2008-11-09 |
BUF |
NE |
10-20 |
NE |
2008 |
17 |
2008-12-28 |
NE |
BUF |
13-0 |
NE |
2009 |
1 |
2009-09-14 |
BUF |
NE |
24-25 |
NE |
2009 |
15 |
2009-12-20 |
NE |
BUF |
17-10 |
NE |
2010 |
3 |
2010-09-26 |
BUF |
NE |
30-38 |
NE |
2010 |
16 |
2010-12-26 |
NE |
BUF |
34-3 |
NE |
2011 |
3 |
2011-09-25 |
NE |
BUF |
31-34 |
BUF |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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