Prediction: Patriots 27, Dolphins 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| New England Patriots |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 12 |
Tom Brady  |
Pass: 290, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 33 |
Stevan Ridley |
Rush: 60, 1 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| RB 34 |
Shane Vereen |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 6-40, 0 |
| RB 65 |
Brandon Bolden |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| WR 11 |
Julian Edelman |
Rec: 6-80, 1 TD |
| WR 64 |
Danny Amendola |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| WR 75 |
Kenbrell Thompkins |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
| WR 96 |
Aaron Dobson |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
| TE 4 |
Rob Gronkowski   |
Rec: 6-60, 1 TD |
| K 3 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 10 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| Miami Dolphins |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 14 |
Ryan Tannehill |
Pass: 260, 2 TD Rush: 10, 0 |
| RB 32 |
Knowshon Moreno |
Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
| RB 36 |
Lamar Miller |
Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| WR 28 |
Mike Wallace |
Rec: 6-70, 0 TD |
| WR 37 |
Brian Hartline |
Rec: 4-60, 1 TD |
| WR 82 |
Brandon Gibson |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
| TE 16 |
Charles Clay |
Rec: 4-40, 1 TD |
| K 23 |
Caleb Sturgis |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 25 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Patriots Have 10+ wins in 11 consecutive seasons, 2nd-longest streak in NFL history (1983-98 49ers, 16)... Head coach BILL BELICHICK (199) needs 1 win to become 6th coach in NFL history with 200 regular-season wins... QB Tom Brady has 11 division titles, most by starting QB in NFL history. Brady's 148 regular-season wins are tied for 3rd-most all-time by starting QB. For career, Brady is 17-7 vs. Dolphins & has 42 TDs vs. 20 INTs & 89.8 rating. Brady (49,149) needs 177 pass yards to surpass HOFer WARREN MOON (49,325) for 6th all-time... Since 2012, RB Stevan Ridley ranks 1st in AFC with 19 rush TDs. Averages 4.5 yards/att. (2,477 yards, 555 att.), highest avg. in club history (min. 500 att.). Has 4 rush TDs in past 4 vs. Mia... In 2013, Julian Edelman led NE in rec. (105) & rec. yards (1,056), both career-highs. Joined WES WELKER & TROY BROWN as only players in club history with 100 catches in season. In last meeting, had career-high 139 yards & 13 catches with TD. TE Rob Gronkowski has TD catch in 4 of past 5... S Devin McCourty has 2 career INTs vs. Mia. In past 4 vs. Dolphins, CB Darrelle Revis has 3 INTs, including 100-yard TD, FF & FR.
 Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill had career-highs in pass yards (3,913) & TDs (24) in 2013. Has passed for 7,207 career yards, 5th-most in 1st 2 seasons in NFL history. Only Dolphins QB to pass for 3,000+ yards in each of 1st 2 career seasons. In last meeting, passed for 312 yards with 3 TDs & 0 INTs for 120.6 rating... In past 2 vs. NE, RB Lamar Miller has 173 scrim. yards (150 rush, 23 rec.)... In 4 career games vs. NE, WR Mike Wallace has 352 rec. yards (88/game) & 3 TDs. Had 105 yards & 39-yard TD catch in last meeting. WR Brian Hartline has posted 1,000+ rec. yards in back-to-back seasons & can become 1st Dolphin to do so in 3 consecutive years. Hartline (3,769) needs 231 rec. yards to become 7th player in club history to reach 4,000 career. Aims for 7th in row with 4+ catches vs. NE... DE Cameron Wake ranks 4th in club history with 51.5 sacks & needs 5.5 to surpass TRACE ARMSTRONG (56.5) for 3rd in team annals. Has 4.5 sacks in past 6 vs. NE. LB Olivier Vernon led team with 11.5 sacks in 2013. Has 5 sacks in past 6 vs. AFC East... S MICHAEL THOMAS had 1st career INT in last meeting.
Results and Schedule
| New England Patriots |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-07 |
MIA |
A |
|
|
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
MIN |
A |
|
|
| 3 |
2014-09-21 |
OAK |
H |
|
|
| 4 |
2014-09-29 |
KC |
A |
|
|
| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
CIN |
H |
|
|
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
BUF |
A |
|
|
| 7 |
2014-10-16 |
NYJ |
H |
|
|
| 8 |
2014-10-26 |
CHI |
H |
|
|
| 9 |
2014-11-02 |
DEN |
H |
|
|
| 10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 11 |
2014-11-16 |
IND |
A |
|
|
| 12 |
2014-11-23 |
DET |
H |
|
|
| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
GB |
A |
|
|
| 14 |
2014-12-07 |
SD |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2014-12-21 |
NYJ |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
| Miami Dolphins |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-07 |
NE |
H |
|
|
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
BUF |
A |
|
|
| 3 |
2014-09-21 |
KC |
H |
|
|
| 4 |
2014-09-28 |
OAK |
A |
|
|
| 5 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
GB |
H |
|
|
| 7 |
2014-10-19 |
CHI |
A |
|
|
| 8 |
2014-10-26 |
JAC |
A |
|
|
| 9 |
2014-11-02 |
SD |
H |
|
|
| 10 |
2014-11-09 |
DET |
A |
|
|
| 11 |
2014-11-13 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
| 12 |
2014-11-23 |
DEN |
A |
|
|
| 13 |
2014-12-01 |
NYJ |
A |
|
|
| 14 |
2014-12-07 |
BAL |
H |
|
|
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
NE |
A |
|
|
| 16 |
2014-12-21 |
MIN |
H |
|
|
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
NYJ |
H |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
NE
Offense |
MIA
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
32.3 |
17.5 |
23.4 |
NE |
| Rushing yards |
110.5 |
89.5 |
116.8 |
NE |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.47 |
4.13 |
4.26 |
NE |
| Completion % |
63.3% |
58.3% |
61.2% |
NE |
| Passing yards |
301.0 |
238.0 |
228.9 |
NE |
| Passing yards per completion |
10.93 |
10.29 |
10.71 |
NE |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.92 |
6.00 |
6.56 |
NE |
| Interceptions |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
NE |
| Fumbles lost |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
MIA |
| Sacks allowed |
1.8 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
NE |
| 3rd down conversions |
40.5% |
34.5% |
38.3% |
NE |
| 4th down conversions |
50.0% |
16.7% |
50.5% |
NE |
| Time of possession |
32:19 |
28:50 |
30:22 |
NE |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
NE
Defense |
MIA
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
25.3 |
19.8 |
23.4 |
MIA |
| Rushing yards |
129.8 |
121.3 |
116.8 |
MIA |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.75 |
4.13 |
4.26 |
MIA |
| Completion % |
58.3% |
57.3% |
61.2% |
MIA |
| Passing yards |
253.5 |
223.5 |
228.9 |
MIA |
| Passing yards per completion |
12.06 |
10.89 |
10.71 |
MIA |
| Passing yards per attempt |
7.03 |
6.24 |
6.56 |
MIA |
| INT return |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
MIA |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
NE |
| Sacks |
2.8 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
NE |
| 3rd down conversions |
41.5% |
39.2% |
38.3% |
MIA |
| 4th down conversions |
11.1% |
50.0% |
50.5% |
NE |
| Time of possession |
28:57 |
31:10 |
30:22 |
NE |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
NE |
MIA |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
8.3 |
7.7 |
9.5 |
NE |
| Yards per kick return |
26.4 |
18.6 |
23.1 |
NE |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
5.3 |
5.7 |
9.5 |
NE |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
21.8 |
22.4 |
23.1 |
NE |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
NE |
MIA |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
4.0 |
5.0 |
5.9 |
NE |
| Penalty yards |
27.5 |
34.8 |
50.2 |
NE |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 12 to 17 of the 2013 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 12 to 17 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
4 |
2000-09-24 |
NE |
MIA |
3-10 |
MIA |
| 2000 |
17 |
2000-12-24 |
MIA |
NE |
27-24 |
MIA |
| 2001 |
4 |
2001-10-07 |
NE |
MIA |
10-30 |
MIA |
| 2001 |
15 |
2001-12-22 |
MIA |
NE |
13-20 |
NE |
| 2002 |
5 |
2002-10-06 |
NE |
MIA |
13-26 |
MIA |
| 2002 |
17 |
2002-12-29 |
MIA |
NE |
24-27 |
NE |
| 2003 |
7 |
2003-10-19 |
NE |
MIA |
19-13 |
NE |
| 2003 |
14 |
2003-12-07 |
MIA |
NE |
0-12 |
NE |
| 2004 |
5 |
2004-10-10 |
MIA |
NE |
10-24 |
NE |
| 2004 |
15 |
2004-12-20 |
NE |
MIA |
28-29 |
MIA |
| 2005 |
10 |
2005-11-13 |
NE |
MIA |
23-16 |
NE |
| 2005 |
17 |
2006-01-01 |
MIA |
NE |
28-26 |
MIA |
| 2006 |
5 |
2006-10-08 |
MIA |
NE |
10-20 |
NE |
| 2006 |
14 |
2006-12-10 |
NE |
MIA |
0-21 |
MIA |
| 2007 |
7 |
2007-10-21 |
NE |
MIA |
49-28 |
NE |
| 2007 |
16 |
2007-12-23 |
MIA |
NE |
7-28 |
NE |
| 2008 |
3 |
2008-09-21 |
MIA |
NE |
38-13 |
MIA |
| 2008 |
12 |
2008-11-23 |
NE |
MIA |
48-28 |
NE |
| 2009 |
9 |
2009-11-08 |
MIA |
NE |
17-27 |
NE |
| 2009 |
13 |
2009-12-06 |
NE |
MIA |
21-22 |
MIA |
| 2010 |
4 |
2010-10-04 |
NE |
MIA |
41-14 |
NE |
| 2010 |
17 |
2011-01-02 |
MIA |
NE |
7-38 |
NE |
| 2011 |
1 |
2011-09-12 |
NE |
MIA |
38-24 |
NE |
| 2011 |
16 |
2011-12-24 |
MIA |
NE |
24-27 |
NE |
| 2012 |
13 |
2012-12-02 |
NE |
MIA |
23-16 |
NE |
| 2012 |
17 |
2012-12-30 |
MIA |
NE |
0-28 |
NE |
| 2013 |
8 |
2013-10-27 |
MIA |
NE |
17-27 |
NE |
| 2013 |
15 |
2013-12-15 |
NE |
MIA |
20-24 |
MIA |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
|
