Prediction: Falcons 24, Buccaneers 17
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 31 |
Josh McCown  |
Pass: 200, 1 TD Rush: 10, 0 |
| RB 26 |
Doug Martin   |
Rush: 55, 0 TD Rec: 2-15, 0 |
| RB 32 |
Bobby Rainey |
Rush: 55, 0 TD Rec: 2-15, 0 |
| WR 29 |
Vincent Jackson |
Rec: 6-75, 0 TD |
| WR 56 |
Mike Evans |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| WR 91 |
Chris Owusu |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
| TE 26 |
Brandon Myers |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
| K 30 |
Patrick Murray |
FG: 1/1 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 21 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| Atlanta Falcons |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 6 |
Matt Ryan |
Pass: 280, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 35 |
Steven Jackson |
Rush: 55, 0 TD Rec: 2-10, 0 |
| RB 53 |
Jacquizz Rodgers |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 1-5, 0 |
| WR 2 |
Julio Jones |
Rec: 7-95, 1 TD |
| WR 22 |
Roddy White |
Rec: 5-60, 1 TD |
| WR 69 |
Harry Douglas |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
| WR 77 |
Devin Hester |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
| TE 22 |
Levine Toilolo |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
| K 16 |
Matt Bryant |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 16 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Buccaneers In last start vs. Atl. (9/26/04 with Az.), QB Josh McCown had 76.9 comp. pct. (20 of 26) & 97.9 rating. Tied career-high with 2 rush TDs last week... RB Doug Martin has 3 rush TDs in past 3 meetings. In past 2 vs. Atl., has rushed for 189 yards (94.5 per game). In last meeting, RB Bobby Rainey had career-high 163 rush yards & scored 3 TDs (2 rush, 1 rec.). Rushed for 144 yards last week... In past 2 vs. Atl., WR Vincent Jackson has 20 catches for 303 yards (151.5 per game) & 3 TDs. Among active players (min. 200 catches), has NFL-best 17.3 rec. avg... Since 2013, LB Lavonte David is only player in NFL with 150+ tackles (161), 5+ sacks (7) & 5+ INTs (5). In last meeting, DT Gerald McCoy had career-high 3 sacks. Has 8.5 sacks in past 10. LB Mason Foster had 37-yard INT-TD in last game vs. Atl. S Mark Barron is 1 of 3 S with 100+ tackles (103), 2+ INTs & 2+ sacks since 2013...
 Falcons In 6 home starts vs. TB, QB Matt Ryan is 5-1 with 100.6 rating. In career, has won 37 of 47 home starts. Is 3-1 on Thurs. with 101.7 rating (7 TDs, 0 INTs)... RB Steven Jackson has rushed for 347 yards (86.8 per game) & TD in past 4 meetings. RB Antone Smith had 50-yard TD run in last game vs. TB. In last home meeting, RB Jacquizz Rodgers had career-high 2 rec. TDs... In 4 meetings, WR Julio Jones has 19 catches for 394 yards (98.5 per game) & 3 TDs. Since 2007, WR Roddy White ranks 3rd in NFL with 636 rec. & 4th with 8,598 rec. yards. WR Harry Douglas has 13 catches for 283 yards (141.5 per game) & 2 TDs in past 2 meetings... Since 2010, S William Moore is only S in NFL with 3+ sacks (3.5) & 14+ INTs (14). DE Osi Umenyiora had 2 sacks in last meeting.
Results and Schedule
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-07 |
CAR |
H |
L 14-20 |
-6 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
STL |
H |
L 17-19 |
-2 |
| 3 |
2014-09-18 |
ATL |
A |
|
|
| 4 |
2014-09-28 |
PIT |
A |
|
|
| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
NO |
A |
|
|
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
BAL |
H |
|
|
| 7 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 8 |
2014-10-26 |
MIN |
H |
|
|
| 9 |
2014-11-02 |
CLE |
A |
|
|
| 10 |
2014-11-09 |
ATL |
H |
|
|
| 11 |
2014-11-16 |
WAS |
A |
|
|
| 12 |
2014-11-23 |
CHI |
A |
|
|
| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
CIN |
H |
|
|
| 14 |
2014-12-07 |
DET |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
CAR |
A |
|
|
| 16 |
2014-12-21 |
GB |
H |
|
|
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
NO |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
| Atlanta Falcons |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-07 |
NO |
H |
W 37-34 |
+3 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
CIN |
A |
L 10-24 |
-14 |
| 3 |
2014-09-18 |
TB |
H |
|
|
| 4 |
2014-09-28 |
MIN |
A |
|
|
| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
NYG |
A |
|
|
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
CHI |
H |
|
|
| 7 |
2014-10-19 |
BAL |
A |
|
|
| 8 |
2014-10-26 |
DET |
H |
|
|
| 9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 10 |
2014-11-09 |
TB |
A |
|
|
| 11 |
2014-11-16 |
CAR |
A |
|
|
| 12 |
2014-11-23 |
CLE |
H |
|
|
| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
ARI |
H |
|
|
| 14 |
2014-12-08 |
GB |
A |
|
|
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
PIT |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2014-12-21 |
NO |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
CAR |
H |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
TB
Offense |
ATL
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
15.5 |
23.5 |
21.8 |
ATL |
| Rushing yards |
129.5 |
110.0 |
116.3 |
TB |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
5.51 |
5.00 |
4.31 |
TB |
| Completion % |
67.9% |
63.2% |
63.5% |
TB |
| Passing yards |
168.5 |
328.5 |
228.5 |
ATL |
| Passing yards per completion |
8.87 |
11.95 |
10.27 |
ATL |
| Passing yards per attempt |
6.02 |
7.55 |
6.52 |
ATL |
| Interceptions |
1.5 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
- |
| Fumbles lost |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
- |
| Sacks allowed |
2.0 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
ATL |
| 3rd down conversions |
50.0% |
39.1% |
40.9% |
TB |
| 4th down conversions |
0.0% |
50.0% |
50.9% |
ATL |
| Time of possession |
26:22 |
29:10 |
30:07 |
ATL |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
TB
Defense |
ATL
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
19.5 |
29.0 |
21.8 |
TB |
| Rushing yards |
116.0 |
154.5 |
116.3 |
TB |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
3.74 |
4.23 |
4.31 |
TB |
| Completion % |
73.0% |
68.2% |
63.5% |
ATL |
| Passing yards |
220.5 |
317.5 |
228.5 |
TB |
| Passing yards per completion |
9.59 |
14.11 |
10.27 |
TB |
| Passing yards per attempt |
7.00 |
9.62 |
6.52 |
TB |
| INT return |
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
ATL |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
- |
| Sacks |
1.5 |
0.0 |
2.2 |
TB |
| 3rd down conversions |
42.3% |
51.9% |
40.9% |
TB |
| 4th down conversions |
100.0% |
0.0% |
50.9% |
ATL |
| Time of possession |
33:38 |
31:42 |
30:07 |
ATL |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
TB |
ATL |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
11.2 |
4.0 |
8.5 |
TB |
| Yards per kick return |
28.0 |
27.8 |
22.5 |
TB |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
8.8 |
8.7 |
8.5 |
ATL |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
11.0 |
31.5 |
22.5 |
TB |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
TB |
ATL |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
3.5 |
8.5 |
6.9 |
TB |
| Penalty yards |
22.5 |
76.0 |
59.8 |
TB |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 1 to 2 of the 2014 season with no adjustment. Once
more weeks are played, these stats will tabulate the last 6 weeks results and deduct the
best and worst value from the data set.
Weather
Dome Stadium
Team vs. Team History
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
10 |
2000-11-05 |
TB |
ATL |
27-14 |
TB |
| 2002 |
5 |
2002-10-06 |
TB |
ATL |
20-6 |
TB |
| 2002 |
14 |
2002-12-08 |
ATL |
TB |
10-34 |
TB |
| 2003 |
3 |
2003-09-21 |
TB |
ATL |
31-10 |
TB |
| 2003 |
16 |
2003-12-20 |
ATL |
TB |
30-28 |
ATL |
| 2004 |
10 |
2004-11-14 |
TB |
ATL |
14-24 |
ATL |
| 2004 |
13 |
2004-12-05 |
ATL |
TB |
0-27 |
TB |
| 2005 |
11 |
2005-11-20 |
TB |
ATL |
30-27 |
TB |
| 2005 |
16 |
2005-12-24 |
ATL |
TB |
24-27 |
TB |
| 2006 |
2 |
2006-09-17 |
TB |
ATL |
3-14 |
ATL |
| 2006 |
14 |
2006-12-10 |
ATL |
TB |
17-6 |
ATL |
| 2007 |
11 |
2007-11-18 |
TB |
ATL |
31-7 |
TB |
| 2007 |
15 |
2007-12-16 |
ATL |
TB |
3-37 |
TB |
| 2008 |
2 |
2008-09-14 |
ATL |
TB |
9-24 |
TB |
| 2008 |
15 |
2008-12-14 |
TB |
ATL |
10-13 |
ATL |
| 2009 |
12 |
2009-11-29 |
TB |
ATL |
17-20 |
ATL |
| 2009 |
17 |
2010-01-03 |
ATL |
TB |
20-10 |
ATL |
| 2010 |
9 |
2010-11-07 |
TB |
ATL |
21-27 |
ATL |
| 2010 |
13 |
2010-12-05 |
ATL |
TB |
28-24 |
ATL |
| 2011 |
3 |
2011-09-25 |
ATL |
TB |
13-16 |
TB |
| 2011 |
17 |
2012-01-01 |
TB |
ATL |
24-45 |
ATL |
| 2012 |
12 |
2012-11-25 |
ATL |
TB |
24-23 |
ATL |
| 2012 |
17 |
2012-12-30 |
TB |
ATL |
22-17 |
TB |
| 2013 |
7 |
2013-10-20 |
TB |
ATL |
23-31 |
ATL |
| 2013 |
11 |
2013-11-17 |
ATL |
TB |
28-41 |
TB |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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