Matchup and opportunity collide this week in a must win game
for Robinson and the Commanders. Cleveland, while recently improved,
has been dreadful against the run, yielding the 3rd most fantasy
points to backs this season. With Antonio Gibson hobbled with
an ankle injury, Robinson Jr. could be in line for 25+ touches.
With his volume numbers finally back after a mid-season foot injury,
Etienne gets a chance to feast off a Houston run defense that hasn’t
stopped anyone. They’ve given up an NFL high 21 total touchdowns
to running backs and a league worst 168.6 rushing yards per game.
Technically the game is “meaningless” for the Jags, but they are
relatively healthy and young, so I don’t see them taking their foot
off the gas against a division foe.
In four games without Kyler Murray, Conner has carried this Cardinal
offense scoring half of his 12 touchdowns and accounting for a
large percentage of the offensive output. With a weak Falcon defense
on tap and the quarterback position still in flux, Connor should
again be the focal point of the game plan.
There seems to have been a clear changing of the guard in the
Atlanta backfield, and with rookie Tyler Allgeier taking over,
Patterson has become more of a change of pace back. Still worth
a look as a FLEX play given the ground volume for the Falcons,
Patterson’s is easily replaceable if you need a higher upside
start.
If you survived Jacob’s dud last week to still make the fantasy
finals, kudos to you! Now you get to look forward to facing the
NFL’s best defense! San Fran has only yielded 75 rushing yards
a game to their opponents and have given up by far the fewest
fantasy points to backs. Not a single runner has come close to
100 yards on the ground, and only Christian McCaffrey has sniffed
50 receiving yards. You are rolling with Jacobs; it just might
be a real bumpy ride.
Outside of his ridiculous five touchdown outburst in Week 9,
Mixon has been incredibly ordinary despite having a top-10 touch
count. He has only tallied three touchdowns outside Week 9, and
has only a single 100-yard rushing game. Samije Perine looks faster
and more elusive with his limited work. The Bills have been better
than average defensively against backs, so the only thing propping
up Mixon’s value this week is his expected volume. If you
are ok with a high floor, low ceiling option in the finals, then
Mixon is your guy.
