Same rules apply this week when reviewing all the preseason action
and data. One should neither overreact nor disregard what takes
place on the field during the month of August. Week 2 of the preseason
saw more “starters” get work, even as most teams kept
play on the field very vanilla. Still, there’s plenty to chew
on…
Andrew Luck went 8-for-8 against Baltimore
and took a couple of prudent slides in the running game.
1. Some starting QBs are playing
like it’s September
It’s always encouraging to see the signal callers you’re counting
on to win you fantasy games look sharp in August. A few guys on
their game this past weekend included Cam
Newton, Andrew
Luck, and Matthew
Stafford. Newton threw a beautiful deep ball to Ted
Ginn Jr. that resulted in a touchdown and finished his shortened
day with 162 yards. Newton’s psyche after the Super Bowl loss
was a concern to some, but he should be drafted like the player
he was during the regular season, not the one who struggled against
Denver. Elsewhere, Andrew
Luck went 8-for-8 for Indianapolis looking his best since
2014. His performance should put to rest some concerns of a failed
rebound this season. Finally, Stafford and Marvin
Jones put on a show that resulted in four quick catches for
64 yards for Jones against his former team. As for Stafford, he
finished his short stint with 113 yds on 8-for-11 passing.
2. Rookie wide receivers continue
to impress
Laquon
Treadwell, Corey
Coleman, and Sterling
Shepard have been heralded as the rookie wideouts to watch
in 2016, but the players getting our attention thus far in the
preseason have been Tajae
Sharpe(Tennessee), Will
Fuller (Houston), and Tyler
Boyd (Cincinnati). In a receiving corps void of talent (particularly
after Dorial
Green-Beckham departed last week), Sharpe’s 6 catches this
weekend for 68 yards is worth paying attention to. He is definitely
worth a late-round flier in redrafts leagues. Fuller hauled in
a 19-yard TD pass from Brock
Osweiler after beating his first-string defender badly by
putting his speed on display. As for Boyd, much like Sharpe, he
has a chance to carve out a role early in the season on a team
without much receiving depth. Boyd’s contributions last Thursday
included a TD reception which was a nice follow-up to Week 1 in
which he caught a pass for a 40-yard gain. All three players should
be on your radar this upcoming weekend if you’re in a dynasty
draft.
3. LeGarrette is rising
The weekend’s biggest injury story was the continued absence of
Dion
Lewis followed by the news that he will now undergo a second
knee procedure that will likely sideline him for at least the
next two months. Throw in Tom
Brady’s four-game suspension and the Patriots will need to
lean on a veteran to move the chains early in the season. Blount’s
audition for that role this weekend went very well. The big running
back churned out 69 yards on 11 carries and added a TD for good
measure. He may not be a player that you need in November and
December, but in September and October, Blount might give you
more than many of the higher priced running backs. Keep him in
your sights this upcoming weekend in all redraft leagues.
4. Raised expectations / tempered
expectations
A couple other running backs were given their fair share of carries
this past weekend and made the most with their opportunities.
Eddie
Lacy turned 9 touches into 45 yards and a TD, demonstrating
much of what made him so good prior to last season. Jeremy
Langford also ran decisively for Chicago, netting 55 yards
on one fewer carry also scoring a TD. Langford was spotted in
a walking boot the morning after the game, but had already shed
the helper by yesterday afternoon. On the flip side of the coin,
the Chargers ran the ball 27 times vs. Arizona for a whopping
46 yards. Yes, Melvin
Gordon has had a full off-season to better learn how to be
an NFL running back, but the Chargers still can’t run block. Keep
your expectations modest this weekend when evaluating Gordon’s
value. You can’t manufacture good rushing totals without blocking,
no matter how much skill you have as a runner.
5. Backup QBs that impressed…
I will submit to you again that assessing the value of backup
quarterbacks is much more important than one might think. The
value of every skill position player on a team is affected dramatically
by an injury to the starting QB. This week, Dak
Prescott (DAL) proved his worth and made Dez
Bryant’s value rise based not only on what Dez did (second
TD in as many weeks), but the fact that Dez did it without Tony
Romo. Bryce
Petty (NYJ), meanwhile, went wild in the second half of the
Jets-Washington game throwing for 242 yards and 2 TDs. Sure, Petty
was facing the second-stringers, but it was a sign that he is
not only pushing Geno
Smith for the backup job, but can move the chains if something
were to happen to Ryan
Fitzpatrick. Much like Bryant owners, Brandon
Marshall owners should also take some comfort from what took
place at the QB position over the weekend.
6. Some backup QBs did not impress…
The dark side of backup quarterbacks can be equally influential.
That was the case with Landry
Jones of the Steelers (4 interceptions) and Ryan
Nassib of the New York Giants (2-for-12 passing). Steelers’
skill position players are being drafted highly this year based
on the realistic expectation of high-octane offense, but if Jones
is running the show, a major drop-off in production would be expected.
Further, it would appear that Eli
Manning staying healthy in New York is potentially a must.
Nassib is far from ready for the big-time in the Big Apple.
7. Time to do the Vance dance?
Three catches for 38 yards. No big deal, right? Well, yes…and
no. Vance
McDonald caught all three passes in the first three 49er possessions
before coming out of the game and ended up as the only receiver
for San Francisco with more than 2 catches. Here’s the reality
of the situation. The 49ers don’t have a proven possession receiver.
Torrey
Smith has never been a high-volume player, so he’s not going
to assume that role anytime soon. That leaves McDonald as this
year’s version of Delanie
Walker. That is, a tight end on a bad team that lacks WR prowess
and has a QB prone to the check down. If McDonald isn’t on your
redraft radar yet, he needs to be soon.
8. If Zeke can’t do it, Alfred most
certainly can
More numbers to chew on: Alfred
Morris ran for 85 yards on 13 carries Friday night in addition
to reaching paydirt once. While no one is suggesting the Ezekiel
Elliott won’t be the “man’ in Dallas this year, what everyone
should be suggesting is that Morris can carry the load and then
some should Elliott falter. Darren
McFadden enjoyed a re-birth last season behind a truly great
offensive line and Morris is a better straight-forward runner
than McFadden ever was. Bottom line: Morris is worth a late-round
pick even if you’re not handcuffing him to Elliott.
9. Clear as mud…
Don’t draft a Denver QB. Paxton
Lynch is being thrown about as a possible starter with Mark
Sanchez (2 fumbles) and Trevor
Siemian (interception) failing to impress versus the 49ers.
The value of Demaryius
Thomas continues to fall as the uncertainty rises. In Baltimore,
the RB situation remains in a state of flux as well. Nothing over
the weekend made the pecking order any clearer. Steer clear of
any Baltimore running back until very late in redraft leagues.
Terrance
West, Justin
Forsett, Javorius
Allen, and Kenneth
Dixon still have a shot at significant roles after fairly
pedestrian performances in limited action Saturday night. Hey,
at least Denver does represent some clarity at RB position as
Devontae
Booker out-touched Ronnie
Hillman 9-to-3 and caught a pass. Booker appears to be the
clear backup to C.J.
Anderson.
10. This week’s Zach Zenner
award goes to…
Robby Anderson! Never heard of him, right? The rookie wideout
from Temple dazzled in the second half for the Jets with a 6-131-1
stat line.
Next week, we’ll review Week 3, commonly known as the “dress
rehearsal” as starters should play well into the third quarter.
Until then…