The 2024 preseason is now officially underway! Some projected starters
saw action in Week 1 while some were relegated to watching from
the sidelines. Every NFL team takes a unique approach to this three-week
stretch and it is our job to help you understand what might be gained
from a fantasy football perspective. Let’s dig in…
1. Rookie Quarterbacks, Act 1
It’s important not to overreact to how rookies look during
preseason action. Last year, I wrote about how C.J. Stroud appeared
to be struggling coming out of the gate. That said, with this
being a possibly historic QB class, it was exciting to see how
the freshmen would perform in real game action. For fantasy purposes,
the thing I pay attention to most is whether or not the rookies
are willing to push the ball down the field. For example, Caleb Williams (24 yards per completion) and J.J. McCarthy (16 yards
per completion) were excellent in this regard. As for Bo Nix (8
yards per completion), the numbers told a different story as the
Bronco quarterback seemed intent on getting the ball out quickly
and accurately. As for Jayden Daniels and Drake Maye, the sample
size was small as each barely played. But, Daniels did score a
rushing touchdown. All in all, these debuts were impactful in
that we got a glimpse of who might be comfortable with more than
just check-down throws. We’ll examine this further next
week.
2. Battle Royale in New England
So, I was involved in my most personally meaningful draft of
August this weekend and the draft covered fourteen rounds of selections.
Of those selections, 52 of them were wide receivers. Of that 52,
ZERO of them were New England receivers. Every other team had
at least one receiver taken. Since the Brandon Aiyuk sweepstakes
have likely come and gone for the Patriots, someone else is going
to emerge as fantasy relevant option. Maybe two some-ones. We
know it won’t be JuJu Smith-Schuster as he was released.
Kayshon Boutte (3-53-0, 6 targets), now cleared of gambling charges,
certainly has a chance to carve out a bigger role in Foxborough
this season. Demario Douglas didn’t play which all but confirms
he’s locked into a starting role. Continue to watch what’s
going on in New England during these next two weeks. I know it’s
not an exciting offense, but every NFL team has players worth
stashing on fantasy rosters - especially teams with wide receivers
often playing from behind.
3. Drumbeat for Wicks Growing Louder
They aren’t household names, but Green Bay has quietly assembled
a very talented young corps of wide receivers over the past couple
of seasons. Jayden
Reed is getting drafted regularly in the middle rounds as
is Christian
Watson. Romeo
Doubs is also a common late-round selection given that his
fantasy floor is solid. All that said, Dontayvion
Wicks and the term “breakout” are being tossed around the
internet frequently. Wicks did little to silence those reports
as he hauled in a 65-yard TD from Jordan
Love on the opening series this weekend. Wicks may not be
a PPR threat just yet, but his big-play ability should have him
on your radar by now. It was interesting that the Packers took
their shot with him early in the game as if to say “let’s confirm
what we’re seeing in practice”. If you are looking for a guy to
stash in the late rounds take a chance on this guy. At worst,
he’ll put up Rashid
Shaheed-like numbers. At best, he could be a fantasy starter
as the season wears on.
4. Backfield in Miami Getting Crowded
Drafters continue to salivate about the vast potential of De’Von
Achane which is understandable given what we saw last year.
But, the drafting of Jaylen
Wright and the retention of Raheem
Mostert and Jeff
Wilson underscore the fact that touches may be spread out
so much that all Miami running backs are being over-drafted. Wright,
for his part, looked solid in his debut as he ran the ball 10
times for 5.5 yards per carry and a touchdown. Further, Wilson
was targeted four times in the passing game. There’s still a chance
that Wilson won’t make the final roster, but even if he doesn’t,
Wright looks too good to keep off the field entirely. I am not
saying Achane should be on any “do not draft” lists. Or that Mostert
will fade into obscurity. What I am saying is that Dolphin RBs
should be approached with some caution right now.
5. Big Ben, Part Two?
No, we aren’t referencing Justin Fields or Russell Wilson
here. If you’re closely tracking the QB battle in Pittsburgh
this preseason, more power to you. Instead, we noticed the play
of rookie TE Ben Sinnott in Washington. It has often been said
that the learning curve for tight ends is steep and that prevents
rookies at the position from being relevant. Sam LaPorta changed
that thinking somewhat with his performance last season making
Sinnott someone to consider, especially after a solid debut that
included catching all three targets for nearly 60 yards. The target
tree in Washington is ripe for some new blood with no one emerging
alongside Terry McLaurin in recent years. Add to that the fact
that Sinnott gets to cut his teeth alongside a rookie QB, and
there could be a quick chemistry that develops. If you happen
to be satisfied with your starting tight end, pick up Sinnott
as your backup earlier than his current ADP. There may be upside
with him that doesn’t exist with his peers.
6. Rookie Running Backs Look Sharp
This was supposed to be a weak rookie RB class as far as real-world
and fantasy production is concerned and maybe it still will be.
But, the debut of Jaylen Wright was not the only debut that impressed
this past weekend. Braelon Allen looked particularly good in his
first game as a Jet netting 9 yards a carry on 6 attempts. Allen
won’t be pushing Breece Hall for playing time as Hall is
one of the few workhorse backs that still exist in the league.
But any missed time by Hall could bring Allen into prominence
and if I were drafting Hall, I would make absolutely certain that
I pick up Allen later in the process. Elsewhere, Bucky Irving
is making a similar play to be Rachaad White’s primary understudy
and 28 yards and a TD in his first game with Tampa is something
to consider. Again, no one is suggesting Irving as a guy who will
overtake White anytime soon, but as a handcuff, he’s ideal.
7. Tank Appears Fully Operational
Few rookie players in 2023 impressed like Tank Dell as he racked
up four weeks totaling 91.6 fantasy points in Weeks 9-12 only
to see an injury wipe out the rest of his season in Houston. This
year, the addition of veteran Stefon Diggs and continued emergence
of Nico Collins has Dell flying under the radar a bit. But, in
Houston’s game against Pittsburgh, the Stroud to Dell connection
was rekindled with a 34-yard TD strike that served as a reminder
that Dell is once again healthy. I know the tendency when a big
name like Diggs comes to a new team is to get excited about his
pairing with a young QB of promise, but Dell’s surge in
2023 should not be forgotten. It’s possible Tank is being
under-drafted by a round.
8. The Cincinnati Shuffle
While the Bengals were able to retain the services of Tee Higgins
for at least one more season, there were other changes on the
roster to pay attention to. For starters, Tyler Boyd has moved
on to Tennessee making the WR3 spot an open competition which
has been a valuable position in the Bengals offense. For one week
at least, Jermaine Burton (3-81-1, 4 targets) enjoyed a solid
audition as he totaled over 80 yards through the air on just three
catches -- one of which was a touchdown in the second half against
Tampa Bay. It should be noted that Burton only had 5 snaps through
three quarters as the Bengals remain high on Andrei Iosivas (1-23-0,
1 target) also. As for who is going to replace Joe Mixon, Zack Moss missed the first preseason game with an illness and Chase Brown (5-10-0, 1-0-0) did little to impress. Nothing much to see
here for the two backs expected to split time.
9. Taking a Long View of Dak in Dallas
This notation will have no real impact on redraft leagues this
season, but it might be of some interest to dynasty players. Why
did Trey Lance
throw the ball 41 times in a preseason game for the Cowboys? The
answer to that isn’t hard. Dallas wants to see what they have
in Lance because they’re not sure they want to pay Dak the money
he wants to continue being a Cowboy beyond this year. Lance (25
of 41, 188-0-0; 6-44-0) was uneven in his performance while Cooper
Rush started and had a better overall game in limited playing
time. Still, it was unusual to see in what is often a vanilla
preseason game, the barrage of throws from Lance. Add in the need
for Dallas to lock in CeeDee
Lamb (who is holding out) and you’ve got an interesting under
current taking place in Big-D.
10. Committed To the Run
Yes, preseason can mean little in terms of deciphering what scheme
an NFL team is going to employ when the regular season starts,
but four teams this weekend ran the ball 38 times or more which
is something to pay attention to. One of those teams was Tennessee,
and the high rushing volume alongside the offseason decision to
bring in Tony Pollard (4-35-0, 2-11-0), has me wondering if this
won’t be formula the Titans. After all, they aren’t
going to win a lot of shoot-out games with Will Levis at the helm
and their defense is middling at best. Heavy doses of Pollard
and Tyjae Spears at the onset of games seems to make sense to
me. As for the other teams with heaving rushing loads this week…that
would be Seattle (39), Philadelphia (38), and Denver (38). Again,
something to watch as the preseason rolls on.
Next week, we’ll break down everything related to Preseason
Week No.2. Until then…