Seasons change, but the way
players gain opportunities typically remains the same year after
year. Injuries and promotions opens doors for some and closes
them for others.
While fantasy football success and failure can rarely be attributed
to one single factor, the fact of the matter is the absence of
a superstar or significant contributor results in an inevitable
redistribution of the opportunities for the remaining skill-position
players. Many such occurrences took place last year, but I narrowed
my focus to nine teams for the purposes of this article. Some
of the choices were made to debunk myths, while others were selected
simply to make or reinforce a point.
What you will see below are the primary skill-position players
affected by the loss of their teammate(s) last season. For teams
that went to the postseason, those games were included as well
to increase the sample size. Unlike the home/road or monthly splits
owners can find on any big-box sports website, I am "splitting"
the games the remaining healthy teammates played versus the ones
they played without their fallen comrade. And instead of providing
raw totals for each player in each split, I broke each category
down into per-game averages (or per carry/catch marks) to better
illustrate how a player's role or opportunities changed.
Key:
Tar/G - Targets per game
Rec/G - Receptions per game
Ru/G - Rushing attempts per game
Avg - Yards per carry/catch/pass (rushing, receiving or passing;
always associated with the mode closest to it on the chart)
TD/G - Touchdowns per game (rushing, receiving or passing; always
associated with the mode closest to it on the chart)
Cmp/G - Completions per game
PA/G - Pass attempts per game
PYd/G - Passing yards per game
RYd/G - Rushing yards per game
ReYd/G - Receiving yards per game
The uptick in production from WR Devin
Funchess wasn't the result of the Benjamin trade but the loss
of TE Greg Olsen.
Carolina Panthers
Splits includes one playoff game
Cam Newton (with
and without Greg Olsen), 2017
Split
Games
Cmp/G
PA/G
Cmp%
PYd/G
TD/G
INT/G
Ru/G
RYd/G
Avg
TD/G
FPts
FPts/G
w/ Olsen
8
16.5
30.0
55.0%
204.4
1.3
0.8
9.8
41.8
4.3
0.3
158.8
19.9
w/o Olsen
9
20.3
32.4
62.7%
224.0
1.6
1.1
7.7
50.8
6.6
0.4
212.4
23.6
This one was a bit strange to see at first until I gave it a bit
more thought. Even though Newton had one more game without Olsen
than he did with him, his per-game marks were markedly better without
him. The improved accuracy was the easiest to explain in part due
to McCaffrey's increased usage in the passing game (sneak a peek
below if you must): shorter targets to a consistently more wide-open
target should result in a higher completion percentage.
The touchdown
production is a bit harder to explain (two per game combined w/o
Olsen versus 1.5 with him), at least until we look at the game-by-game
breakdown of his fantasy production without the tight end. Newton
had blow-up games against a New England defense in Week 3 still
trying to find itself, a Detroit defense in Week 5 that could
not find a way to stop Kelvin Benjamin, Devin Funchess or Ed Dickson
and a Miami defense in Week 10 that looked like it had given up
on the season at that point. Remove those three "exceptions"
and we have a quarterback who averaged 16.3 fantasy points per
game in the other five contests without Olsen. As is usually the
case in most statistical analysis, Newton's new average floor
probably isn't 16.3 points per game nor is his ceiling at 23.6
but rather somewhere in between.
Christian McCaffrey
(with and without Olsen), 2017
Split
Games
Ru/G
RYd/G
Avg
TD/G
Tar/G
Rec/G
ReYds/G
Avg
TD/G
FPts
FPts/G
w/ Olsen
8
8.6
35.8
4.1
0.0
6.0
4.1
44.8
10.8
0.3
107.4
13.4
w/o Olsen
9
6.0
18.3
3.1
0.2
8.1
5.9
43.8
7.4
0.4
144.9
16.1
If I wasn't such a big believer in McCaffrey's abilities, the
above splits might scare me off a bit in redraft formats. Without
question, what stands out the most to me above is just how much
more he was used in the passing game without Olsen. On the bright
side for 2018, McCaffrey's efficiency as a runner was significantly
better with the veteran tight end playing. I have been a frequent
critic of the way McCaffrey was used last year as a runner, if
only because "smart" teams don't use the No. 8 overall
pick to take a running back only to use him like Danny Woodhead.
With that said, I can understand why some people believe his touches
need to be monitored. I'm not in the camp.
Regardless of which side of the debate you are on, I think most
will agree 12.3 touches per game isn't enough for a player of
his talents or the draft capital used to acquire him, nor is it
enough for a player who once handled 382 touches two seasons earlier
as the focal point for one of the few remaining schools in the
country (Stanford) that believes in a power running game. (His
bare minimum should be 15 touches per game, or 240 per season.)
Think for a second about how ridiculous it is that a team that
attempts 490 runs (regular season only) gives its least dynamic
threat (Stewart) 81 more and its quarterback 22 more carries than
its most dynamic threat. That's right … McCaffrey saw 23.9
percent of the team's rushing attempts last season. If new OC
Norv Turner does nothing else this season, he would be wise to
rethink that formula.
Jonathan Stewart
(with and without Olsen), 2017
Split
Games
Ru/G
RYd/G
Avg
TD/G
Tar/G
Rec/G
ReYds/G
Avg
TD/G
FPts
FPts/G
w/ Olsen
7
13.3
47.3
3.6
0.6
0.9
0.6
3.6
6.3
0.1
69.6
9.9
w/o Olsen
9
12.9
44.4
3.4
0.2
1.0
0.4
3.0
6.8
0.0
52.7
5.9
I realize Stewart is no longer on the team, so this chart is
to give current and future owners of C.J. Anderson some idea of
what might be possible in terms of workload, because I understand
Anderson is an upgrade over an aging Stewart. Only Turner knows
whether or not he wants Anderson to top 200 carries like Stewart
did last season. If common sense prevails, 160-170 rushing attempts
should be his ceiling if McCaffrey is available for all 16 games.
Devin Funchess (with
and without Olsen), 2017
Split
Games
Tar/G
Rec/G
ReYds/G
Avg
TD/G
FPts
FPts/G
w/ Olsen
8
6.3
3.3
51.5
15.8
0.3
79.2
9.9
w/o Olsen
9
7.8
4.6
56.3
12.4
0.7
127.7
14.2
Before anyone overreacts too much to the numbers above, keep
in mind the first set includes Weeks 1 and 2 - games in which
Funchess totaled nine targets, six catches, 88 yards and no touchdowns
- while Newton was still very much in preseason mode. With that
said, these splits tell an interesting story. While the popular
theory was that Funchess benefited the most from the trade of
Kelvin Benjamin, this analysis seems to suggest Olsen's absence
may have played a bigger role in Funchess' explosion. In the five
games Olsen played at the end of the season (including the playoff
game), Funchess totaled 13 catches on 29 targets for 215 yards
and two touchdowns for a total of 46.6 PPR points - an average
of 9.3 points.
It is anyone's guess as to whether or not 33-year-old Olsen has
another 120-target, 80-catch season in him at his age, but these
splits should be enough to place some doubt in owners' minds whether
or not Funchess belongs in the WR3 conversation or not. If you
think/believe Olsen and McCaffrey are the top two options in the
passing game most weeks and also account for the possibility rookie
D.J. Moore could challenge for top-dog status among the team's
receivers sometime during the season, there is reason for concern.
Dallas Cowboys
Dak Prescott, 2017
Split
Games
Cmp/G
PA/G
Cmp%
PYd/G
TD/G
INT/G
Ru/G
RYd/G
Avg
TD/G
FPts
FPts/G
w/ Elliott
10
20.1
32.3
62.2%
217.9
1.7
0.6
3.2
23.2
7.3
0.4
224.4
22.4
w/o Elliott
6
17.8
27.8
64.1%
191.0
0.8
1.2
4.2
20.8
5.0
0.3
80.4
13.4
For anyone who watched the games, most would never guess was slightly
more accurate while Elliott was serving his suspension. Those same
people would also say Prescott wasn't anywhere close to the same
quarterback without Zeke on the field, although OT Tyron Smith's
injuries also played a huge part in the offense's downfall. While
six games is still too small of a sample size to draw any major
conclusions, the evidence certainly suggests Prescott benefits more
from Elliott's presence than the other way around.
Ezekiel Elliott/Rod
Smith and Alfred Morris, 2017
Split
Games
Ru/G
RYd/G
Avg
TD/G
Tar/G
Rec/G
ReYds/G
Avg
TD/G
FPts
FPts/G
Elliott Active
10
24.2
98.3
4.1
0.7
3.8
2.6
26.9
10.3
0.2
203.2
20.3
Smith/Morris w/o Elliott
6
23.7
97.2
4.1
0.8
4.0
3.3
32.0
9.6
0.2
133.5
22.2
Elliott's backups were slightly more productive as a duo than he
was by himself, as hard as that might be for some to believe. However,
I'm not sure this is "proof" Elliott can be so easily
replaced, as there are plenty of factors to consider such as the
amount of attention and stacked boxes Elliott faces when he plays
versus how much/many his backups face. There is also the string
of matchups Smith and Morris faced toward the end of Elliott's suspension
(Washington, New York Giants and Oakland) who were mostly shells
of themselves on defense by the time December rolled around. Regardless
of the above findings, Zeke will be even more of an offensive centerpiece
in 2018 than he was in his first two years following the departures
of Dez Bryant and Jason Witten. It should come as little surprise
if Dallas opts to give Elliott close to 400 touches this fall.
Green Bay Packers
Davante Adams (with
and without Aaron Rodgers), 2017
Split
Games
Tar/G
Rec/G
ReYds/G
Avg
TD/G
FPts
FPts/G
w/ Rodgers
7
8.0
4.7
56.6
12.0
0.9
108.6
15.5
w/o Rodgers
7
8.9
5.9
69.9
11.9
0.6
113.9
16.3
There are other obvious factors (there always are) to consider here
besides whether or not Rodgers was on the field, although I think
it is by far the most valuable for our purposes here. Rodgers' affinity
for Jordy Nelson has never been a secret, so Adams was always likely
to have a bit of a glass ceiling when it came to his production
(outside of scoring touchdowns) when Green Bay was completely healthy.
Even after watching it unfold in front of my eyes last season, I'm
not sure I would have predicted Adams' production was actually better
without Rodgers. The most surprising stat of them all? The YPC production
was essentially the same.
With Nelson gone, Randall Cobb seemingly
no longer a red zone threat and Geronimo Allison likely battling
three rookies for the third receiver spot, it's reasonable to
assume (as it appears many early drafters are) that Adams could
be primed to become the new Nelson. I'm not sure I would go that
far, however. In Nelson's heyday, he was as much as a vertical
receiver as he was a crafty route-runner. Adams is fine route-runner
in his own right but more of an intermediate threat who can high-point
the ball and possesses better run-after-catch skills. The point
is I'm not ready to go to 90-1,500-12 territory with Adams yet,
but I think fantasy WR1 status is pretty much a given as long
as he and Rodgers stay healthy.
Houston Texans
Note: Excludes Weeks 1 and 2. Watson came in halftime of
Week 1 and Week 2 was a short week, giving Houston even less time
to reorganize its offense than it would normally have after a
quarterback switch.
Lamar Miller (with
and without Deshaun Watson), 2017
Split
Games
Ru/G
RYd/G
Avg
TD/G
Tar/G
Rec/G
ReYds/G
Avg
TD/G
FPts
FPts/G
w/ Watson
5
16.8
60.0
3.6
0.4
3.2
2.6
27.4
10.5
0.4
80.7
16.1
w/o Watson
9
13.2
51.3
3.9
0.1
2.7
2.0
14.8
7.4
0.1
89.5
9.9
Miller would probably have to string together two incredible
seasons in order for owners to believe in him again. If/when that
happens, he'll be 29 and owners will be avoiding him like the
plague at that point because he's too close to the end of his
career. I maintain he is a better-than-average back who is capable
of being at least a quality fantasy RB2 (which he actually has
been in Houston with 16th and 19th place finishes at his position)
if he has a halfway decent supporting cast around him. For five
games last year, we saw what can happen if defenses have to respect
his quarterback. Miller will probably never be a great runner
in between the tackles or generate a lot of yards after contact,
but he was also never that guy in Miami either.
Critics will point to Miller's low yards per carry as another
reason he's not worth trusting in fantasy. I would point to some
of the worst offensive play in the league during his time as a
Texan as the main reason for that. He has a little more time to
show HC Bill O'Brien he is capable of being the feature back and
may have gotten a break in that regard when D'Onta Foreman suffered
his Achilles' injury. If Foreman is ready by Week 1 and doesn't
need to go on the PUP list, he could very well overtake Miller
and make him a release candidate for the 2019 offseason. If Foreman
doesn't come back healthy, it could be just the break Miller needs
as he will have had a full offseason and roughly half of a regular
season to enjoy the benefits of Watson & Co. emptying out
the box for him.
DeAndre Hopkins (with
and without Deshaun Watson), 2017
Split
Games
Tar/G
Rec/G
ReYds/G
Avg
TD/G
FPts
FPts/G
w/ Watson
5
9.4
6.2
95.6
15.4
1.2
114.8
23.0
w/o Watson
8
12.3
6.4
96.5
15.1
0.8
162.2
20.3
Hopkins proved last year perhaps the only player in the league that
can keep him in check is Brock Osweiler. He's obviously going to
be more efficient with Watson as his quarterback, but any receiver
who can average 12.3 targets and was on pace for 102 catches, 1,544
yards and 12 touchdowns WITHOUT his top quarterback under center
is pretty darn good. Then again, you probably already knew that
…
Will Fuller (with
and without Deshaun Watson), 2017
Split
Games
Tar/G
Rec/G
ReYds/G
Avg
TD/G
FPts
FPts/G
w/ Watson
4
5.5
3.3
69.8
21.5
1.8
83.8
21.0
w/o Watson
6
4.7
2.5
24.0
9.6
0.0
29.4
4.9
Fuller was exactly the type of player I had in mind when I decided
on this topic. While regression to the mean is almost guaranteed
both in terms of touchdowns and YPC (not to mention we are dealing
with a very small sample size to boot), I think we can draw at
least three pretty strong conclusions moving forward: 1) Watson
and Fuller have exceptional chemistry, 2) their strengths complement
each other well and 3) Fuller only has one trick in his bag right
now, albeit a very good one. Given his durability issues and the
likelihood he isn't going to bulk up enough in the coming years
to protect himself against more injuries, Fuller has the feel
of a player who is best suited for best-ball leagues. In redraft
and dynasty formats, I would be tempted to sell as high as possible
after his first big game or two.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Splits includes three playoff games
Leonard Fournette/Chris
Ivory and T.J. Yeldon, 2017
Split
Games
Ru/G
RYd/G
Avg
TD/G
Tar/G
Rec/G
ReYds/G
Avg
TD/G
FPts
FPts/G
Fournette
16
21.1
80.1
3.8
0.8
3.8
2.7
21.6
8.0
0.1
289.8
18.1
Ivory/Yeldon w/o Fournette
3
27.0
116.0
4.3
0.7
5.0
3.7
28.3
7.7
0.0
62.3
20.8
I offer this comparison in part to dispel the myth that Jacksonville's
resurgence was not necessarily due to Fournette's arrival, but
rather the commitment to the running game and, most importantly,
the play of the defense. The usual caveats apply: three games
is a very small sample size and matchups matter. Ivory and Yeldon
had the good fortune of facing three reasonably gracious defenses
during Fournette's absence. Cincinnati (second-most), Indianapolis
(11th) and the Los Angeles Chargers (13th) all ranked in the top
half of the league in most PPR points allowed to running backs.
With that said, the half-yard difference per carry between Fournette
and the Ivory/Yeldon combo is still worth noting. It's also worth
mentioning Fournette only averaged more than four yards per carry
twice after his Week 10 return, offering solid proof he was probably
operating at about 80 percent health at that point of the season.
Los Angeles Rams
Splits includes one playoff game; Week 17 was excluded as
the Rams rested most of their key players
Cooper Kupp (with
and without Robert Woods), 2017
Split
Games
Tar/G
Rec/G
ReYds/G
Avg
TD/G
FPts
FPts/G
w/ Woods
13
6.4
4.0
48.9
12.2
0.4
143.6
11.0
w/o Woods
3
8.0
6.0
100.7
16.8
1.0
54.2
18.1
Sammy Watkins (with
and without Woods), 2017
Split
Games
Tar/G
Rec/G
ReYds/G
Avg
TD/G
FPts
FPts/G
w/ Woods
13
4.2
2.3
36.5
15.8
0.4
107.5
8.3
w/o Woods
3
6.7
3.3
47.0
14.1
3.0
42.1
14.0
Woods/Josh Reynolds,
2017
Player
Split
Games
Tar/G
Rec/G
ReYds/G
Avg
TD/G
FPts
FPts/G
Woods
Active
13.0
7.6
5.0
71.0
14.2
0.4
186.5
14.3
Reynolds
w/o Woods
3.0
4.7
2.7
20.0
7.5
1.0
20.0
6.7
In case you're wondering, Todd Gurley's production in the passing
game wasn't much different in Weeks 12-14 than it was over the
rest of the season. The tight ends (Tyler Higbee and Gerald Everett)
were not significantly more or less involved either. While mentioning
yet again we are dealing with a small sample size - the three
games Woods missed outside of Week 17 - it is worth noting Kupp
turned into a fantasy WR1 in Woods' absence. The rookie caught
a bit of a break in two of his three matchups, as he avoided the
Saints' formidable outside cornerback duo and Patrick Peterson
in successive weeks due to playing the bulk of the snaps in the
slot. Watkins didn't exactly tear things up in those same games,
but he found the end zone each time. Reynolds essentially served
as a light version of Watkins.
Considering Brandin Cooks will have the benefit of a full offseason
- something Watkins did not have - and the fact he already has
a bit of a rapport with Jared Goff, the former Saint and Patriot
should come close to matching Watkins' eight TD catches while
flying right by his 39 receptions and 593 receiving yards last
year with the Rams. Watkins finished as the WR40 in PPR in 2017
with a lot working against him. Cooks was the WR15 with a 65-1,082-7
line in New England. I don't think Watkins' production is Cook's
realistic floor, nor do I believe his 2017 numbers with New England
represents a realistic ceiling for Cooks in Los Angeles. A top-25
finish is possible, but I'm not sure I'm willing to go much higher
than that barring injury or Cooks finding a way to repeat Watkins-like
incredibly high TD rate. HC Sean McVay seems to believe Woods
is his primary receiver, while Kupp should and Gurley could easily
exceed 60 catches again. Asking a fourth Ram to haul in 60 passes
seems unreasonable.
New England Patriots
Splits includes three playoff games
Rex Burkhead, 2017
Split
Games
Ru/G
RYd/G
Avg
TD/G
Tar/G
Rec/G
ReYds/G
Avg
TD/G
FPts
FPts/G
Active
12
5.7
23.9
4.2
0.4
3.2
2.6
25.0
9.7
0.3
137.7
11.5
James White, 2017
Split
Games
Ru/G
RYd/G
Avg
TD/G
Tar/G
Rec/G
ReYds/G
Avg
TD/G
FPts
FPts/G
w/ Burkhead and Lewis
12
3.5
14.2
4.0
0.2
4.5
3.3
27.9
8.6
0.3
119.5
10.0
w/o Burkhead
5
3.0
12.2
4.1
0.2
7.2
5.2
33.2
6.4
0.2
60.7
12.1
Dion Lewis, 2017
Split
Games
Ru/G
RYd/G
Avg
TD/G
Tar/G
Rec/G
ReYds/G
Avg
TD/G
FPts
FPts/G
w/ Burkhead and White
12
10.3
51.6
5.0
0.2
2.1
1.8
12.6
6.9
0.1
115.0
9.6
w/o Burkhead
5
7.8
38.0
4.9
0.4
3.2
3.0
22.0
7.3
0.0
57.0
11.4
w/o Burkhead/White
2
25.0
111.0
4.4
1.0
6.0
5.5
32.0
5.8
1.0
63.6
31.8
It is interesting Lewis and White only received modest bumps
in production with Burkhead sidelined. The biggest takeaway might
be Lewis, however, as he averaged more PPR points as the featured
back (31.8) than all three backs did when the trio was healthy
(31.1). Perhaps the most surprising split was how relatively unproductive
Lewis was with Burkhead and White active - something present and
future owners of Sony Michel may want to strongly consider. There
has been plenty of offseason chatter in the fantasy community
regarding Michel picking up the 212 regular-season touches Lewis
leaves behind, but 61 of them (28.8 percent) came in Weeks 16
and 17 when Burkhead and White were inactive.
In no way does this suggest Michel is doomed to disappoint in
2018, as no team shape-shifts its backfield more than New England
every season. However, it should put in some perspective just
how much Lewis' bottom line fattened because he was the only show
in town for two games. Can Michel earn the same 212 touches Lewis
had last year? Sure. Is he capable of handling that workload?
I believe so. Will he? If we use only Lewis' per-game averages
in the 12 contests all three backs played, Michel would amass
165 carries, 825 rushing yards, 2.7 rushing touchdowns, 33 targets,
29 receptions, 201 receiving yards, 1.3 receiving TDs and 153.6
PPR fantasy points - a number that would have left him at RB27
last season. Given the draft capital and the talent Michel possesses,
all of these numbers should be his floor. How much above and beyond
that owners want to count on from him given the unpredictable
nature of this backfield is a matter of risk tolerance and personal
preference.
New York Giants
Splits do not include Weeks 6, 7, 11, 12 and 17 as a result
of Sterling Shepard and Odell Beckham Jr. being sidelined.
Odell Beckham Jr.,
2017
Split
Games
Tar/G
Rec/G
ReYds/G
Avg
TD/G
FPts
FPts/G
Active
4
10.3
6.3
75.5
12.1
0.8
74.0
18.5
Sterling Shepard
(with and without Beckham), 2017
Split
Games
Tar/G
Rec/G
ReYds/G
Avg
TD/G
FPts
FPts/G
w/ OBJ
4
5.3
3.8
54.8
14.6
0.3
43.6
10.9
w/o OBJ
7
9.0
6.3
73.1
11.6
0.1
100.9
14.4
Pretty much as expected. Brandon Marshall and Beckham went down
the same week (Week 5), forcing Shepard into the top receiver
role when he returned from his own injury in Week 9. Shepard saw
roughly a 70 percent increase in targets without OBJ around. If
extrapolated over the course of a full season, his fantasy scoring
average of 14.4 points with Beckham sidelined would have netted
him a WR13 finish - in between JuJu Smith-Schuster (WR12) and
A.J. Green (WR14).
Evan Engram (with
and without Beckham), 2017
Split
Games
Tar/G
Rec/G
ReYds/G
Avg
TD/G
FPts
FPts/G
w/ OBJ
4
7.3
3.8
39.0
10.4
0.3
36.6
9.2
w/o OBJ
7
7.7
4.9
56.7
11.7
0.4
93.1
13.3
Engram was the reason I wanted to include this particular comparison.
While it is hard to debate his chemistry with Eli Manning blossomed
as the season progressed, it's probably not coincidence five of
his six touchdowns came in games OBJ around - including one in
each of the four games immediately following Beckham's injury
(two of which came while Shepard was sidelined as well). Note
Engram's involvement with Shepard playing and Beckham out didn't
change very much.
There is no question Engram is part of the new breed at tight
end in the league and has staying power, but what owners must
ask themselves before drafting him this year is: can Manning -
a 37-year-old quarterback who has been in obvious decline over
at least the last two seasons - make three pass-catchers relevant
just because HC Pat Shurmur is the one calling the shots now instead
of Ben McAdoo? Yes, the line is better. Yes, the Giants are unlikely
to throw 139 times to the running back position again this season
because Manning will have better protection. Will all that be
enough?
Tampa Bay Bucs
Doug Martin/Peyton
Barber, 2017
Player
Split
Games
Ru/G
RYd/G
Avg
TD/G
Tar/G
Rec/G
ReYds/G
Avg
TD/G
FPts
FPts/G
Martin
Starter
8
14.9
47.0
3.2
0.3
1.9
0.9
7.5
8.6
0.0
62.6
7.8
Barber
Starter
5
15.6
67.0
4.3
0.2
2.8
2.4
16.6
6.9
0.0
57.8
11.6
This "comparison" is more of a reminder as to why the
Bucs made the change from Martin to Barber in Week 13. Barber
appeared to be in 2012 and 2015 form in his first game back from
suspension in Week 5 against the Patriots, but that was about
as good as it got for the former first-round pick, whose act wore
down the coaching staff as much as the offensive line play fell
off a cliff. It should be noted Barber's best games came against
a virtually nonexistent Packers' defense in Week 13 and a team
that knew its spot in the postseason was secure in Week 17 in
New Orleans. Be that as it may, Barber was able to top four yards
per carry in four of the five games he was the primary back and
average a respectable 4.3 YPC overall during that span.
With Tampa Bay embracing an attitude adjustment up front in the
offseason, Barber should be expected to be more efficient. Whether
or not he'll get a chance to take advantage of all the nastiness
Tampa Bay added is another story. For an offense that hasn't seen
a run longer than 45 yards in over two seasons, Ronald Jones makes
too much sense as a back who can gouge defenses for big plays
while defenses are busy trying to keep Mike Evans, DeSean Jackson,
Chris Godwin and O.J. Howard in front of them.
Doug Orth has written for FF
Today since 2006 and been featured in USA Today’s Fantasy
Football Preview magazine since 2010. He hosted USA Today’s
hour-long, pre-kickoff fantasy football internet chat every Sunday
in 2012-13 and appears as a guest analyst on a number of national
sports radio shows, including Sirius XM’s “Fantasy Drive”.
Doug is also a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.