It’s a new world we live in. One in which injuries and drafting
are not the only reasons for major changes taking place on both
side of the ball. In 2020, teams, fans and fantasy owners also have
to deal with Covid-19 illnesses and “opting out.”
While most of the players on the Covid-19 illness list will eventual
return to the playing field, those players choosing to opt-out
and receive either $350,000 for a high-risk opt-out of $150,000
for a voluntary opt-out are done for the season and won’t
play any part of the team in 2020. A number of these opt-outs
may have a significant impact on their team and consequently,
your fantasy team.
Let’s take a look at some of the opt-out winners and losers
thru the first week of August.
Winners
Clyde
Edwards-Helaire, RB, KC– The rookie
running back selected No.32 in the first round by the defending
Super Bowl champions has “won the lottery.” Already expected to
take over many duties from Damien
Williams, the Williams opt-out makes CEH a major fantasy factor.
Already an upgrade from Williams, CEH joins the No. 5 scoring
offense (28.2 ppg) and adds his ability to run on the first two
downs with his pass-catching ability. With the likes of Darwin
Thompson, Elijah
McGuire, Darrel
Williams and DeAndre
Washington behind him, as long as CEH can block for Patrick
Mahomes, he’ll be a monster fantasy option. But you’ll have
to be drafting in the first part of your fantasy draft since his
latest ADP is 6.7, the fifth running back off the board behind
superstars; Christian
McCaffrey, Saquon
Barkley, Alvin
Kamara and Dalvin
Cook. That a lot of responsibility for a rookie with zero
OTA work and zero preseason games under his belt when the whistle
blows Thursday night September 10th.
Allen
Lazard, WR, GB– Lazard was already
a winner when the Packers mystifyingly didn’t select a wide receiver
at April draft. Instead, they signed free agent Devin
Funchess to a one-year deal in March assuming that was enough,
but the former Carolina Panthers and Indianapolis Colts wideout
opted out in late July. The move leaves Lazard (35-477-3 and a
67.3% catch percentage) the odds on favorite to play opposite
Davante Adams
ahead of Marques Valdes-Scantling (46.4% catch percentage) and
Equanimeous
St. Brown (58.3% in 2018 after missing 2019 due to an ankle
injury). The Packers will also be missing both Jimmy
Graham’s 60 targets (signed with Chicago) and Geronimo
Allison’s 55 targets (signed with Detroit before opting out)
leaving 115 targets for Lazard to improve his production to at
least WR3 level. With a 155.7 current ADP, Lazard could be a solid
13th-round option with upside.
Jalen
Reagor, WR, PHI – The rookie from
TCU has fallen into a great situation in Philadelphia. There is
no guarantee that starting wideout Alshon
Jeffery (Lisfranc) will be ready to start the season or even
be himself once he does return. Additionally, the Eagles had brought
in veteran speed in Marquise
Goodwin only to watch him opt out. That leaves Reagor as the
third guy in three-wide sets at a minimum (ahead of JJ
Arcega-Whiteside, fellow rookie John
Hightower or practice squad guy Greg
Ward) and more likely the starter until Jeffery returns or
DeSean Jackson
pulls another muscle (a nearly yearly occurrence). Reagor has
a quality quarterback in Carson
Wentz and as an 11th-round fantasy option (ADP 121.1) has
giant upside for minimal cost.
Devin
Asiasi, TE, NE– Asiasi was one of
two tight ends drafted by the Patriots in April, but the other,
Matt LaCosse,
opted out. That leaves Asiasi as the best receiving tight end
on the New England roster with a quarterback in Cam
Newton who likes throwing to his tight end … think Greg
Olsen. He’s not Olsen, but he should see his fair share of
targets.
Preston
Williams, WR MIA–Allen
Hurns’ opt-out probably wasn’t a big deal, he seemed slotted
for a No.4 receiver role, but when Albert
Wilson joined him on the list this Wednesday morning, it puts
some pressure on Williams to return from his torn ACL and be ready
to go. Williams averaged 7.5 targets per game before his injury
and if he’s ready to go he’s a shoo-in to pick up a good portion
of the 109 targets now available. He owns a 147.7 ADP.
Josh Allen,
BUF, Sam Darnold
NYJ, Ryan
Fitzpatrick/Tua
Tagovailoa, MIA and Cam
Newton, NE – The offensive coordinators and quarterbacks
in the AFC East have seen a great “migration” of divisional defensive
players to the opt-out list. The Patriots lost two-time Pro Bowl
linebacker Dont’a Hightower and Patrick
Chung to the opt-out list. The Jets lost four-time Pro Bowl
linebacker C.J.
Mosley and traded 2019 first team All-Pro safety Jamal
Adams to the NFC. Meanwhile, the Bills lost Star
Lotulelei and new rumors have 2019 first team All-Pro cornerback
Tre’Davious
White on the fence about returning. If true, that’s what I
call a boon for all the AFC East quarterbacks.
Losers
Patrick
Mahomes, QB, KC – In addition to
losing Damien
Williams to the running back depth, don’t overlook the opt-out
of Laurent Duvernay-Tardif. A recent medical school graduate,
Duvernay-Tardif spent the offseason on the frontlines of the Covid-19
pandemic. Said the Chiefs starting right guard when he opted out,
“Being at the front line during this offseason has given me a
different perspective on this pandemic and the stress it puts
on individuals and our healthcare system. I cannot allow myself
to potentially transmit the virus to our communities simply to
play the sport I love. If I am to take risks, I will do it caring
for patients.” The Chiefs will try to fill in the hole with veteran
Kelechi Osemele, who struggled with the Jets last season and was
released in October. Anything that might endanger Mahomes’ health
or give him less time to throw, must be concerning to fantasy
owners.
Daniel
Jones, QB, NYG – The Giants have
been struggling on the offensive line for years and the opt-out
of Nate Solder, who not only was expected to start at tackle,
but also mentor first-round pick Andrew Thomas will hurt. Jones
saw the second-most pressures in the league last season (42%)
and even Solder’s below average grade (70th of 89) might have
helped. He’ll likely be replaced Cameron Fleming (who has never
started more than seven games in a season or Matt Peart - zero
starts).