All signs are pointing upward for the Bears’ young quarterback.
For the season he ranks 11th, but over the last five weeks he
ranks fourth, producing 27.6 FPts/G (19.1, 22.3, 27.2, 27.6 and
42 points last weekend). He’ll face the Lions’ 29th-ranked defense
in QB fantasy points allowed, even after their excellent performance
against Green Bay. Play the hot hand.
Wilson and the Broncos are coming off a bye after winning in
London and face a Titans’ pass defense which is allowing
opposing QBs 24.8 FPts/G. Jerry Jeudy is still a Bronco despite
trade rumors, Courtland Sutton is healthy and the team found a
solid tight end in Greg Dulcich. So Wilson should be throwing
the ball more often to make up for a weaker running game without
Javonte Williams (ACL, out for the season).
This is not one of those great Steelers defenses of the past.
In fact, they rank 26th in QB fantasy points allowed. They have
yielded 16 touchdown passes in eight games. If it’s Dalton
under center, he’s passed for 800 yards and seven touchdowns
over the past three games, though he wasn’t particularly
good against the Ravens Monday night. If head Coach Dennis Allen
decides to go back to Winston, he’s finally healthy, and
averaged 286 passing yards in Week 1-3.
Malik Willis has shown us that he isn’t ready to start
in the NFL, so I expect a return to Tannehill (ankle), but facing
a Denver pass defense ranked No. 1, allowing just 12.9 FPts/G
is a mean trick to pull on the veteran signal caller. His favorite
receiver, Robert Woods, went scoreless last weekend on two targets
and rookie Treylon Burks (turf toe) could be activated, but hasn’t
lived up to expectations of replacing A.J. Brown. Stay away no
matter who is under center.
I’m sure Cowboys fans are yelling as they read this, thinking
I’m just another Eagles fan who hates them, but this isn’t
a good matchup for Prescott and the passing game. The team has
found success being a run-first offense behind Ezekiel Elliott
(when healthy) and explosive Tony Pollard, so Prescott has only
averaged 26 passing attempts per game since his return from a
hand injury. The Packers are ranked No. 2 against opposing quarterbacks
allowing just 15.4 FPts/G. Head Coach Mike McCarthy will continue
his winning formula of running the ball and relying on his great
defense.
While Heinicke is an improvement over Carson Wentz, he’s
still prone to errors (one INT in each of his starts) and is averaging
just 210 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, the Eagles defense
ranks third in fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks
(16.4). They have picked off a league-leading 12 passes this season,
(allowing just nine touchdown passes) and are sixth in sacks (26).
In 2021, Heinicke produced just 13.8 points against the Eagles
in a Week 17 loss. This is not the game for Heinicke to turn things
around.
