You can’t run against the Vikings defense, but you can
have a field day against their 32nd-ranked pass defense. Minnesota
allows 41.1 FPts/G to opposing wideouts and Smith-Njigba and DK
Metcalf should certainly be able to take advantage here…
if Geno Smith (knee) is under center. It’s a bit dicier
if Sam Howell is the starter. I’ll still take JSN in either
case because he’s the best option on the team.
Meyers has produced double-digit totals in seven of the last
eight games as the leading receiver since Davante Adams left Las
Vegas for the bright lights of New York. Meanwhile, the Jaguars
rank 30th against opposing wide receivers. Meyers is averaging
11.3 targets per game over the last four contests.
Nabers has proven he can produce no matter which inept quarterback
the Giants throw out there. He’s averaging 17 FPts/G with the
likes of Tommy DeVito, Drew Lock and Daniel Jones or in Week 15
the immortal Tim Boyle. Nabers is second in the league in targets
with 140, trailing only CeeDee Lamb (144). The Falcons are top-10
against running backs, but 29th against wide receivers.
The Eagles are No. 1 against opposing wide receivers allowing
just 28.4 FPts/G. Their rookie Quinyon Mitchell has been playing
elite CB opposite Darius Slay. That makes the team tough to throw
on. Meanwhile, in their first meeting, in Week 11, “Scary
Terry” wasn’t, managing just two targets and catching
one ball for 10 yards. He has scored five times in the last three
games, but the Eagles are allowing less than one touchdown reception
for wideouts per game (.71 TDs per game).
It’s not 2021 when Samuel averaged 21.1 FPts/G and ranked
third overall. It’s not even last season when he averaged
a respectable 16.2 FPts/G. In 2024 he’s averaging 10.1 FPts/G,
which ranks 49th, and he is living off past successes. The last
time he hit double-digits was Week 10 and facing Miami is not
an easy task. The Dolphins Rank No.2 against opposing wideouts.
This is not a matchup for him to get well. Avoid.
Coming off a three-target, zero-catch game would make it tough
enough to trust Kupp, but add in playing the Jets in New York
will make it doubly tough to start the Rams’ No.2 wideout.
And he is the No. 2 guy now. Puka Nacua is No. 1. New York has
allowed just four receivers all season to crack the 20-point mark.
Kupp will obviously improve on last week, but his ceiling in Week
16 isn’t very high.