Brees should be within a couple weeks of returning to the field,
after his thumb injury and subsequent surgery. Not only will he
likely revolutionize the Saints offense when he returns, but his
own fantasy value should return to previous levels. If you are
in need of a QB for your stretch run, Brees would be a great trade
target. The Saints have a bye in Week 9.
Hyde has quietly become the permanent starting running back for
the Texans, a dynamic offense for what is likely to be a playoff
team. Hyde has received the bulk of the snaps (52-64% from Week
2 on) and touches all season, and is producing nicely. If you
are in need of a running back and can get him on the cheap, he
is worthy of being targeted especially in non-PPR leagues. He
is not a buy-low option in the strict sense, but most owners still
do not value him appropriately.
Gordon has been back for two weeks and has produced basically
nothing (16 touches for 38 yards in Week 5, 11 touches for 48
yards in Week 6). Better days are certainly ahead if he can stay
healthy. His snap share was up to 60% in Week 6, and should be
at that level or higher moving forward.
Kamara is another big name that owners may be very annoyed with.
Again, Kamara did not find the endzone, meaning he has only scored
in one week this season. He only received 11 carries in Week 6,
though he did also catch 7 passes. His value is likely at low
point for the season and although he’s a bit beat up, he
has no serious injuries and his value should rise significantly
when Brees returns.
The Rams offense had a terrible day in Week 6 against the 49ers,
and Woods has struggled throughout the season except for a huge
day against the Bucs (13-164). Woods’ value likely is in
the basement now – same with Brandin Cooks. It is Woods
who is most likely to rebound to previous levels, as he is a possession
receiver and runs the crossing routes Goff seems to prefer. While
Kupp is undoubtedly the most valuable Rams receiver, Woods is
a worthy target if his owner is fed up and ready to move on.
This is a gamble, but you can’t win big in fantasy football
without taking some risks. It is unknown when Green (ankle) will
return, and if he will return to the Bengals or be traded. But,
it seems likely that he will return soon and take over immediately
as the WR1 for this struggling offense. If his owner is getting
tired of waiting, that is a risk I would be willing to take, depending
on my roster construction.
These players had a great Week 6, raising their perceived value
in the eyes of fantasy owners. If you have an owner in your league
willing to overpay, I’d recommend taking the value.
I’d be willing to bet there is an owner in every league,
who now sees Tom Brady as a can’t-miss QB1 for the rest
of the season. He is not. He has looked okay passing the ball,
but has played 3 bottom of the barrel defenses this season (MIA,
WAS, NYG). Against the Bills, the best defense he has faced, he
went 18-39 for 150 yards and an interception. If an owner will
pay you top dollar for Brady, cash in and watch as his numbers
decline against tougher defenses over the next six weeks (Jets,
Browns, Ravens, Eagles, Cowboys, and Texans).
Diggs’ huge day (7 catches for 167 yards and 3 touchdowns)
likely was on the bench for many owners, since the Viking wideout
had totaled 16 catches for 253 yards in the first five games combined.
Diggs seems to be a boom-or-bust option, and since you simply
don’t know when he is going to explode, it might be smart
to explore a trade after his huge Week 6. If someone wants to
pay you a premium, thinking this performance will now be the norm,
sell him high.
Freeman’s been solid the past three games (18, 18, and
26 PPR points), but he has produced mainly through the air, with
16 receptions for 142 yards and 3 touchdowns. That kind of receiving
production tends to be inconsistent, as it is dependent on game
flow and situation. The Falcons have trailed in basically every
game this season, leading to Freeman’s inflated receiving
production. In addition, they will be facing a difficult stretch
over the next four games (Rams, Seahawks, Saints, Panthers). The
line has simply not been giving Freeman room to work on the ground,
but since he has still be producing through the air, it would
be a great time to sell him if there is a buyer.
Conner has scored over 25 PPR points in two of the last three
games, as the Steelers have leaned heavily on him with Roethlisberger
out. Due to his heavy usage and his physical running style, he
has been banged up often, and I see that continuing. With the
absence of a viable passing game, teams simply do not respect
their air attack. This will make teams load the box to stop the
run more, leading to tough sledding for Conner. Sell high if you
are able, particularly with his bye coming this week.
If you are in a dynasty league, ignore this. But in a redraft
league, this may be a great opportunity to sell McLaurin. He is
a good player, but is on an awful team that wants to run the ball
more with Callahan as head coach. Case Keenum is adequate but
not special, and as teams pay more attention to stopping McLaurin
I think he will struggle. I would sell him high in redraft now
if the right deal presents itself.