Around ten years ago my brother-in-law and I made a friendly bet
between two passionate 49ers and Cowboys fans longing for a return
to glory for two once-proud franchises.
The accord was simple. The fan of the first team to join the
Steelers with six Lombardi trophies would be given the right force
the other to wear a jersey of their choice for an entire day,
regardless of the occasion (Weddings and Funerals excluded).
With the Cowboys locked in as the number one seed in the NFC
playoffs and a clear path to Super Bowl LI, I was convinced that
my brother-in-law (affectionately and accurately known as El Cunado)
would take great pleasure in watching me wear a Michael Irvin
jersey at our Tuesday night bowling league.
For those that have not picked up on my subtle and no so subtle
hints throughout the last two seasons, I am not a fan of the Cowboys.
In fact, the Cowboys are my least favorite team by a large margin,
and Irvin is the poster boy of everything that I despise about
that franchise.
To make matters worse, my beloved 49ers are once again the laughing
stock of the league after coming up three yards short and a phantom
non-pass interference call from winning sweet number six.
A bet is a bet, and I am a man of my word. I was resigned to
the fact that I would walk into the alley wearing that putrid
jersey amid laughs and whistles from a crowded room full of actual
Cowboy fans.
But something magical happened on Sunday afternoon. With a depleted
secondary on defense and no Jordy Nelson on the outside, Aaron Rodgers and the Packers pulled off the upset and beat the number
one seed in front of 100k stunned fans at Jerry’s World.
When Mason Crosby nailed the game-winning field goal as time
expired, I pointed to the sky and thanked the football gods for
sparing me at least one more year. Then I pulled out my phone
to see how many points Dez Bryant and Ezekiel Elliott scored for
my DraftKings team.
What can I say? I hate the Cowboys, but I am not above hedging
my bet in hopes of easing my pain with a little cash.
Dez proved to be an excellent play with 37.2 points from nine
catches for 132 yards and two touchdowns, the centerpiece of a
$30 winning ticket on a small 10 person tournament.
Here are the other plays that helped me close out the year on
a high note.
Quarterback: Russell
Wilson Fantasy Points 19.9
Grade: C
I identified Wilson was the least expensive quarterback with
the highest floor based on what appear to be a high-scoring game
against the Falcons and Wilson’s late-season improvements.
As projected, the game turned out to be a high scoring contest
with both teams combining for 56 points. Wilson was solid and
ended up outperforming Brady, Smith, and Big Ben, but he was outpaced
by Dak Prescott, Matt Ryan, and Aaron Rodgers, all of whom were
heavily owned in my small tournament.
For that reason, I decided to award myself a C and not a higher
grade. Wilson did not kill my chances of winning and he gave me
the high floor I expected, but his pedestrian passing yards and
two interceptions limited him from being the 20-25 point QB I
envisioned.
With Freeman as one of my picks this week on my projection piece,
I was sweating it a bit when he started off to a slow start and
Tevin Coleman went against his historical numbers by scoring touchdowns
at home.
But when the final whistle blew and the Falcons left the Georgia
Dome for what looked like the last time, Freeman put together
another solid game with 125 total yards and a score.
A negative game script forced on the Cowboys from Rodgers and
the Packers taking a large early lead killed Elliott’s value
in this game. That was my one concern when I invested $8,500 in
the rookie, as I felt confident that he would reach the 100-yard
mark but a high-scoring game would limit his game-closing appeal
should the Cowboys trail.
16 points from a running back that does not score a touchdown
is not too shabby. But it does limit your team when you invested
a 17% of your budget that player. Luckily his teammate picked
me up and led me to the cash.
At $6,600, Dez Bryant seemed like a logical play on this ticket
for two reasons. First, I anticipated a high-scoring game against
the Packers with the Cowboys needed to score at least 28 points
to keep pace.
If Elliott didn’t have a big game and failed to reach the
end zone, the probability that Dez would score at least one TD
was high.
Secondly, I did not believe that Antonio Brown or Julio Jones,
the most expensive wide receivers available for the contests,
would score exceedingly well due to their matchups. Also, Dez
entered the game red-hot after his two-touchdown game against
the Lions in Week 16 and would have revenge on his mind for the
team’s loss two years ago in the playoffs at Lambeau.
Gabriel and Richardson rounded out my ticket as inexpensive home
run players. Each player gave me double-digit points to round
out my roster, but neither reached pay dirt or received large
target shares.
Tight End: Jared
Cook Fantasy Points 25.4
Grade: A+
I wrote about Cook’s recent role increase in my preview
piece and the fact that he clearly has earned the trust of Rodgers,
for those two reasons I felt like Cook at $3,900 was the best
value for tight ends.
Did I think he would be the main scorer for the Packers, including
a career-highlight catch at the end of regulation to put Green
Bay in field goal range? Not exactly.
Cook has always been talented, but he needed the right quarterback
and the right situation to blossom into a viable fantasy option.
I think he found both in Green Bay and will be a mainstay on DFS
lineups next year.
Perhaps I had blinders on when I invested $5,700 in Cobb to be
my flex player this week, focusing too much on the fact that he
entered the game on the heels of a season-best 37.6 point performance
against the Giants.
I did not expect three touchdowns, yet a score and 100 yards
seemed like attainable numbers. He did catch seven balls on the
day, but he failed to reach the end zone or the century mark,
making him a bit of a disappointment.
D/ST: New England Fantasy Points 16
Grade: A
I received a bit of flak for stating that Brock Osweiler and
the Texans had zero chance of beating the Patriots in Foxboro.
My prediction was correct and the Pats did pull out with a big
win, but the Texans kept the game quite a bit closer than most
people anticipated due to a nice defensive performance.
I stand by my comments on Osweiler, who reminds me of a cross
between Robert Pattison from Twilight and Tim Couch. Not what
you want from your $37 million quarterback if you are the Texans.