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Andrew Swanson | Archive | Email |
Staff Writer

DFS Targets for Wildcard Weekend
Andrew Luck

Andrew Luck is the most likely off all the cash game quarterbacks to hit the 300-yard bonus on DK.

Note: Salary amounts are DraftKings pricing


H2H/Cash - Andrew Luck @ Houston - $6,400

It is a rare event that the “safest” quarterback who possesses the highest floor also has arguably the highest ceiling. In two meetings against their division foe Texans in 2018, Andrew Luck has been nothing short of amazing, with 863 passing yards and six touchdowns. Luck has at least 24 fantasy points in four of his last six games, and the game between the Colts and the Texans carries the highest implied total (47) of the four games this weekend. I want to target players in this game as much as possible, and Luck as my cash game QB makes too much sense.

Other options to consider - Dak Prescott vs. Seattle & Russell Wilson @ Dallas

GPP - Mitchell Trubisky vs. Philadelphia - $6,000

Trubisky put together one of the best three-game stretches this season with 11 passing touchdowns and three-consecutive 300-yard games against the Bucs, Dolphins, and Patriots. He also has been downright dreadful at times, with just four total passing touchdowns in his last four games, and hasn’t hit 20 or more fantasy points since Week 10. Of the eight QBs to choose from this week, Trubisky has the best matchup for a passer against an Eagles team that has given up the second-most points to opposing quarterbacks. He could take advantage of his matchup and post a monster game, but he also could be the bad Trubisky that we have seen as of late. That boom or bust mentality is perfect for GPP players looking for the home run play.

Other options to consider - Deshaun Watson vs. Indianapolis

Fade - Philip Rivers @ Baltimore - $5,900

Rivers’ worst game of the season came at the hands of the Ravens at Stub Hub center in Week 16. The veteran QB threw for just 181 yards and two interceptions, as Baltimore upset the Chargers as part of their playoff push. I think the Chargers are the better team and will prevail in their matchup, but I want no part of this game for DFS purposes as it could be the lowest-scoring contests of the weekend.

Running Backs

H2H/Cash - Jordan Howard vs. Philadelphia- $4,600

Most people anticipate that the Bears will try to take advantage of the numerous injuries to the Eagles secondary and attack Philly with the pass. While I do anticipate Matt Nagy will try to exploit the weakness of his opponent, I also believe he knows the limitations of his own quarterback and will try to run the ball early and often. I also like the Bears running game now that stud run-blocking guard Kyle Long is back from injury and ready to boost the Chicago ground attack. For these reasons, I like Howard as a cash game player who will get at least 15 carries this weekend with the upside of reaching the end zone for the fourth-straight week.

Other options to consider - Ezekiel Elliott vs. Seattle & Lamar Miller vs. Indianapolis

GPP - Tarik Cohen vs. Philadephia - $5,400

I am going with Cohen in GPP and Howard in cash as I try to get a part of the Bears offense against the Eagles. Cohen’s ability to dominate in the passing game and on draw plays and misdirection makes him a strong play against an aggressive Eagles defense. Only the Falcons have allowed more receptions out of the backfield to opposing running backs this season than the Eagles, making Cohen an excellent start in DK based on the full PPR scoring.

Other options to consider - Kenneth Dixon vs. Los Angeles & Marlon Mack @ Houston

Fade - Melvin Gordon @ Baltimore - $7,700

Gordon has not looked right since returning to the field after sustaining a knee injury against the Cardinals. Gordon doesn’t have the same burst or lateral movement that he displayed most of the season. Although he did score against the Ravens when the two teams faced off Week 16, he will be hard pressed to put up enough fantasy points to justify his high salary against a Baltimore team that allows the second-fewest points to opposing RBs.

Wide Receivers

H2H/Cash - T.Y. Hilton @ Houston - $7,800

A primary beneficiary of Andrew Luck’s big games against the Texans was wide receiver T.Y. Hilton. The speedy No.1 target for Luck in the passing game hauled in nine catches for 199 yards when the two teams faced off ant NRG Stadium Week 14. Although Hilton is questionable with an ankle injury, I anticipate that he will play against the Texans and post another 100-yard performance. I typically like to use Hilton in GPP based on his boom or bust production over the years, but when he plays the Texans, I am all in with pairing him in cash with Luck.

Other options to consider - Amari Cooper vs. Seattle & DeAndre Hopkins vs. Indianapolis

GPP - Dontrelle Inman @ Houston - $4,300

Finding inexpensive wide receiver plays in GPP on small slates like Wild Card playoff week can be tough, as there is a much smaller player pool to pick from and most players will have a high ownership level. One upside player who may have a small ownership percentage is Dontrelle Inman, a journeyman wide receiver who has quietly become one of Andrew Luck’s favorite red zone targets at wide receiver.

Inman has a touchdown in each of his last two games to go along with 113 yards and nine receptions. The volume will not be there for Inman, but he does have a decent chance of another receiving touchdown with the Texans placing most of their focus on stopping T.Y. Hilton and Eric Ebron.

Other options to consider - Tyler Lockett @ Dallas & Allen Robinson vs. Philadelphia

Fade - Keenan Allen @ Baltimore - $6,900

Allen put up a respectable 5/58 line against the Ravens two weeks ago at Stub Hub center and is always a threat for a big game. But in a game that looks to be a low scoring affair with the Ravens using their suffocating defense and grueling ground attack to shorten the game and control time of possession, I can’t see Allen posting huge numbers against cornerback Jimmy Smith and the Ravens. While some may view Allen as a contrarian play with low ownership, I view him as an overpriced wide receiver who will struggle to return value on his hefty salary.

Tight End

H2H/Cash - Eric Ebron @ Houston - $5,200

Two of the top fantasy tight ends are playing this week with Eric Ebron taking on the Texans and Zach Ertz playing against the Bears. With Houston allowing the second-most points to opposing tight ends and Chicago ranking in the bottom quarter, Ebron clearly has the better matchup of the two and the one I would target for safety in a cash game.

Other options to consider - Zach Ertz @ Chicago

GPP - Hunter Henry @ Baltimore — $2,500

This recommendation comes with a huge asterisk, as the Chargers have not cleared Henry to play and they are coy about his availability on Sunday. At just $2,500, Henry is a massive value as a favorite red zone target for Philip Rivers. Even if Henry plays only a fraction of the snaps, he could be active in the red zone and return value well above his cost. If he is not active, owners will need to pivot to Dallas Goedert or one of the Ravens tight ends like Mark Andrews or Hayden Hurst.

Other options to consider - Blake Jarwin vs. Seattle & Nick Vannett @ Dallas

Fade - Trey Burton vs. Philadelphia — $4,400

Injuries to the secondary in Philadelphia turned an excellent Eagles group of defensive backs into one of the worst in the league. The Eagles ended the season allowing the fourth-most points to opposing wide receivers and the ninth-most to opposing quarterbacks. One area they are not weak against is tight ends, with no opposing tight ends topping 100 yards receiving and only two TEs managed to score a touchdown.

Defense & Special Teams

High Priced Option Worthy of the Cost: Ravens ($3,000) vs. Chargers

Well Priced with Upside: Eagles ($2,200) vs. Bears: