Week One of the NFL season is finally here. No matter how happy
or displeased you are with the lineup in your seasonal leagues,
you still have the opportunity to create an exciting and high-scoring
lineup on the daily fantasy sites. Each week in this section you
will find some tips, suggestions and value plays to help grow your
bankroll and maybe even take down some big tournaments. If you are
new to this section or daily fantasy sports, be sure to check out
the preseason articles on Getting
Started with Daily Fantasy Football and Setting
Your Daily Fantasy Lineup to push yourself ahead of the beginners
curve.
One of the best places to start when considering who to use in
your lineups is the betting lines for the games. This will clue
you in to who the odds makers think will score well this weekend.
With a little easy math, you can break it down even further by
the team and not just by the game. Here is how Las Vegas sees
the scoring this weekend.
- Green Bay (20.5) at Seattle (26.5)
- New Orleans (27.25) at Atlanta (24.25)
- Minnesota (19.75) at St. Louis (23.75)
- Cleveland (17.5) at Pittsburgh (24)
- Jacksonville (21) at Philadelphia (31.5)
- Oakland (17.25) at NY Jets (22.75)
- Cincinnati (20.75) at Baltimore (22.25)
- Buffalo (20) at Chicago (27)
- Washington (21) at Houston (24)
- Tennessee (20) at Kansas City (23.5)
- New England (26) at Miami (21)
- Carolina (20.5) at Tampa Bay (18.5)
- San Francisco (28) at Dallas (23.5)
- Indianapolis (24) at Denver (31.5)
- NY Giants (20.75) at Detroit (26.25)
- San Diego (21) at Arizona (24)
As you can see from the lines above, Philadelphia, Denver and
San Francisco are all projected to put up at least four touchdowns.
New Orleans, Chicago, Seattle, Detroit and New England are all
within a field goal of four touchdowns as well. This does not
mean you should exclusively use players from these games, but
picking quite a few from them would be favorable. Avoid loading
your lineup with players from Oakland, Cleveland and Carolina
based on their low score projections. We know the games are not
played on paper and these are not perfect, but this is a good
baseline to use in your research.
Now that we are armed with that information, let’s look
at some of the players I will use in my daily lineups this week.
Note that I have listed the salaries for FanDuel and DraftKings
in that order. Salaries and how they relate to value will vary
based on the site you play on.
Cutler's price makes him an attractive
daily QB1.
Quarterbacks
Quarterbacks are usually easier to predict, and if you have the
money, it is reasonable to pay for the top players. If that does
not fit the budget this week, you can look at these players:
Value play –
- Shaun Hill (5,000, 5,000) – a good tournament play, although at this price he may be heavily owned.
Running Backs
Running backs are typically consistent at the top. I like
to have at least one high-volume workhorse to pair with one of
these following players:
- Frank
Gore (7,200, 5,200)
- Andre
Ellington (6,800, 6,000) - Foot injury. Keep and eye
on status reports this weekend. Ellington will be a game-time decision
and is no longer recommended even if he does play. If you still
plan on chancing it Monday night, you do have a llate switch
option on DraftKings. Having Ellington in your flex spot would
give you both running back and wide receiver options to choose
from.
- Shane
Vereen (6,600, 6,100)
- Bernard
Pierce (6,100, 4,600)
- Fred
Jackson (5,800, 4,400)
Wide Recievers
Wide Receiver is the position that I look to spend my money.
The top players have a high floor, or in other words, normally
produce reliable points. You will not be able to get all studs
on your roster though, so check out some of the value plays as
well:
- Demaryius Thomas (8,700, 8,100)
- Julio Jones (8,000, 7,700)
- Victor Cruz (6,900, 6,300)
- Michael Crabtree (6,500, 6,100)
Value play –
Tight Ends
Tight Ends are where I will pay up if I have the money;
otherwise I am looking for straight value picks.
Kickers
Kickers (DraftKings does not have this position) pick one
on a good, but not great, offense that fits your remaining budget.
I look to pay the minimum at this volatile position.
Defenses
Defenses can vary from week to week, so it is not advisable
to pay top dollar but rather find a value play based on matchup.
Best of luck as you get into the exciting world of daily fantasy
sports.
Suggestions, comments? E-mail
me.
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