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Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots - Week 10
Game Preview

Fantasy | Game Notes | Results & Schedule | Injury Report | Stat Comparisons | Weather | Team vs. Team History

IND
JAC		 27
 10
PrePost
ATL
NO		 27
 31
PrePost
SD
TB		 24
 34
PrePost
OAK
BAL		 20
 55
PrePost
NYG
CIN		 13
 31
PrePost
TEN
MIA		 37
 3
PrePost
DET
MIN		 24
 34
PrePost
DEN
CAR		 36
 14
PrePost
BUF
NE		 31
 37
PrePost
NYJ
SEA		 7
 28
PrePost
DAL
PHI		 38
 23
PrePost
STL
SF		 24
 24
PrePost
HOU
CHI		 13
 6
PrePost
KC
PIT		 13
 16
PrePost
    

Week: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17
Playoffs: Wild-Card | Divisional Playoffs | Conference Championships | Super Bowl

Final Score Prediction

Patriots 31, Bills 17

Fantasy Player Rankings and Projections by Mike Krueger
Buffalo Bills
Rank  Player Projections
QB 8 Ryan Fitzpatrick Pass: 290, 2 TD Rush: 10, 0
RB 23 C.J. Spiller Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 5-40, 0
RB 27 Fred Jackson Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 4-30, 0
WR 14 Steve Johnson Rec: 7-80, 1 TD
WR 45 Donald Jones Rec: 4-60, 0 TD
TE 16 Scott Chandler Rec: 5-50, 0 TD
K 24 Rian Lindell FG: 1/1 XP: 2/2
DEF 27 Defense / ST  
View all Week 10 Rankings or Projections
  
New England Patriots
Rank  Player Projections
QB 1 Tom Brady Pass: 310, 3 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 8 Stevan Ridley Rush: 90, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
RB 43 Shane Vereen Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0
RB 45 Danny Woodhead Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0
WR 4 Wes Welker Rec: 10-110, 1 TD
WR 40 Brandon Lloyd Rec: 4-50, 0 TD
TE 1 Rob Gronkowski Rec: 6-80, 1 TD
 TE 7 Aaron Hernandez Rec: 3-30, 1 TD
K 11 Stephen Gostkowski FG: 1/1 XP: 4/4
DEF 10 Defense / ST  

Game Notes

Bills QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (9,928) needs 72 passing yards to become 5th QB in franchise history to reach 10,000 career. Aims for 4th consecutive game with 300+ passing yards vs. NE. Tied career-best with 4 TD passes in last game vs. NE... RB Fred Jackson (197) needs 3 rec. to join HOFer THURMAN THOMAS (456) as only RBs in Bills history to reach 200 career. RB C.J. Spiller averages 7.2 yards per carry in '12 (78 att., 562 yards)... WR Steve Johnson has TD catch in 2 of past 3 vs. NE. WR Donald Jones has 7 rec. for 191 yards (27.3 avg.), incl. 68-yard TD in past 2 vs. NE... TE Scott Chandler tied career-high with 2 TD rec. in last game vs. NE....DE Mario Williams has 3 sacks in past 2 on road... DE KYLE MOORE posted 1st career sack last week... Since entering NFL in '09, S Jairus Byrd is tied for 4th in NFL w/ 16 INTs... LB Nick Barnett has team-high 61 tackles... PR Leodis McKelvin has NFL-best 19.5 PR avg...

Patriots Average NFL-best in pts per game (32.8) & yards per game (440.8)... NE has won past 11 games at home vs. Buf... QB Tom Brady has 19-2 (.905) career record vs. Bills with 49 TDs & 103.4 rating. Has thrown TD pass in 40 consec. games, 3rd-longest streak in NFL history. Brady (16) needs 4 TD passes to reach 20 for 10th time in career. In past 8 in Nov., has 21 TDs vs. 2 INTs & 113.5 rating... RB Stevan Ridley has 3 gms. with 125+ rush yards in '12 (125, 151, 127), tied for most in NFL (CHRIS JOHNSON). Had 106 rush yards with 2 TDs in last game vs. Buf. Rookie RB Brandon Bolden had career-high 137 rush yards in last game vs. Bills. WR Wes Welker has 16 career games with 10+ rec., tied for 2nd-most in NFL history (HOFer JERRY RICE, 17; MARVIN HARRISON, 16). Has 93 rec. for 1,035 yards vs. Bills, most vs. any team... TE Rob Gronkowski has 2 TD rec. in each of past 2. Has 8 TD rec. in 5 career games vs. Buf... Rookie DE Chandler Jones leads NFL rookies with 6 sacks... DB Tavon Wilson has 3 INTs, most among AFC rookies... DB Devin McCourty has 3 INTs in past 2 vs. Bills.


Results and Schedule
Buffalo Bills
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2012-09-09 NYJ A L 28-48 -20
2 2012-09-16 KC H W 35-17 +18
3 2012-09-23 CLE A W 24-14 +10
4 2012-09-30 NE H L 28-52 -24
5 2012-10-07 SF A L 3-45 -42
6 2012-10-14 ARI A W 19-16 +3
7 2012-10-21 TEN H L 34-35 -1
8   Bye      
9 2012-11-04 HOU A L 9-21 -12
10 2012-11-11 NE A L 31-37 -6
11 2012-11-15 MIA H    
12 2012-11-25 IND A    
13 2012-12-02 JAC H    
14 2012-12-09 STL H    
15 2012-12-16 SEA H    
16 2012-12-23 MIA A    
17 2012-12-30 NYJ H    
   
New England Patriots
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2012-09-09 TEN A W 34-13 +21
2 2012-09-16 ARI H L 18-20 -2
3 2012-09-23 BAL A L 30-31 -1
4 2012-09-30 BUF A W 52-28 +24
5 2012-10-07 DEN H W 31-21 +10
6 2012-10-14 SEA A L 23-24 -1
7 2012-10-21 NYJ H W 29-26 +3
8 2012-10-28 STL A W 45-7 +38
9   Bye      
10 2012-11-11 BUF H W 37-31 +6
11 2012-11-18 IND H    
12 2012-11-22 NYJ A    
13 2012-12-02 MIA A    
14 2012-12-10 HOU H    
15 2012-12-16 SF H    
16 2012-12-23 JAC A    
17 2012-12-30 MIA H    

Injury Report
Buffalo Bills
Out  DE Mark Anderson (knee)
 CB Aaron Williams (knee)
Questionable  DE Spencer Johnson (thigh)
 WR Steve Johnson (thigh)
 DE Chris Kelsay (neck)
 DT Kyle Williams (ankle)
Probable  DT Marcell Dareus (shoulder)
 CB Stephon Gilmore (shoulder)
 CB Leodis McKelvin (groin)
 CB Justin Rogers (shoulder)
 RB C.J. Spiller (shoulder)
IR  CB Ron Brooks (foot, 9/4)
 CB Terrence McGee (knee, 11/6)
 WR David Nelson (knee, 9/11)
   
New England Patriots
Out  DE Trevor Scott (hamstring)
 OLB Tracy White (foot)
Questionable  CB Kyle Arrington (head)
 SS Patrick Chung (shoulder)
 FS Steve Gregory (hip)
 TE Rob Gronkowski (hip)
 TE Aaron Hernandez (ankle)
 OLB Dont'a Hightower (hamstring)
 WR Brandon Lloyd (knee)
 OLB Jerod Mayo (elbow)
 MLB Brandon Spikes (knee)
 WR Wes Welker (ankle)
Probable  WR Julian Edelman (hand)
 DT Kyle Love (knee)
IR  CB Will Allen (undisclosed, 8/27)
 SS Josh Barrett (undisclosed, 8/27)
 CB Ras-I Dowling (quadriceps, 10/26)
 MLB Dane Fletcher (knee, 8/15)
 FB Spencer Larsen (undisclosed, 8/27)
 TE Visanthe Shiancoe (hamstring, 9/5)
PUP  DT Myron Pryor (shoulder)

Offense Stats Comparison
  BUF
 Offense 		 NE
 Offense 		 NFL
 Avg. 		  Adv. 
Points for 18.7 35.0 22.3 NE
Rushing yards 117.3 176.7 117.3 NE
Rushing yards per attempt 5.01 4.85 4.37 BUF
Completion % 63.2% 63.9% 61.9% NE
Passing yards 195.7 301.3 238.0 NE
Passing yards per completion 9.65 11.34 10.88 NE
Passing yards per attempt 6.09 7.24 6.74 NE
Interceptions 1.0 0.0 0.9 NE
Fumbles lost 1.0 0.7 0.7 NE
Sacks allowed 2.0 1.0 2.2 NE
3rd down conversions 37.7% 52.0% 38.8% NE
4th down conversions 50.0% 33.3% 55.0% BUF
Time of possession 28:31 32:24 29:49 NE
  Defense Stats Comparison
  BUF
 Defense 		 NE
 Defense 		 NFL
 Avg. 		  Adv. 
Points against 33.7 23.7 22.3 NE
Rushing yards 208.7 96.3 117.3 NE
Rushing yards per attempt 6.32 3.61 4.37 NE
Completion % 62.4% 65.8% 61.9% BUF
Passing yards 253.0 304.0 238.0 BUF
Passing yards per completion 12.67 12.16 10.88 NE
Passing yards per attempt 7.91 7.99 6.74 BUF
INT return 0.0 1.0 0.9 NE
Fumble recoveries 0.3 1.7 0.7 NE
Sacks 1.7 2.3 2.2 NE
3rd down conversions 43.9% 46.2% 38.8% BUF
4th down conversions 80.0% 42.9% 55.0% NE
Time of possession 32:25 28:46 29:49 NE

Special Teams Stats Comparison
   BUF   NE  NFL
 Avg. 		  Adv. 
Yards per punt return 10.7 11.3 8.1 NE
Yards per kick return 29.0 23.4 24.1 BUF
Yards allowed per punt return 11.4 8.5 8.1 NE
Yards allowed per kick return 20.9 21.0 24.1 BUF
  Misc Stats Comparison
   BUF   NE  NFL
 Avg. 		  Adv. 
Penalties 4.3 6.0 6.2 BUF
Penalty yards 28.7 47.0 51.7 BUF

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 4 to 9 of the 2012 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 4 to 9 with no adjustment.

Weather

Team vs. Team History
Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots
 Season   Week   Date   Vis   Home   Score   Winner 
2000 10 2000-11-05 BUF NE 16-13 BUF
2000 16 2000-12-17 NE BUF 13-10 NE
2001 9 2001-11-11 BUF NE 11-21 NE
2001 14 2001-12-16 NE BUF 12-9 NE
2002 9 2002-11-03 NE BUF 38-7 NE
2002 14 2002-12-08 BUF NE 17-27 NE
2003 1 2003-09-07 NE BUF 0-31 BUF
2003 17 2003-12-27 BUF NE 0-31 NE
2004 4 2004-10-03 NE BUF 31-17 NE
2004 10 2004-11-14 BUF NE 6-29 NE
2005 8 2005-10-30 BUF NE 16-21 NE
2005 14 2005-12-11 NE BUF 35-7 NE
2006 1 2006-09-10 BUF NE 17-19 NE
2006 7 2006-10-22 NE BUF 28-6 NE
2007 3 2007-09-23 BUF NE 7-38 NE
2007 11 2007-11-18 NE BUF 56-10 NE
2008 10 2008-11-09 BUF NE 10-20 NE
2008 17 2008-12-28 NE BUF 13-0 NE
2009 1 2009-09-14 BUF NE 24-25 NE
2009 15 2009-12-20 NE BUF 17-10 NE
2010 3 2010-09-26 BUF NE 30-38 NE
2010 16 2010-12-26 NE BUF 34-3 NE
2011 3 2011-09-25 NE BUF 31-34 BUF
2011 17 2012-01-01 BUF NE 21-49 NE
2012 4 2012-09-30 NE BUF 52-28 NE

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.