Final Score Prediction
Falcons 34, Buccaneers 27
Fantasy Player Rankings and Projections by Mike Krueger |
Atlanta Falcons |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 1 |
Matt Ryan |
Pass: 310, 3 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 20 |
Michael Turner |
Rush: 90, 1 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
RB 42 |
Jacquizz Rodgers |
Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
WR 1 |
Roddy White |
Rec: 10-120, 1 TD |
WR 15 |
Julio Jones |
Rec: 5-70, 1 TD |
WR 69 |
Harry Douglas |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
TE 2 |
Tony Gonzalez |
Rec: 7-70, 1 TD |
K 2 |
Matt Bryant |
FG: 2/2 XP: 4/4 |
DEF 24 |
Defense / ST |
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 8 |
Josh Freeman |
Pass: 260, 2 TD Rush: 10, 0 |
RB 2 |
Doug Martin |
Rush: 100, 1 TD Rec: 4-30, 0 |
RB 71 |
LeGarrette Blount |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
WR 5 |
Vincent Jackson |
Rec: 7-100, 1 TD |
WR 36 |
Mike Williams |
Rec: 4-50, 1 TD |
WR 78 |
Tiquan Underwood |
Rec: 2-30, 0 TD |
TE 25 |
Dallas Clark |
Rec: 3-30, 0 TD |
K 12 |
Connor Barth |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 31 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Falcons QB Matt Ryan has won 6 of past 7 starts vs. TB. In past 5 division starts, has 1,579 yards (315.8 per game), 13 TDs vs. 2 INTs & 107.6 rating. In career, Falcons are 29-1 (.967) when he has 100+ rating... RB Michael Turner rushed for 172 yards & 2 TDs in last meeting. Has 5 rush TDs in past 4 vs. TB... TE Tony Gonzalez has 13,988 rec. yards & needs 12 to become 8th player (1st TE) in NFL history with 14,000+. Has 101 career rec. TDs, most by TE & 6th most in NFL history. In 2 meetings last year, WR Julio Jones had 100-yard game & 2 TD game. WR Roddy White had 9 catches for 140 yards in last game at TB. Since 2007, has 533 receptions, most in NFC. Has 22 catches for 355 yards (118.3 per game) in past 3... DE John Abraham has 13.5 sacks in past 13. Had 2 sacks last week & FF that led to 15-yard FR-TD by DT Jonathan Babineaux. Abraham had sack, FF & FR in last meeting. S Thomas DeCoud had INT in last game at TB.
Buccaneers Over past 6 weeks, lead NFL with 205 points... In past 6, QB Josh Freeman is 5-1 & has 16 TDs vs. 3 INTs & 106.1 rating. Bucs are 11-3 when he has 100+ rating... Rookie RB Doug Martin leads NFL with 1,319 scrimmage yards (1,000 rush, 319 rec.). Has 1,019 scrimmage yards in past 6 & joins HOFer ERIC DICKERSON & EDGERRIN JAMES as only rookies with 1,000+ scrimmage yards in 6-game span... WR Vincent Jackson has 6 TDs in past 7, incl. 24-yard TD with 0:12 remaining last week. Since 2008, his 18.4 yards per catch avg. (243 rec., 4,482 yards) is best in NFL (min. 100 catches). Jackson (20.5) & WR Mike Williams (17.6) are top 2 in NFC in yards per catch (min. 30 catches). TE Dallas Clark had GW 15-yard TD in OT last week. Aims for 3rd in row with TD... Rookie CB LEONARD JOHNSON has INT in 3 of past 4, incl. 83-yard INT-TD. DB Ronde Barber had INT in last home meeting. Is only player in NFL annals with 25+ sacks (28) & 40+ INTs (46). DE Michael Bennett has sack in 3 of past 4 games. Rookie LB Lavonte David leads team with 90 tackles.
Results and Schedule
Atlanta Falcons |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2012-09-09 |
KC |
A |
W 40-24 |
+16 |
2 |
2012-09-17 |
DEN |
H |
W 27-21 |
+6 |
3 |
2012-09-23 |
SD |
A |
W 27-3 |
+24 |
4 |
2012-09-30 |
CAR |
H |
W 30-28 |
+2 |
5 |
2012-10-07 |
WAS |
A |
W 24-17 |
+7 |
6 |
2012-10-14 |
OAK |
H |
W 23-20 |
+3 |
7 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
8 |
2012-10-28 |
PHI |
A |
W 30-17 |
+13 |
9 |
2012-11-04 |
DAL |
H |
W 19-13 |
+6 |
10 |
2012-11-11 |
NO |
A |
L 27-31 |
-4 |
11 |
2012-11-18 |
ARI |
H |
W 23-19 |
+4 |
12 |
2012-11-25 |
TB |
A |
W 24-23 |
+1 |
13 |
2012-11-29 |
NO |
H |
|
|
14 |
2012-12-09 |
CAR |
A |
|
|
15 |
2012-12-16 |
NYG |
H |
|
|
16 |
2012-12-22 |
DET |
A |
|
|
17 |
2012-12-30 |
TB |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2012-09-09 |
CAR |
H |
W 16-10 |
+6 |
2 |
2012-09-16 |
NYG |
A |
L 34-41 |
-7 |
3 |
2012-09-23 |
DAL |
A |
L 10-16 |
-6 |
4 |
2012-09-30 |
WAS |
H |
L 22-24 |
-2 |
5 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
6 |
2012-10-14 |
KC |
H |
W 38-10 |
+28 |
7 |
2012-10-21 |
NO |
H |
L 28-35 |
-7 |
8 |
2012-10-25 |
MIN |
A |
W 36-17 |
+19 |
9 |
2012-11-04 |
OAK |
A |
W 42-32 |
+10 |
10 |
2012-11-11 |
SD |
H |
W 34-24 |
+10 |
11 |
2012-11-18 |
CAR |
A |
W 27-21 |
+6 |
12 |
2012-11-25 |
ATL |
H |
L 23-24 |
-1 |
13 |
2012-12-02 |
DEN |
A |
|
|
14 |
2012-12-09 |
PHI |
H |
|
|
15 |
2012-12-16 |
NO |
A |
|
|
16 |
2012-12-23 |
STL |
H |
|
|
17 |
2012-12-30 |
ATL |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
|
ATL Offense |
TB Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
24.3 |
34.0 |
23.0 |
TB |
Rushing yards |
75.7 |
142.3 |
115.0 |
TB |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.48 |
5.29 |
4.26 |
TB |
Completion % |
66.7% |
57.5% |
61.7% |
ATL |
Passing yards |
290.7 |
262.0 |
232.6 |
ATL |
Passing yards per completion |
11.52 |
14.50 |
10.78 |
TB |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.68 |
8.34 |
6.65 |
TB |
Interceptions |
1.3 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
TB |
Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
ATL |
Sacks allowed |
1.3 |
1.0 |
2.2 |
TB |
3rd down conversions |
45.6% |
40.3% |
37.9% |
ATL |
4th down conversions |
0.0% |
57.1% |
50.6% |
TB |
Time of possession |
32:49 |
30:18 |
30:02 |
ATL |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
|
ATL Defense |
TB Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
18.7 |
23.5 |
23.0 |
ATL |
Rushing yards |
125.7 |
90.3 |
115.0 |
TB |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.58 |
3.53 |
4.26 |
TB |
Completion % |
62.3% |
64.3% |
61.7% |
ATL |
Passing yards |
260.7 |
290.8 |
232.6 |
ATL |
Passing yards per completion |
11.37 |
11.41 |
10.78 |
ATL |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.09 |
7.33 |
6.65 |
ATL |
INT return |
0.3 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
TB |
Fumble recoveries |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
- |
Sacks |
2.3 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
ATL |
3rd down conversions |
32.3% |
48.4% |
37.9% |
ATL |
4th down conversions |
25.0% |
28.6% |
50.6% |
ATL |
Time of possession |
27:11 |
30:47 |
30:02 |
ATL |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
ATL |
TB |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
7.0 |
7.4 |
9.1 |
TB |
Yards per kick return |
22.4 |
19.6 |
23.2 |
ATL |
Yards allowed per punt return |
9.0 |
9.1 |
9.1 |
ATL |
Yards allowed per kick return |
19.8 |
25.0 |
23.2 |
ATL |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
|
ATL |
TB |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
4.3 |
5.8 |
6.3 |
ATL |
Penalty yards |
33.3 |
46.8 |
53.1 |
ATL |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 6 to 11 of the 2012 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 6 to 11 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
10 |
2000-11-05 |
TB |
ATL |
27-14 |
TB |
2002 |
5 |
2002-10-06 |
TB |
ATL |
20-6 |
TB |
2002 |
14 |
2002-12-08 |
ATL |
TB |
10-34 |
TB |
2003 |
3 |
2003-09-21 |
TB |
ATL |
31-10 |
TB |
2003 |
16 |
2003-12-20 |
ATL |
TB |
30-28 |
ATL |
2004 |
10 |
2004-11-14 |
TB |
ATL |
14-24 |
ATL |
2004 |
13 |
2004-12-05 |
ATL |
TB |
0-27 |
TB |
2005 |
11 |
2005-11-20 |
TB |
ATL |
30-27 |
TB |
2005 |
16 |
2005-12-24 |
ATL |
TB |
24-27 |
TB |
2006 |
2 |
2006-09-17 |
TB |
ATL |
3-14 |
ATL |
2006 |
14 |
2006-12-10 |
ATL |
TB |
17-6 |
ATL |
2007 |
11 |
2007-11-18 |
TB |
ATL |
31-7 |
TB |
2007 |
15 |
2007-12-16 |
ATL |
TB |
3-37 |
TB |
2008 |
2 |
2008-09-14 |
ATL |
TB |
9-24 |
TB |
2008 |
15 |
2008-12-14 |
TB |
ATL |
10-13 |
ATL |
2009 |
12 |
2009-11-29 |
TB |
ATL |
17-20 |
ATL |
2009 |
17 |
2010-01-03 |
ATL |
TB |
20-10 |
ATL |
2010 |
9 |
2010-11-07 |
TB |
ATL |
21-27 |
ATL |
2010 |
13 |
2010-12-05 |
ATL |
TB |
28-24 |
ATL |
2011 |
3 |
2011-09-25 |
ATL |
TB |
13-16 |
TB |
2011 |
17 |
2012-01-01 |
TB |
ATL |
24-45 |
ATL |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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