Prediction: Steelers 27, Ravens 23
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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Baltimore Ravens |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 6 |
Joe Flacco |
Pass: 255, 2 TD Rush: 5, 0 |
RB 4 |
Justin Forsett |
Rush: 75, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
RB 16 |
Bernard Pierce |
Rush: 15, 0 TD Rec: 1-5, 0 |
WR 6 |
Torrey Smith |
Rec: 6-75, 1 TD |
WR 8 |
Steve Smith |
Rec: 5-65, 0 TD |
WR 23 |
Kamar Aiken |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
WR 26 |
Marlon Brown |
Rec: 1-10, 0 TD |
WR 27 |
Jacoby Jones |
Rec: 1-10, 0 TD |
TE 7 |
Owen Daniels |
Rec: 4-40, 0 TD |
TE 11 |
Crockett Gillmore |
Rec: 1-10, 0 TD |
K 2 |
Justin Tucker |
FG: 3/3 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 6 |
Defense / ST |
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Pittsburgh Steelers |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 2 |
Ben Roethlisberger |
Pass: 295, 2 TD Rush: 5, 0 |
RB 6 |
Josh Harris |
Rush: 60, 1 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
RB 13 |
Dri Archer |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 3-25, 0 |
RB 20 |
Ben Tate |
Rush: 5, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
WR 1 |
Antonio Brown |
Rec: 9-110, 1 TD |
WR 12 |
Martavis Bryant |
Rec: 3-45, 0 TD |
WR 16 |
Markus Wheaton |
Rec: 3-35, 0 TD |
TE 3 |
Heath Miller |
Rec: 5-50, 1 TD |
K 3 |
Shaun Suisham |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 3 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Ravens Have reached playoffs in 6 of past 7 seasons... Ravens are 9-5 all-time on road in postseason... QB Joe Flacco will be 1st QB to start postseason game in 6 of 1st 7 NFL seasons in Super Bowl era. Passed for 11 TDs vs. 0 INTs for 117.2 rating en route to SB XLVII title. 1 of 2 NFL players with 11+ TD passes & 0 INTs in single postseason (HOFer JOE MONTANA). Has 9-4 postseason record. Had career-best 3,986 passing yards in 2014, 2nd-most in season by Raven. In past 4 vs. Pit., has completed 99 of 143 (69.2 pct.) for 935 yards with 6 TDs vs. 1 INT for 98.1 rating... RB Justin Forsett rushed for career-high 1,266 yards & 8 TDs on 235 att., leading NFL RBs in rushing average (5.4). Ranked 2nd in AFC & tied for 3rd in NFL with 5 100-yard rushing games in 2014... In 1st season with Ravens, WR Steve Smith, SR. led team with 1,065 receiving yards on 79 catches with 6 TDs. 1 of 4 players in NFL history with at least 3 TD catches of 50+ yards in season at age 35+ (HOFers JERRY RICE & JAMES LOFTON & JOEY GALLOWAY). Has 10 career postseason TDs (8 receiving, 1 rush, 1 PR), most among active players... WR Torrey Smith led team with 11 TD catches in 2014, which ranks 2nd on Ravens' all-time single-season list (MICHAEL JACKSON, 14 in 1996). Averages 21.6 yards per catch in postseason career (15 rec., 324 yards, 3 TDs), 1st among active NFL WRs (min. 15 catches). Had 35-yard TD catch in last meeting. TE Owen Daniels has 3 TD catches in 4 career meetings, including 2 in Week 2 victory... LB Terrell Suggs has 12 career playoff sacks, tied with HOFer REGGIE WHITE for 3rd all-time (WILLIE MC GINEST, 16; BRUCE SMITH 14.5). Suggs is Ravens' all-time sack leader (106.5) & is 1 of 7 active players with 100+ career sacks. 1 of 3 players to have 10+ sacks in 4 of past 5 seasons (JARED ALLEN, DE MARCUS WARE). LB C.J. Mosley (129) joins RAY LEWIS as only rookies in Ravens history to lead team in tackles. LB Elvis Dumervil led team with single-season club record 17 sacks this season... K Justin Tucker has 89.8 career FG pct. (97 of 108), highest of any player in NFL history (min. 100 att.)... Club had 3 players selected to 2015 Pro Bowl (LB Dumervil, LB Mosley, G MARSHAL YANDA).
Steelers Have 33-21 (.611) all-time postseason record, tied with Dallas for most total playoff wins & 3rd all-time in win pct. Won 1st AFC North title since 2010, when Pit. advanced to SB XLVI. Since realignment in 2002, Steelers have won most AFC North championships of any team in division (6)... QB Ben Roethlisberger tied for 1st in NFL with franchise-record 4,952 pass yards and 32 TD passes, which matched his own single-season club record (2007). Has 10-4 career postseason record. In Week 9 meeting, passed for 340 yards with 6 TDs & 0 INTs for 136.3 rating, becoming 1st player in NFL history with 6+ TD passes in back-to-back games (6 vs. Ind. in Week 8). Has 2-0 playoff record vs. Ravens, passing for 481 yards with 3 TDs vs. 0 INTs for 93.2 rating... RB LE' VEON BELL led AFC & ranked 2nd in NFL with single-season club record 2,215 scrimmage yards (1,361 rushing; 854 receiving). Bell & HOFer MARSHALL FAULK (1999) are only players in NFL history with 1,350+ rush & 850+ receiving yards in same season. His 854 receiving yards are most ever by Steelers RB in season. In 11 career games vs. AFC North, averages 121.6 scrimmage yards per game (1,338 total; 868 rushing, 470 receiving) with 8 total TDs (6 rush, 2 rec.)... WR Antonio Brown led NFL in catches (129) & receiving yards (1,698), 2nd-most rec. in single season in NFL annals (MARVIN HARRISON, 143 in 2002). 1 of 4 players in NFL history with 110+ catches in consecutive seasons (HOFers JERRY RICE & CRIS CARTER & WES WELKER). Brown's 13 TD catches surpassed HINES WARD (12 in 2002), LOUIS LIPPS (12 in 1985) & BUDDY DIAL (12 in 1961) for single-season club record. WR Martavis Bryant led AFC rookies with 8 TD rec. in 2014 & became 1st player in NFL history with 7 TD rec. in 1st 7 career games. TE Heath Miller has 40 catches for 497 yards & 4 TDs in postseason, including TD catch in last playoff vs. Ravens... In 13 career playoff games, LB James Harrison has 6.5 sacks & 100-yard INT-TD (SB XLIII vs. Az.), tied for 2nd-longest in playoff history. S Troy Polamalu has 3 career postseason INTs, including a 40-yard INT-TD vs. Bal. in AFC Championship on 1/18/09. Club had 5 players selected to 2015 Pro Bowl (QB Roethlisberger, RB Bell, WR Brown, C MAURKICE POUNCEY, LB Lawrence Timmons).
Results and Schedule
Baltimore Ravens |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
CIN |
H |
L 16-23 |
-7 |
2 |
2014-09-11 |
PIT |
H |
W 26-6 |
+20 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
CLE |
A |
W 23-21 |
+2 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
CAR |
H |
W 38-10 |
+28 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
IND |
A |
L 13-20 |
-7 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
TB |
A |
W 48-17 |
+31 |
7 |
2014-10-19 |
ATL |
H |
W 29-7 |
+22 |
8 |
2014-10-26 |
CIN |
A |
L 24-27 |
-3 |
9 |
2014-11-02 |
PIT |
A |
L 23-43 |
-20 |
10 |
2014-11-09 |
TEN |
H |
W 21-7 |
+14 |
11 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
12 |
2014-11-24 |
NO |
A |
W 34-27 |
+7 |
13 |
2014-11-30 |
SD |
H |
L 33-34 |
-1 |
14 |
2014-12-07 |
MIA |
A |
W 28-13 |
+15 |
15 |
2014-12-14 |
JAC |
H |
W 20-12 |
+8 |
16 |
2014-12-21 |
HOU |
A |
L 13-25 |
-12 |
17 |
2014-12-28 |
CLE |
H |
W 20-10 |
+10 |
WC |
2015-01-03 |
PIT |
A |
W 30-17 |
+13 |
DP |
2015-01-10 |
NE |
A |
|
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Offense Stats Comparison
|
BAL Offense |
PIT Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
25.3 |
28.7 |
22.0 |
PIT |
Rushing yards |
132.5 |
72.0 |
112.6 |
BAL |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.72 |
3.65 |
4.24 |
BAL |
Completion % |
61.3% |
64.3% |
62.2% |
PIT |
Passing yards |
236.0 |
340.0 |
227.7 |
PIT |
Passing yards per completion |
11.30 |
13.25 |
10.65 |
PIT |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.92 |
8.52 |
6.63 |
PIT |
Interceptions |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
BAL |
Fumbles lost |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
PIT |
Sacks allowed |
0.8 |
0.7 |
2.6 |
PIT |
3rd down conversions |
42.9% |
45.2% |
38.5% |
PIT |
4th down conversions |
25.0% |
0.0% |
46.9% |
BAL |
Time of possession |
29:20 |
30:47 |
30:03 |
PIT |
|
|
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Defense Stats Comparison
|
BAL Defense |
PIT Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
19.3 |
19.3 |
22.0 |
- |
Rushing yards |
94.5 |
99.7 |
112.6 |
BAL |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.91 |
4.37 |
4.24 |
BAL |
Completion % |
64.2% |
70.5% |
62.2% |
BAL |
Passing yards |
229.5 |
282.7 |
227.7 |
BAL |
Passing yards per completion |
9.85 |
10.78 |
10.65 |
BAL |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.32 |
7.60 |
6.63 |
BAL |
INT return |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
BAL |
Fumble recoveries |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
PIT |
Sacks |
4.0 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
BAL |
3rd down conversions |
37.9% |
41.7% |
38.5% |
BAL |
4th down conversions |
33.3% |
50.0% |
46.9% |
BAL |
Time of possession |
30:40 |
29:13 |
30:03 |
PIT |
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Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
BAL |
PIT |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
11.2 |
17.3 |
9.2 |
PIT |
Yards per kick return |
25.1 |
25.3 |
23.7 |
PIT |
Yards allowed per punt return |
6.5 |
8.4 |
9.2 |
BAL |
Yards allowed per kick return |
21.9 |
22.2 |
23.7 |
BAL |
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Misc Stats Comparison
|
BAL |
PIT |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
7.8 |
3.3 |
6.5 |
PIT |
Penalty yards |
55.8 |
27.3 |
54.4 |
PIT |
|
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 12 to 17 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 12 to 17 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
1 |
2000-09-03 |
BAL |
PIT |
16-0 |
BAL |
2000 |
9 |
2000-10-29 |
PIT |
BAL |
9-6 |
PIT |
2001 |
8 |
2001-11-04 |
BAL |
PIT |
13-10 |
BAL |
2001 |
14 |
2001-12-16 |
PIT |
BAL |
26-21 |
PIT |
2002 |
8 |
2002-10-27 |
PIT |
BAL |
31-18 |
PIT |
2002 |
17 |
2002-12-29 |
BAL |
PIT |
31-34 |
PIT |
2003 |
1 |
2003-09-07 |
BAL |
PIT |
15-34 |
PIT |
2003 |
17 |
2003-12-28 |
PIT |
BAL |
10-13 |
BAL |
2004 |
2 |
2004-09-19 |
PIT |
BAL |
13-30 |
BAL |
2004 |
16 |
2004-12-26 |
BAL |
PIT |
7-20 |
PIT |
2005 |
8 |
2005-10-31 |
BAL |
PIT |
19-20 |
PIT |
2005 |
11 |
2005-11-20 |
PIT |
BAL |
13-16 |
BAL |
2006 |
12 |
2006-11-26 |
PIT |
BAL |
0-27 |
BAL |
2006 |
16 |
2006-12-24 |
BAL |
PIT |
31-7 |
BAL |
2007 |
9 |
2007-11-05 |
BAL |
PIT |
7-38 |
PIT |
2007 |
17 |
2007-12-30 |
PIT |
BAL |
21-27 |
BAL |
2008 |
4 |
2008-09-29 |
BAL |
PIT |
20-23 |
PIT |
2008 |
15 |
2008-12-14 |
PIT |
BAL |
13-9 |
PIT |
2008 |
CF |
2009-01-18 |
BAL |
PIT |
14-23 |
PIT |
2009 |
12 |
2009-11-29 |
PIT |
BAL |
17-20 |
BAL |
2009 |
16 |
2009-12-27 |
BAL |
PIT |
20-23 |
PIT |
2010 |
4 |
2010-10-03 |
BAL |
PIT |
17-14 |
BAL |
2010 |
13 |
2010-12-05 |
PIT |
BAL |
13-10 |
PIT |
2010 |
DP |
2011-01-15 |
BAL |
PIT |
24-31 |
PIT |
2011 |
1 |
2011-09-11 |
PIT |
BAL |
7-35 |
BAL |
2011 |
9 |
2011-11-06 |
BAL |
PIT |
23-20 |
BAL |
2012 |
11 |
2012-11-18 |
BAL |
PIT |
13-10 |
BAL |
2012 |
13 |
2012-12-02 |
PIT |
BAL |
23-20 |
PIT |
2013 |
7 |
2013-10-20 |
BAL |
PIT |
16-19 |
PIT |
2013 |
13 |
2013-11-28 |
PIT |
BAL |
20-22 |
BAL |
2014 |
2 |
2014-09-11 |
PIT |
BAL |
6-26 |
BAL |
2014 |
9 |
2014-11-02 |
BAL |
PIT |
23-43 |
PIT |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. DP = Divisional Playoff CF = Conference Final
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