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Prediction: Colts 30, Bengals 17
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today

Player Rankings and Projections

Cincinnati Bengals
Rank  Player Projections
QB 7 Andy Dalton Pass: 220, 1 TD Rush: 15, 0
RB 2 Jeremy Hill Rush: 90, 1 TD Rec: 3-15, 0
 RB 8 Giovani Bernard Rush: 35, 0 TD Rec: 5-35, 0
 WR 9 Mohamed Sanu Rec: 5-60, 1 TD
 WR 22 Brandon Tate Rec: 3-40, 0 TD
 WR 25 Dane Sanzenbacher Rec: 2-20, 0 TD
 TE 6 Jermaine Gresham Rec: 4-40, 0 TD
K 8 Mike Nugent FG: 1/1 XP: 2/2
DEF 8 Defense / ST  
 
Indianapolis Colts
Rank  Player Projections
QB 1 Andrew Luck Pass: 310, 2 TD Rush: 10, 0
RB 7 Dan Herron Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
RB 11 Trent Richardson Rush: 30, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0
WR 4 T.Y. Hilton Rec: 5-80, 1 TD
WR 15 Reggie Wayne Rec: 3-35, 0 TD
WR 18 Donte Moncrief Rec: 2-25, 0 TD
WR 20 Hakeem Nicks Rec: 2-30, 0 TD
TE 4 Coby Fleener Rec: 4-45, 1 TD
TE 5 Dwayne Allen Rec: 4-40, 0 TD
K 1 Adam Vinatieri FG: 3/3 XP: 3/3
DEF 2 Defense / ST  

Game Notes

Bengals Club has reached postseason for 6th time under head coach MARVIN LEWIS (2005, 2009, 2011-2014) & makes franchise-record 4th consecutive playoff appearance. Bengals aim for 1st postseason win since 1/6/91 against Houston Oilers (Wild Card)... QB Andy Dalton has 40-23-1 (.633) record, highest win pct. of any Bengals QB (min. 20 starts). In 3 career meetings, Dalton has passed for 665 yards with 4 TDs vs. 0 INTs for 94.3 rating. Tied career-high with 4 TD runs in 2014 (4 in 2012)... RB Jeremy Hill led NFL rookies in rushing yards (1,124) & rushing TDs (9). 3rd rookie in NFL history with 4 140+ yard rush games, joining HOFers ERIC DICKERSON (5 in 1983) & CURTIS MARTIN (4 in 1995). In past 9, averages 103.2 rushing yards per game with 6 TDs. Aims for 4th in row with 100+ rushing yards. In only postseason game (1/5/14 WC vs. SD), RB Giovani Bernard had 118 scrimmage yards (45 rush, 73 receiving)... Since entering NFL in 2011, WR A.J. Green has 4,874 receiving yards, 4th-most of any player in 1st 4 seasons (RANDY MOSS, 5,396; TORRY HOLT, 5,088; JERRY RICE, 4,881). Led team with 1,041 receiving yards & joined CHAD JOHNSON (6, 2002-07) as only Bengals with at least 4 consecutive 1,000-yard receiving seasons. WR Mohamed Sanu had career-highs in catches (56), receiving yards (790) & TD catches (5) in 2014. TE Jermaine Gresham has 5 TD catches in past 6 & aims for 4th in row with TD reception... LB Vincent Rey led team with 121 tackles in 2014. Since 2011, DT Geno Atkins leads NFL DTs with 29 sacks. In 2 career playoff games, has 1 sack. DE Carlos Dunlap led team with 8 sacks in 2014, including 1/2 sack with FF & FR in Week 7 meeting. S Reggie Nelson led Bengals with 4 INTs & aims for 3rd in row with INT... Club had 2 players selected to 2015 Pro Bowl (WR Green, P KEVIN HUBER).

Colts Club has reached postseason for 3rd straight season under head coach CHUCK PAGANO & 12 of past 13 seasons overall... Clinched AFC South title for 9th time since 2003... QB Andrew Luck led NFL with 40 TDs & became 8th player with 40+ TDs in season. Since entering NFL in 2012, has 12,957 yards, most of any NFL player in 1st 3 seasons, & 86 TD passes, 2nd-most in player's 1st 3 years (HOFer DAN MARINO, 98). 1 of 2 Super Bowl era starting QBs to win at least 10 games in each of 1st 3 NFL seasons (RUSSELL WILSON). Will make 4th career postseason start (2nd at home). In only home playoff start (WC vs. KC on 1/4/14), helped Colts overcome 28-point deficit to win 45-44 (2nd-largest comeback victory in NFL playoff history)... In 4 career meetings, RB Trent Richardson averages 101.3 scrimmage yards per game (405 total; 243 rush, 162 receiving) with 2 total TDs (1 rush, 1 receiving)... In past 12, WR T.Y. Hilton has 66 rec. for 1,159 yards with 7 TDs, incl. 6 100-yard games. Led team with career-high 1,345 receiving yards, joining MARVIN HARRISON & Reggie Wayne as only players in club history with 1,300+ yard receiving season. WR Reggie Wayne ranks 2nd all-time with 92 career postseason catches (HOFer JERRY RICE, 151). Has 1,242 career receiving yards in playoffs needs 74 yards to surpass CLIFF BRANCH (1,289) & HOFer MICHAEL IRVIN (1,315) for 2nd all-time. TEs Dwayne Allen (8) & Coby Fleener (8) are 1st TEs in club history with 8+ TD catches each in same season. Allen had 32-yard TD reception in last meeting... LB D'QWELL JACKSON led AFC with 140 tackles. Rookie LB Jonathan Newsome tied career-high with 2 sacks with FF last week. Led AFC rookies with 6.5 sacks in 2014. Rookie LB Andrew Jackson posted 1st career sack vs. Ten. S Mike Adams led team with career-high 5 INTs this season. CB Vontae Davis tied career-high with 4 INTs (2009, 2011)... K Adam Vinatieri is NFL's all-time playoff leader in career points (213) & made FGs (51)... Club had 5 players selected to 2015 Pro Bowl (QB Luck, WR Hilton, CB Davis, K Vinatieri, P PAT MC AFEE).


Results and Schedule

Cincinnati Bengals
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2014-09-07 BAL A W 23-16 +7
2 2014-09-14 ATL H W 24-10 +14
3 2014-09-21 TEN H W 33-7 +26
4   Bye      
5 2014-10-05 NE A L 17-43 -26
6 2014-10-12 CAR H T 37-37 0
7 2014-10-19 IND A L 0-27 -27
8 2014-10-26 BAL H W 27-24 +3
9 2014-11-02 JAC H W 33-23 +10
10 2014-11-06 CLE H L 3-24 -21
11 2014-11-16 NO A W 27-10 +17
12 2014-11-23 HOU A W 22-13 +9
13 2014-11-30 TB A W 14-13 +1
14 2014-12-07 PIT H L 21-42 -21
15 2014-12-14 CLE A W 30-0 +30
16 2014-12-22 DEN H W 37-28 +9
17 2014-12-28 PIT A L 17-27 -10
WC 2015-01-04 IND A L 10-26 -16
   

Indianapolis Colts
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2014-09-07 DEN A L 24-31 -7
2 2014-09-15 PHI H L 27-30 -3
3 2014-09-21 JAC A W 44-17 +27
4 2014-09-28 TEN H W 41-17 +24
5 2014-10-05 BAL H W 20-13 +7
6 2014-10-09 HOU A W 33-28 +5
7 2014-10-19 CIN H W 27-0 +27
8 2014-10-26 PIT A L 34-51 -17
9 2014-11-03 NYG A W 40-24 +16
10   Bye      
11 2014-11-16 NE H L 20-42 -22
12 2014-11-23 JAC H W 23-3 +20
13 2014-11-30 WAS H W 49-27 +22
14 2014-12-07 CLE A W 25-24 +1
15 2014-12-14 HOU H W 17-10 +7
16 2014-12-21 DAL A L 7-42 -35
17 2014-12-28 TEN A W 27-10 +17
WC 2015-01-04 CIN H W 26-10 +16
DP 2015-01-11 DEN A    

Injury Report

Cincinnati Bengals
Questionable  TE Tyler Eifert (neck)
 DE Wallace Gilberry (concussion)
 WR A.J. Green (head)
 TE Jermaine Gresham (other-excused)
 CB Terence Newman (knee)
 RB Cedric Peerman (concussion)
 MLB Vincent Rey (ankle)
 WR James Wright (knee)
Probable  WR A.J. Green (knee)
 TE Jermaine Gresham (hamstring)
IR  DT Geno Atkins (knee, 11/4/2013)
 WLB Vontaze Burfict (knee, 12/9/2014)
 WLB Jayson DiManche (arm, 12/1/2014)
 TE Tyler Eifert (elbow, 9/10/2014)
 DE Robert Geathers (elbow, 9/18/2013)
 CB Leon Hall (achilles-tendon, 10/29/2013)
 WR Marvin Jones (foot, 10/14/2014)
 SLB Emmanuel Lamur (shoulder, 8/31/2013)
 FS Taylor Mays (shoulder, 10/30/2013)
 MLB Sean Porter (shoulder, 8/27/2013)
 MLB Sean Porter (knee, 10/7/2014)
 WR Dane Sanzenbacher (concussion, 12/31/2014)
 TE Alex Smith (wrist, 12/29/2013)
 TE Alex Smith (biceps, 9/16/2014)
 DT Devon Still (back, 12/30/2013)
   

Indianapolis Colts
Out  OLB Robert Mathis (achilles-tendon)
Questionable  DE Fili Moala (knee)
 OLB Bjoern Werner (shoulder)
Probable  TE Dwayne Allen (knee)
 SS Sergio Brown (groin)
 CB Darius Butler (quadriceps)
 CB Vontae Davis (groin)
 ILB Jerrell Freeman (hamstring)
 DE Ricky Jean-Francois (foot)
 DE Cory Redding (shoulder)
 CB Greg Toler (groin)
 OLB Erik Walden (knee)
 WR Reggie Wayne (groin)
 OLB Bjoern Werner (ankle)
IR  TE Dwayne Allen (hip, 9/18/2013)
 RB Vick Ballard (knee, 9/13/2013)
 RB Vick Ballard (achilles-tendon, 8/26/2014)
 RB Ahmad Bradshaw (ankle, 11/18/2014)
 RB Ahmad Bradshaw (neck, 10/9/2013)
 RB Dan Herron (pectoral, 12/2/2013)
 DE Montori Hughes (knee, 12/24/2013)
 DE Fili Moala (knee, 6/11/2014)
 WR Reggie Wayne (knee, 10/22/2013)
PUP  OLB Victor Butler (knee)

Offense Stats Comparison

  CIN
 Offense 
IND
 Offense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points for 22.5 23.0 22.0 IND
Rushing yards 143.5 98.3 112.6 CIN
Rushing yards per attempt 4.45 3.95 4.24 CIN
Completion % 68.3% 60.0% 62.2% CIN
Passing yards 194.0 256.3 227.7 IND
Passing yards per completion 9.46 11.51 10.65 IND
Passing yards per attempt 6.46 6.91 6.63 IND
Interceptions 1.3 1.0 0.9 IND
Fumbles lost 0.5 1.5 0.6 CIN
Sacks allowed 1.8 2.0 2.6 CIN
3rd down conversions 42.0% 37.8% 38.5% CIN
4th down conversions 62.5% 40.0% 46.9% CIN
Time of possession 33:53 28:44 30:03 CIN
  Defense Stats Comparison

  CIN
 Defense 
IND
 Defense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points against 20.3 17.8 22.0 IND
Rushing yards 69.3 114.8 112.6 CIN
Rushing yards per attempt 3.87 3.78 4.24 IND
Completion % 57.5% 57.7% 62.2% CIN
Passing yards 247.3 163.3 227.7 IND
Passing yards per completion 11.33 9.94 10.65 IND
Passing yards per attempt 6.51 5.74 6.63 IND
INT return 1.5 0.5 0.9 CIN
Fumble recoveries 0.0 1.0 0.6 IND
Sacks 1.0 2.5 2.6 IND
3rd down conversions 31.1% 31.0% 38.5% IND
4th down conversions 50.0% 11.1% 46.9% IND
Time of possession 26:08 31:16 30:03 CIN

Special Teams Stats Comparison

   CIN   IND  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Yards per punt return 10.1 6.6 9.2 CIN
Yards per kick return 27.7 32.0 23.7 IND
Yards allowed per punt return 10.8 8.7 9.2 IND
Yards allowed per kick return 24.5 23.8 23.7 IND
  Misc Stats Comparison

   CIN   IND  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Penalties 6.3 6.8 6.5 CIN
Penalty yards 51.0 48.5 54.4 IND

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 12 to 17 of the 2014 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 12 to 17 with no adjustment.

Weather


Team vs. Team History

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Indianapolis Colts
 Season   Week   Date   Vis   Home   Score   Winner 
2002 5 2002-10-06 CIN IND 21-28 IND
2005 11 2005-11-20 IND CIN 45-37 IND
2006 15 2006-12-18 CIN IND 16-34 IND
2008 14 2008-12-07 CIN IND 3-35 IND
2010 10 2010-11-14 CIN IND 17-23 IND
2011 6 2011-10-16 IND CIN 17-27 CIN
2013 14 2013-12-08 IND CIN 28-42 CIN
2014 7 2014-10-19 CIN IND 0-27 IND

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.