Prediction: Broncos 30, Chargers 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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Denver Broncos |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 4 |
Peyton Manning |
Pass: 290, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 6 |
C.J. Anderson |
Rush: 85, 1 TD Rec: 3-30, 0 |
RB 65 |
Juwan Thompson |
Rush: 15, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
WR 3 |
Demaryius Thomas |
Rec: 7-95, 1 TD |
WR 10 |
Emmanuel Sanders |
Rec: 6-80, 1 TD |
WR 63 |
Wes Welker |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
TE 6 |
Julius Thomas |
Rec: 5-55, 0 TD |
K 2 |
Connor Barth |
FG: 3/3 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 6 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
San Diego Chargers |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 13 |
Philip Rivers |
Pass: 275, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 32 |
Donald Brown |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
RB 55 |
Branden Oliver |
Rush: 25, 0 TD Rec: 2-15, 0 |
WR 14 |
Keenan Allen |
Rec: 7-90, 1 TD |
WR 48 |
Malcom Floyd |
Rec: 3-50, 0 TD |
WR 56 |
Eddie Royal |
Rec: 4-45, 0 TD |
TE 8 |
Antonio Gates |
Rec: 6-60, 1 TD |
K 10 |
Nick Novak |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 30 |
Defense / ST |
|
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Game Notes
Broncos QB Peyton Manning is tied for NFL lead with 36 TD passes & is only player in history with 4 seasons with 35+ TDs. Has 3,910 pass yards & needs 90 to extend NFL record for most 4,000-yard seasons to 14. Since joining Den. in 2012, has 5-1 record vs. SD (incl. playoffs) with 1,714 pass yards & 17 TDs vs. 4 INTs for 109.9 rating... In past 5, RB C.J. Anderson is averaging 143.2 scrimmage yards per game (716 total) with 6 total TDs (4 rush, 2 rec.). Aims for 6th in row with 100+ scrimmage yards or TD... In past 10, WR Demaryius Thomas has 1,125 yards & 9 TDs. In last game at SD, had 108 rec. yards & 3 TDs. Since entering NFL in 2010, leads AFC WRs with 40 TD catches. Has 10 TDs & is 1 of 2 players in club history (TERRELL DAVIS, 1996-98) with 3 consecutive 10-TD seasons. In last meeting, WR Emmanuel Sanders had 9 catches for 120 yards & 3 TDs. Has 7 TDs in past 8... Den. is 1 of 2 NFL teams with 2 players with 10+ sacks each (LBs Von Miller & DeMarcus Ware). Since entering NFL in 2011, Miller is 2nd in AFC with 48 sacks. CB Chris Harris, JR. had sack & INT last week.
Chargers In past 3 vs. Den., QB Philip Rivers has 636 pass yards with 6 TDs vs. 2 INTs for 101.0 rating. Has 247 pass TDs & needs 3 to join HOFer DAN FOUTS (254) as only Chargers to reach 250 career... In past 6 vs. AFC West, RB Ryan Mathews is averaging 100.5 scrimmage yards/game (603 total; 554 rush, 49 rec.) with 4 rush TDs. Rushed for 127 yards & TD in last meeting... TE Antonio Gates had 2 TDs in last meeting. Ranks 10th all-time with 96 TD catches & needs 3 to tie HOFer DON HUTSON (99). Needs 1 TD to join ROB GRONKOWSKI as only TEs in NFL history with 4 career 10+ TD seasons. WR Keenan Allen has 3 TD catches in past 3 vs. Broncos. WR Eddie Royal played 4 seasons with Broncos (2008-11) & had 206 rec. for 2,107 yards & 9 TDs... S Eric Weddle leads team with 82 tackles. Has 13 INTs since 2011, most in AFC. S Darrell Stuckey had 53-yard FR-TD last week vs. NE. LB MANTI TE'O had 1st career INT vs. Pats.
Results and Schedule
Denver Broncos |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
IND |
H |
W 31-24 |
+7 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
KC |
H |
W 24-17 |
+7 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
SEA |
A |
L 20-26 |
-6 |
4 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
5 |
2014-10-05 |
ARI |
H |
W 41-20 |
+21 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
NYJ |
A |
W 31-17 |
+14 |
7 |
2014-10-19 |
SF |
H |
W 42-17 |
+25 |
8 |
2014-10-23 |
SD |
H |
W 35-21 |
+14 |
9 |
2014-11-02 |
NE |
A |
L 21-43 |
-22 |
10 |
2014-11-09 |
OAK |
A |
W 41-17 |
+24 |
11 |
2014-11-16 |
STL |
A |
L 7-22 |
-15 |
12 |
2014-11-23 |
MIA |
H |
W 39-36 |
+3 |
13 |
2014-11-30 |
KC |
A |
W 29-16 |
+13 |
14 |
2014-12-07 |
BUF |
H |
W 24-17 |
+7 |
15 |
2014-12-14 |
SD |
A |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-22 |
CIN |
A |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
OAK |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
San Diego Chargers |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-08 |
ARI |
A |
L 17-18 |
-1 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
SEA |
H |
W 30-21 |
+9 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
BUF |
A |
W 22-10 |
+12 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
JAC |
H |
W 33-14 |
+19 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
NYJ |
H |
W 31-0 |
+31 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
OAK |
A |
W 31-28 |
+3 |
7 |
2014-10-19 |
KC |
H |
L 20-23 |
-3 |
8 |
2014-10-23 |
DEN |
A |
L 21-35 |
-14 |
9 |
2014-11-02 |
MIA |
A |
L 0-37 |
-37 |
10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
11 |
2014-11-16 |
OAK |
H |
W 13-6 |
+7 |
12 |
2014-11-23 |
STL |
H |
W 27-24 |
+3 |
13 |
2014-11-30 |
BAL |
A |
W 34-33 |
+1 |
14 |
2014-12-07 |
NE |
H |
L 14-23 |
-9 |
15 |
2014-12-14 |
DEN |
H |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-20 |
SF |
A |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
KC |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
|
DEN Offense |
SD Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
28.3 |
18.0 |
22.7 |
DEN |
Rushing yards |
123.8 |
79.0 |
110.5 |
DEN |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.52 |
3.84 |
4.16 |
DEN |
Completion % |
64.3% |
68.2% |
62.3% |
SD |
Passing yards |
286.3 |
208.3 |
234.7 |
DEN |
Passing yards per completion |
10.92 |
9.57 |
10.76 |
DEN |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.02 |
6.53 |
6.70 |
DEN |
Interceptions |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
SD |
Fumbles lost |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
DEN |
Sacks allowed |
0.8 |
3.0 |
2.5 |
DEN |
3rd down conversions |
43.9% |
38.7% |
39.9% |
DEN |
4th down conversions |
36.4% |
0.0% |
47.1% |
DEN |
Time of possession |
30:55 |
29:01 |
30:05 |
DEN |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
|
DEN Defense |
SD Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
23.0 |
26.7 |
22.7 |
DEN |
Rushing yards |
69.5 |
106.3 |
110.5 |
DEN |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.51 |
3.78 |
4.16 |
DEN |
Completion % |
66.1% |
58.7% |
62.3% |
SD |
Passing yards |
236.5 |
248.0 |
234.7 |
DEN |
Passing yards per completion |
8.62 |
11.26 |
10.76 |
DEN |
Passing yards per attempt |
5.70 |
6.61 |
6.70 |
DEN |
INT return |
1.3 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
DEN |
Fumble recoveries |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
SD |
Sacks |
2.3 |
0.7 |
2.5 |
DEN |
3rd down conversions |
36.9% |
43.7% |
39.9% |
DEN |
4th down conversions |
71.4% |
66.7% |
47.1% |
SD |
Time of possession |
29:05 |
30:59 |
30:05 |
DEN |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
DEN |
SD |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
8.6 |
7.3 |
8.6 |
DEN |
Yards per kick return |
20.1 |
24.1 |
23.6 |
SD |
Yards allowed per punt return |
19.7 |
9.7 |
8.6 |
SD |
Yards allowed per kick return |
24.1 |
23.0 |
23.6 |
SD |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
|
DEN |
SD |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
8.0 |
7.7 |
6.4 |
SD |
Penalty yards |
68.5 |
67.7 |
53.4 |
SD |
|
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 9 to 14 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 9 to 14 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
Denver Broncos vs. San Diego Chargers |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
6 |
2000-10-08 |
DEN |
SD |
21-7 |
DEN |
2000 |
12 |
2000-11-19 |
SD |
DEN |
37-38 |
DEN |
2001 |
6 |
2001-10-21 |
DEN |
SD |
10-27 |
SD |
2001 |
9 |
2001-11-11 |
SD |
DEN |
16-26 |
DEN |
2002 |
5 |
2002-10-06 |
SD |
DEN |
9-26 |
DEN |
2002 |
13 |
2002-12-01 |
DEN |
SD |
27-30 |
SD |
2003 |
2 |
2003-09-14 |
DEN |
SD |
37-13 |
DEN |
2003 |
11 |
2003-11-16 |
SD |
DEN |
8-37 |
DEN |
2004 |
3 |
2004-09-26 |
SD |
DEN |
13-23 |
DEN |
2004 |
13 |
2004-12-05 |
DEN |
SD |
17-20 |
SD |
2005 |
2 |
2005-09-18 |
SD |
DEN |
17-20 |
DEN |
2005 |
17 |
2005-12-31 |
DEN |
SD |
23-7 |
DEN |
2006 |
11 |
2006-11-19 |
SD |
DEN |
35-27 |
SD |
2006 |
14 |
2006-12-10 |
DEN |
SD |
20-48 |
SD |
2007 |
5 |
2007-10-07 |
SD |
DEN |
41-3 |
SD |
2007 |
16 |
2007-12-24 |
DEN |
SD |
3-23 |
SD |
2008 |
2 |
2008-09-14 |
SD |
DEN |
38-39 |
DEN |
2008 |
17 |
2008-12-28 |
DEN |
SD |
21-52 |
SD |
2009 |
6 |
2009-10-19 |
DEN |
SD |
34-23 |
DEN |
2009 |
11 |
2009-11-22 |
SD |
DEN |
32-3 |
SD |
2010 |
11 |
2010-11-22 |
DEN |
SD |
14-35 |
SD |
2010 |
17 |
2011-01-02 |
SD |
DEN |
33-28 |
SD |
2011 |
5 |
2011-10-09 |
SD |
DEN |
29-24 |
SD |
2011 |
12 |
2011-11-27 |
DEN |
SD |
16-13 |
DEN |
2012 |
6 |
2012-10-15 |
DEN |
SD |
35-24 |
DEN |
2012 |
11 |
2012-11-18 |
SD |
DEN |
23-30 |
DEN |
2013 |
10 |
2013-11-10 |
DEN |
SD |
28-20 |
DEN |
2013 |
15 |
2013-12-12 |
SD |
DEN |
27-20 |
SD |
2013 |
DP |
2014-01-12 |
SD |
DEN |
17-24 |
DEN |
2014 |
8 |
2014-10-23 |
SD |
DEN |
21-35 |
DEN |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. DP = Divisional Playoff
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