Prediction: Packers 27, Bills 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
| Green Bay Packers |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 3 |
Aaron Rodgers |
Pass: 280, 2 TD Rush: 15, 0 |
 RB 10 |
Eddie Lacy   |
Rush: 70, 1 TD Rec: 4-25, 0 |
| RB 44 |
James Starks |
Rush: 25, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| WR 8 |
Jordy Nelson |
Rec: 7-90, 1 TD |
| WR 11 |
Randall Cobb |
Rec: 7-80, 1 TD |
| WR 59 |
Davante Adams |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| TE 29 |
Andrew Quarless |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
| TE 38 |
Richard Rodgers |
Rec: 1-15, 0 TD |
| K 3 |
Mason Crosby |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
| DEF 12 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
| Buffalo Bills |
| Rank |
Player |
Projections |
| QB 15 |
Kyle Orton |
Pass: 265, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
| RB 19 |
Fred Jackson |
Rush: 50, 0 TD Rec: 6-40, 0 |
| RB 54 |
Anthony Dixon |
Rush: 25, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
| RB 59 |
Bryce Brown |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
| WR 20 |
Sammy Watkins |
Rec: 6-80, 1 TD |
| WR 41 |
Robert Woods |
Rec: 4-60, 0 TD |
| TE 16 |
Scott Chandler |
Rec: 3-40, 0 TD |
| K 11 |
Dan Carpenter |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
| DEF 19 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
 Packers Have won 5 in row & 9 of past 10. Lead NFL in scoring (423 points)... QB Aaron Rodgers won only start vs. Buf. & had 116.3 rating. Has won past 5 starts & has 127.1 rating (16 TDs, 0 INTs). Aims for 6th in row with 100+ rating. Leads NFL with 119 rating (35 TDs, 3 INTs). Made 100th start last week & his 27,520 yards, 222 TDs & 107.3 rating as starter are all best in NFL history in 1st 100 starts... RB Eddie Lacy has 100+ scrimmage yards in 6 consecutive games & has 773 yards (128.8 per game) & 7 TDs (4 rec., 3 rush) in those 6... WR Jordy Nelson ties for NFL lead with 12 rec. TDs, incl. 2 last week. Has 12 TDs in past 14 vs. AFC (incl. SB), incl. 8 TDs in past 8. Nelson (12), Lacy (11) & WR Randall Cobb (10) are 1st GB trio with 10+ TDs in season... LB Clay Matthews had 3 sacks in last meeting. Has 4 sacks & 3 FFs in past 6 vs. AFC. Had sack last week. LB Julius Peppers has sack in 2 of 3 meetings. Is only player in NFL history with 100+ sacks (123.5) & 10+ INTs (11). CB Sam Shields has 6 INTs in past 14 vs. AFC.
 Bills In last start vs. GB (12/18/11 with KC), QB Kyle Orton completed 23 of 31 (74.2 pct.) for 299 yards with 104.1 rating. Orton's teams are 13-3 (.813) when he starts & posts 100+ rating... RB Fred Jackson (5,507 rush; 2,516 rec.) had 72 scrimmage yards vs. Den. (35 rush, 37 rec.), joining HOFer THURMAN THOMAS as only Bills with 5,000+ career rush & 2,500+ rec. yards. Had career-high 10 rec. vs. Broncos... WR Sammy Watkins (No. 4 overall) leads AFC rookies in rec. yards (822) & ranks 2nd in catches (58) with 5 TDs. Had 127 rec. yards vs. Den, his 4th career 100-yard game. In past 2 vs. NFC, has 16 rec. for 209 yards & 2 TDs... Bills lead NFL with 48 sacks & are only team with 3 players with 9+ sacks (DE Mario Williams, DT Marcell Dareus & LB Jerry Hughes). Williams has 6.5 sacks in past 5. Dareus leads NFL DTs with 10 sacks. Hughes (9.5) needs half sack to record back-to-back 10-sack seasons. In past 9, has 8.5 sacks, 3 FF & FR. CB Stephon Gilmore has career-high 3 INTs, incl. 1 vs. Den.
Results and Schedule
| Green Bay Packers |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-04 |
SEA |
A |
L 16-36 |
-20 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
NYJ |
H |
W 31-24 |
+7 |
| 3 |
2014-09-21 |
DET |
A |
L 7-19 |
-12 |
| 4 |
2014-09-28 |
CHI |
A |
W 38-17 |
+21 |
| 5 |
2014-10-02 |
MIN |
H |
W 42-10 |
+32 |
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
MIA |
A |
W 27-24 |
+3 |
| 7 |
2014-10-19 |
CAR |
H |
W 38-17 |
+21 |
| 8 |
2014-10-26 |
NO |
A |
L 23-44 |
-21 |
| 9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 10 |
2014-11-09 |
CHI |
H |
W 55-14 |
+41 |
| 11 |
2014-11-16 |
PHI |
H |
W 53-20 |
+33 |
| 12 |
2014-11-23 |
MIN |
A |
W 24-21 |
+3 |
| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
NE |
H |
W 26-21 |
+5 |
| 14 |
2014-12-08 |
ATL |
H |
W 43-37 |
+6 |
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
BUF |
A |
|
|
| 16 |
2014-12-21 |
TB |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
DET |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
| Buffalo Bills |
| Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
| 1 |
2014-09-07 |
CHI |
A |
W 23-20 |
+3 |
| 2 |
2014-09-14 |
MIA |
H |
W 29-10 |
+19 |
| 3 |
2014-09-21 |
SD |
H |
L 10-22 |
-12 |
| 4 |
2014-09-28 |
HOU |
A |
L 17-23 |
-6 |
| 5 |
2014-10-05 |
DET |
A |
W 17-14 |
+3 |
| 6 |
2014-10-12 |
NE |
H |
L 22-37 |
-15 |
| 7 |
2014-10-19 |
MIN |
H |
W 17-16 |
+1 |
| 8 |
2014-10-26 |
NYJ |
A |
W 43-23 |
+20 |
| 9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
| 10 |
2014-11-09 |
KC |
H |
L 13-17 |
-4 |
| 11 |
2014-11-13 |
MIA |
A |
L 9-22 |
-13 |
| 12 |
2014-11-24 |
NYJ |
H |
W 38-3 |
+35 |
| 13 |
2014-11-30 |
CLE |
H |
W 26-10 |
+16 |
| 14 |
2014-12-07 |
DEN |
A |
L 17-24 |
-7 |
| 15 |
2014-12-14 |
GB |
H |
|
|
| 16 |
2014-12-21 |
OAK |
A |
|
|
| 17 |
2014-12-28 |
NE |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
| |
GB
Offense |
BUF
Offense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points for |
40.7 |
18.7 |
22.7 |
GB |
| Rushing yards |
139.0 |
97.0 |
110.5 |
GB |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
4.77 |
3.97 |
4.16 |
GB |
| Completion % |
63.6% |
62.8% |
62.3% |
GB |
| Passing yards |
330.0 |
218.7 |
234.7 |
GB |
| Passing yards per completion |
14.20 |
9.06 |
10.76 |
GB |
| Passing yards per attempt |
9.03 |
5.69 |
6.70 |
GB |
| Interceptions |
0.0 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
GB |
| Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
GB |
| Sacks allowed |
1.0 |
1.3 |
2.5 |
GB |
| 3rd down conversions |
55.2% |
41.3% |
39.9% |
GB |
| 4th down conversions |
66.7% |
44.4% |
47.1% |
GB |
| Time of possession |
32:35 |
30:53 |
30:05 |
GB |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
| |
GB
Defense |
BUF
Defense |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Points against |
20.7 |
16.3 |
22.7 |
BUF |
| Rushing yards |
94.7 |
114.7 |
110.5 |
GB |
| Rushing yards per attempt |
3.70 |
4.52 |
4.16 |
GB |
| Completion % |
59.5% |
63.8% |
62.3% |
GB |
| Passing yards |
270.7 |
176.3 |
234.7 |
BUF |
| Passing yards per completion |
11.91 |
9.24 |
10.76 |
BUF |
| Passing yards per attempt |
7.09 |
5.89 |
6.70 |
BUF |
| INT return |
1.3 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
GB |
| Fumble recoveries |
0.3 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
BUF |
| Sacks |
2.0 |
4.3 |
2.5 |
BUF |
| 3rd down conversions |
36.1% |
28.8% |
39.9% |
BUF |
| 4th down conversions |
58.3% |
66.7% |
47.1% |
GB |
| Time of possession |
27:25 |
29:07 |
30:05 |
GB |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
| |
GB |
BUF |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Yards per punt return |
14.9 |
8.7 |
8.6 |
GB |
| Yards per kick return |
17.1 |
22.1 |
23.6 |
BUF |
| Yards allowed per punt return |
5.4 |
7.6 |
8.6 |
GB |
| Yards allowed per kick return |
24.9 |
20.7 |
23.6 |
BUF |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
| |
GB |
BUF |
NFL
Avg. |
Adv. |
| Penalties |
4.7 |
6.3 |
6.4 |
GB |
| Penalty yards |
47.3 |
53.0 |
53.4 |
GB |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 9 to 14 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 9 to 14 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
| Green Bay Packers vs. Buffalo Bills |
| Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
| 2000 |
2 |
2000-09-10 |
GB |
BUF |
18-27 |
BUF |
| 2002 |
16 |
2002-12-22 |
BUF |
GB |
0-10 |
GB |
| 2006 |
9 |
2006-11-05 |
GB |
BUF |
10-24 |
BUF |
| 2010 |
2 |
2010-09-19 |
BUF |
GB |
7-34 |
GB |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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