Prediction: Patriots 27, Jets 17
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
|
New England Patriots |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 5 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 300, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 24 |
LeGarrette Blount |
Rush: 60, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
RB 29 |
Shane Vereen |
Rush: 25, 0 TD Rec: 4-25, 0 |
RB 69 |
Jonas Gray |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
WR 19 |
Julian Edelman |
Rec: 7-75, 1 TD |
WR 33 |
Brandon LaFell |
Rec: 5-65, 0 TD |
WR 86 |
Danny Amendola |
Rec: 1-20, 0 TD |
TE 1 |
Rob Gronkowski |
Rec: 8-80, 1 TD |
TE 28 |
Tim Wright |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
K 2 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 2/2 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 2 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
|
New York Jets |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 29 |
Geno Smith |
Pass: 200, 1 TD Rush: 20, 0 |
RB 23 |
Chris Ivory |
Rush: 55, 1 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
RB 33 |
Chris Johnson |
Rush: 40, 0 TD Rec: 1-10, 0 |
WR 25 |
Eric Decker |
Rec: 4-65, 1 TD |
WR 42 |
Percy Harvin |
Rec: 5-50, 0 TD |
WR 91 |
Jeremy Kerley |
Rec: 1-15, 0 TD |
TE 30 |
Jace Amaro |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
TE 38 |
Jeff Cumberland |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
K 27 |
Nick Folk |
FG: 1/1 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 25 |
Defense / ST |
|
|
|
Game Notes
Patriots Can clinch 1st-round playoff bye with win. Have won 9 of past 10... In past 6 vs. NYJ, QB Tom Brady has passed for 1,585 yards with 12 TDs vs. 1 INT. In past 10 overall, has 3,056 pass yards (305.6 per game) with 28 TDs vs. 6 INTs for 106.9 rating. Last week, became 5th player in NFL history to reach 4,500 career completions (4,520)... In past 8 with Pats (incl. playoffs), RB LeGarrette Blount has 11 rush TDs. RB Jonas Gray led team with 62 rush yards on 11 att. (5.6 avg.) last week... TE Rob Gronkowski leads NFL TEs with 1,093 rec. yards & needs 107 to join TONY GONZALEZ & JIMMY GRAHAM as only TEs in history with 2 1,200-yard receiving seasons. Has 7 TDs in past 7. Since entering NFL in 2010, leads AFC with 53 receiving TDs. WR Julian Edelman led team with 7 catches for 88 yards & TD vs. Mia. Aims for 3rd in row with TD catch... DE Chandler Jones has 6 sacks in past 7, incl. 1.5 vs. Mia. In past 9, LB Rob Ninkovich has 7 sacks, INT & FR. LB Jamie Collins has 3 sacks, FF & blocked FG in past 3. S Duron Harmon posted 1st INT of season last week.
Jets In past 2 vs. NE, QB Geno Smith passed for 459 yards & 2 TDs vs. 1 INT & rushed for 69 yards & 1 TD. Since entering NFL in 2013, has 7 rush TDs, tied for 1st among AFC QBs (ANDREW LUCK)... RB Chris Johnson had 80 scrimmage yards in last meeting (61 rush, 19 rec.). Since entering NFL in 2008, leads AFC & ranks 2nd in NFL with 8,578 rush yards. RB Chris Ivory leads team with 739 rushing yards & needs 95 to surpass career-high 833 in 2013. RB John Conner had 1st career TD catch last week... WR Percy Harvin is 1 of 2 active NFL players with 20+ rec. TDs (21) & 5+ rush TDs (5). In only career meeting (10/31/10 with Min.), had 6 catches for 104 yards (17.3 avg.). Last week, WR Eric Decker posted season-high 100 rec. yards on 7 catches. Jace Amaro (Round 2, No. 49 overall) leads NFL rookie TEs in catches (35) & rec. yards (311)... LB David Harris leads team with 105 tackles. Since 2007, Harris is 1 of 4 NFL players with 25+ sacks (27.5) & 6+ INTs (6).
Results and Schedule
New England Patriots |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
MIA |
A |
L 20-33 |
-13 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
MIN |
A |
W 30-7 |
+23 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
OAK |
H |
W 16-9 |
+7 |
4 |
2014-09-29 |
KC |
A |
L 14-41 |
-27 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
CIN |
H |
W 43-17 |
+26 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
BUF |
A |
W 37-22 |
+15 |
7 |
2014-10-16 |
NYJ |
H |
W 27-25 |
+2 |
8 |
2014-10-26 |
CHI |
H |
W 51-23 |
+28 |
9 |
2014-11-02 |
DEN |
H |
W 43-21 |
+22 |
10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
11 |
2014-11-16 |
IND |
A |
W 42-20 |
+22 |
12 |
2014-11-23 |
DET |
H |
W 34-9 |
+25 |
13 |
2014-11-30 |
GB |
A |
L 21-26 |
-5 |
14 |
2014-12-07 |
SD |
A |
W 23-14 |
+9 |
15 |
2014-12-14 |
MIA |
H |
W 41-13 |
+28 |
16 |
2014-12-21 |
NYJ |
A |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
New York Jets |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
OAK |
H |
W 19-14 |
+5 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
GB |
A |
L 24-31 |
-7 |
3 |
2014-09-22 |
CHI |
H |
L 19-27 |
-8 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
DET |
H |
L 17-24 |
-7 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
SD |
A |
L 0-31 |
-31 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
DEN |
H |
L 17-31 |
-14 |
7 |
2014-10-16 |
NE |
A |
L 25-27 |
-2 |
8 |
2014-10-26 |
BUF |
H |
L 23-43 |
-20 |
9 |
2014-11-02 |
KC |
A |
L 10-24 |
-14 |
10 |
2014-11-09 |
PIT |
H |
W 20-13 |
+7 |
11 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
12 |
2014-11-24 |
BUF |
A |
L 3-38 |
-35 |
13 |
2014-12-01 |
MIA |
H |
L 13-16 |
-3 |
14 |
2014-12-07 |
MIN |
A |
L 24-30 |
-6 |
15 |
2014-12-14 |
TEN |
A |
W 16-11 |
+5 |
16 |
2014-12-21 |
NE |
H |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
MIA |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
|
NE Offense |
NYJ Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
32.7 |
16.3 |
21.7 |
NE |
Rushing yards |
95.0 |
144.0 |
111.0 |
NYJ |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.42 |
4.58 |
4.16 |
NYJ |
Completion % |
65.0% |
57.1% |
62.1% |
NE |
Passing yards |
284.7 |
138.0 |
229.0 |
NE |
Passing yards per completion |
11.24 |
10.37 |
10.71 |
NE |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.30 |
5.92 |
6.65 |
NE |
Interceptions |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
NYJ |
Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
- |
Sacks allowed |
0.3 |
3.3 |
2.5 |
NE |
3rd down conversions |
53.1% |
34.7% |
38.7% |
NE |
4th down conversions |
100.0% |
100.0% |
46.5% |
- |
Time of possession |
30:07 |
31:03 |
30:05 |
NYJ |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
|
NE Defense |
NYJ Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
15.7 |
19.7 |
21.7 |
NE |
Rushing yards |
73.3 |
92.3 |
111.0 |
NE |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.32 |
3.58 |
4.16 |
NE |
Completion % |
56.2% |
66.3% |
62.1% |
NE |
Passing yards |
285.0 |
256.7 |
229.0 |
NYJ |
Passing yards per completion |
11.98 |
11.52 |
10.71 |
NYJ |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.73 |
7.63 |
6.65 |
NE |
INT return |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
NE |
Fumble recoveries |
0.0 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
NYJ |
Sacks |
3.0 |
1.7 |
2.5 |
NE |
3rd down conversions |
35.5% |
46.2% |
38.7% |
NE |
4th down conversions |
50.0% |
0.0% |
46.5% |
NYJ |
Time of possession |
29:53 |
29:30 |
30:05 |
NYJ |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
NE |
NYJ |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
4.9 |
8.3 |
8.6 |
NYJ |
Yards per kick return |
23.5 |
19.2 |
23.2 |
NE |
Yards allowed per punt return |
6.6 |
6.0 |
8.6 |
NYJ |
Yards allowed per kick return |
22.9 |
20.3 |
23.2 |
NYJ |
|
|
|
Misc Stats Comparison
|
NE |
NYJ |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
5.3 |
7.7 |
6.5 |
NE |
Penalty yards |
58.0 |
54.3 |
54.6 |
NYJ |
|
|
Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 10 to 15 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 10 to 15 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
New England Patriots vs. New York Jets |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
2 |
2000-09-11 |
NE |
NYJ |
19-20 |
NYJ |
2000 |
7 |
2000-10-15 |
NYJ |
NE |
34-17 |
NYJ |
2001 |
2 |
2001-09-23 |
NYJ |
NE |
10-3 |
NYJ |
2001 |
12 |
2001-12-02 |
NE |
NYJ |
17-16 |
NE |
2002 |
2 |
2002-09-15 |
NE |
NYJ |
44-7 |
NE |
2002 |
16 |
2002-12-22 |
NYJ |
NE |
30-17 |
NYJ |
2003 |
3 |
2003-09-21 |
NYJ |
NE |
16-23 |
NE |
2003 |
16 |
2003-12-20 |
NE |
NYJ |
21-16 |
NE |
2004 |
7 |
2004-10-24 |
NYJ |
NE |
7-13 |
NE |
2004 |
16 |
2004-12-26 |
NE |
NYJ |
23-7 |
NE |
2005 |
13 |
2005-12-04 |
NYJ |
NE |
3-16 |
NE |
2005 |
16 |
2005-12-26 |
NE |
NYJ |
31-21 |
NE |
2006 |
2 |
2006-09-17 |
NE |
NYJ |
24-17 |
NE |
2006 |
10 |
2006-11-12 |
NYJ |
NE |
17-14 |
NYJ |
2006 |
WC |
2007-01-07 |
NYJ |
NE |
16-37 |
NE |
2007 |
1 |
2007-09-09 |
NE |
NYJ |
38-14 |
NE |
2007 |
15 |
2007-12-16 |
NYJ |
NE |
10-20 |
NE |
2008 |
2 |
2008-09-14 |
NE |
NYJ |
19-10 |
NE |
2008 |
11 |
2008-11-13 |
NYJ |
NE |
34-31 |
NYJ |
2009 |
2 |
2009-09-20 |
NE |
NYJ |
9-16 |
NYJ |
2009 |
11 |
2009-11-22 |
NYJ |
NE |
14-31 |
NE |
2010 |
2 |
2010-09-19 |
NE |
NYJ |
14-28 |
NYJ |
2010 |
13 |
2010-12-06 |
NYJ |
NE |
3-45 |
NE |
2010 |
DP |
2011-01-16 |
NYJ |
NE |
28-21 |
NYJ |
2011 |
5 |
2011-10-09 |
NYJ |
NE |
21-30 |
NE |
2011 |
10 |
2011-11-13 |
NE |
NYJ |
37-16 |
NE |
2012 |
7 |
2012-10-21 |
NYJ |
NE |
26-29 |
NE |
2012 |
12 |
2012-11-22 |
NE |
NYJ |
49-19 |
NE |
2013 |
2 |
2013-09-12 |
NYJ |
NE |
10-13 |
NE |
2013 |
7 |
2013-10-20 |
NE |
NYJ |
27-30 |
NYJ |
2014 |
7 |
2014-10-16 |
NYJ |
NE |
25-27 |
NE |
|
Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database. WC = Wild-Card DP = Divisional Playoff
|