Prediction: Dolphins 24, Bills 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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Miami Dolphins |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 15 |
Ryan Tannehill |
Pass: 265, 2 TD Rush: 10, 0 |
RB 15 |
Knowshon Moreno |
Rush: 70, 1 TD Rec: 2-10, 0 |
RB 29 |
Lamar Miller |
Rush: 45, 0 TD Rec: 3-25, 0 |
WR 16 |
Mike Wallace |
Rec: 7-80, 1 TD |
WR 58 |
Brian Hartline |
Rec: 3-50, 0 TD |
WR 86 |
Brandon Gibson |
Rec: 2-25, 0 TD |
TE 17 |
Charles Clay |
Rec: 4-45, 0 TD |
K 26 |
Caleb Sturgis |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 6 |
Defense / ST |
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|
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Buffalo Bills |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 28 |
EJ Manuel |
Pass: 205, 1 TD Rush: 25, 0 |
RB 20 |
C.J. Spiller |
Rush: 70, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
RB 32 |
Fred Jackson |
Rush: 45, 0 TD Rec: 3-20, 0 |
WR 36 |
Sammy Watkins |
Rec: 5-60, 1 TD |
WR 53 |
Robert Woods |
Rec: 4-50, 0 TD |
WR 78 |
Mike Williams |
Rec: 3-35, 0 TD |
TE 31 |
Scott Chandler |
Rec: 2-20, 0 TD |
K 24 |
Dan Carpenter |
FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2 |
DEF 26 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill has passed for 2+ TDs in 6 of past 9 vs. AFC East, including 2 vs. NE last week. Dolphins are 8-3 (.727) when Tannehill has 2+ TD passes... RB Knowshon Moreno led NFL with 134 rush yards on Kickoff Weekend, most by player in Dolphins debut since 2000 (LAMAR SMITH). RB Lamar Miller had 1st career TD catch last week... WR Mike Wallace had 7 catches for 81 yards (11.6 avg.) & TD last week vs. NE. Has TD catch in 4 of past 5 vs. AFC East. WR Brian Hartline (3,795) needs 205 rec. yards to become 7th player in club history to reach 4,000 career... Defense had 4 sacks in Week 1, tied for 3rd in NFL... DE Cameron Wake had 2 sacks & 2 FF last week. Ranks 4th in club history with 53.5 sacks & needs 3.5 to surpass TRACE ARMSTRONG (56.5) for 3rd in team annals. Since entering NFL in 2009, ranks 3rd in AFC in sacks. LB Olivier Vernon had sack vs. NE. Has 6 sacks in past 7 vs. AFC East. Undrafted rookie LB Chris McCain had sack & blocked punt in NFL debut.
Bills QB EJ Manuel had 2 TDs (1 pass, 1 rush) & 91.7 rating vs. Bears. Bills are 3-1 when Manuel starts & has 90+ rating. Has won 3 of 5 career home starts, completing 93 of 148 passes (62.8 pct.) for 1,068 yards with 7 TDs vs. 3 INTs for 91.8 rating... In past 4 starts vs. Mia., RB C.J. Spiller has 579 scrimmage yards (403 rush, 176 rec.) & 2 TDs (1 rush, 1 rec.). Had TD catch last week. RB Fred Jackson rushed for 105 yards on 18 att. (5.8 avg.) & TD in last meeting. Rushed for 61 yards on 7 att. (8.7 avg.) vs. Chi. Last week in Bills debut, RB Anthony Dixon rushed for 60 yards on 5 att. (12 avg.), including career-long 47-yard run... Rookie WR Sammy Watkins (No. 4 overall) makes home debut. WR Robert Woods led team with 4 catches for 78 yards (19.5 avg.) vs. Chi. Had 3 catches for 70 yards (23.3 avg.) in last meeting... DT Kyle Williams had 2 sacks in last meeting. Posted 1st career INT last week vs. Chi. In 2 career meetings, CB Nickell Robey has 2 sacks & INT-TD. CB Leodis McKelvin had INT in last meeting. Had 79-yard PR-TD in 11/15/12 meeting. Last week, CB Corey Graham had INT for career-long 45-yard return in Bills debut.
Results and Schedule
Miami Dolphins |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
NE |
H |
W 33-20 |
+13 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
BUF |
A |
|
|
3 |
2014-09-21 |
KC |
H |
|
|
4 |
2014-09-28 |
OAK |
A |
|
|
5 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
6 |
2014-10-12 |
GB |
H |
|
|
7 |
2014-10-19 |
CHI |
A |
|
|
8 |
2014-10-26 |
JAC |
A |
|
|
9 |
2014-11-02 |
SD |
H |
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
DET |
A |
|
|
11 |
2014-11-13 |
BUF |
H |
|
|
12 |
2014-11-23 |
DEN |
A |
|
|
13 |
2014-12-01 |
NYJ |
A |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-07 |
BAL |
H |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
NE |
A |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
MIN |
H |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
NYJ |
H |
|
|
|
|
|
Buffalo Bills |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
CHI |
A |
W 23-20 |
+3 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
3 |
2014-09-21 |
SD |
H |
|
|
4 |
2014-09-28 |
HOU |
A |
|
|
5 |
2014-10-05 |
DET |
A |
|
|
6 |
2014-10-12 |
NE |
H |
|
|
7 |
2014-10-19 |
MIN |
H |
|
|
8 |
2014-10-26 |
NYJ |
A |
|
|
9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
KC |
H |
|
|
11 |
2014-11-13 |
MIA |
A |
|
|
12 |
2014-11-23 |
NYJ |
H |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-30 |
CLE |
H |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-07 |
DEN |
A |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
GB |
H |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
OAK |
A |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
NE |
A |
|
|
|
|
Offense Stats Comparison
|
MIA Offense |
BUF Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
33.0 |
23.0 |
22.4 |
MIA |
Rushing yards |
191.0 |
193.0 |
115.0 |
BUF |
Rushing yards per attempt |
5.03 |
5.85 |
4.36 |
BUF |
Completion % |
56.3% |
72.7% |
64.3% |
BUF |
Passing yards |
169.0 |
167.0 |
244.2 |
MIA |
Passing yards per completion |
9.39 |
10.44 |
10.45 |
BUF |
Passing yards per attempt |
5.28 |
7.59 |
6.71 |
BUF |
Interceptions |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
- |
Fumbles lost |
2.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
BUF |
Sacks allowed |
1.0 |
1.0 |
2.2 |
- |
3rd down conversions |
53.8% |
33.3% |
39.3% |
MIA |
4th down conversions |
0.0% |
0.0% |
54.2% |
- |
Time of possession |
30:27 |
30:32 |
30:13 |
BUF |
|
|
|
Defense Stats Comparison
|
MIA Defense |
BUF Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
20.0 |
20.0 |
22.4 |
- |
Rushing yards |
89.0 |
86.0 |
115.0 |
BUF |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.45 |
4.78 |
4.36 |
MIA |
Completion % |
51.8% |
69.4% |
64.3% |
MIA |
Passing yards |
226.0 |
341.0 |
244.2 |
MIA |
Passing yards per completion |
7.79 |
10.03 |
10.45 |
MIA |
Passing yards per attempt |
4.04 |
6.96 |
6.71 |
MIA |
INT return |
0.0 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
BUF |
Fumble recoveries |
2.0 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
MIA |
Sacks |
4.0 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
MIA |
3rd down conversions |
29.4% |
41.7% |
39.3% |
MIA |
4th down conversions |
50.0% |
0.0% |
54.2% |
BUF |
Time of possession |
29:33 |
34:42 |
30:13 |
MIA |
|
|
Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
MIA |
BUF |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
8.0 |
7.0 |
8.4 |
MIA |
Yards per kick return |
25.0 |
20.0 |
23.0 |
MIA |
Yards allowed per punt return |
7.5 |
-1.0 |
8.4 |
BUF |
Yards allowed per kick return |
25.7 |
21.0 |
23.0 |
BUF |
|
|
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Misc Stats Comparison
|
MIA |
BUF |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
4.0 |
9.0 |
6.9 |
MIA |
Penalty yards |
26.0 |
108.0 |
60.5 |
MIA |
|
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Note: Team statistics are the results from Week 1 of the 2014 season. Once
more weeks are played, these stats will tabulate the last 6 week results and deduct the
best and worst value from the data set.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
6 |
2000-10-08 |
BUF |
MIA |
13-22 |
MIA |
2000 |
14 |
2000-12-03 |
MIA |
BUF |
33-6 |
MIA |
2001 |
11 |
2001-11-25 |
MIA |
BUF |
34-27 |
MIA |
2001 |
17 |
2002-01-06 |
BUF |
MIA |
7-34 |
MIA |
2002 |
7 |
2002-10-20 |
BUF |
MIA |
23-10 |
BUF |
2002 |
13 |
2002-12-01 |
MIA |
BUF |
21-38 |
BUF |
2003 |
3 |
2003-09-21 |
BUF |
MIA |
7-17 |
MIA |
2003 |
16 |
2003-12-21 |
MIA |
BUF |
20-3 |
MIA |
2004 |
6 |
2004-10-17 |
MIA |
BUF |
13-20 |
BUF |
2004 |
13 |
2004-12-05 |
BUF |
MIA |
42-32 |
BUF |
2005 |
5 |
2005-10-09 |
MIA |
BUF |
14-20 |
BUF |
2005 |
13 |
2005-12-04 |
BUF |
MIA |
23-24 |
MIA |
2006 |
2 |
2006-09-17 |
BUF |
MIA |
16-6 |
BUF |
2006 |
15 |
2006-12-17 |
MIA |
BUF |
0-21 |
BUF |
2007 |
10 |
2007-11-11 |
BUF |
MIA |
13-10 |
BUF |
2007 |
14 |
2007-12-09 |
MIA |
BUF |
17-38 |
BUF |
2008 |
8 |
2008-10-26 |
BUF |
MIA |
16-25 |
MIA |
2008 |
14 |
2008-12-07 |
MIA |
BUF |
16-3 |
MIA |
2009 |
4 |
2009-10-04 |
BUF |
MIA |
10-38 |
MIA |
2009 |
12 |
2009-11-29 |
MIA |
BUF |
14-31 |
BUF |
2010 |
1 |
2010-09-12 |
MIA |
BUF |
15-10 |
MIA |
2010 |
15 |
2010-12-19 |
BUF |
MIA |
17-14 |
BUF |
2011 |
11 |
2011-11-20 |
BUF |
MIA |
8-35 |
MIA |
2011 |
15 |
2011-12-18 |
MIA |
BUF |
30-23 |
MIA |
2012 |
11 |
2012-11-15 |
MIA |
BUF |
14-19 |
BUF |
2012 |
16 |
2012-12-23 |
BUF |
MIA |
10-24 |
MIA |
2013 |
7 |
2013-10-20 |
BUF |
MIA |
23-21 |
BUF |
2013 |
16 |
2013-12-22 |
MIA |
BUF |
0-19 |
BUF |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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