Prediction: Patriots 30, Bears 24
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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Chicago Bears |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 10 |
Jay Cutler |
Pass: 270, 2 TD Rush: 15, 0 |
RB 3 |
Matt Forte |
Rush: 80, 1 TD Rec: 6-45, 0 |
RB 64 |
Ka'Deem Carey |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
WR 7 |
Brandon Marshall |
Rec: 6-80, 1 TD |
WR 25 |
Alshon Jeffery |
Rec: 6-70, 0 TD |
WR 86 |
Santonio Holmes |
Rec: 1-15, 0 TD |
TE 7 |
Martellus Bennett |
Rec: 5-50, 1 TD |
K 24 |
Robbie Gould |
FG: 1/1 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 23 |
Defense / ST |
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New England Patriots |
Rank |
Player |
Projections |
QB 5 |
Tom Brady |
Pass: 285, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0 |
RB 11 |
Shane Vereen |
Rush: 60, 1 TD Rec: 5-35, 0 |
RB 56 |
Jonas Gray |
Rush: 20, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
RB 65 |
Brandon Bolden |
Rush: 10, 0 TD Rec: 0-0, 0 |
WR 10 |
Julian Edelman |
Rec: 7-75, 1 TD |
WR 46 |
Brandon LaFell |
Rec: 4-50, 0 TD |
WR 87 |
Danny Amendola |
Rec: 1-15, 0 TD |
TE 1 |
Rob Gronkowski |
Rec: 7-70, 1 TD |
TE 33 |
Tim Wright |
Rec: 1-15, 0 TD |
K 1 |
Stephen Gostkowski |
FG: 3/3 XP: 3/3 |
DEF 7 |
Defense / ST |
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Game Notes
Bears QB Jay Cutler has won 9 of past 12 starts vs. AFC... Since entering NFL in 2008, RB Matt Forte has 10,469 scrimmage yards (7,114 rush, 3,355 rec.), most in NFL. Leads NFL with 52 catches... WR Brandon Marshall aims for 3rd 100-yard game in row vs. NE. In past 3 meetings, has 18 catches for 379 yards (126.3 per game) & TD. Since 2012, has 28 rec. TDs, tied for 2nd most in NFL. WR Alshon Jeffery has 7 career 100-yard games, incl. 2 200-yard games. TE Martellus Bennett has 3 TDs in past 3 vs. AFC... Rookie CB Kyle Fuller is only player in NFL with 3+ INTs & 3+ FFs. DT JEREMIAH RATLIFF had career-high 3.5 sacks last week. DE Willie Young ties for NFC lead with 7 sacks. Since 2012, CB Tim Jennings is 2nd in NFL with 13 INTs & ties for 3rd with 3 INT-TDs. DE Jared Allen has sack in 2 of 3 career meetings. Since entering NFL in 2004, leads NFL with 130 sacks.
In 11/26/06 meeting, LB Lance Briggs had 13 tackles, 2 FFs & FR. Rookie S Brock Vereen is brother of NE RB Shane.
Patriots Aim for 13th consecutive win at home... In past 3, QB Tom Brady has passed for 914 yards with 9 TDs vs. 0 INTs for 118.1 rating. Aims for 4th in row with 100+ rating. Patriots are 87-5 (.946) when Brady has 100+ rating. Has 3-0 career record vs. Chi., passing for 964 yards with 6 TDs vs. 3 INTs for 94.7 rating... RB Shane Vereen led team in rush (43) & receiving yards (71) with career-high 2 TD catches last week. Has 3 TDs in 4 career starts... WR Julian Edelman aims for 14th in row with 4+ catches. WR Brandon LaFell has 3 TD catches in past 4. WR Danny Amendola had 1st TD catch of season last week. In past 8 vs. NFC, TE Rob Gronkowski has 47 catches for 693 yards & 8 TDs. TE Tim Wright has TD rec. in 2 of past 3... Defense is tied for 2nd in AFC with 7 INTs... DE Chandler Jones has 4.5 sacks, FF & FR in past 6. DT Casey Walker had 1st career sack last week. LB DONT'A HIGHTOWER has 3 sacks in past 4, including 1 last week. DE Rob Ninkovich has 3 sacks in past 2 vs. NFC.
Results and Schedule
Chicago Bears |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
BUF |
H |
L 20-23 |
-3 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
SF |
A |
W 28-20 |
+8 |
3 |
2014-09-22 |
NYJ |
A |
W 27-19 |
+8 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
GB |
H |
L 17-38 |
-21 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
CAR |
A |
L 24-31 |
-7 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
ATL |
A |
W 27-13 |
+14 |
7 |
2014-10-19 |
MIA |
H |
L 14-27 |
-13 |
8 |
2014-10-26 |
NE |
A |
|
|
9 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
10 |
2014-11-09 |
GB |
A |
|
|
11 |
2014-11-16 |
MIN |
H |
|
|
12 |
2014-11-23 |
TB |
H |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-27 |
DET |
A |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-04 |
DAL |
H |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-15 |
NO |
H |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
DET |
H |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
MIN |
A |
|
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New England Patriots |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
MIA |
A |
L 20-33 |
-13 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
MIN |
A |
W 30-7 |
+23 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
OAK |
H |
W 16-9 |
+7 |
4 |
2014-09-29 |
KC |
A |
L 14-41 |
-27 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
CIN |
H |
W 43-17 |
+26 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
BUF |
A |
W 37-22 |
+15 |
7 |
2014-10-16 |
NYJ |
H |
W 27-25 |
+2 |
8 |
2014-10-26 |
CHI |
H |
|
|
9 |
2014-11-02 |
DEN |
H |
|
|
10 |
|
Bye |
|
|
|
11 |
2014-11-16 |
IND |
A |
|
|
12 |
2014-11-23 |
DET |
H |
|
|
13 |
2014-11-30 |
GB |
A |
|
|
14 |
2014-12-07 |
SD |
A |
|
|
15 |
2014-12-14 |
MIA |
H |
|
|
16 |
2014-12-21 |
NYJ |
A |
|
|
17 |
2014-12-28 |
BUF |
H |
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Offense Stats Comparison
|
CHI Offense |
NE Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
23.8 |
27.5 |
23.3 |
NE |
Rushing yards |
76.8 |
91.0 |
111.6 |
NE |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.11 |
3.66 |
4.13 |
CHI |
Completion % |
67.0% |
65.2% |
63.2% |
CHI |
Passing yards |
223.0 |
245.3 |
241.0 |
NE |
Passing yards per completion |
9.93 |
11.39 |
10.95 |
NE |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.65 |
7.42 |
6.92 |
NE |
Interceptions |
0.8 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
NE |
Fumbles lost |
0.8 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
NE |
Sacks allowed |
2.8 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
NE |
3rd down conversions |
45.3% |
41.2% |
41.6% |
CHI |
4th down conversions |
57.1% |
33.3% |
42.2% |
CHI |
Time of possession |
30:53 |
29:16 |
30:11 |
CHI |
|
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Defense Stats Comparison
|
CHI Defense |
NE Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
24.3 |
18.3 |
23.3 |
NE |
Rushing yards |
97.3 |
105.3 |
111.6 |
CHI |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.94 |
4.25 |
4.13 |
CHI |
Completion % |
63.2% |
61.9% |
63.2% |
NE |
Passing yards |
258.3 |
214.0 |
241.0 |
NE |
Passing yards per completion |
11.86 |
10.55 |
10.95 |
NE |
Passing yards per attempt |
7.49 |
6.53 |
6.92 |
NE |
INT return |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
CHI |
Fumble recoveries |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
- |
Sacks |
3.3 |
2.8 |
2.2 |
CHI |
3rd down conversions |
41.7% |
44.6% |
41.6% |
CHI |
4th down conversions |
42.9% |
25.0% |
42.2% |
NE |
Time of possession |
29:05 |
30:44 |
30:11 |
CHI |
|
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Special Teams Stats Comparison
|
CHI |
NE |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
6.8 |
7.9 |
8.4 |
NE |
Yards per kick return |
22.5 |
22.1 |
23.3 |
CHI |
Yards allowed per punt return |
10.5 |
9.5 |
8.4 |
NE |
Yards allowed per kick return |
20.1 |
22.4 |
23.3 |
CHI |
|
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Misc Stats Comparison
|
CHI |
NE |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
8.0 |
9.0 |
6.9 |
CHI |
Penalty yards |
57.8 |
74.3 |
58.3 |
CHI |
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 2 to 7 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 2 to 7 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
Chicago Bears vs. New England Patriots |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
15 |
2000-12-10 |
NE |
CHI |
17-24 |
CHI |
2002 |
10 |
2002-11-10 |
NE |
CHI |
33-30 |
NE |
2006 |
12 |
2006-11-26 |
CHI |
NE |
13-17 |
NE |
2010 |
14 |
2010-12-12 |
NE |
CHI |
36-7 |
NE |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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