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Prediction: Chargers 28, Dolphins 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today

Player Rankings and Projections

San Diego Chargers
Rank  Player Projections
QB 9 Philip Rivers Pass: 285, 2 TD Rush: 0, 0
RB 12 Branden Oliver Rush: 75, 1 TD Rec: 4-25, 0
WR 13 Keenan Allen Rec: 6-75, 1 TD
WR 39 Malcom Floyd Rec: 4-60, 0 TD
WR 53 Eddie Royal Rec: 4-45, 0 TD
TE 5 Antonio Gates Rec: 5-55, 1 TD
TE 32 Ladarius Green Rec: 1-10, 0 TD
K 13 Nick Novak FG: 0/0 XP: 4/4
DEF 9 Defense / ST  
 
Miami Dolphins
Rank  Player Projections
QB 15 Ryan Tannehill Pass: 255, 1 TD Rush: 35, 0
RB 11 Lamar Miller Rush: 75, 1 TD Rec: 3-20, 0
WR 15 Mike Wallace Rec: 6-70, 1 TD
WR 49 Jarvis Landry Rec: 4-45, 0 TD
WR 63 Brian Hartline Rec: 2-35, 0 TD
TE 15 Charles Clay Rec: 4-40, 0 TD
K 15 Caleb Sturgis FG: 2/2 XP: 2/2
DEF 20 Defense / ST  

Game Notes

Chargers In past 7, QB Philip Rivers has 1,975 pass yards with 19 TDs vs. 4 INTs for 115.1 rating. Aims for 8th in row with 2+ TD passes. Has 34,582 career passing yards & needs 418 to become 2nd player in club history to reach 35,000... RB Branden Oliver (undrafted) leads AFC rookies with 352 yards on 85 att. (4.1 average) with 2 TDs... Last week, TE Antonio Gates (9,610) had 5 catches for 54 yards & 2 TDs, surpassing HOFer LANCE ALWORTH (9,584) for most rec. yards in club history. 1 of 4 TEs in NFL history with 750 career catches (751). Tied for NFL lead with 9 TDs & needs 1 more to become 1st TE in NFL history with 4 career 10+ TD seasons. Ranks 10th all-time with 96 TD catches & needs 3 to tie HOFer DON HUTSON (99). WR Eddie Royal has 5 TDs in past 6. Last week, WR Keenan Allen led team in catches (9) and yards (73) & scored 1st TD of season... DE Dwight Freeney has 5 sacks in past 4 vs. Mia. (with Ind.). In past 3 meetings, S Eric Weddle has 2 INTs & sack. Has 13 INTs since 2011, most in AFC. Leads team with 54 tackles.

Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill won only career start vs. SD, passing for 268 yards & TD. In past 5, has completed 84 of 123 passes (68.3 pct.) for 995 yards & 7 TDs vs. 4 INTs for 98.1 rating. Club is 14-1 when Tannehill has 90+ rating (.933)... RB Lamar Miller has 474 scrimmage yards (364 rush, 110 rec.) & 4 rush TDs in past 4, incl. 99 yards last week vs. Jax. (78 rush, 21 rec.). Has rush TD in 4 of past 5... In past 2 vs. SD, WR Mike Wallace has 11 catches for 151 yards & 2 TDs. Has TD catch in 6 of past 8. WR Brian Hartline (3,984) needs 16 receiving yards to become 7th player in club history to reach 4,000. Had 5 catches for 65 yards in last meeting... Last week, defense had 2 INT-TDs, 6th game in club history with multiple INT-TDs...In past 3, DE Cameron Wake has 3.5 sacks, FF & FR. Had sack last week vs. Jaguars & has 57 career, surpassing TRACE ARMSTRONG (56.5) for 3rd in team history. S Louis Delmas had 81-yard INT-TD vs. Jax., 2nd-longest of career & 8th-longest in club history. CB Brent Grimes had 2nd career INT-TD last week vs. Jags. LB Olivier Vernon has 10.5 sacks, FF & blocked FG in past 14.


Results and Schedule

San Diego Chargers
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2014-09-08 ARI A L 17-18 -1
2 2014-09-14 SEA H W 30-21 +9
3 2014-09-21 BUF A W 22-10 +12
4 2014-09-28 JAC H W 33-14 +19
5 2014-10-05 NYJ H W 31-0 +31
6 2014-10-12 OAK A W 31-28 +3
7 2014-10-19 KC H L 20-23 -3
8 2014-10-23 DEN A L 21-35 -14
9 2014-11-02 MIA A    
10   Bye      
11 2014-11-16 OAK H    
12 2014-11-23 STL H    
13 2014-11-30 BAL A    
14 2014-12-07 NE H    
15 2014-12-14 DEN H    
16 2014-12-20 SF A    
17 2014-12-28 KC A    
   

Miami Dolphins
Week Date Opp H/A Score Dif
1 2014-09-07 NE H W 33-20 +13
2 2014-09-14 BUF A L 10-29 -19
3 2014-09-21 KC H L 15-34 -19
4 2014-09-28 OAK A W 38-14 +24
5   Bye      
6 2014-10-12 GB H L 24-27 -3
7 2014-10-19 CHI A W 27-14 +13
8 2014-10-26 JAC A W 27-13 +14
9 2014-11-02 SD H    
10 2014-11-09 DET A    
11 2014-11-13 BUF H    
12 2014-11-23 DEN A    
13 2014-12-01 NYJ A    
14 2014-12-07 BAL H    
15 2014-12-14 NE A    
16 2014-12-21 MIN H    
17 2014-12-28 NYJ H    

Injury Report

San Diego Chargers
Out  RB Ryan Mathews (leg)
 ILB Manti Te'o (foot)
Questionable  SS Jahleel Addae (head)
 OLB Jeremiah Attaochu (hamstring)
 RB Donald Brown (concussion)
 CB Brandon Flowers (concussion)
 OLB Dwight Freeney (knee)
 CB Jason Verrett (shoulder)
 ILB Reggie Walker (ankle)
 CB Steve Williams (groin)
IR  DE Kwame Geathers (knee, 8/26/2014)
 OLB Melvin Ingram (hip, 9/20/2014)
 RB Danny Woodhead (ankle, 9/22/2014)
   

Miami Dolphins
Questionable  TE Charles Clay (knee)
 SLB Chris McCain (foot)
 MLB Koa Misi (ankle)
 TE Dion Sims (toe)
 SS Jimmy Wilson (hamstring)
Probable  CB Cortland Finnegan (neck)
IR  WLB Dannell Ellerbe (hip, 9/8/2014)
 RB Mike Gillislee (hamstring, 8/26/2014)
 TE Arthur Lynch (back, 8/26/2014)
 RB Knowshon Moreno (knee, 10/14/2014)

Offense Stats Comparison

  SD
 Offense 
MIA
 Offense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points for 26.3 26.0 23.9 SD
Rushing yards 82.8 142.0 110.4 MIA
Rushing yards per attempt 3.32 5.15 4.12 MIA
Completion % 68.3% 63.3% 63.4% SD
Passing yards 270.0 228.0 249.4 SD
Passing yards per completion 11.96 10.86 11.16 SD
Passing yards per attempt 8.18 6.87 7.08 SD
Interceptions 0.5 0.7 0.8 SD
Fumbles lost 0.0 0.3 0.7 SD
Sacks allowed 1.8 2.7 2.2 SD
3rd down conversions 50.6% 37.3% 41.3% SD
4th down conversions 50.0% 33.3% 45.6% SD
Time of possession 31:48 28:20 30:14 SD
  Defense Stats Comparison

  SD
 Defense 
MIA
 Defense 
NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Points against 18.8 18.3 23.9 MIA
Rushing yards 107.8 116.0 110.4 SD
Rushing yards per attempt 4.27 4.20 4.12 MIA
Completion % 61.5% 61.5% 63.4% -
Passing yards 233.0 207.0 249.4 MIA
Passing yards per completion 10.14 9.57 11.16 MIA
Passing yards per attempt 6.23 5.88 7.08 MIA
INT return 0.5 1.0 0.8 MIA
Fumble recoveries 0.3 1.3 0.7 MIA
Sacks 2.0 3.3 2.2 MIA
3rd down conversions 48.8% 45.9% 41.3% MIA
4th down conversions 0.0% 75.0% 45.6% SD
Time of possession 27:57 31:40 30:14 SD

Special Teams Stats Comparison

   SD   MIA  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Yards per punt return 6.9 6.5 8.6 SD
Yards per kick return 20.0 32.2 23.9 MIA
Yards allowed per punt return 9.1 14.3 8.6 SD
Yards allowed per kick return 23.1 25.9 23.9 SD
  Misc Stats Comparison

   SD   MIA  NFL
 Avg. 
 Adv. 
Penalties 6.3 6.0 6.9 MIA
Penalty yards 60.5 50.7 57.5 MIA

Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game through Weeks 3 to 8 of the 2014 season after deducting the best and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on totals through Weeks 3 to 8 with no adjustment.

Weather


Team vs. Team History

San Diego Chargers vs. Miami Dolphins
 Season   Week   Date   Vis   Home   Score   Winner 
2000 11 2000-11-12 MIA SD 17-7 MIA
2002 12 2002-11-24 SD MIA 3-30 MIA
2003 8 2003-10-27 MIA SD 26-10 MIA
2005 14 2005-12-11 MIA SD 23-21 MIA
2008 5 2008-10-05 SD MIA 10-17 MIA
2009 3 2009-09-27 MIA SD 13-23 SD
2011 4 2011-10-02 MIA SD 16-26 SD
2013 11 2013-11-17 SD MIA 16-20 MIA

Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.