Prediction: Chargers 28, Dolphins 20
by Mike Krueger | Follow @FF_Today
Player Rankings and Projections
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Game Notes
Chargers In past 7, QB Philip Rivers has 1,975 pass yards with 19 TDs vs. 4 INTs for 115.1 rating. Aims for 8th in row with 2+ TD passes. Has 34,582 career passing yards & needs 418 to become 2nd player in club history to reach 35,000... RB Branden Oliver (undrafted) leads AFC rookies with 352 yards on 85 att. (4.1 average) with 2 TDs... Last week, TE Antonio Gates (9,610) had 5 catches for 54 yards & 2 TDs, surpassing HOFer LANCE ALWORTH (9,584) for most rec. yards in club history. 1 of 4 TEs in NFL history with 750 career catches (751). Tied for NFL lead with 9 TDs & needs 1 more to become 1st TE in NFL history with 4 career 10+ TD seasons. Ranks 10th all-time with 96 TD catches & needs 3 to tie HOFer DON HUTSON (99). WR Eddie Royal has 5 TDs in past 6. Last week, WR Keenan Allen led team in catches (9) and yards (73) & scored 1st TD of season... DE Dwight Freeney has 5 sacks in past 4 vs. Mia. (with Ind.). In past 3 meetings, S Eric Weddle has 2 INTs & sack. Has 13 INTs since 2011, most in AFC. Leads team with 54 tackles.
Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill won only career start vs. SD, passing for 268 yards & TD. In past 5, has completed 84 of 123 passes (68.3 pct.) for 995 yards & 7 TDs vs. 4 INTs for 98.1 rating. Club is 14-1 when Tannehill has 90+ rating (.933)... RB Lamar Miller has 474 scrimmage yards (364 rush, 110 rec.) & 4 rush TDs in past 4, incl. 99 yards last week vs. Jax. (78 rush, 21 rec.). Has rush TD in 4 of past 5... In past 2 vs. SD, WR Mike Wallace has 11 catches for 151 yards & 2 TDs. Has TD catch in 6 of past 8. WR Brian Hartline (3,984) needs 16 receiving yards to become 7th player in club history to reach 4,000. Had 5 catches for 65 yards in last meeting... Last week, defense had 2 INT-TDs, 6th game in club history with multiple INT-TDs...In past 3, DE Cameron Wake has 3.5 sacks, FF & FR. Had sack last week vs. Jaguars & has 57 career, surpassing TRACE ARMSTRONG (56.5) for 3rd in team history. S Louis Delmas had 81-yard INT-TD vs. Jax., 2nd-longest of career & 8th-longest in club history. CB Brent Grimes had 2nd career INT-TD last week vs. Jags. LB Olivier Vernon has 10.5 sacks, FF & blocked FG in past 14.
Results and Schedule
San Diego Chargers |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-08 |
ARI |
A |
L 17-18 |
-1 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
SEA |
H |
W 30-21 |
+9 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
BUF |
A |
W 22-10 |
+12 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
JAC |
H |
W 33-14 |
+19 |
5 |
2014-10-05 |
NYJ |
H |
W 31-0 |
+31 |
6 |
2014-10-12 |
OAK |
A |
W 31-28 |
+3 |
7 |
2014-10-19 |
KC |
H |
L 20-23 |
-3 |
8 |
2014-10-23 |
DEN |
A |
L 21-35 |
-14 |
9 |
2014-11-02 |
MIA |
A |
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10 |
|
Bye |
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11 |
2014-11-16 |
OAK |
H |
|
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12 |
2014-11-23 |
STL |
H |
|
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13 |
2014-11-30 |
BAL |
A |
|
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14 |
2014-12-07 |
NE |
H |
|
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15 |
2014-12-14 |
DEN |
H |
|
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16 |
2014-12-20 |
SF |
A |
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17 |
2014-12-28 |
KC |
A |
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Miami Dolphins |
Week |
Date |
Opp |
H/A |
Score |
Dif |
1 |
2014-09-07 |
NE |
H |
W 33-20 |
+13 |
2 |
2014-09-14 |
BUF |
A |
L 10-29 |
-19 |
3 |
2014-09-21 |
KC |
H |
L 15-34 |
-19 |
4 |
2014-09-28 |
OAK |
A |
W 38-14 |
+24 |
5 |
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Bye |
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6 |
2014-10-12 |
GB |
H |
L 24-27 |
-3 |
7 |
2014-10-19 |
CHI |
A |
W 27-14 |
+13 |
8 |
2014-10-26 |
JAC |
A |
W 27-13 |
+14 |
9 |
2014-11-02 |
SD |
H |
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10 |
2014-11-09 |
DET |
A |
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11 |
2014-11-13 |
BUF |
H |
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12 |
2014-11-23 |
DEN |
A |
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13 |
2014-12-01 |
NYJ |
A |
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14 |
2014-12-07 |
BAL |
H |
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15 |
2014-12-14 |
NE |
A |
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16 |
2014-12-21 |
MIN |
H |
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17 |
2014-12-28 |
NYJ |
H |
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Offense Stats Comparison
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SD Offense |
MIA Offense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points for |
26.3 |
26.0 |
23.9 |
SD |
Rushing yards |
82.8 |
142.0 |
110.4 |
MIA |
Rushing yards per attempt |
3.32 |
5.15 |
4.12 |
MIA |
Completion % |
68.3% |
63.3% |
63.4% |
SD |
Passing yards |
270.0 |
228.0 |
249.4 |
SD |
Passing yards per completion |
11.96 |
10.86 |
11.16 |
SD |
Passing yards per attempt |
8.18 |
6.87 |
7.08 |
SD |
Interceptions |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
SD |
Fumbles lost |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
SD |
Sacks allowed |
1.8 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
SD |
3rd down conversions |
50.6% |
37.3% |
41.3% |
SD |
4th down conversions |
50.0% |
33.3% |
45.6% |
SD |
Time of possession |
31:48 |
28:20 |
30:14 |
SD |
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Defense Stats Comparison
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SD Defense |
MIA Defense |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Points against |
18.8 |
18.3 |
23.9 |
MIA |
Rushing yards |
107.8 |
116.0 |
110.4 |
SD |
Rushing yards per attempt |
4.27 |
4.20 |
4.12 |
MIA |
Completion % |
61.5% |
61.5% |
63.4% |
- |
Passing yards |
233.0 |
207.0 |
249.4 |
MIA |
Passing yards per completion |
10.14 |
9.57 |
11.16 |
MIA |
Passing yards per attempt |
6.23 |
5.88 |
7.08 |
MIA |
INT return |
0.5 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
MIA |
Fumble recoveries |
0.3 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
MIA |
Sacks |
2.0 |
3.3 |
2.2 |
MIA |
3rd down conversions |
48.8% |
45.9% |
41.3% |
MIA |
4th down conversions |
0.0% |
75.0% |
45.6% |
SD |
Time of possession |
27:57 |
31:40 |
30:14 |
SD |
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Special Teams Stats Comparison
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SD |
MIA |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Yards per punt return |
6.9 |
6.5 |
8.6 |
SD |
Yards per kick return |
20.0 |
32.2 |
23.9 |
MIA |
Yards allowed per punt return |
9.1 |
14.3 |
8.6 |
SD |
Yards allowed per kick return |
23.1 |
25.9 |
23.9 |
SD |
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Misc Stats Comparison
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SD |
MIA |
NFL Avg. |
Adv. |
Penalties |
6.3 |
6.0 |
6.9 |
MIA |
Penalty yards |
60.5 |
50.7 |
57.5 |
MIA |
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Note: Team statistics are shown as the average per game
through Weeks 3 to 8 of the 2014 season after deducting the best
and worst value from the data set. The exception is yards per rush attempt, completion %, yards per
pass completion, yards per pass attempt, 3rd and 4th down conversions, special teams and the NFL averages, which are each calculated based on
totals through Weeks 3 to 8 with no adjustment.
Weather
Team vs. Team History
San Diego Chargers vs. Miami Dolphins |
Season |
Week |
Date |
Vis |
Home |
Score |
Winner |
2000 |
11 |
2000-11-12 |
MIA |
SD |
17-7 |
MIA |
2002 |
12 |
2002-11-24 |
SD |
MIA |
3-30 |
MIA |
2003 |
8 |
2003-10-27 |
MIA |
SD |
26-10 |
MIA |
2005 |
14 |
2005-12-11 |
MIA |
SD |
23-21 |
MIA |
2008 |
5 |
2008-10-05 |
SD |
MIA |
10-17 |
MIA |
2009 |
3 |
2009-09-27 |
MIA |
SD |
13-23 |
SD |
2011 |
4 |
2011-10-02 |
MIA |
SD |
16-26 |
SD |
2013 |
11 |
2013-11-17 |
SD |
MIA |
16-20 |
MIA |
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Note: Only playoff games from the 2004 to 2010 seasons are included in the team vs. team history. Playoff games from seasons prior to 2004 are not currently included in the database.
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